Virginia K-12 School Re-Openings: Now Is Not the Time

Rajesh Balkrishnan

by Ryan Chou and Rajesh Balkrishnan

In the weeks and months preceding Virginia school re-openings, parents, teachers, and students speculated about what distance learning would be like. Following the onset of the pandemic in the spring of 2020, many districts had hastily shut down schools to protect students and teachers from the virus and had implemented distance learning plans, resulting in technological mishaps, decreased communication, and an end to many student opportunities. Thus, many students and parents were hesitant to accept continued distance learning in the fall.

Ryan Chou

Thankfully, virtual school re-openings in Virginia more closely resembled in-person schooling than the chaotic version from a few months ago. Extracurriculars made an attempt to resume virtually, and sports began conditioning.

Despite this, the majority of students and parents ultimately cited declining mental health and difficulty learning, especially for younger students, as the reason to push for an in-person reopening. As a result, many school systems in distance learning mode have drawn, and are now implementing, plans to open in-person in small groups or as a whole, within the next month or two.

However, it’s clear that we cannot open our schools up.

In-person K-12 school re-openings this fall have been disastrous. Most that opened have been forced to quickly order quarantines and close after COVID-19 cases grew among students and staff. North Paulding High School in Georgia, which gained national attention after videos of crowded hallways made their way onto social media, announced within days that it was switching to online instruction after at least nine coronavirus cases were reported. This has happened in school systems around the country.

These outbreaks are occurring for several reasons.

Firstly, while most know that the elderly and immunocompromised are at risk, few understand that children are also at risk of being infected and becoming severely ill. EndCoronavirus addresses this well:

Recent studies have found that children may have comparable risks of being infected as adults and may even carry higher levels of virus in their respiratory tracts. In the last two weeks of July, COVID-19 cases in children have risen 40%, with over 97,000 children testing positive. Another is that children rarely become severely ill. However, 3% of confirmed cases in children required hospitalization, with a third of these needing intensive care.

As of November 1, the CDC estimated that almost 635,000 children in the United States have tested positive for the coronavirus, with states in the South and West accounting for more than seven of 10 infections. Even then, this worrying estimate is only a baseline, as it did not include complete data from Texas and parts of New York State outside of New York City.

Additional outbreaks that have occurred in schools around the U.S. and the world prove this. Israel, England, Indiana, Georgia, and Texas are just some examples. In recent days, many more outbreaks have occurred.

On top of this, there have been many false claims that the metrics are showing improvement. The reality is that the majority of states remain in a condition of high risk for community transmission. Schools are superspreader events waiting to happen.

But that doesn’t mean students are helpless against this change in lifestyle. With support from friends and family, students can undoubtedly come to appreciate this new normal. Here are some ways students have adapted to this new norm:

Staying Physically Active. Individual outdoor exercise (with masks and appropriate social distancing) or group virtual exercise are great breaks from distance learning.

Staying Mentally Active. Mental activity is just as important as physical. Students can take an online self-guided course, look for virtual work or volunteer opportunities, or pick up a hobby. Especially now, many organizations responding to the pandemic could use volunteer support!

Reducing Social Media and Streaming Time. These activities are undoubtedly entertaining, but they create a sense of unproductive repetition that contributes to pandemic fatigue and distracts from virtual schooling.

Socializing Virtually. Setting up virtual social calls, or social-distanced, small, mask-wearing, gatherings with people who have recently tested negative for the virus can encourage interaction.

Scheduling. Taking planned activities and compiling them into a calendar can not only provide a sense of organization but can also be a great way to show accomplishment during the pandemic.

Administrators, parents, teachers, and students alike would like nothing more than to open up schools and return to normal. However, Virginia is not in a situation where we can safely do so.

As of Monday, November 2, Virginia has had 183,418 total cases of COVID-19, including confirmed lab tests and clinical diagnoses, according to the Virginia Department of Health, with over 1,000 new cases a day. This does not reflect a situation in which we can facilitate the reopening of schools without putting school staff and students at risk. We need to lower our daily new case rates and start a dialogue around those metrics in the community before we can start thinking of physical school re-openings.

As we work towards that by taking appropriate precautions (face coverings, physical distancing, self-isolation spaces), be patient. Students and schools can create a temporary new normal.

But for now, remember that we are all in the same boat. Stay safe, and healthy, and here’s hoping everyone in Virginia has an excellent school year.

Rajesh Balkrishnan is a professor of public health sciences at the University of Virginia. He can be reached at rb9ap@virginia.edu. Ryan Chou is the communication lead at EndCoronavirus and a senior at McLean High School. He can be reached at naturalworld321@gmail.com. Both are a part of citizen action groups Virus Free Virginia and EndCoronavirus.org.


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21 responses to “Virginia K-12 School Re-Openings: Now Is Not the Time”

  1. TooManyTaxes Avatar
    TooManyTaxes

    Reads like a string of conclusions to me. Pointing out an example from Georgia & summary of bad results without pointing successful ones is specious reasoning. While this is anecdotal only, neither my brother in New Hampshire or niece in the Twin Cities who are both teaching in-person part and fulltime, haven’t reported problems. How many more examples of success are out there and being ignored?

    This does not mean their conclusion is wrong but, rather, it is poorly supported. If you cannot note and address other data, you aren’t much of an advocate. Nor should you be given much credibility.

    1. djrippert Avatar

      You mean conclusions like this, “Thankfully, virtual school re-openings in Virginia more closely resembled in-person schooling than the chaotic version from a few months ago.”?

      It’s hard to even know what this means. I guess it might be translated as … “On the educational spectrum from the abomination that was virtual learning last spring to fully effective in-person learning, this fall’s efforts are more than half way between the two endpoints.” There is still no support for this conclusion but I think that’s what the authors’ are putting forth as their hypothesis.

  2. djrippert Avatar

    “Additional outbreaks that have occurred in schools around the U.S. and the world prove this. Israel, England, Indiana, Georgia, and Texas are just some examples.”

    None of those places are Virginia and this blog’s heading is, “Reinventing Virginia for the 21st Century” Perhaps you could describe all the school systems in Virginia that opened to full in-person or hybrid virtual / in-person and have had to shut down due to outbreaks.

    However, since you brought up England … England has gone into what is called Lockdown 2.0. Restaurants, pubs, hair salons, etc have been ordered closed. However, schools remain open. Is it the authors’ contention that the English are just too stupid to see the obvious?

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/politics/13074322/national-lockdown-confused-heres-everything-you-can-and-cant-do-under-lockdown-2/?rec_article=true

  3. Instead of scanning the literature, may I suggest the authors take a field trip to nearby Hanover County, VA and observe a Virginia school system successfully operating an in-person school system?

  4. sherlockj Avatar

    This essay doe not meet the research standards normally associated with this blog.

    “Thankfully, virtual school re-openings in Virginia more closely resembled in-person schooling than the chaotic version from a few months ago. ” What is the evidence for that?

    “In-person K-12 school re-openings this fall have been disastrous.” The Catholic schools in Virginia opened in August and remain open.

    “With support from friends and family, students can undoubtedly come to appreciate this new normal.” Really? See
    – “Anxiety, reduced communication and technical woes are some of the hurdles schools are facing.” https://thehill.com/changing-america/enrichment/education/493698-students-and-teachers-struggle-with-remote-education.
    – “Families Of Children With Special Needs Are Suing In Several States. Here’s Why.” https://www.npr.org/2020/07/23/893450709/families-of-children-with-special-needs-are-suing-in-several-states-heres-why
    – “Teachers find many obstacles as they try to keep kids learning amid coronavirus” https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-22/school-closure-learning-disparities
    “Remote Learning During the Pandemic Has Hit Vulnerable Students the Hardest” https://themarkup.org/coronavirus/2020/08/13/remote-learning-attendance-inequity-florida-schools
    – Remote learning is turning out to be a burden for parents https://nypost.com/2020/03/29/remote-learning-is-turning-out-to-be-a-burden-for-parents/
    – Parents struggle with remote learning while working from home: ‘I’m constantly failing’. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/17/remote-learning-why-parents-feel-theyre-failing-with-back-to-school-from-home.html

    “Administrators, parents, teachers, and students alike would like nothing more than to open up schools and return to normal. ” Seriously? Have you followed the teachers strike threat drama in Fairfax County?

    Terrible “work”. I’m sorry that Mr. Balkrishnan exposed a high school senior to the ridicule it deserves.

  5. TooManyTaxes Avatar
    TooManyTaxes

    Reads like a string of conclusions to me. Pointing out an example from Georgia & summary of bad results without pointing successful ones is specious reasoning. While this is anecdotal only, neither my brother in New Hampshire or niece in the Twin Cities who are both teaching in-person part and fulltime, haven’t reported problems. How many more examples of success are out there and being ignored?

    This does not mean their conclusion is wrong but, rather, it is poorly supported. If you cannot note and address other data, you aren’t much of an advocate. Nor should you be given much credibility.

    1. djrippert Avatar

      You mean conclusions like this, “Thankfully, virtual school re-openings in Virginia more closely resembled in-person schooling than the chaotic version from a few months ago.”?

      It’s hard to even know what this means. I guess it might be translated as … “On the educational spectrum from the abomination that was virtual learning last spring to fully effective in-person learning, this fall’s efforts are more than half way between the two endpoints.” There is still no support for this conclusion but I think that’s what the authors’ are putting forth as their hypothesis.

  6. djrippert Avatar

    “Additional outbreaks that have occurred in schools around the U.S. and the world prove this. Israel, England, Indiana, Georgia, and Texas are just some examples.”

    None of those places are Virginia and this blog’s heading is, “Reinventing Virginia for the 21st Century” Perhaps you could describe all the school systems in Virginia that opened to full in-person or hybrid virtual / in-person and have had to shut down due to outbreaks.

    However, since you brought up England … England has gone into what is called Lockdown 2.0. Restaurants, pubs, hair salons, etc have been ordered closed. However, schools remain open. Is it the authors’ contention that the English are just too stupid to see the obvious?

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/politics/13074322/national-lockdown-confused-heres-everything-you-can-and-cant-do-under-lockdown-2/?rec_article=true

  7. Instead of scanning the literature, may I suggest the authors take a field trip to nearby Hanover County, VA and observe a Virginia school system successfully operating an in-person school system?

  8. sherlockj Avatar

    This essay doe not meet the research standards normally associated with this blog.

    “Thankfully, virtual school re-openings in Virginia more closely resembled in-person schooling than the chaotic version from a few months ago. “ What is the evidence for that?

    “In-person K-12 school re-openings this fall have been disastrous.” The Catholic schools in Virginia opened in August and remain open.

    “With support from friends and family, students can undoubtedly come to appreciate this new normal.” Really? See
    – “Anxiety, reduced communication and technical woes are some of the hurdles schools are facing.” https://thehill.com/changing-america/enrichment/education/493698-students-and-teachers-struggle-with-remote-education.
    – “Families Of Children With Special Needs Are Suing In Several States. Here’s Why.” https://www.npr.org/2020/07/23/893450709/families-of-children-with-special-needs-are-suing-in-several-states-heres-why
    – “Teachers find many obstacles as they try to keep kids learning amid coronavirus” https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-22/school-closure-learning-disparities
    “Remote Learning During the Pandemic Has Hit Vulnerable Students the Hardest” https://themarkup.org/coronavirus/2020/08/13/remote-learning-attendance-inequity-florida-schools
    – Remote learning is turning out to be a burden for parents https://nypost.com/2020/03/29/remote-learning-is-turning-out-to-be-a-burden-for-parents/
    – Parents struggle with remote learning while working from home: ‘I’m constantly failing’. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/17/remote-learning-why-parents-feel-theyre-failing-with-back-to-school-from-home.html

    “Administrators, parents, teachers, and students alike would like nothing more than to open up schools and return to normal. “ Seriously? Have you followed the teachers strike threat drama in Fairfax County?

    Terrible “work”. I’m sorry that Mr. Balkrishnan exposed a high school senior to the ridicule it deserves.

    1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
      Reed Fawell 3rd

      “Terrible “work”. I’m sorry that Mr. Balkrishnan exposed a high school senior to the ridicule it deserves.”

      I could not agree more, Jim Sherlock. This post does not strike me as scholarship worthy of the name. It strikes me as propaganda and disinformation seeking to heighten the reader’s fears, undermine the reader’s knowledge, and inflame his or her negative imaginations, and feelings. In short, in my view, this is a fear mongering exercise posted two days before national election. That is how the text of this post strikes me, though it is disguised in the robes of the scholarship of an alleged national research institution of higher education, UVa. No wonder the student residents of the Lawn are gripped by collective hysteria, nervous breakdown and crack up.

  9. James Wyatt Whitehead V Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead V

    Randolph Macon Academy is beginning the eleventh week of in person instruction up in Front Royal. No infections, no illness, nobody has been hospitalized. The followed and strictly adhered to a well conceived plan. 3 more weeks to Thanksgiving. Between Thanksgiving and XMAS they will revert to virtual instruction. January to the 1st week of May in person instruction. No breaks. End early. Really good common sense thinking has served the school well. There is a four page document here that explains what they did.
    https://rma.edu/covid-19-coronavirus-information

    1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
      Reed Fawell 3rd

      Examples of such school openings and operations are occurring all over the nation, and the world, and these schools actually teach and produce competent, confident, skilled, and self sufficient kids, who know who the are, where they want to go and what they can achieve, as they are not afraid, anxious, lost and aggrieved.

      RMA has been doing it for decades.

  10. TooManyTaxes Avatar
    TooManyTaxes

    I’ve been on a number of online meetings re opening/non-opening of Fairfax County Public Schools. While only anecdotal, parents of school-age kids, seemingly from any grade, are much more concerned about the downsides of remote learning and the need to have at least part-time in person learning than are non-parents. The concerns stem not just from the fear their children will suffer from learning remotely, but also from the psychological impacts on students.

    The concern from non-parents seems more concentrated on a kid with COVID might visit me or my parents. Both sides seem rather dug in.

  11. EndCoronavirus does not express it well for Virginia.
    This report is through July 30, which I believe is before any schools reopened.

    0-19 is not all school age K-12/

    We could expect older teens to have a higher incidence from being more likely to flout authority and not follow social distancing.

    We could also expect very young children to have a higher rate of hospitalization. In fact, the CDC where EndCoronavirus got the 1 in 3 intensive care number also said that the highest hospitalization rate for children “was among children aged <2 years (24.8)… Infants aged <3 months accounted for 18.8% of all children hospitalized with COVID-19."
    "Rates were substantially lower in children aged 2–4 years (4.2) and 5–17 years (6.4)."

    No breakdown of VA ICU ages is available, but of 11 MIS-C cases, 7 did not occur in health districts with K-12 outbreaks. We don't have locality info on the MIS-C so can't say whether it's possible any of the other 5 were connected to the school outbreaks.

    The testing cited is from only 8 states. Virginia is not one of them. No age breakdowns are available for testing in Va. Testing through July 30 of children here was skewed toward those who were sick or in families with diagnosed cases. To a large degree, it still is. The actual hospitalizations of only 0-19s was 1.5% on July 30 on the low end of the EndCoronvirus range of 0.6 to 3.7%, and currently our rate is 0.96%.

    The cited 40% increase was for cases reported nationally for a two week period, and Virginia's child cases increased 21% during that period (8172 to 9904, hospitalizations increased by 15 cases to 144). As of 11-1, 246 0-19 hospitalizations =1.9% of all hospitalizations.

  12. “More than 61,000 children got Covid-19 last week, a record;
    Pediatric cases now account for 11 percent of all cases in the U.S., up from 2 percent in April”

    https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/more-61-000-children-got-covid-19-last-week-record-n1245851

  13. Nancy_Naive Avatar
    Nancy_Naive

    This article does not meet the conclusion standards of articles suitable to the readers on this blog

  14. “More than 61,000 children got Covid-19 last week, a record;
    Pediatric cases now account for 11 percent of all cases in the U.S., up from 2 percent in April”

    https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/more-61-000-children-got-covid-19-last-week-record-n1245851

  15. Over 8,600 Illinois Children Infected With COVID Since School Began, Averaging 180 Infections Per Day

    https://www.newsweek.com/over-8600-illinois-children-infected-covid-since-school-began-averaging-180-infections-per-day-1537566

  16. djrippert Avatar

    MA Governor in reference to the tighter restrictions being imposed in that state:

    “What we should not do to deal with these trends is shut down our economy, or close our schools to deal with this,” Baker said. “Schools are not spreaders here, or anywhere else. It’s been proven now – over and over and over again – by real life experience and longitudinal studies.”

    This is hardly a Coronavirus denier. Gov Baker is imposing some of the harshest restrictions of any US state. Yet he sees no reason to shut down schools.

    So, the Europeans are reckless, the Governor of Massachusetts is reckless, multiple school systems throughout Virginia are reckless … only the Fairfax County Teachers’ Association has gotten this right?

    https://boston.cbslocal.com/2020/11/02/massachusetts-coronavirus-reopening-gov-charlie-baker-covid-19-latest-news/

  17. djrippert Avatar

    In fairness to the authors, the reopening of schools in Virginia is a fair and reasonable question at this time. From WAVY (yesterday) …

    “PORTSMOUTH, Va. (WAVY) — Virginia reported 1,026 new coronavirus cases on Monday after surpassing its peak average of new cases over the weekend.

    Virginia’s daily average of 1,306 cases per day is more than 100 cases per day above previous highs in August and May, mostly spurred by spikes in Southwest Virginia, and a notable increase in Northern Virginia. Virginia’s case incidence rate per 100,000 residents is now 15.3, which is considered especially high.”

    The second (third?) wave that started in Europe has worked its way to America and now to Virginia. This surprises nobody except perhaps our hapless governor.

    The question is not whether a new wave is upon us. It is. The question is what to do about that new wave. Based on his recent press conference it’s obvious that Northam either has no idea whatsoever what to do or doesn’t deem it a requirement to share his plans with “the little people”. However, even in well run states with competent governors there is mounting scientific evidence that closing schools does not materially impact the spread of Coronavirus.

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