Virginia’s Revolt, Not a Revolution – Yet

In Feudal Europe the peasants would rise up, occasionally, against particularly oppressive lords. After a bit of looting, killing and drunken revelry the ‘Jacquerie’ would be suppressed by all the neighboring lords with a fair measure of atrocities to send the proper message. Keep your place, Peasants. Your pitchforks are no match for our armed, heavy horsemen.

In our fertile, but as yet, futile Virginia the peasants are rising here and there. It’s not clear if their efforts will be as ephemeral as a Jacquerie or more like the 1775 rising for the Rights of Englishmen in America.

The difference between the losing and the winning among Hanger, Stosch, Bell and Williams is very local and idiosyncratic.

I was intimately involved in the Stall win (Full Disclosure). I was in contact with fellow peasants in other races.

Working the polls in Poquoson (our town went 59:41 for Stall with 12% voting in a party primary), I heard five people say variations of this:

The politicians, both Republican and Democrat, think we are stupid. We aren’t. We will show them here at the polls.

Other comments were about how many times we have to vote ‘No’ for an elected official to get the message – and not cram unelected, unaccountable Regional Government down our throats.

What is wrong when a politician will spend over a half million dollars to keep his job? Who is getting paid off? Etc.

Since Tuesday afternoon, I’ve heard the same sentiments from voters in Newport News, York, and Hampton. The Democrats on the Hampton City Council may have gotten the message. Last night they voted unanimously against the Transportation Tax Panic – Regional Government.

There is a palatable sense of betrayal held by many common folk for elected officials, former elected officials and party officials who support incumbents who betray campaign promises and party creeds to raise taxes and expand government. There is genuine disgust with reflexive Republicans – those Republicans who would support – name your villain – no matter what they do in office as long as they were once elected as Republicans.

The resentment caused by poor management of the Iraq War and, way more, with the Illegal Alien Shamnesty Bill is great and growing.

Lest I give the wrong connotation – this isn’t a vote of angry people whose ire will blow over after a relaxing summer.

It is a thoughtful vote of people who are grateful for a choice in a candidate who reflects their opinions. It is a fatigue with big government, tax and spend, tin ear politicians who won’t enforce the laws on the books – the Rule of Law – let alone their campaign promises. It is an energy from people who are Patriots in every sense of the word – so many have military experience or serving family members now. It is a growing determination to do what is necessary – walk away from a major political party that once held their hopes and aspirations or any candidate – who won’t do what is fundamentally necessary to protect and preserve the Constitution of the United States and the Commonwealth of Virginia – in absolute service to The People – not the special interests, the money donors, the circular flow of privilege and wealth that is Virginia’s way to do political corruption.

Pundits can dismiss this little primary as they like. They didn’t look the voters in the eyes. They didn’t hear their voices. They didn’t feel the grip of their handshake and hugs.

We beat a 12 year incumbent who outspent Tricia Stall over 10:1. Isn’t money supposed to define who wins or loses? Besides, this is Tidewater where politicians are elected for life – from either party.

I don’t think this is just a Jacquerie in Virginia. If Illegal Alien Shamnesty passes in Washington – we may sense, emotionally, of what it was like after the Boston Massacre and the Tea Party and the wooden bridge at Concord all built upon one another – to where the government has broken its trust with The People. The difference is all of the political fighting will be with ballots, not bayonets.

And, perhaps, as we did on The Peninsula – The People will speak clearly.


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Comments

29 responses to “Virginia’s Revolt, Not a Revolution – Yet”

  1. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Can someone tell Bowden to ditch this “peasant” crap? It’s the 21st century, for God’s sake. And, the entire world does not revolve around British history.

  2. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Sorry you don’t like metaphors. Thanks for communicating your ire.

  3. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Anon: ‘Jacquerie’ comes from French history. Hope that helps.

  4. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    In Marty Williams’ primary loss: voter turnout, 8.4 percent. Walter Stosch squeaks by: voter turnout, 13.7 percent.

    Hardly vox populi, that.

  5. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Actually, given our Virginia voting stats and norms – it is a strong statement. Certainly, not a deafening roar – like Eastern Europe at the fall of the Wall.

    Primaries are usually about 3-5%% of the total voters.

  6. Ray Hyde Avatar
    Ray Hyde

    In dynastic China it was written law that it was legal to revolt and overthrow the Emperor – provided that you win the revolt.

  7. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Citing that turnout pattern is offering a false context, and simply tries to distract. Let’s call this as it is. Low turnout comes from low interest. The peasants aren’t rebelling – most simply don’t care.
    This isn’t a barb aimed solely at sorehead conservatives. Voter indifference is high across the board. In the end, it’s hard to claim a mandate in a general election, but doing so in a primary is even more of a stretch. We’ve gotten so used to people not voting, we forget that the “I don’t care” political bloc even exists. It does. Wish it didn’t.

  8. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Anon: I agree in part – on voter apathy. I’m trying to articulate some movement – and it is significant enough to change faces in the General Assembly.

  9. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Any student of organizational dynamics would tell you that 10% of the population is likely to be ticked off at any given moment. To claim the mantle of victory for a movement requires something more extraordinary.

    IMHO, the remaining 90% of us are today prosperous and safe, relatively speaking, or at least occupied with other things, and in our mind $3 gasoline and a few pennies here and there don’t bother us. Especially in a primary after summer starts.

    The set-up favors the angry and grumpy. They surely spoke. But I am not one to relish living in a democracy ruled by grumpy people.

  10. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Anon: Nice try. A variation of the 2000 theme of ‘angry white men.”

    Even primaries, with small % of the vote, are representative of larger trends – borne out in bigger elections.

    As I said, it isn’t a revolution yet. The discontent is local and national. Local on the transportation tax panic taxes and unelected, unaccountable regional government and nation on illegal alien invasion amnesty.

  11. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    I think that M. bowden is correct re the disconnect. Most individuals I know don’t vote, and they feel disconnected. I am not sure that all are conservative: for my part, the Republicans either spend too much or are too socially conservative, and the Democrats either spend too much or are too socially libersl. So I have no party and no one to vote for. The national election selection of candidates does not offer anyone of high caliber who might actually get the job done, or least on the face of it. And the cost of campaigning!! It boggles the mind and overwhelms the ideals that should underlie any campaign effort.

    Politics have always been messy. The French revolution ultimately did help France, as the American revolution made this country possible. But sometimes i think this country is drunk on capitalism and on the amassing of materials goods, whether it be single young women wanting diamonds, or real estate ventures, or the overselling of fish. We have forgotten core values–and I don’t mean the Puritan values of pro-life and “family” (scarlet letter et al) but those of civil persuasion: honesty, integrity, wisdom, as noted in the Book of Solomon.

    Where will this country go, if no one cares to vote?

  12. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    A voice from Portland Oregon –

    I agree, it’s voter apathy and it’s pathetic but too real. It’s real because it seems like no matter who is put in office the voters are not heard. In Oregon we voted in property rights twice, the first time the state supreme court found a flaw in it; the second time it passed. However, those ‘wiser’ heads in government hated the fact that we not they controlled our own destiny and have spent a large portion of this legislative session painting lipstick on a pig and insisting that the voters vote again on something that we already voted on. We’ve voted down expansions to our light rail system but those who ‘know’ have found ways to subvert the funds and expansion to this pig continues (while our roads continue to decline and congestion continues to grow). We voted in marriage for ONLY a man and woman, the legislature has voted in civil unions which is marriage with another name attached. How many times do you have to vote and vote and vote again only to see the will of the majority gotten around by some group of liberal pinheads who ‘know’ that THEY know better than the voter.

    After a while, as a voter, you throw up your hands and go screw it, it really doesn’t matter what I think or how I vote. From that point it’s a very small step to ‘I’m not going to bother to vote’ as my vote for American Idol has more weight than my vote in an election.

    Greeting from Moscow on the Willamette (aka Portland Oregon).

  13. Groveton Avatar
    Groveton

    “The politicians, both Republican and Democrat, think we are stupid. We aren’t. We will show them here at the polls.”.

    Amen brother.

    Time to clean house – and with a shovel, not a broom.

  14. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Groveton: The point behind this for me – is that my team, the Republicans, is no better than the Democrats in any regard (except Republicans have better principles and ideas on paper). And, the voters know it. Virginia’s voters really know it.

    As indicated above, many are apathetic or overwhelmed with frustration or busy with their prosperous life, etc. But, some are ready, really ready, to vote for change – but you have to have candidates.

    No candidates, no change.

  15. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Sadly, the influence of computers on the process of redistricting subverts the democratic process.

    We, the people, need to find a way to minimize the partisan influence in the process of drawing districts. I don’t believe we can eliminate partisanship in the process, but we should we working to minimize it.

    It is a travesty the way it works, and it matters little which party controls the process – it is all focused on incumbent protection.

    Until enough people get angry about it to demand a change, our system of elections will continue to fall short of the ideals you read about in American history books.

  16. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Has anyone done and/or published substantive research on how new computerized strategies are impacting voting patterns? I.e., we know it’s going on but is there viable usable data in the public realm that could be used to support the impact of redistricting? And the only group I can think of who would promote parity would be the ACLU. (With apologies to uber conservatives) Any other pro-voter group out there that lacks ties to the major parties that could promote change re redistricting?

  17. SWAC Girl Avatar
    SWAC Girl

    I like Jim’s analogy of English peasant history … it fits perfectly into what is happening nationwide.

    Voter apathy is still there but in the Valley we were able to rally almost 20% of the voters to the polls (two years ago 2% turned out for the primary). That shows we’re making inroads and, in my opinion, it shows a large degree of voter dissatisfaction.

    Do we throw up our hands and say, “Forget it?” Not me. I haven’t reached that point although I understand what the Oregon commenter was saying. I am encouraged because so many people agreed with our message and were willing to hit the polls Tuesday.

    Great post, Jim. And congrats on your win for Tricia Stall. Thanks for helping to restore fiscal conservatism back to the state senate house.

  18. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Looks like you got your regional government anyway after Isle of Wight’s vote.

  19. Reid Greenmun Avatar
    Reid Greenmun

    Mr. Beacon, good post – YES – we grassroots Conservatives have had enough of RINOs.

    IRT: Looks like you got your regional government anyway after Isle of Wight’s vote.

    1. We have several law suits either filed, or in progress.

    2. We will seek to have cities that rushed to vote “Yes”, reconsider their vote – and change their vote to “No”.

    3. A bill is only a bill. We throw out thr RINOs that passed HB 3202 and we undo the damage they did.

    4. I have a better plan for Tidewater – better than HB 3202 and the 2030 Regional Transportation Plan the HRDPDC/MPO “developed” with teh direction of the Hampton Roads Partnership – a taxpayer subsidized regional business lobby.

  20. Groveton Avatar
    Groveton

    Mr. Bowden:

    I think you are on the right path with your comments. However, I wonder about the Republicans being “your team”. How can you have a team when one player is playing football, the next player is playing tennis and the one after that is throwing a frisbee to a dog? The Republicans don’t stand for anything anymore. Neither do the Democrats.

    You seem upset because your team (i.e. Republicans) has deserted you. Maybe the solution is to give up on the idea of having a team at all. Vote for the candidate whose positions most closely reflect your views. Sometimes Republican, sometimes Democrat maybe even a Libertarian or two. Why spend time bemoaning the loss of identity in the political parties?

    Ronald Reagan and John Kennedy are dead. Our political parties have lost the ability to produce candidates like JFK and Dutch.

    The best anyone can do is pick the best candidate in each race and vote for that person – regardless of party. And…absolutely, positively never donate any money to the Republican party or the Democratic party. Never. Not a dime.

    Finally, I know the commentators on this site generally stay away from discussing specific races. I think this is unfortunate. In an era when the two major political parties stand for nothing – all anyone can do is think things through race by race. So, I make my suggestion for Bacon’s Rebellion – start analyzing specific races and the specific candidates running in those races. The primaries are over. There is plenty of time between now and November to get through a lot of specific races.

    Or, we can all reminisce about the good old days when the Democrats found people like Jack Kennedy and the Republicans found Ronald Reagan.

  21. Jim Wamsley Avatar
    Jim Wamsley

    Common Cause provided these redistricting guidelines:

    Fair Criteria for Congressional and Legislative Districts
    • Congressional and legislative districts shall be composed of equal populations – The Supreme Court has interpreted the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment as providing the guarantee of equal population of districts.
    • Districts shall comply with the United States Constitution and the Voting Rights Act – The Voting Rights Act (VRA) is a federal mandate that requires the drawing of special majority-minority districts under certain circumstances: where a minority population is large enough to draw a district around, and racially polarized voting patterns exist (i.e., racial groups voting for candidates along racial lines).
    • District boundaries shall respect communities of interest to the extent practicable- District lines shall use, to the extent practicable, visible geographic features; city, town, and county boundaries, and undivided census tracts, similarities in social, cultural, ethnic, and economic interest, school districts, and other formal relationships between municipalities.
    • Districts shall be geographically compact and contiguous- Compactness reflects the notion that districts should be composed of a tightly defined area so that representatives may be able to more efficiently communicate with their constituents. Contiguity requires that all parts of a district must be connected.
    • Competitive districts shall be favored – The commission shall make use of necessary election data in order to draw competitive congressional and legislative districts where practicable.
    • The redistricting process shall be “incumbent blind” – The commission shall not know nor take into account the address of any individual, including an officeholder.

    http://www.commoncause.org/site/pp.asp?c=dkLNK1MQIwG&b=366007

  22. Spank That Donkey Avatar
    Spank That Donkey

    I was in the peasant army of Pat Buchanan… Remember him talking about illegal immigration a decade ago?

    Great Post, and dead on.. notice how the people it skewers the most just whine about using an analogy to get a point across.

  23. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    A tiny voter turnout in a June GOP
    primary by a group of angry right
    wing, anti-tax, anti-government types does not indicate a mandate.

  24. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Anon: Funny, if Tricia Stall had lost we would hear about the unbeatable power of incumbency (gotta have those term limits) and the unbeatable power of money (she was outspent over 10:1).

    True, it is a microcosym, this one senate district of 180,000 Virginians. So, too, for Chichester, Potts, Hanger, Stosch and Bell. Just a tiny little vote.

    Nothing to notice here. Move on.

  25. Ray Hyde Avatar
    Ray Hyde

    “But I am not one to relish living in a democracy ruled by grumpy people.”

    ” for my part, the Republicans either spend too much or are too socially conservative, and the Democrats either spend too much or are too socially liberal.”

    “no matter who is put in office the voters are not heard.”

    “…my vote for American Idol has more weight than my vote in an election.”

    All good stuff. I love it.

    ———————

    Principle:

    1)A basic truth, law, or assumption
    2)The collectivity of moral or ethical standards or judgments
    3)a basic generalization that is accepted as true

    JAB: how do you know if one assumption or generalization is better than another?

    If principle is the collectivity of ethical morals or standards, then doesn’t that rather make a joke of a statement such as ” a decision based on principle rather than expediency.” Wouldn’t you say it is expedient to bow to peer pressure, and isn’t that what the collectivity of standards boils down to?

    I prefer to think of it as “A rule or law concerning the functioning of natural phenomena or mechanical processes.” In other words, something that can be tested and measured. I’d call society a natural phenomena that can be measured and tested. So, you run the tests, and then decide what the principles are, not the other way around.

    We may not like the way society actually operates, but that does not give us, as grumpy voters, the right or the ability to change it to our liking.

    At this point, almost no one I know of advocates spending the amount of money it would take to change Iraq to our liking. Almost no one really advocates spending the amount of money it would take to win an all out war on drugs, poverty, or illegal immigration. At least no one who also advocates “no new taxes”.

    If it was a matter of principle, we would raise the money and fix the problems. But it is more cost effective to fix only the problems immediately around ourselves.

    ——————————-

    Voting is voluntary. As such, it is self selecting. No statistitian would tell you that you can make any generalizations on a self selecting population that don’t pertain to that population. Yet every time a vote goes “badly” we hear that the public wasn’t heard.

    Probably, that is true. But if we heard the real public, we would like it even less. The only way we will find out is when we have a test that is a little more objective. Such a test would make spending massive amounts of money to sway the results a little less appealing.

    Compulsory voting, anyone?

  26. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Neither political party represents
    the mainstream of our state.

    The GOP right wing represent 30% of the voters in Virginia.

    The Democrats have a
    similar base of about 30% of our
    electorate.

    The recently concluded GOP primary
    saw less than 15% of the voters
    participating.

    Thus, 85% of Virginias voters were
    not heard from in this exercise
    that Paul Jost, Reid Greenmum and
    others claim victories given they
    defeated two incumbent moderate
    GOP senators and saw three others
    retire this year.

    State voters time
    and again have rejected right wing
    conservative GOP candidates (Oliver North, George Allen, Jerry Kilgore, etc.).

    Look for the Democrats to pick up
    seats in the November General
    Assembly elections this fall.

  27. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Anon: I agree with your numbers about Conservatives and Liberals. I would place Conservatives with a 5% advantage in Virginia, but based on rapid immigration that 5% is fading fast.

    The state wide candidates didn’t lose because they are ‘right wing conservatives’ – they lost because you must have candidate, issues and campaign better than the other fellow. They didn’t.

    I would be surprised if Dems didn’t pick up seats. It won’t be based on love of Liberals. It will be the better candidate, issues and campaign.

    Ray: How do I know if one generalization is better than another? Simple. Which one I like better!

  28. Ray Hyde Avatar
    Ray Hyde

    Ray: How do I know if one generalization is better than another? Simple. Which one I like better!

    Yes, of course.

    Here is the problem: I say my God is better than your God, then I am begging the question in a way that leaves my protagonist no room to maneuver, and now way to “win”.

    As soon as “The Only Way” flag goes up on one side, then the “BS” flag goes up on the other. This sets the stage for a Holy war that neither side can win, and it results in increasing polarization and fanaticism.

    No party is likely to win over all the others. Bertrand Russell said that “There are 432 major religions in the world, each claiming to be the one, true, religion. At most, one of them is correct.”

    EMR makes the point about the winner take all philosophy we have: this is a case in point. It is the greater good that we must all look for, however individually. But the party philosophy destroys that. If I believe that my party has the only path to the greater good, then I must be willing to deny the beliefs of many others: because this is the one I like better.

    There is a fndamental problem here if only my party has the path to the greater good.

  29. James Atticus Bowden Avatar
    James Atticus Bowden

    Ray: I usually agree with your posts, but not this one.

    You are missing the basic body of law and tradition built up in our Civilization since the Magna Charta and supported by our Judeo-Christian culture.

    Majority rules. There are individual rights that the majority can not take away. As long as there is the Rule of Law, not judges, that protects those rights, then you can lose an election and wait until the next one without taking up arms against your neighbor.

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