Source: 2015 State of the Commonwealth Report
Source: 2015 State of the Commonwealth Report, (Click for larger image)

by James A. Bacon

Virginia’s economy, dependent upon federal spending, has under-performed the national economy since 2010, and will continue to do so in 2016, according to the Virginia Chamber of Commerce’s 2015 State of the Commonwealth Report. But lead author James V. Koch, president emeritus of Old Dominion University, does find a silver lining:

Once we adjust for differences in the cost of living, the spendable “real” income of most Virginians exceeds that earned by typical residents of the cities along the East Coast to whom we are frequently compared. Our dollars go further and our money has more purchasing power than that of our competitors. The moral to the story: If you’re concerned about your standard of living, there’s hardly any better place to live than Virginia.

Gini coefficient for selected Virginia localities. Source: 2015 State of the Commonwealth report
Gini coefficient for selected Virginia localities. Source: 2015 State of the Commonwealth report

The most common yardstick for standard of living is median household income, in which 50% of households earn more and 50% earn less. But that indicator misses a lot. As Koch points out, it does not take into account the cost of living. Thus, median household incomes in New York City are high — but so is the cost of living, canceling the advantage of higher incomes. As Koch also notes, median household income doesn’t tell us how equally those incomes are distributed. If incomes are hogged by the so-called top “1%,” that’s not much comfort to the other 99% of the population.

The Virginia Chamber and the Strome College of Business at ODU present the report with the idea that “thoughtful discussion of the challenges confronting Virginia can make it even a better place to live.” So, kudos to Koch for contributing to a deeper understanding of how to measure a community’s quality of life.

But the State of the Commonwealth report is only a first step. I would argue that further adjustments to quality-of-life metrics are needed to create a meaningful basis for comparing communities.

  1. Adjust for taxes. We should be looking at disposable income — income after taxes. Higher incomes push households into higher federal income tax brackets. Also, some states and localities soak up a much larger share of personal income than others. Virginia state/local government imposes a moderate-low level of taxation as a percentage of income upon its residents, making more disposable income available. This data is readily available and should be relatively easy to calculate.
  2. Adjust for transportation. Some regions have more efficient land use patterns than other, allowing for more varied transportation options, such as walking, biking and mass transit. As a consequence people in some communities spend a much larger percentage of their income on the cost of owning and operating automobiles without adding to their quality of life. Sprawling development in Virginia detracts from the standard of living. The H&T Index (housing & transportation) attempts to measure this effect. Perhaps there is a way to incorporate it into a more comprehensive quality-of-life measure.
  3. Adjust for time. People assign a monetary value to the time they spend commuting, which is time they could be doing something more productive or enjoyable. Localities vary widely in the amount of time residents burn moving from location to location. The Census Bureau captures this metric and a value assigned to peoples’ time.
  4. Adjust for education. Although government pays for most K-12 education in the United States by means of the public school system, Americans attach a monetary value to the quality of education, as seen by the vast sums they expend on private schools or the premiums they pay to live in better better school districts. Thus, the high quality of schools in, say, Northern Virginia would offset to a significant degree the frustration of longer commutes and higher transportation costs.

The conversation could be expanded even beyond those measures to include quality-of-life metrics relating to arts, entertainment and culture; the affordability and accessibility of higher education; and the comprehensiveness of the social safety net.

As we think about how to build more prosperous, livable and sustainable communities, it is important to expand the conversation beyond maximizing income, as desirable as that is, to moderating taxes, creating more efficient human settlement patterns, and improving the quality of education, with all the complex trade-offs those objectives entail.


Share this article



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)


Comments

35 responses to “Tracking Virginia’s Quality of Life”

  1. Hill City Jim Avatar
    Hill City Jim

    While this report details movement since 2010, the recently posted JLARC report shows a 10 year look at the Virginia budget growth compared to a inflation/population growth calculation and Virginian’s below national average growth in both GDP and personal income.
    Despite the wailing and gnashing of teeth by the lefties, Virginia’s budget increased at a rate 50% faster than our incomes. And despite claims that sequestration would be the end of civilization as mankind knew it, Virginia’s budget during this 10 year period increased 15% faster than an inflation/population adjusted figure.

    http://jlarc.virginia.gov/pdfs/reports/Rpt475.pdf

  2. LarrytheG Avatar

    pretty good report –

    bottom line: ” Non-general fund appropriations drove
    budget growth”

    Non-general funds continue to grow faster than the
    general fund

    Most budget growth occurs in a few state agencies

    The majority of Virginia’s budget growth was concentrated in five agencies: 51% of all budget growth occurred in DMAS, DOE (direct aid to local school divisions), VCCS, VDOT, and UVA.

    DMAS is MedicAid and VCCS is the Community Colleges

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      non-general funds – are those which by law are appropriated according to some formula or policy and as such – they are not discretionary unless the underlying law gets changed.

      things like aid to families, Medicaid – even direct aid to schools are set to rules… so if someone qualifies for Medicaid – and more of them show up – additional money has to be appropriated … ditto with direct aid to schools.. population grows – more money …

      some of this additional money – comes from the Feds… so even though the Va budget is “growing” – the funds are not from increased taxes in Va.

      the general funds are not restricted in those ways and spending is flexible … according to legislative priorities and consent.

      Someone who frequents BR and knows this stuff would be doing the rest of us a real favor by laying it out – in layman’s language!

      the more you learn – the more you realize how much you never knew!

  3. Andrew Roesell Avatar
    Andrew Roesell

    They should adjust for ugliness, too. Living in wall-to-wall subdivisions and shopping centers for the working poor is not as easy as it might look. What good is it to gain a mammoth tax base and see little more than a blighted landscape? After all, the article is about the QUALITY of life. Numbers to measure some things, but only SOME things.

  4. LarrytheG Avatar

    I hate to do it but I just can’t resist the contrarian path …

    who is responsible for quality of life?

    govt or the free market?

    1. I’ll bite . . . .

      The person that’s responsible for quality of life is the person living it. It’s up to them to move elsewhere if it isn’t what’s right for them. Not the government’s fault or the free market’s fault, if it isn’t high enough quality. Virginia is just one point on a wide spectrum worldwide — and by no means at either end of the spectrum.

      But what I take Jim to be talking about is the RELATIVE attractiveness of Virginia, which, within and among the United States, is pretty high. So we should stay around and enjoy it. More importantly, as I keep on saying to my adult children, this isn’t a bad place to move back to, and you even have friends here, despite the fact that you have to put up with proximity to parents.

      However, LarryG, you raise an interesting point, inasmuch as, out of the four additional “adjustments” to quality of life proposed by Jim, at least three of them reflect government performance more than anything else. And I agree with those adjustments, by the way, although the base number, income less cost of living, is not determined by the government so much as the free market, or perhaps, especially around NoVa, the government as employer (not as determinant of policy). And the distribution (concentration) of income is also important. And the ugliness factor too, as Andrew says — you know, I think I could talk myself into believing that “quality of life” is ultimately so subjective that whoever lives in VA has chosen to live in VA warts and all, and whoever lives in NJ, likewise, and it’s not for any set of statistics to say one is better than the other.

      But I’m not moving.

    2. Andrew Roesell Avatar
      Andrew Roesell

      Dear Larry,

      Here is a view like mine, more or less, that of the British philosopher, Roger Scruton. http://www.firstthings.com/article/2014/06/the-good-of-government

      Sincerely,

      Andrew

  5. LarrytheG Avatar

    Hasn’t Jim and others argued long and hard that govt regulations and restrictions hinder the free market, kill jobs and actually result in inefficient and wasteful land use?

    Is it the govt’s job to tell property owners what the “appropriate” use of their land should be rather than letting them and the free market decide?

    Would the private sector build “Smart Growth” if the govt got out of the way and let the market decide what to build and where?

    Bonus Question – Is the phrase “Smart Growth” a term for govt control of development?

    double Bonus Question – can Jim Bacon argue for Smart Growth and at the same time be opposed to govt rules and regulation with respect to land use?

    1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
      Andrew Roesell

      Dear Larry,

      I’m mostly with you on this one. The “free market” happily complied with the zoning regulations cookie-cutter subdivision of land in the 1940s-1980s, at least, because “that’s what the market wanted.” Smart Growth came along and “closed the barn door” long after the horses departed thence. It is LAND OWNERS who want a bonanza from land development. Government per se isn’t bound to that pattern, except for the pressures that the land owners and the Courts that favor them exert on Government. The Piedmont Environmental Council embraced the British Town and Country government planning model, sensibly, in the 1970s, and only backed-away when it became evident that the courts would never allow it, sadly. “We like our ugliness!” Sadly, too. It makes some people very rich. The rest of us get to sit in traffic and lament the loss of the beauty that once was everywhere, and now exists in mostly little places, our public parks.

      Sincerely,

      Andrew

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        re: ” It is LAND OWNERS who want a bonanza from land development”

        isn’t that the free market? 😉

        what gives govt the right to restrict what land owners want?

        1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
          Andrew Roesell

          Dear Larry,

          I am Conservative, not a radical free marketeer. Think Russell Kirk, not Friedrich Hayek or Milton Friedman. I see the need for some government planning, which is why I mentioned Britain’s Town and Country Act of 1947. Where the market should be heard is in the building and sale of houses, once a local consensus is reached that more housing is needed. But I am not an ideologue that “the market is always right”, or, just as ideological, “the government is always right.” It depends the competency of those involved. But to bury an area in growth that does not want to be so buried, is wrong. The real estate industry is just as “self-perpetuating” as any government bureaucracy ever was.

          Sincerely,

          Andrew

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            Dear Andrew – is there a real consensus alternative – ever?

            when you say: ” Where the market should be heard is in the building and sale of houses, once a local consensus is reached that more housing is needed.”

            ” The [Town and Country Act of 1947] established that planning permission was required for land development; ownership alone no longer conferred the right to develop the land. To control this, the Act reorganised the planning system from the 1,400 existing planning authorities to 145 (formed from county and borough councils), and required them all to prepare a comprehensive development plan.”

            so you DO support govt control of land use, correct?

    2. Larry, Let me refresh your memory about “Smart Growth for Conservatives” — first roll back the counterproductive government rules, regulations and subsidies.

      https://www.baconsrebellion.com/2012/05/smart-growth-for-conservatives.html

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        Jim – can I then show your posts that advocate that govt – not the free market is responsible for Smart Growth?

        you argue simultaneously that govt prevents density with it’s rules and that Smart Growth needs density….

        citing “govt rules” for everything from dandruff to bad breath as boilerplate to any discussions of govt involvement in something is lame.

        Does Smart Growth require govt and are those Smart Growth “rules” counter-productive to a free market? are they not the same nasty rules depending on the eye of the beholder?

      2. LarrytheG Avatar

        Here’s what we need to do –

        compare and contrast the liberal approach to govt doing Smart Growth to the Conservative approach to Smart Growth.

        specifically in areas like density and land use, transportation.

        what should be stipulated by govt and what not – and left to the free market to do ?

        the liberal approach pretty much disallows the free market – right?
        isn’t the liberal approach pretty much a 100% command and control approach?

        so can we show how a Conservative approach to Smart Growth would differ?

        serious suggestion !!!!

  6. Bob Matthias Avatar
    Bob Matthias

    The Non General fund includes all Federal funds and tuition which is growing faster than any ones income

  7. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
    Reed Fawell 3rd

    I put no stock in these sorts of statistical analysis. They are baloney.

    Ask the average person why they live in northern Virginia? Income and Jobs.

    Ask them how happy they are with quality of life in Northern Virginia? Unless they are in the high income brackets and thus can buy their way out of rising problems – like the ever rising costs to live even simple lives in northern Virginia, and buy their way our of, or control their time, so as to avoid the near constant unreliability of transportation in Northern Virginia – the constant threat of gridlock – I suspect that most people, save for the very affluent, see their quality of life going down the drain daily.

    1. Quality of life is relative. Every unhappy Northern Virginian has the option to move. There is plenty of affordable housing in Martinsville. The fact is that they stay in Northern Virginia for the income, jobs and public education. I could also add the public safety and access to top notch medical care, etc. In other words there are numerous categories of quality of life. Overall, the quality of life among the many categories must be relatively good in Northern Virginia since the population is rising. Meanwhile, in many areas of rural Virginia the population is in decline. These rural areas are often beautiful, bucolic places with a low cost of living. But there are not nearly enough jobs and the jobs which do exist are generally low paying. Trying to divorce quality of life from employment opportunities is the essence of futility.

      1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
        Andrew Roesell

        Dear Don,

        Two objections: First, those who already inhabit an area should be privileged over potential newcomers, that is what a community is; it confers a higher status by right of possession. Second, the process of growth that is being used is artificially stimulated through immigration, so that the process has no “end point,” but is constantly in need of new infusions, so other communities in time become effected. There is no point at which demand is satisfied, but ever large amounts of growth are demanded. The result? More Northern Virginias, more ruination. The writer Edward Abbey rightly called “growth for the sake of growth, the ideology of the cancer cell.” This is not CONSERVATIVE. It is the opposite, extreme radicalism.

        Sincerely,

        Andrew

  8. LarrytheG Avatar

    geeze… do I have to play devils advocate here for the folks who say they believe in the free market and are opposed to the govt restricting the free market?

    most people have the freedom to pursue whatever employment opportunities they want or are willing to get training and education for and they are free to live where they want consistent with their incomes.

    if people do not earn enough to live where they want to live – is that the job or focus of government?

    if the free market wants to build chock-a-block development – why should the govt restrict that?

    I’m agog here… why should the govt be involved in land use if the free market will allocate it’s use on a supply/demand basis?

    you earn as much money as you can – and you then choose what you can afford… right?

  9. Andrew Roesell Avatar
    Andrew Roesell

    Dear Larry,

    To answer your question: I, personally, think that something like the British Town & Country Act at a state or multi-county level makes sense. Do I think it likely to happen? No. Why? Too much money, and ideology, is involved for the participants to allow it. But I would support the idea as a sensible way to regulate land and construction. Sure.

    Sincerely,

    Andrew

    1. And this is what the British Town & Country Act created:

      http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/2011/11/global-house-prices

      If you are going to propose something like the Town & Country Act then you need to simultaneously propose higher taxes to procure subsidized housing for those many who will be forced out of the housing market (rent or buy) by rapidly escalating prices.

      1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
        Andrew Roesell

        Dear Don,

        I doubt that the Town & Country Act created the higher prices. Instead, immigration into the U.K. and a superheated stock market from fictional wealth did that. Appreciation in real estate prices is being artificially created through immigration. Want your piece of land to increase in value, or your apartment complex, well, open the doors to immigrants from poorer nations and you automatically create a relative scarcity, not an absolute scarcity for the native population, by themselves. This is a major reason the Republican Establishment talks about immigration, sometimes, but does nothing. There is too much money to be made from it. Same with sensible British land planning in America. Too much money for some people, real property owners in less than optimal locations for building.

        Sincerely,

        Andrew

  10. LarrytheG Avatar

    The Town and country act sounds a LOT like our current Govt land–use laws…

    but again – I point out that Jim Bacon and others here say they support Smart growth -(govt imposed) yet they say they are also opposed to the govt controlling land use if it denies higher density – which is said to make housing less affordable.

    this seems contradictory ….

    and that’s why I asked the question about who is responsible for quality of life – the govt or the private sector?

    if you and Jim say it’s the Govt that is responsible for quality of life – when it comes to land-use decisions – that sounds to me to NOT be Conservatism at all but rather big govt rule.

    1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
      Andrew Roesell

      Actually, Larry, it does NOT sound like our current land use. Government in America cannot FORBID all development on most land because it is not part of a growth area, though flood plains can be. You had (have?) to be in a designated growth area in Britain to develop property (the Act has been added to, and so-called Tory governments may have made it more developer friendlier, I’m not sure). American zoning provides minimum lot sizes, but for substantial parcels, it cannot just forbid it outright. The 1947 British model is preferable from a land-use point-of-view.

      Sincerely,

      Andrew

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        Andrew – sorry to be slow – I do not get updates when comments are added and I have to remember to go back and look for new ones.

        so – you believe that the govt should be able to deny any development at all on land ?

        correct?

        how would that work for taxation purposes?

        would such land be considered essentially worthless?

        thanks

        1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
          Andrew Roesell

          Dear Larry,

          What I would say is that there should be no inherent right to use land within those jurisdictions that would adopt such a Town & Country Act toward URBAN uses. Farming, forestry, fishing would be mostly “by right,” except where pollution might be a factor. But urban uses should be agreed on and not be “by right.” Beyond that, I would say that I would have to look further into the exact methodology used, and that it would involve the public, but it would control the way land is developed, to include other values beyond economic ones, but it would include those as well. Morton Horwitz wrote an insightful book in the 1970s called _The Transformation of American Law (1780 – 1860)_ that dealt with the changes in law, from a common law conception of a right to enjoy property from disturbance by neighbors, privileging the status quo, into its opposite, the right to USE property even if it bothers or harms the neighbors, in order to further economic development. A true Conservative land-use would seek to return to the earlier, 18th century conception cited by Hortwitz, rather than the 19th and 20th (and 21st?) centuries conception of economic development “ueber alles.”

          Sincerely,

          Andrew

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            Andrew – how do you get “urban” uses unless land is re-categorized for those uses?

            how do you do that on a general basis so that some owners of land are not treated differently than others?

            shouldn’t there be one set of laws that applies to all owners of land or should there be a “vote” every time?

            isn’t zoning how that is done and zoning applies to all owners in equal fashion?

            taxes work the same way – taxes are assessed on the VALUE of the land which is, in turn, tied to it’s use. So land that cannot be “used” would not be taxed at it’s “potential” value but rather it’s actual current use. right?

            so, for instance, you’d not see a sign on vacant land saying “zoned commercial”.. it just would be a vacant lot taxed at much lower rates , right?

            It sounds like you’re advocating something that wonj’t work today – that ship sailed a long, long time ago.

  11. Jim:

    I believe the following analysis more closely matches your interests. The methodology for calculation differences in geographic costs of living starts on pg 31.

    As for an analysis that comes from the Chamber of Commerce – never trust any analysis that comes from an organization that endorses political candidates.

    http://www.coopercenter.org/sites/default/files/publications/VirginiaPovertyMeasure_May2013_0.pdf

  12. LarrytheG Avatar

    good reference Don – I had not seen this before.

    and looking through this makes me wonder if median income is a good measure.

    how about a histogram that shows the spectrum of income ?

    that histogram would clearly show what the report Don is providing – shows – and in particular this (from the report):

    ” The VPM reports a much higher poverty rate (12.3%) for the Beltway than the official rate (7.4%).”

    I don’t think this should come as a shock to anyone.

    Those who make their living – providing non-professional services typically live at the margins economically anyhow and in a high cost region like NoVa – the same “affordable housing” conundrum that generates commuters to exurbia – also fosters those who can’t escape so easily and are trapped into de-facto poverty inside the beltway.

    but I suspect that’s not exactly what the concept of “quality of life” is really about or else such metrics would more fully recognize – not just median but 2 sigma income ranges.

    1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
      Andrew Roesell

      Dear Larry,

      In response to your December 12th reply, I said up front that a British Town & Country Act would be rejected in America, and especially Virginia, because of the economic interests involved. But, yes, most land would be taxed at “use” rate rather than development potential. Rather than reinvent the wheel, I would say that a study of British theory and practice would be the place to start. However, as much as I have an interest in these techniques, my lack of time, and its lack of applicability, would preclude my spending the time to do that. America is stuck on itself and its own ways, not because they are better, but they because they are “ours.” America is a pretty unteachable place, overall, viewing itself as the “Greatest Thing Since Sliced Bread.” After all, why change if you’re perfect? As our Lord said: “If ye were blind, ye should have no sin: but now ye say, ‘We see’; therefore your sin remaineth.”

      Sincerely,

      Andrew

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        Andrew – I am a bit amused here in that most Conservatives in the US consider England to be a socialist anathema to American capitalism.

        The British system sounds like even more control by the govt.

        Correct?

        one point that we talked about probably deserves more discussion and that is WHY raw land is VALUED for taxation purposes on it’s potential rather than actual use but then that goes back to the govt process of zoning – which really is not that different from the British system in that govt does have the ability to NOT “up” zone.

        but one of the main differences is that in the US when a property owner proposes a use – there are defined rules that apply to all property owners – and it cannot be arbitrarily decided by local “vote”.

        they have a term for that – it’s called “arbitrary and capricious” – essentially that their own rules were not followed.

        1. Andrew Roesell Avatar
          Andrew Roesell

          Dear Larry,

          The reason land is zoned at development potential rather than use is probably due to the desire to get land out of the hands of those who would like to use it at a, capitalistically speaking, “low use,” like farming and forestry. If you have slender profit margins to begin with, and your tax contributions are correspondingly low, then the local government has the financial incentive to force them to sell. There was great deal of opposition to the allowance of “Agricultural and Forestal” districts in Fairfax County in the early 1980s. Developers want to maximize the amount of land to develop, almost all if they could do it. Such people do not seek to conserve, but to use for their own monetary gain. That they frequently call themselves “political conservatives” is laughable. They believe that “the public good” is just the maximized amounts of money accruing as a result of financial transactions. Mammon is their god. True Conservatism sees the need for financial welfare, but it tries to balance it with other values. The British policy, ironically, is MORE Conservative in this sense, even though it was enacted by a Labour government. Orwell, too, had many Conservative or traditional aspects to him. The hatred of government intervention goes back to the 19th century classical Liberals, which is what most “Conservatives” so-called, today, really are. They are radicals for Capitalism, which is NOT Conservative, because everything to them is reducible to money. Our Lord said, “man shall not live by bread alone…” and cautioned us against fretting unduly for our bodily needs.

          Sincerely,

          Andrew

          1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
            Reed Fawell 3rd

            “The reason land is zoned at development potential rather than use is probably due to the desire to get land out of the hands of those who would like to use it at a, capitalistically speaking, “low use,” like farming and forestry. If you have slender profit margins to begin with, and your tax contributions are correspondingly low, then the local government has the financial incentive to force them to sell.”

            I disagree, believing that the genesis of zoning is aimed at precisely the reverse – namely to protect the land from the abuse of unwise development and use, both as to the nature and quantity of use, given the particular nature of the land involved.

            However, like most everything else is life, there are two sides to each coin. So too in zoning.

            Broadly speaking, one side to zoning disputes argues that the zoning in question limits and dilutes, or otherwise deprives them of, their property rights, stripping their land of beneficial rights attendant thereto. The other side to the very same controversy, however, argues that a failure to properly limit the rights of one’s neighbor’s use of his land will operate to damage, demean, or limit his own uses of his or other land nearby.

            This is not a question of bad conservatives or bad liberals. Both sides endeavor to twist the law so as to gain their own advantage. This too is in the nature of things.

          2. Andrew Roesell Avatar
            Andrew Roesell

            Dear Larry & Reed,

            I actually MISSTATED my own position! I re-read it after reading Reed’s dissent. I should have said “The reason land is TAXED at development potential rather than use…” And this becomes a critical factor mainly in metropolitan and exurban areas, with their higher land values.

            Sincerely,

            Andrew

Leave a Reply