Virginia’s Certificate of Public Need Program – A New Sheriff in Town

by James C. Sherlock

Everywhere counterproductive to competition, innovation and cost, Virginia’s Certificate of Public Need (COPN) program also has proven antithetical to quality and safety in nursing homes.

A thorough 2022 report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine on improving nursing home quality had this to say about state Certificate of Need (CON) programs:

Certificate-of-need regulations and construction moratoria do not appear to have had their intended effect of holding down Medicaid nursing home spending; rather, these laws can discourage innovation and decrease access.

Certificate-of-need regulations may contribute to the perpetuation of larger nursing homes.

Despite the prominent role of nursing home oversight and regulation, the evidence base for its effectiveness in ensuring a minimum standard of quality is relatively modest.

The role of Virginia’s COPN program is as counterproductive to nursing home quality as is imaginable. Remember, COPN decisions happen before the state and federal regulators of the operations of nursing homes even get into the game.

Virginia’s COPN program is a statutory incumbent protection regime across all of its regulated targets. But it has gotten especially bad results with nursing homes, which by nearly every measure are among the worst in America.

In Virginia, the only realistic way to increase the size of a nursing facility is by COPN approval of the transfer of beds from one facility to another, often from one region of the state to another.

Yet we know from government data that nursing facilities as a group in this state are dangerously understaffed and that the entire state suffers from severe nursing shortages, so expansions risk further understaffing.

Transferring beds from one region of the state to another does nothing to ensure that nurses will be available in the new location. So, the COPN process is supposed to ensure that outcome.

Yet we see recent COPN approval of a more than doubling of beds in a facility that was already significantly understaffed before the proposed expansion with no indication of the source of the larger staff.

The nursing home business in Virginia. If you want to play under Virginia’s nursing home laws, you have to buy an existing facility. COPN won’t let you build a new one. To play successfully, you need to buy a group of them.

But the nursing home business is very profitable in Virginia, especially if you don’t mind cutting staff below what is necessary to care for patients. Which is a sin that is routinely forgiven in this state.

Which is why our nursing homes are so bad on the whole.

I have written before that nursing home ownership by private investors is at its core a real estate play.

The real estate values of nursing facilities in the Commonwealth are secured by state-guaranteed artificial scarcity. It ensures that no new ones are ever built — except by incumbents replacing their existing facilities.

Very sweet deal if you are an owner.

Your investment in land and facilities is reflected in capital costs, which in turn drive up government reimbursements by the government’s own formulas.

When operating companies pay rent, the investors get that cash flow before profits are counted. And then they distribute the profits. When all of that together increases, so does the value of the real estate. That is called a virtuous cycle by the owners.

Investors seek 20% annual profits net, and many get them.

Virginia’s nursing home bed transfer law.  The state law governing  COPN approval of the transfer of nursing home beds from one place to another has lots of hoops to jump through to get approval.

Some of which are even nominally in the public interest — like sufficient staffing. But those that are have regularly been avoided for many years.

Bad enforcement. Consider the recent case in which one of Virginia’s relatively few non-profit nursing homes, Our Lady Of Peace (OLOP) in Charlottesville, requested to expand its authorized capacity from 30 beds to 64. It proposed to use surplus (as calculated by COPN) beds from Southwestern Virginia to accomplish the expansion.

§ 32.1-102.3, B. 6. of the Code of Virginia requires consideration of:

the feasibility of the proposed project, including the financial benefits of the proposed project to the applicant, the cost of construction, the availability of financial and human resources, and the cost of capital; [Emphasis added.]

OLOP, at the time the expansion request was reviewed, had a CMS rating of one-star staffing in its existing facility.

Here is how the DCOPN staff in their March 21 Staff Analysis blew off the “availability of human resources” requirement in a state with a massive shortage of nurses:

DCOPN notes that OLOP was given a CMS Star Rating of 1 for staffing.

Details from the Medicare.gov website indicate that this rating is likely due to higher utilization of nurse aides and lower utilization of registered nurses than national and state averages. [Author’s note: If true, that would mean registered nurses were not available in sufficient numbers to supervise care and to tend to patients whose level of care required nurses with their licenses.]

OLOP also has lower turnover, 41.4% (a very positive staffing indicator) than both the Virginia and national averages (56.% and 53.9%, respectively). [Author’s note, the turnover rates were considered by CMS when the staffing rating was assigned to OLOP.]

This information may suggest that OLOP will have challenges staffing the additional 34 beds; however, the applicant has a 5-Star Quality rating and 4 Stars for its overall rating with current staffing, as well as letters of support documenting caring, dedicated staff and excellent care.

In short, the DOCPN staff noted an existing nursing shortfall at OLOP.  The rationalization used to get through that hoop does not withstand even cursory examination. Even as it entirely ignored the severe shortage of nurses in Virginia.

The Acting Health Commissioner, Dr. Jaberi, approved the request on April 11. His first statement in his approval letter was:

The proposed project is consistent with the 8 required Considerations of the Code of Virginia.

Except that it clearly is not.

Good enforcement. The new Health Commissioner, Dr. Karen Shelton, M.D., indicated in her first decision on nursing home bed shifting that there is a new sheriff in town.

She turned down the first application presented to her, noting the substantial cost of the project would put “additional upward pressure on systemic healthcare costs.” That is because as nursing home costs go up, so does the output of the formula that determines Medicare and Medicaid reimbursements.

She refreshingly added:

While the project would be of economic benefit to the applicant and the private equity owner that recently acquired this nursing home, it would be of no substantiated public value or benefit.

Bottom line.

The National Academies report was right. CON programs are counterproductive to cost, availability, competition, innovation and quality in the nursing home industry. Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln….

Virginia continues to have COPN regardless of the negative impacts to public interests pointed out by the National Academies.

That is because the General Assembly and our Governors have been subservient to the political and financial power of the hospital and nursing home industries. Some of that is local politics. Some is Virginia’s limitless campaign contributions.

But COPN is now administered by a commissioner who at least considers the public interest within statutory limits. Good for her.


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25 responses to “Virginia’s Certificate of Public Need Program – A New Sheriff in Town”

  1. Carter Melton Avatar
    Carter Melton

    Here is a question for you: Would you be in favor of requiring Medicare and Medicaid to negotiate rates in good faith with every single institution in return for eliminating COPN?

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I do not understand the implications of that question. It seems to be a non-sequitur.

      Medicare and Medicaid rate setting have nothing to do with COPN except that COPN drives up costs that are part of the reimbursement algorithms.

      COPN is a protection racket run by the government of Virginia. The alternative to COPN is no COPN.

      There are plenty of states, including the largest ones, California and Texas, with no CON laws.

      Repealing COPN would not repeal any federal statute or regulation.

      Repealing COPN would not repeal the Virginia civil and criminal statutes like the Virginia Antitrust Act.

      So what is the basis for your question?

      1. Carter Melton Avatar
        Carter Melton

        I’ve always thought that what we needed in healthcare is a true market that worked, and the two things that inhibit a true healthcare market are COPN and unilateral price controls by the two largest purchasers. If we get rid of both of them we might have something resembling a real market where price and demand would control volume.

        1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
          James C. Sherlock

          CMS, which manages Medicare, and the states with Medicaid are unlikely ever to negotiate that way. Both leverage their expensively-collected and assessed government-mandated knowledge of the vendors to create rates. They put in a lot of firewalls in attempts to prevent manipulation of the data.

          They construct daily rates with extremely complex and constantly-updated algorithms built to process almost unimaginable amounts of data on facility costs, medical conditions and medical and therapy treatments to yield per diem payments that are varied by region and patient acuity.

          They don’t by design have the scale or the onboard skills to handle negotiations the way Anthem and the others do it.

          In my estimation they are unlikely ever to do so unless they contract out the negotiations. I don’t see that happening.

          My complaint is the lawmakers and regulators are so captured by the industry that all of the data collection and analysis, which I personally find more than sufficient to enable regulation, is largely ignored.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            There IS a “market”. One can pay without medicare/medicaid reimbursement… and get what they want and can afford.

            The rest rely on what amounts to , govt subsidies to pay for care they cannot and the govt gets more involved in costs and staffing.

            But for those who have prepared ahead of time and have the money, they can surely buy whatever level of care they want! I KNOW people who did that!

          2. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            Well, not really. I believe you will find that providers are contractually prevented from charging the uninsured less than negotiated costs to insurers.

            Nonetheless, except in certain notable situations (pharmaceuticals) MediCare and MedicAid get the best rates at the least overhead for those services they cover.

          3. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Well, in THIS world – there are two kinds of transactions. 1. The kind where the govt is paying some or all the costs on behalf of someone and 2. the kind where the govt is paying none of the costs and all are born by the person receiving the services. I’m not smart enough to understand how “markets” work in number 1 but in number 2 , it seems to be similar to other goods and services that folks buy where the govt role is minimal or absent. In an unfettered “market”, if the good or service is not what the buyer expected, they can and will exercise the right to walk away and/for pursue other options for goods and services.

            When it comes to goods and services where the govt is paying part or all, or for that matter a 3rd part “insurance” is, then how that kind of market “works” is not the same.

            When it comes to COPN, supporters of COPN claim that there are certain services they charge for that they charge more for so they can pay for services they are losing money on. If you take that away then they have to find another way to cover the expenses born from people who cannot or will not pay. It seems almost a moot point in some respects if the “payer” is insurance, Medicare or private because they decide how much they will pay no matter what the “list” price is, no matter what provider is charging for “list”.

          4. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            All I know is me. While working I worked at a company with government contracts. If I worked for an hour on a government contract, they charged the government, say, $100.

            If IBM came to my company and said, “We need an hour of Nancy’s time, how much?” then HQ cannot say $99. The must charge $100, or more.

            The company “could” charge some or all off to “marketing” and take a loss, but the charge to IBM had to be more than to the government.

          5. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            One big thing for govt work is the direct labor cost and then what is called “overhead”. Normally it’s not only the employee direct labor costs but the costs to “house” him/her… the desk, the computer, the office, the utilities, the security, etc…. That may be different for contractors.. but seems like when looking at proposals.. see labor costs for employee “x”, and then other costs….

            nothing to do with COPN and nursing homes.. though…

          6. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            No, of course not. And like I said, it may not apply, but I would guess it does. If an a provider charges Medicare $1 for an aspirin, the have to charge Anthem $1.01 and if they charge Anthem $1.01 they must charge the uninsured $1.02. That’s all.

          7. Lefty665 Avatar

            Try to get a provider to accept cash for services at the rate they are reimbursed by Medicare/Aid. Fat chance. They’ll take your house for the full amount, commonly 5-10x the negotiated reimbursement rate.

          8. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            I refuse to buy dental insurance. It’s a ripoff. I pay my dentist what she charges using my HSA. The difference between having the “insurance” or not is minuscule to me, but is more money for her.

          9. Lefty665 Avatar

            That is an exceptional arrangement. You are fortunate. More typical is my medical device implant several years ago. Total bill $165k. Medicare pay about $18k, supplemental insurance about $1.5k and my bill about $250. Altogether about $20k total happily accepted, vs the $165k they’d have come after my house to collect if I had been uninsured.

            When I asked the Doc what kind of boat he was getting with the $10k+ he billed he looked at me and laughed then said his actual pay was less than $1k.

            Our medical billing system stinks. It is a crime.

          10. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            But that would be medical. The dental insurance that covers crowns, tooth implants, bridges, root canals, etc. usually has a $50 deductible, a percentage (like 50%) co-pay and max payout out at $2000. It’s the negotiated costs where they win.

            Example, you need a tooth implant. Cost $3000. Insurance cost $1500. You pay $50 + $750. They pay $750 Sounds cool. Except, you pay $35/month premium for 20 years before you need that implant and if you need 3, well…. They paid their max $2K. I’ll risk the $3K. Rule 1 — never insure anything you can replace out of pocket.

            https://www.anthem.com/individual-and-family/insurance-basics/dental-vision-insurance/coverage

    2. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
      f/k/a_tmtfairfax

      The federal government is incompetent to manage money efficiently. It gets help from Congress. For example, there are more than 200 separate federal programs dedicated to expanding broadband access.

      COPN makes sense only if coupled with price regulation. The VSCC in cooperation with the Department of Health should set prices for all VA nursing homes in addition to what the feds do. Or get rid of COPN and allow nursing homes to compete.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        what might be interesting would be to see what Medicaid pays versus what each nursing homes charges for a Medicaid patient?

        This is a problem with people who are depending on the govt (or others) to pay for their care. Those who have the money go find the kind of care they want and don’t screw around as much worrying about ratings and such.

        People who have the money go get what they want. People who do not and rely on the govt or insurance, want the govt to “protect” them.

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Don’t know what is, or is not, true in the situation, but for a large number of the population (low income, small savings, own home) when MedicAid steps in and begins covering costs, certain liabilities continue. MedicAid, i.e., the State, will expect reimbursement from the estate.

          Example, guy living on SocSec only, with less than (say) $200K in assets mostly in a home shared with a spouse has a stroke leaving him nearly vegetative. When he has spent down savings and is placed on the two MediCare/Aid, the State begins paying for things for which he was previously billed.

          When he dies, the State bills the estate. Houses may need to be sold especially if the spouse was also on Medicaid.

          It’s a loan, not coverage.

          https://www.dmas.virginia.gov/media/2183/fact-sheet-estate-recovery.pdf

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yep. Some folks try to evade that by moving money and wealth into “trusts” and such so the State/Feds get the bill and the family gets the inheritance…for nursing home. For health care for retired. If it were not for Medicare, a large percent of the population would be financially wiped out if a bill for 100K was incurred for a health problem.

            but again… for insurance reimbursement, Medicare and private insurance decide how much they will reimburse for something – no matter what the providers “list” is and if the provider won’t take such payments as complete, then the individual gets the rest of the bill – “out of pocket”

            If someone is paying their own way 100%, they can compare and make choices. If someone is relying of govt or private insurance and wants to reduce/eliminate their costs after reimbursement, it’s a much more difficult process, no matter if in a COPN environment or not.

            There are other factors in play also. The quality of the service. The skill/competence of ther providers. The equipment itself – low cost providers may be using older or substandard equipment, etc.

        2. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
          f/k/a_tmtfairfax

          The fact that more of us live a lot longer than previous generations did creates all sorts of financial problems. It’s one of the key reasons that public sector pensions are in such bad financial shape.

          By and large, things work best when we all pay our own way. But that’s hard to do for many people who live to be 95, spending a decade in some type of care facility. They simply outlive their savings.

          It makes no financial sense to make the relatively healthy spouse destitute, but it also seems unfair to allow the couple’s heirs to inherit the remaining estate when the taxpayers have paid out big bucks. NN’s point below makes sense. The estate needs to reimburse the government.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            We agree. The reality is that a good number of us will never make enough money to truly secure our retirement health care and potential nursing home care. Without Medicare, many would blow through whatever savings they had and potentially lose their house before they ever got to the nursing home thing.

            So……. we ALL pay taxes that help fund Medicare – Part A (hospital) and PartB (providers).

            Retired govt workers healthcare is paid for by taxapayers and it’s the kind of retiree healthcare that most non-govt folks don’t get. They have to go buy Medicare Advantage or some such.

          2. Retired govt workers healthcare is paid for by taxapayers…

            Retired FEDERAL government workers’…

          3. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Not state?

          4. Not in Virginia.

          5. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            So you retire after enough years to vest your pension but no post-retirement health care benefits?

          6. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
            f/k/a_tmtfairfax

            Not 100%. Retired federal employees who remain on one or more of the available health insurance plans pay part of the premium each month just like employees do. The math is such that higher income retirees are often better off sticking with the insurance than combining it with Part B of Medicare. There is a crossover only when the out-of-pocket expenses exceed the added cost of Medicare premiums that are tied to income.

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