Woolly Headed Thinking about Transportation

Woolly headed
Baaah! Baaaaaaah!

by James A. Bacon

Virginia Beach’s ongoing debate over light rail is emblematic of everything that is wrong with Virginia’s system for determining which transportation projects get built. While the Virginia Department of Transportation is implementing a mechanism for ranking road and highway projects, there is no mechanism for ascertaining the proper balance between roads/highways and mass transportation or even to prioritize mass transit projects. Those choices remain as muddied and politicized as ever.

The latest episode in the long-running saga of Virginia Beach light rail, which would extend Norfolk’s existing The Tide rail line to the Virginia Beach resort area, revolved around a bid yesterday by Virginia Beach Councilman John Moss to use $10 million dedicated for light-rail plans to plug a projected $33 million budget hole. City Council rebuffed the measure, but a vocal minority of citizens continue the fight against the rail line. (See the Virginian-Pilot coverage here.)

Foes oppose a rail line that will require heavy up-front subsidies to build and ongoing subsidies to operate. They make a legitimate point. Rail supporters retort that building and maintaining roads also entail taxpayer subsidies. They, too, make a legitimate point. Ever since Virginia abandoned the user-pays principle of transportation funding in the bipartisan transportation-funding legislation of the McDonnell administration, all forms of transportation are subsidized to a greater or lesser degree. Because everything is subsidized, it is exceedingly difficult to determine whether any project is economically justifiable. Anyone can make any claim without any effective way to test it.

In an ideal world, Virginia Beach’s mass transit project would pay for itself through (a) fare revenues, (b) ancillary revenues such as advertising, and (c) revenues from special tax districts surrounding rail stations to capture some of the increased real-estate value created by the rail service. A transit authority would issue bonds to be repaid from those revenue sources, and bond buyers would exercise an independent, non-political judgment as to whether they were likely to earn a competitive, risk-adjusted return on their investment.

But it’s not an ideal world. Mass transit advocates argue rightly that rail competes against subsidized roads. No longer does Virginia pay for its roads mainly through the gas tax. But, rather than hold road funding to a higher and stricter standard, Virginia carves out a percentage of transportation allocations for mass transit. Funds are spread around to appease regional constituencies and ideological enthusiasms.

To see where fuzzy logic of transit funding leads us, read this op-ed by Nelson Reveley, a co-coordinator for the Richmond Clergy Committee for Rapid Transit. Reveley invokes social justice, the environment, public safety and economic development in support of a “comprehensive transportation system for the sake of all our citizens” in the Richmond region. Writes Reveley, a doctoral candidate in religious studies at the University of Virginia:

This isn’t about any singular neighborhood. It’s about all our neighborhoods, as we appreciate and celebrate our intimate interrelation as one metro ecology of education and commerce, employment and leisure, justice and mercy, beauty and creativity, vulnerability and mutuality.

My stomach heaves in rebellion against such treacly sentimentality. Nowhere in his op-ed does Reveley wonder how much this majestic mass transit system might cost. Obviously, the concept of “alternate opportunity cost” is not taught in the UVa religious program, for nowhere does Reveley wonder what could be accomplished by expending the same sum in other ways. Nor does he much care who will pay for this vision of his, although we can be certain it will not be the people who ride the buses or otherwise benefit from the transit lines through the higher property values he insists will occur or workforce benefits accruing from the young talent he suggests will be attracted to the region.

Further, nowhere does Reveley acknowledge the emergence of an alternative, private sector-driven model as epitomized by companies like Uber, Lyft and Bridj, which, given sufficient time and dismantling of regulatory barriers, could provide a shared-ridership transportation alternative far more robust and comprehensive than a public system.

The prevalence of blinkered, woolly headed thinking in the Old Dominion is just staggering. It goes a long way towards explaining our stagnation and relative decline among the 50 states.


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12 responses to “Woolly Headed Thinking about Transportation”

  1. TooManyTaxes Avatar
    TooManyTaxes

    A major solution is teleworking. See the MWCOG’s analysis of traffic and transit performance when OPM allowed extensive teleworking during the Pope’s visit to Washington, D.C.

    http://www.mwcog.org/transportation/weeklyreport/2015/files/10-20/PapalVisit_FullMemo.pdf

  2. LarrytheG Avatar

    Here’s the money –

    https://www.dmv.virginia.gov/webdoc/pdf/tracking_sept15.pdf

    now if you want a shock – go to page 4 and compare the revenues from the general sales tax compared to motor fuels

    Motor Fuel Taxes $850,200 millions
    State Sales and Use Tax 1,007,300 billion

    so my question is – are places like Va beach entitled to use transportation money that comes from the sales tax for light rail?

    1. “Entitled”? Surely not. But do they have a good claim on it? As good as anyone else, given the 100% political dogfight that is mass transit investment.

    2. TooManyTaxes Avatar
      TooManyTaxes

      Sales tax revenues will increase over time, but the gas tax will continue to decline as people move to more fuel efficient vehicles and alternate fuel vehicles. The “crazy” deal adopted by the GA makes sense in this area.

  3. Very true on both. There is no excuse for not allowing more telecommuting and taking taxes towards roads. Get rid of the a lot of the business exemptions for larger corporations, millionaires, you’d see more funds in the coffers. You also need to take a chunk out of the money that they use to store it away instead of putting it in the economy as poor people do.

  4. Jim, Reveley’s comments may be ‘treacly sentimentality’ but the fact that he is looking at mass transit as the REGIONAL asset it ought to be and clearly isn’t in Richmond today is, to me, refreshing. The Richmond-Henrico County line, that legacy of racially charged 1960s politics, should not be where urban planning for the metro area stops in 2015. Maybe it takes a little sentimentality to recognize that, if not do anything about it.

  5. LifeOnTheFallLine Avatar
    LifeOnTheFallLine

    Speaking of transportation, we’re each of us going to a Back to the Future marathon in our respective locales, correct? #BaconToTheFuture

  6. Most of our city council and mayor at The Beach (except two councilmen with some common sense) have gone ga ga over light rail. Even our city treasurer is personally sponsoring a referendum petition drive (http://ct.moreover.com/?a=23103257824&p=1cb&v=1&x=0NqHDnbj3lfInZjJEf37Uw) against such frivolity. Ridership in Norfolk has tanked even with the fare freebies for students et al.

    The latest proposal is only for three miles (at about $200mill) only to “Town Center” which is no where near the resort area. Conveniently the original estimate for three miles only at ~ $300mill is now down to ~ $200mill. Norfolk had a HUGE over estimate final cost and I’m sure we will as well if it the Toonerville Trolley ever materializes.

  7. LarrytheG Avatar

    you know the thing that strikes me here is how much these guys have complained about the tunnels… at the same time they’re goosing mega dollars on … something else…

    the other thing – Tea Party – the goal – smaller and more accountable govt – at the national level – but these folks are almost no where to be seen at the local level – the level where they COULD have major – virtually overnight impacts…

    Where are the Tea Party City Councils and BOS?

    😉

  8. LarrytheG Avatar

    Interesting election dynamics on VDOT plans to toll I-66.

    Most of those running for office are taking serious pains to make sure the electorate knows they want VDOT to build new free lanes NOW.

    Even Bill Howell has showed up to show his “support” to fluff up the opponents!

    I notice that none of these posturing poobahs has promised to submit legislation to outlaw tolling for I-66 or other roads… they’re just “opposed” to .. several “narratives” popular with the electorate – like hatred of tolls, even stronger hatred of Foreign toll road builders/operators, that people cannot “afford” the tolls… and they are just unfair… anyhow, yadda, yadda.

    And what do people want ? LOTS more “free” lanes, of course! The same answer we’re hearing in Fredericksburg and down Hampton way!

    It’s a open revolt of those who want to commute to the exurbs -their God-Given “right” that allows them to maximize their pay check as well as the scope and scale of their single family home in the burbs.

    Now – we’re finally starting to see that there IS a DIRECT COST to living farther from work – AND that the rest of the taxpayers in Va are NOT going to fund more lanes so that – essentially even more folks can move to the suburbs and solo commute to/from work.

    I’m not at all unsympathetic to the quandary that folks are in and the choices they have to make – but make no mistake – it IS their choice – not the duty of others to pay for their commutes.

    You pays your money and makes your choices.

    there ARE consequences to those choices.

    and of course the politicians do the best they can to demagogue and pander rather than actually being honest with the voters.

    I find it particularly ironic that Bill Howell – the guy who DID ensure the laws for public-private tolling, a gas tax increase and HB2 actually has the chutzpah to show up and puff and prance in front of the anti-toll crowds claiming he’s on their side with some fairly parsed words.

    One important thing we ARE finding out – is that the pure supply/demand theory of drivers paying the tolls – to pay for the road – it’s not turning out to be an enterprise that is so profitable that subsidies are not needed.

    In every case – the State – and the Feds are kicking in money to ensure that the toll companies are getting the ROI they demand.

    And one major difference in I-66 – will be operated by VDOT. but that don’t stop the ignorati for accusing VDOT of selling it to “foreigners”

    Now, I have tried very hard to foment unrest and spur reactive comments…this morning… so don’t disappoint ….

    😉

    1. Larry, we disagree about a lot of things, but we look at transportation more or less the same way. People want roads, and they want someone else to pay for them. That’s a recipe for disaster because *everybody* wants free roads, so everybody ends up paying for someone else’s project.

  9. LarrytheG Avatar

    they don’t like taxes and they don’t like tolls… but there is emerging up Fredericksburg way an interesting thing.

    The HOT Lanes have been in effect for a while now and they end in Stafford and are causing a gawd awful bottleneck but that’s a different story.

    there are more and more folks who want the toll lanes to extend all the way to Fredericksburg… completely opposite of what one might think.

    Unfortunately Transurban says that their analysis indicates that there would not be enough volume for them to make a profit – hard to believe on some days!

    So unless Transurban is trying to sqeeze VDOT for more dollars.. that’s not in the cards – at least right now.

    but in this case some folks ARE advocating tolling more miles..

    I’m not sure who they are yet – solo toll payers or carpool for free or a mix.

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