Utilities Will Gamble on Nukes With Your $$$

Artist rendering of VOYGR™ SMR plants powered by NuScale Power Module™

By Steve Haner

Standing firm against raising taxes is a fine thing, but it would help if Virginia’s leaders also stopped using people’s electricity bills to fund rent-seeking energy speculations.

Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) has tweaked, but not vetoed, pending bills that allow both of Virginia’s investor-owned utilities to charge ratepayers for power plants that may not be built. The dream projects involve small modular nuclear technology, proven in military applications but so far speculative for commercial generation.

The Governor’s proposed amendments (substitutes really, but not substantial substitutes) do not greatly enhance any consumer protection. In theory, the regulatory State Corporation Commission could refuse a future application to charge ratepayers, but it seldom thwarts the will of the legislature. Expect to see your bills raised in the next 18 months or so to pay for plants that may never be built.

During the session one of the concerns raised was that different bills with different rules would apply to Dominion Energy Virginia and Appalachian Power Company. That is where we have ended up. House Bill 1491 applies only to APCo with its 500,000 customers, and Senate Bill 454 applies only to Dominion and its 2.6 million customers. (You lucky rural cooperative customers escape again.)

The substitute versions will be voted on April 17 and there is no reason from the history of the bills to date (H1491 and S454) to expect they will fail. Neither will they be unanimous.

Youngkin has long been a cheerleader for this technology, and two years ago all but promised to push for such a reactor in APCo’s territory of Southwest Virginia. Election time promises like that blossom in that struggling economy like fruit trees, but recently Youngkin applied a killing frost. He told an audience out there that it was more likely to happen elsewhere in the state, and the language of the Dominion bill points to co-location with one of its existing nuclear facilities.

The traditional regulatory route is that a utility seeking to build a power plant gets the plan approved by the State Corporation Commission before charging anything to consumers. The advance exploratory planning is on the company’s dime, although it gets it back later. The game here is to charge ratepayers from the get-go as the project’s feasibility and costs are explored, a major abandonment of consumer protection principles.

In Dominion’s case, the bill sets a maximum consumer cost of $1.40 per 1,000 kilowatt hours, but doesn’t specify a cost cap. Many homeowners use way more power per month than that, and business customers will pay plenty, too. For Appalachian, the bill sets an overall cap of $125 million and an annual revenue recovery of $25 million per year. By way of comparison, APCo is also now seeking a base rate increase of $95 million per year.

These will be noticeable cost increases, but the kind of buried, hidden, hard to discern hits to consumers that keep legislators safe in elections. And if the plants are eventually built, and the power flows, all will be well. What could go wrong?

The different bills also have some variation in just how much can be spent before the utility must make a real go/no-go decision to apply for construction. And Dominion’s version, as it did earlier, authorizes a profit margin. Appalachian didn’t demand a piece of the action to undertake its gamble with ratepayers’ money.

The Dominion bill includes a phrase (C. Nothing in this section shall limit the Commission’s authority to approve or deny a petition for recovery of SMR project development costs….) which might have been inspired by an earlier Bacon’s Rebellion column. The same words do not appear in the Appalachian bill. It could just be window dressing anyway, as another critic of this bill responded when I wrote that.

The message here is that these projects are speculative, breaking new ground, and the utilities are loathe to risk any of their own stockholders’ money on the preliminaries. Dominion happily spends stockholder dollars planning solar, wind and gas plants, and even on the recent upgrades and relicense applications for its old nuclear plants. Why must ratepayers kick in early now? This is a flashing red warning light of risk.

The whole reason for the high profit margins guaranteed by law for these monopoly companies is that they take risks. Yet here the Virginia General Assembly goes again, shifting the risk right back onto its constituents. Every economics textbook in the world is getting a new chapter on regulatory capture.

Nuclear power checks the carbon-free box and is going to grow in popularity as electricity demand explodes and more people realize reliable baseload must expand along with wind and solar. There is very helpful legislation pending in Washington, in fact having passed the House. Delaware policy expert David Stevenson wrote about it for The Wall Street Journal. That would make this less speculative, but it has not passed the Senate and may never.


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22 responses to “Utilities Will Gamble on Nukes With Your $$$”

  1. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    What is Dominion and APCO going to find out – different from what Nuscale did? :

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/fc4e0bfc121812a558d3bc089cd8b5c0899fa44ae908d80506b3189b519fdbb5.png

    ” The NuScale project fell apart because of inflation and increased construction costs, NuScale said. In January, the company announced that the target price for power from the plant had jumped 53%, to $89 per megawatt hour, which led the utilities involved to pull out.Nov 22, 2023″

    https://cardinalnews.org/2023/11/22/termination-of-nuscales-first-small-modular-nuclear-reactor-plant-wont-affect-virginias-smr-plans-several-experts-say/#:~:text=The%20NuScale%20project%20fell%20apart,utilities%20involved%20to%20pull%20out.

    For all the talk about nuclear needs to replace “unreliable” wind and solar – it is apparently “technically feasible” and the failure did not happen because of increased regulation but instead, pure economics, even with govt subsidies. It costs about twice as much per kilowatt hour than wind/solar and more than gas.

    So, an obvious question for the pro-nuke folks is , “are you willing to put your money where your mouth is”?

    I’m betting not, but they’ll continue to oppose wind and solar also.

    Which is why some conservative folks are not the ones to lead on issues like this. It’s like they live in denial and continue to hold positions that are untenable if we are going to advance on the issues, not unlike how the House of Representatives now functions.

    And I don’t blame Dominion and APCO one minute for not wanting to foot the bill themselves for this.

    So why does Mr. Youngkin who talks a lot about protecting taxpayers?

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      “God grant me the confidence of an economist to declaim on subjects on which they have no expertise!”

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Exactly how many dollars per megawatt hour it costs to power the carriers and submarines is a highly classified number! Never shared with me when I was there. 🙂 This will happen, but others can go first, please….

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        It’s probably not classified. It’s probably unknown. Why bother to keep track of the cost of something you have to do? The most unhappy people are those who maintain a boat’s logbook that includes the costs and the hours spent sailing.

        It’s driven completely by that “millions for defense; not one red cent to tribute” thing.

      2. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        Isn’t it 70 years since the first one?

        How did the NuScale one develop until it was supposed to go operational, then the cost went way up? What changed?

      3. Lefty665 Avatar

        Once we decide on the mission cost is pretty much immaterial. 🙂

  2. John Harvie Avatar
    John Harvie

    Most companies maintain a reserve funding account for future unbudgeted expenses.

  3. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Paying for things that might not ever be built. I’m getting used to this now.

  4. Lefty665 Avatar

    Many years ago Rappahannock Electric Coop bought something like 15% of North Anna. So we’re not quite uninvolved.

    My understanding of one of the advantages of modern SMRs is that they are factory built and can be trucked in. The picture with this post sure does not look like that. Have I understood wrong?

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      That’s it. The modular units can be built intact offsite with the fuel already in them, connected in series to turbines to produce a good sized plant, and when the time comes can be fairly easily swapped for a fresh unit. Submarine reactors are never refueled, just run until the whole ship is retired. (The bigger carrier reactors are refueled at about 25 years.) Of course, when in port, the ships are plugged into Dominion’s grid in Norfolk or Newport News! Even they need reliable baseload backup!!

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      That’s it. The modular units can be built intact offsite with the fuel already in them, connected in series to turbines to produce a good sized plant, and when the time comes can be fairly easily swapped for a fresh unit. Submarine reactors are never refueled, just run until the whole ship is retired. (The bigger carrier reactors are refueled at about 25 years.) Of course, when in port, the ships are plugged into Dominion’s grid in Norfolk or Newport News! Even they need reliable baseload backup!!

      1. John Harvie Avatar
        John Harvie

        Picky, but make that in parallel … We EEs never die, they just etc. etc. …

        1. Lefty665 Avatar

          EEs make the world go round:)

        2. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Lose their balls…. Oh wait, no. That’s golfers.

      2. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        And then what? What of the spent reactor?

        I know a neighborhood in Henrico where I am very willing to allow them to be stored.

    3. how_it_works Avatar
      how_it_works

      REC did via it’s membership in ODEC, Old Dominion Electric Cooperative.

      https://www.odec.com/generation-transmission/generation-facilities/

      Worth noting that NOVEC, my cooperative, severed it’s relationship with ODEC well over 10 years ago.

      https://www.novec.com/About_NOVEC/News_Release/nr08182008.cfm

  5. William O'Keefe Avatar
    William O’Keefe

    The climate change advocates are beginning to see that their goals are tied to nuclear energy so are gradually changing their tune. But the promise of small modular reactors–SMR–will reman unfulfilled until their costs are significantly reduced.
    Lower costs are dependent on streaming the regulatory process and standardizing their design so that economies of scale are possible.
    NuScale, which had a failed partnership with Utah power because of rising costs, began the regulatory approval process in 2008 and submitted its official application to the NRC in 2016. In 2020, it received a reactor design approval. According to NuScale, the regulatory process had cost half a billion dollars, and 2 million pages of supporting documents to satisfy the NRC.
    Dominion shouldn’t be able to gamble with ratepayer dollars on an energy source that is still not competitive. The federal government can make changes that will lower approval and construction costs but that should take place before Dominion seeks approval for a SMR program. If it is convinced that it can develop a nuclear project that is cost competitive, it should ask its shareholders to put up the money.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      One of the main goals of the pending bill in Congress is to streamline the process, getting it away from NRC I think. But it has to pass, and of course it also provides big cash subsidies the industry is demanding. We know how to build gas plants all day long….

      1. William O'Keefe Avatar
        William O’Keefe

        Big subsidies create rent seekers. That is not what we need, especially with a technology that is mature..

    2. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      Are there SMRs operational in other countries with perhaps less stringent regulations?

      Why did the cost of electricity for nuscale skyrocket AFTER it had received regulatory approval? If regulations were the cause , why hasn’t that case been made and an estimated cost of electricity post-regulatory costs?

      Finally, is Biden WRONG to do this:

      ” Biden to Offer $1.5 Billion Loan to Restart Michigan Nuclear Power Plant
      Holtec’s Palisades nuclear plant could be first to re-open
      Funding comes as Biden seeks to keep nuclear plants online”

      Should he stay out of it and let the plants close? Is he encouraging rent-seeking?

      1. William O'Keefe Avatar
        William O’Keefe

        Larry, I choose not to engage with you for obvious reasons.

  6. The Amazing Criswell Avatar
    The Amazing Criswell

    Speculative? You mean like 100 windmills in the Atlantic Ocean?

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