Another Sign of the Education Apocalypse

Source: State Council of Higher Education for Virginia

by James A. Bacon

Tom Allison, a staff analyst with the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV) has uncovered quite the conundrum. How does the Commonwealth reverse the plummeting rate at which low-income students are completing the Free Application for Federal Student Assistance (FAFSA) form?  The free-fall in applications, which are necessary to qualify for federal financial aid to attend college, could presage a decline in actual college attendance.

Nationally, FAFSA completions are down 4.4% from this time last year. Virginia under-performed the nation, with completions down 4.9%, writes Allison in a new SCHEV publication, Insights, which draws upon SCHEV’s in-depth data collection to inform policy making.

What really concerns Allison is the fact that at Title 1 schools (schools with high concentrations of low-income students) in Virginia FAFSA completion is down 22.3% — three times the national average for Title 1 schools.

“Virginia’s low-income students already enroll in college at lower rates, and these data indicate they are likely to fall further behind,” he writes.

The finding of declining FAFSA applications follows on the heels of news that Standards of Learning (SOL) pass rates fell sharply in the 2020-21 school year. Although all socioeconomic and racial groups performed poorly, the fall-off was sharpest among African-Americans.

The combination of falling SOL pass rates and declining interest in attending college is shaping up to be an educational catastrophe for Virginia’s African Americans.

College enrollment in Virginia eroded during the COVID-19 epidemic. It was mostly flat in the four-year colleges but tumbled 5% in the community colleges. If the collapse in FAFSA applications are any indication, the community colleges are in for another tough year — even though Governor Ralph Northam’s “Get Skilled, Get a Job, Give Back” initiative will make $36 million available this year to cover tuition, fees, books and wrap-around support for community college students.

The Northam administration’s response has been to mobilize the bureaucracy to address the FAFSA issue. A staff position has been created to improve coordination and communication between SCHEV and the Virginia Department of Education, including developing “shared definitions and accountability metrics.” SCHEV and VDOE also formed a partnership with the Virginia College Access Network to improve FAFSA completion rates. As on-site events were canceled due to COVID-19, the partners launched a “virtual one-on-one pilot platform that connected families and students with 50 trained college counselors.” The pilot program served 250 families.

The underlying assumption of Team Northam’s response is that the cause of the plummeting FAFSA completions was the COVID-related shutdowns of schools serving lower-income students. Perhaps that is a valid assumption. I would be surprised if there was not some truth to it. But I think it’s always worthwhile to subject such assumptions to critical scrutiny. So, let me play devil’s advocate.

The decline in FAFSA completions coincides with the disastrous fall in SOL pass rates. Is that a coincidence? Or do both phenomena stem from a common cause? What might that common cause be?

Let me think….. Oh, yes, Diversity, Equity & Inclusion (DE&I) initiatives made unprecedented inroads in Virginia schools last year. You can give these initiatives any label you want — Critical Race Theory, whatever — but what’s important are not the labels but the underlying assumption that the education system is racist, designed by whites for whites. Whites are oppressors, blacks are oppressed. “White” attitudes toward education, and “whiteness” in general, are part of the problem. Blacks need teachers who “look like them” in order to learn, and they need “culturally sensitive” pedagogy. 

According to this body of thought, African Americans are hapless victims of remorseless racism. They have no agency. The onus is on White people to change and for the educational system to change. What is the psychological impact of Critical Race Theory (or whatever you want to call it) on students? A logical response for Black kids — low-income Black kids especially — would be to think, “What’s the point? The system is racist. The deck is stacked against me. What’s the point in studying hard? What’s the point in going to college?” Such views are likely to be reinforced by current notions that academic achievement is associated with “whiteness.”

I don’t know for a fact that African-American kids are thinking this way. But I think it’s a reasonable hypothesis that warrants exploration. If my conjecture is right, the VDOE/SCHEV solution of fine-tuning the bureaucratic response in order to complete more FAFSA applications will yield negligible results. If I’m right, the problem runs much deeper, and the rage for DE&I is likely making things worse.


Share this article



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)


Comments

12 responses to “Another Sign of the Education Apocalypse”

  1. Steve Gillispie Avatar
    Steve Gillispie

    Maybe.
    More likely the main drivers are bad teaching, bad content, execrable classroom discipline, no consequences for poor work, grade inflation, continuously dumbed-down tests and pass-fail points, “social promotion” and on and on…..

    1. Perhaps. But those problems didn’t kick in just last year. They’ve been festering for quite a while now.

      1. Steve Gillispie Avatar
        Steve Gillispie

        I take your point. Whatever, great work on this series!

  2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    That’s quite a leap in logic–to assume that DI&E thinking, which you say was introduced last year, made such an almost instant impression on Black students, that fewer of them completed their FAFSAs, which they would be completing during the first and middle part of their senior years.

    A much more plausible explanation is that there was no in-person school and the low income students did not have as much access to counselors who could help them fill out the forms.

    1. Your hypothesis is not implausible. Here’s what you need to explain. How come Virginia’s FAFSA-completion drop-off for lower-income students was three times worse than the drop-off nationally? Were Virginia schools three times more likely to shut down in-person learning? Maybe so. I don’t think we can just assume something like that to be true.

      You could ask the same question of my hypothesis: Was the implementation of CRT/DEI in Virginia so much more pervasive than in other states? CRT/DEI is a national phenomenon, but it has not penetrated state and local schools systems evenly. My sense is that Virginia has gone farther down that path than most (not all, but most) other states.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        I’m not sure Dick needs to explain.

        When it comes to whataboutism these days, someone asserts some off-the-wall-thing and then says you have to prove it not true!

        Nope.

        JAB can speculate all he wants and he does but it proves nothing.

        It’s the Conservative thing now.

        Just splat it on the wall and call it true..

        “you beat your wife”… It’s TRUE unless you prove otherwise.

        All I can say is than GAWD the Conservatives have completely taken over the courts!

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Muckraking requires only a rake. You needn’t have real muck. Just start raking and it will appear, like conspiracies.

      2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
        Dick Hall-Sizemore

        Assuming that CRT/DEI would have the effect you are describing (and I don’t buy that assumption, but I will go along with it here), it would take more than a few months for that approach to be absorbed by teachers and applied in their classrooms (I would say more than a year). Considering that policies and practices that you would deem CRT/DEI just came to the fore last fall and are still being debated and, in most cases, not even adopted yet, it is hard to see how they would have proven a disincentive for low income students to submit FAFSAs.

        On the other hand, ready access to counselors was immediately diminished when schools went virtual.

        I have no explanation as to why Virginia’s drop off was three times the national average. That is deeply troubling. I hope the SCHEV analyst, who has better access to data and infinitely more ability to interpret that data than I do, digs deeper and tries to find an explanation.

  3. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    There it is! Took halfway down to get to the red bait. Givin’ up on top fishing?

    Maybe now that Amazon and WalMart are nearing $15/hr with bennies, those that would be journalists are rethinking the debt and four year delay to getting to the big bucks?

    Antiracism is like alimony — the screwing you deserve for the screwing you gave.

  4. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    I think the “not in school in person so not getting pushed or helped by the guidance staff” is the major reason, followed by general discouragement about life and economic prospects in the pandemic. The death of hope is also one of those unintended outcomes of the general atmosphere of fear. Jim is stretching hard with the DE&I idea (please) but I do think this is just another sign that some were inconvenienced by all this disruption, but others crushed. The “shutdown” cheerleaders should have known this would happen (must have followed the briefing on the mighty Afghan military we’d built.) But for wishful thinking there would be no thought at all.

  5. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Title One school attendance has collapsed. Park View High School, a Title One School, in Loudoun has risen to 22%. How can you register for FAFSA if you were not present?

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      I agree. The real question is are we going to go around looking who to blame for this and things like it or just accept the realities of the pandemic and it’s affect and set our efforts on getting back to where we want to be?

Leave a Reply