Welcome, Secretary Guidera and Superintendent Balow

By James C. Sherlock

Aimee Rogstad Guidera, Virginia Secretary of Education

I dedicate this as a welcome to our new Secretary of Education and Superintendent of Public Instruction.  Both are very accomplished and we are lucky to have them.

I find it upon occasion useful to review for myself the facts on the ground when dealing with Virginia K-12 education reform.   They are daunting.

Some of the most challenging include:

  1. Our state constitution assigns responsibility to both the state and to local school districts for school quality.  The state sets standards but has no effective authority to hold the school districts accountable for meeting them.  That cannot work, and does not.
  2. Fierce and important culture war issues now tend to obscure information about fundamental student learning.  They set people who should be allies in improving basic learning at odds with one another about fundamental questions concerning the definition of what should be taught, learned and how.
  3. Many in education, like much else in public policy in Virginia, appear viscerally opposed to emulating proven best practices (New York’s astonishing successful urban charter school networks) from other states, or even considering them as possibly applicable in Virginia.  See Note*
  4. Virginia’s graduate schools of education aggressively stoke the culture wars from the left.  Indeed, many have proven to be opponents of the foundational standards of Western civilization. That will stir a debate every time.  Many have proven to be opponents of setting objective, measurable standards for K-12 learning and of employing standardized tests for school accountability.
  5. Statewide all-student SOL averages in our public schools hide the tragedy of the failure of many children of the urban poor to learn what they need to know to have a fair chance in life.  We don’t live in Lake Wobegone.  Consider English reading SOL results from 2018-19. 
    • Twenty-two percent of all kids failed English Reading SOLs.    
    • Thirty five percent of kids reported as economically disadvantaged failed those same tests.
    • Black (35%) and Hispanic (34%) children failed at nearly exactly that same rate as the economically disadvantaged.  Failed.  Could not read at grade level.
    • To the degree that children must read to learn, which is true in every subject starting in 4th grade, they cannot learn.  And do not.

6.  COVID has proven to be a huge disruptor to a flawed system.

    • Virginia’s worst school districts kept their doors closed the longest for COVID and had an abundance of poor kids, so their students have by the evidence nationwide presumptively suffered the worst learning losses from the worst 2018-19 starts.
    • We currently must use the 2018-19 SOL results to gauge where our schools were at that time and extrapolate the learning losses since then.  The disruptions of COVID have either denied (2019-20) or corrupted by selective participation (2020-21) SOL results since COVID appeared.  The Board of Education in 2020 changed the cut scores (number of questions, out of 40, answered correctly to achieve a passing score) for English reading SOLs by lowering them, making year-to-year comparisons going forward difficult.  A passing grade in Grade 3 English reading is now 22 out of 40 questions answered correctly.  Yes, 55% is a passing grade.  And we will not be able to compare these results directly to 2018-19 when we get usable results.

Virginia’s conflicting constitutional requirements.

The requirement that children be provided good schools in which to learn is a solemn obligation embedded in our state constitution

The General Assembly shall provide for a system of free public elementary and secondary schools for all children of school age throughout the Commonwealth, and shall seek to ensure that an educational program of high quality is established and continually maintained. (emphasis added.)

Unfortunately Virginia, unlike most states, has found itself blocked by recent interpretations of that same constitution from enforcing standards in problem districts.

The supervision of schools in each school division shall be vested in a school board, to be composed of members selected in the manner, for the term, possessing the qualifications, and to the number provided by law. (emphasis added.)

That has been interpreted to mean that the state has no authority to take over and run the worst of its school districts.  It can only set standards and encourage school division to meet them, not “ensure” that they do so.

Thus State law requires:

Local school boards shall also develop and implement programs of prevention, intervention, or remediation for students who are educationally at risk including, but not limited to, those who fail to achieve a passing score on any Standards of Learning assessment in grades three through eight or who fail an end-of-course test required for the award of a verified unit of credit.

That directive of course is addressed to the same divisions under whose instruction the child failed the first time.  The required results of those “programs of prevention, intervention, or remediation” are not specified.

The law does not require even a student who fails every SOL in a grade to repeat that grade.

Federal law.  Federal law requires states to identify schools for comprehensive support and improvement (CSI) and those that will receive targeted support and improvement (TSI).  Federal funding that can exceed $1 million per school follows those designations.

The Hunt Institute in 2016 published a useful summary of the Every Student Succeeds Act (ESSA) and low performing schools. States are required:

  • to establish indicators of student achievement and success,
  • incorporate those indicators into a system of meaningful annual differentiation, and
  • use that system to identify schools in need of improvement.

ESSA replaced No Student Left Behind (NSLB) and importantly shifted to the states the lead in defining both standards and solutions.

Virginia is in compliance with ESSA.  It has published its list of Schools Identified for Support and Improvement since 2018-19 as required.  The federal money is distributed every year.

The total number of such schools is capped by the feds at 5% of the total schools in the state.  Once identified, such schools receive as much as a million dollars or more a year each in dedicated federal funding for improvement and support.

The Virginia list currently identifies 87 public schools total.  Thirty-nine of them have been determined to require comprehensive support and improvement.  Of those 39:

  • Sixteen are in Richmond;
  • Seven in Norfolk; and
  • Three in Danville, which only operates ten schools total.

Are Richmond Public Schools “Struggling”?

In a recent article, Dick Hall-Sizemore suggested that Virginia:

try to help those divisions and schools in which students are struggling to implement those approaches, attitudes, and policies that have proved successful elsewhere.

That suggestion – “try to help” – aligns with the constitution.  But I dealt earlier with “elsewhere” and Virginia’s aversion to solutions from other states.  And I find “struggling” to be an interesting word in this context.

Richmond Public Schools (RPS), which I have studied in detail for years, in 2018-19 had only 20 if its 44 schools fully accredited by the state.  Accreditations have been suspended since then due to lack of data because of COVID restrictions.   But the federal money continues to flow.

RPS for its part has published “goals” to get its schools accredited and raise student standardized test scores as measures of learning.  Such projections are required to be submitted in annual plans in order to get federal funding.  They are never met.

There is no evidence that I have seen that the goals need to be achieved.  Just regularly reiterated.  The state is charged by the federal law with setting and enforcement of standards, but blocked by the state constitution from effective enforcement.

There is also no evidence that any of the adults running these schools have paid any price for the failures of their schools.  Not the Division, not the principals, not the teachers.

For a previous column, I tracked and reported on the teachers and staff of the worst performing middle school in Richmond.  I showed that personnel turnover was almost non-existent over the most recent three year period.  It is a closed shop even before union negotiations.

Finally, blaming COVID, RPS kept its schools closed to in-person instruction longer than any other division in the state, a full school year longer than Catholic schools in Richmond.

So RPS already employs the people it wants to work there regardless of past failures.  Indeed the RPS School Board recently voted to allow unionization to lock in lack of employee accountability.  The system is run unambiguously for the adults that work there.  And that school division does what it wants to do utterly unconstrained by the state or federal government or, often, by the wishes of the parents and the mayor.

How is that the definition of a struggle?

Money has not proven to be the solution.  Extra federal money starting with NCLB has not budged the performance of the worst schools in those urban areas.  In fact, by every objective measure, they have tended to produce worse results in the past few years.  And that is before we measure COVID effects on learning.

What to do?  So I suggest that while we need to talk about all of the poor performing schools in the state, including those that fail to educate only their poor kids, we start with the Divisions that are sources of most profound problems.

Change must come from outside those districts.

I would like very much for the state under a constitutional amendment to get and exercise the authority to take over the worst performing school divisions.

In the meantime, which may prove to be forever, I have suggested that the state create charter divisions run by the best charter management organizations to compete with failing urban divisions.

I think that solution can both work, as it has elsewhere, and pass Virginia constitutional muster.

We won’t know if it is never tried.

Note *: I have seen the exact same thing in health care (Maryland’s Health Enterprise Zones) and flood control (Louisiana’s post-Katrina flood control efforts).  Some will not readily concede (or have not considered) that successful solutions from other states can work here. Or that federal laws can usefully inform Virginia’s.  

The Code of Virginia and the Virginia Administrative Code would each be both far more efficient and effective and much shorter if federal laws and regulations were adopted by reference where applicable and only Virginia exceptions added.  Healthcare, education and the environment, dominated as they are by federal standards, are among the most prominent examples.


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Comments

31 responses to “Welcome, Secretary Guidera and Superintendent Balow”

  1. David Wojick Avatar
    David Wojick

    I have two modest proposals, basic ideas that I have developed since I started studying K-12 science education 15 years ago.

    1. The education system is is about as good as it can be. All this talk of “reform” is misleading hyperbole. Minor improvements are certainly possible but we can no more reform this system than we can reform any other major social system.

    2. After age 12 or so attendance should be voluntary. There is nothing taught in secondary school that is so important that it justifies forcing people to learn it. People who do not want to be there should not have to be.

    By coincidence my latest article is on middle school education. It shows the science topics that are taught, which are many. My impression is that most people have no idea what is actually taught, and not just in science.

    Also, so-called reading tests are very strange. They actually test various sorts of reasoning, which are not even named, much less taught.

    1. Is there any scientific basis or practical example for the 12 yr old threshold? What’s the financial or societal benefit?

    2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      Your item no. 2 is one of the most outlandish proposals I have ever seen.

    3. Lefty665 Avatar
      Lefty665

      We are guaranteed not to be able to teach anything to kids who are not in school. Bad attendance is the first barrier that must be overcome before any learning can take place. Your item 2 guarantees failure.

  2. Kathleen Smith Avatar
    Kathleen Smith

    David, Age 12? I think this might condemn a child to prison, not encourage additional schooling.

  3. Kathleen Smith Avatar
    Kathleen Smith

    State takeovers do not work. This has been proven. Charter management organizations have had some success. The amendment should be for charters, not state takeover. Good reasoning in both this and your previous article.

    On this site, someone made a comment that districts that have low performing schools might want to give them over to a charter management company. It would drain less of their resources and allow those resources to attend to what is working well. I’ve given that some thought. Still working on it, but it makes sense.

    A small division with one of five schools that are poor performing, by allowing the SOQ funding and Title I for small charter might actually help keep resources working. The district probably spends more per pupil for 100 % of students in the one school for a 1/4 of the school’s population that need help. Meaning, the district could save money. The other 3/4 don’t benefit or need the benefit of the extra spending?

    School boards need to think about this. Like I said, I am still working on it, but it has some merit to consider.

  4. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    It is already May. Too late for significant statewide changes to be in place for Fall 2022. I don’t see anything changing until Fall 2023 or 24.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      It will take until January to get a new charter program before the General Assembly. That is a good thing. It will take that long to develop and vett one.

  5. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Most of your discussion I have no argument with. However, your point about graduate schools of education goes too far. I am no fan of schools of education, much less graduate schools of education. There is a lot to criticize, but not along the lines you choose.

    1. “Aggressively stoke the culture wars from the left.” That is a matter of your opinion. Their viewpoints may be from what you regard as the “left”, but “aggressively stoking culture wars” implies a conscious effort to foment division and controversy. That charge needs proof, rather than just throwing it out there.

    2. “Have proven to be opponents of the foundational standards of Western civilization.” That is a very serious accusation. Where is the evidence or basis for such a statement?

    3. “Many have proven to be opponents of setting objective, measurable standards for K-12 learning and of employing standardized tests for school accountability.” This is a two-parter. Which schools are voiced opposition to “setting objective, measurable standards for K-12 learning’? As for being opposed to using standardized tests for school accountability, that might be true, but they are not the only ones. There is a great debate over the utility of standardized tests, with many suggesting alternatives for measuring accountability. Many have proven to be opponents of setting objective, measurable standards for K-12 learning and of employing standardized tests for school accountability. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/answer-sheet/wp/2018/04/03/there-are-better-ways-to-assess-students-than-with-high-stakes-standardized-tests-these-schools-are-using-them-with-success/

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Thanks, Dick. I’ve been monitoring UVa Ed school for 15 years. You take exception to my remarks. They would stand behind them.

    2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      The debate over standardized tests comes entirely from the left, which works every day to eliminate accountability from the school system.

      From that Washington Post article you cite: “The harm has been most severe for low-income and minority-group children, often turning their schools into little more than mind-numbing test-preparation programs. “

      If they are really test preparation programs, they are failures at that too.

      Read the Post article again. The New York Standards Performance Consortium high schools have improved because they have improved their pedagogy. I applaud them. But they are not the best performing public high schools in New York City. Success Academy students out perform them by every measure offered in the article.

      Finally, to credit the assessments themselves for the improved results is like crediting the keeper of the box score for the outcome of the game.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        We have a plethora of data from SOLS, NAEP and PISA and it clearly shows results. I’ve actually heard folks from the right oppose standardized tests for being standardized. They say they want local school autonomy to decide what to teach and how to grade.

    3. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      The article you cite suggests the abandonment of Regents Exams in New York by some high schools in favor of thrice-yearly local progress assessments can a model for the nation.

      I have suggested converting SOLs to thrice-yearly statewide progress assessments, like Florida has done with their statewide tests.

      The difference is my recommendation will deliver objectively comparable results statewide, which brings with it accountability.

      Local teachers already provide their own assessments. – that is what report cards do. No one thinks report cards will deal with the problems in Virginia’s worst schools for the simple reason that they have never done so.

      That is why we have statewide tests and must continue to do so.

      1. Matt Hurt Avatar
        Matt Hurt

        The problem with through year assessments, specifically when coupled with a “growth” calculation wherein the fall assessment is used as a baseline, is that given the incentive structures are different with each seasonal test administration, the data is not reliable. We’re seeing this already this spring. In September, when the state publishes the 2022 Accreditation reports, do not be surprised to see very low pass rates in Reading and Math which are bolstered by phenomenal “growth” in the Combined Rate (the sum of kids who passed and kids who failed but demonstrated “growth”) to really cheapen the entire state accreditation process.

        1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
          James C. Sherlock

          I wrote a recent column about the data problems in education.

          I recommended creation of a new data entry system that permits inputs only at the primary sources – individual schools. Everyone else could read the data but not change it. It would not be perfect but far more likely to produce accurate data than the current system.

          What do you recommend?

          1. Matt Hurt Avatar
            Matt Hurt

            The input technicians in this instance are the kids who are answering their questions. There are no incentives for anyone to try their best on a fall pre-test that will be used to measure growth for accountability purposes.

            We had a decent growth model since 2017 before the GA intervened with our current abomination. This measured growth from spring to spring which ensured the incentive structures were the same in each administration, and there was really no way to “game” the system.

  6. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Our new state leaders should consider monitoring and enforcing state code on absenteeism/truancy. I think the laws are good enough to improve attendance in schools. No approval needed from the General Assembly to enforce existing law. Everybody wins.
    https://law.lis.virginia.gov/admincode/title8/agency20/chapter730/section20/

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      There are enforcement issues because of the conflicting authorities of the state and local school divisions written
      into our state constitution. I wrote in a column in 2020

      “The chronic absenteeism that VDOE reports to the federal government correlates directly with SOL math, reading and writing failure rates for all students, white students, black students, Hispanic students and economically disadvantaged students. Directly. In each subgroup. In every subject.”

      We know that, but the worst school systems refuse to enforce an existing state law that “suggests” they take the parent or parents to Juvenile and Domestic Relations court if their kids are chronic absentees. Another reason to amend the constitution to give the state unambiguous authority on some matters of education when districts fail.

      1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
        James Wyatt Whitehead

        I remember in Loudoun you would often see the J and D court judge kick attendance cases back to the schools. Maybe create Attendance Court? Somebody needs to have the authority to assert corrective measures.

        1. Matt Hurt Avatar
          Matt Hurt

          This is a big problem in many places across the state. I’m not sure about this, but it seems that J&D judges are pressured to mitigate the “school to prison” pipeline by not aggressively adjudicating truancy charges. There are some judges that actually hold students and PARENTs accountable for students not attending school, but they seem few and far between.

          All that being said, many schools can be more proactive about getting kids to come to school more regularly. We have seen many instances of successful attendance programs in Region VII that focus more on carrots than sticks (since the courts won’t back them up) which have yielded significant decreases in chronic absenteeism.

          1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
            James C. Sherlock

            Whatever works. But the Virginia school division that has been by far the most proactive in J&D courts has been Chesapeake. There chronic absenteeism has been significantly reduced.

            If the J&D courts will not enforce the law, it is appropriate to file a complaint with the state Supreme Court, which oversees both individual judges and the courts.

          2. Matt Hurt Avatar
            Matt Hurt

            Every division is required by state code to be proactive with the courts. After 7 unexcused absences a court referral is required. Look at the dockets across the state. From what I understand, Virginia does or did rank first in the nation in juvenile court referrals, and there is pressure from on high to curb this. It’s not that the J&D courts don’t enforce the law, they just don’t do so in a manner that incentivizes parents to ensure their students attend school regularly. Basically, the judge orders the kid to go to school, scolds them, and then repeats the process with each subsequent court referral when the student refuses to comply.

  7. Ruckweiler Avatar
    Ruckweiler

    The acronym SOL should be changed as in my Army days it meant sh*t out of luck. Close the so-called schools of education. Use an Instructor short course similar to that which the military utilizes and teach it to those who actually KNOW a real subject.

  8. Lefty665 Avatar
    Lefty665

    SOLs have been inadequate from the get go. Lowering the standards for reading SOLs makes them even worse. From the SOL scores we can be pretty sure that close to half of the disadvantaged, black and hispanic students will not be able to read adequately to have prospects for a decent life. That affects all of us, it is a disgrace to the state, and it bodes ill for the future of all Virginians.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I agree with much of what you wrote. But how do you find SOLs in general inadequate as objective measures of learning?

      1. Lefty665 Avatar
        Lefty665

        Because they are such a low standard. Success at SOLs does not correlate very well with actually preparing students to be successful in life.

        I wish SOLs were better. The discrepancy between SOL and NAEP is a pretty good measure of the issue.

        One of my biggest fears about the future is that as a state and country we are not doing far better to prepare kids to thrive in an ever more complicated world. Low SOL standards can lull us into thinking we are doing better than we actually are.

        I believe educating our kids better is crucial to our nations survival. Our ongoing failure to even teach basic literacy to 1/3 or more of our kids is packing a time bomb with people who are unable to thrive.

        Wish I had all the answers, I’d be shouting them from the rooftops. What little I can see is that starting at the bottom it is urgent that we figure out how to teach all kids to read, and proficiency is the standard to aspire to.

        On the other end, dumbing down standards for exceptional programs like TJ high school is a short sighted killer of achievement, as is C’ville’s declaring 86% of its students as “gifted” to bestow “equity”.

        There are clearly many talented and dedicated teachers in Virginia (and like any profession, some dogs too). It does not seem that our Department of Education, Education schools, or many school systems are dedicated to maximizing the potential of each and every individual kid.

        With an average investment of $13k per kid per year it seems we could be doing far better. The problem is not that we have failed to invest the money needed to do better.

        1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
          James C. Sherlock

          I entirely agree with you.

  9. Turbocohen Avatar
    Turbocohen

    Wondering why Virginia Beach Democrats love Aimee Rogstad Guidera? They love her because she threw the most conservative VB school board member under the bus, which set off a chain reaction with the governor, the unit chair in VB and a technicolor clusterf$%k. Youngkin won because of the issues championed by this school board member 6 years ago who Aimee Rogstad Guidera dumped over a budget concern comment.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Guidera is an education data expert put in the Secretary of Education job. If she can make progress towards cleaning up the data that the state uses for policy determinations she will be a heroine.

      But it is the Superintendent of Public Instruction and the state Board of Education that control K-12 education policy. It is there we will look for progress in focusing on improving learning rather than the woke politics that used school kids as lab mice under the previous administration.

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