Youngkin’s Budget Amendments: No Radical Changes

by Dick Hall-Sizemore

Budget is policy. The budget reflects the policy choices a government makes.

Any Virginia governor, upon assuming office, inherits a biennial budget proposal developed by his predecessor. The new governor is limited significantly in the changes that he can affect in that budget in his first General Assembly session. If the new governor is of a different party than the preceding one, it is likely that he will be bringing in a new senior financial team, as well as a new policy staff and cabinet. Because it takes time for these new staff members to become acclimated, it is not unusual for the new governor (by now, not so new) to propose mostly marginal changes in the mid-biennial budget he presents to the General Assembly. It is in his second year in office that a Virginia governor gets to propose a biennial budget that is truly his and which will bear his policy imprint.

Nevertheless, based on his campaign rhetoric and his promises after he assumed office, I expected Governor Youngkin to make substantial proposals — cutting or eliminating some programs, along with some major initiatives. By and large, however, his budget proposals build upon what was already in place when he took office. The possible exceptions are one instance (behavioral health) in which he has chosen to put new emphasis on one aspect and another, resiliency and protecting the Chesapeake Bay, for which he has proposed a surprisingly large increase in funding.

Steve Haner and I have informally split the commentary on the budget. For the most part, he handles revenue (i.e. tax policy) while I stick (usually) to the spending. This article will be a high-level summary of the budget general fund appropriations proposed by the Governor and follow-up articles will discuss specific areas in more detail.

The Governor is proposing an additional $2.9 billion in general fund appropriation for the biennium, an increase of 5%. The vast majority, $2.2 billion, is in the second year of the biennium and would be an increase of 7.8% percent in general fund appropriation for that fiscal year.

Although much of the publicity prior to the release of the budget centered around increased funding for mental health, that area did not get the largest share of the new funding. That honor went to economic development. Following are the top six policy areas in terms of increased funding, showing the biennial total (dollars shown in millions) and the percentage of total increase for the biennium of $2.9 billion being proposed for that area:

  • Economic development–$470.7; 16.5%
  • Resiliency/Bay–$457.3; 16.0%
  • Public education and Lab schools–$422.3; 14.8%
  • State employee bonus—$199.8; 7.0%
    Nursing/General health and welfare–$159.9; 5.6%
  • Behavioral health–$149.1; 5.2%

These areas, and a few others, are the ones that get the media and legislative attention. However, scattered through any budget proposal are nuggets of interest.  A perusal of the budget document, which sets out the changes to the underlying budget, along with short descriptions — items that would either delight one or cause consternation. There are more such items in the biennial budget proposal, but even the mid-biennial budget, whose primary purpose is to adjust the biennial budget, will have some head-scratchers. Here are a couple:

  • $500,000 for security for the Lieutenant Governor
  • $500,000 to plan and evaluate the potential economic incentives for the relocation of the National Football League team, the Washington Commanders, to Virginia. (Even the media picked up on this one.)

However, one will search in vain for the amendment that some on Bacon’s Rebellion have exhorted: additional funding for the Office of Licensure and Certification of the Department of Health.

Rather than go into detail here for these major funding areas and create a really long post, I am going to address each of them separately in smaller bites over the next few days.


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Comments

32 responses to “Youngkin’s Budget Amendments: No Radical Changes”

  1. DJRippert Avatar

    Former Lt Gov Bolling seems to see a more substantial change in Gov Youngkin’s budget …

    https://bearingdrift.com/2022/12/19/bolling-gov-youngkins-budget-and-the-current-economy/

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      As I said, he is building on what is already there by putting more money in existing programs and activities. In mental health, which I will describe in detail later, his emphasis is different, but he is not proposing anything new, just more emphasis in one area.

      1. DJRippert Avatar

        Bolling seems to see the tax cuts are more important than you do.

        1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
          Dick Hall-Sizemore

          As I said in my article, I try to stay in my lane and leave tax policy to Steve to write about.

          1. DJRippert Avatar

            Fair point. However, didn’t Youngkin’s proposed budget also include $500m for a new stadium for the Commanders? While this might not be an Earth-shaking amount in the grand scheme of things … it’s been a point of controversy for some time.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar

            You’d think conservatives would be as opposed to this subsidized boondoggle as much as they are opposed to offshore wind, eh?

          3. DJRippert Avatar

            I think the entire economic development budget is excessive and often miss-spent.

          4. LarrytheG Avatar

            we sort of agree. I think there ARE some smart investments that exist but the way Virginia does it is inherently wasteful and often for bogus “schemes”.

            We squandered the tobacco settlement and will the opioid one also if we do our “normal”.

            This is an opportunity for a Conservative Governor to show how to do it right and win over some folks.

          5. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            “We squandered the tobacco settlement”

            The landowners who made out big on the industrial parks built with that money don’t think so.

          6. LarrytheG Avatar

            Well, I always wondered why the tobacco settlement was not for the folks who had medical conditions due to cigarettes instead of “economic development”.

            It’s sorta like the cigarette companies got zapped because of the damage done to smokers but then the money went for something else.

            I’d predict similar with the opioid money unless things have changed.

          7. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            It’s because Virginia was far more concerned about protecting their tobacco farmers than they were about the health effects of that tobacco.

            Since to the best of my knowledge there are no opioid pill factories in Virginia, we might get a different result with that one.

          8. LarrytheG Avatar

            but health care would provide clinics and jobs… economic development!

          9. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            Not for tobacco farmers, though.

          10. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            I think they should have used the tobacco money to widen I-81, but I suspect that some in Virginia would have a big problem with that because “It would make it easier to get to West Virginia and North Carolina!!!! How does that benefit Virginia????”

          11. James Kiser Avatar
            James Kiser

            Oh there was a quite a bit that went to localities that spent it on parks and ball fields.

          12. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            That’s economic development right there…for a hot dog stand operator, anyway!

          13. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            Conservatives were pretty opposed to Prince William County spending money for a new stadium to keep the Cannons or whatever they’re called these days in the county.

          14. James Kiser Avatar
            James Kiser

            I am totally opposed to giving subsidies to any sports team especially pro

          15. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
            Dick Hall-Sizemore

            As I pointed out, it did include $500,000 for planning and evaluating economic incentives for relocating to Virginia.

          16. DJRippert Avatar

            The article I read had a misprint. It claimed $500m rather than $500,000 for the Commanders stadium. Big difference.

          17. Stephen Haner Avatar
            Stephen Haner

            Well, between family visits and a recent swarm of white coats, haven’t been focused. Will try tomorrow. 🙂

    1. DJRippert Avatar

      More liberal pap. All bills in Virginia that pertain to crime are required to include funds for law enforcement.

      The Governor is asking the legislature for $50,000 which is a technical requirement for any new law that involves a crime. Youngkin has said nothing about imprisoning anyone who violates this new law.

      Once again, the left is spewing misinformation.

    2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      This is much ado about little. State statute requires an appropriation for legislation that will result in an increase in the number of people in prison. If that number cannot be projected, the default appropriation is $50,000. Youngkin is proposing several bills that could result in an increase in inmates. Unlike prior years, they are not itemized in the budget bill, but reportedly one of them has to do with abortion. If the bill does not pass, the appropriation will go away.

  2. Matt Hurt Avatar

    I was really hoping that a much more substantial effort would have been made to reverse the unfilled teacher position catastrophe. The selective bonuses may be a start, but I suspect they are a drop in the bucket compared to what is necessary to recruit new prospective teachers into the field.

      1. Matt Hurt Avatar

        I don’t think they’re leaving the state, just the profession for more lucrative, less taxing opportunities in other fields.

  3. LarrytheG Avatar

    I’m of the view that Youngkin is not going to go along to get along and there will be some surprises that will come from his surrogates in the GA submitting bills that he will support with changes to make them “softer” and thus not seem like major changes but rather “compromises”.

    anyone wanna bet?

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      Both parties have been opposed to letting a governor succeed himself. The rationale provided by legislators is that a Virginia governor has a lot of power and they don’t want to provide the position with more power.

      There is no provision for amending the Virginia constitution via a citizen-initiated referendum.

  4. James Kiser Avatar
    James Kiser

    I don’t know how anyone plans on fixing the Chesapeake Bay when the Blue Plains treatment plant dumps millions of gallons of raw sewage into the Potomac every year.

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