Top State for Business… Or Most Woke State for Business?

by James A. Bacon

As corporate America becomes more woke, placing ever greater emphasis on the diversity of its workforce and executive management ranks, it should come as no surprise that CNBC, which is part of the NBCUniversal corporate media complex, has incorporated wokeness into its annual ranking of Top States for Business.

“We have expanded our measures of inclusiveness, looking more deeply at protections against discrimination, as well as at voting rights and current efforts to expand or restrict access to the polls, based on legislation enacted as of June 1, 2021,” says CNBC in explaining its methodology for ranking the 50 states — in which Virginia scored the top spot for the second year in a row.

Democrats and their allies in the media are crowing about Virginia’s No. 1 ranking this year, the top spot nationally for the second year running. “Virginia Republicans have been warning Democratic control was bad for business,” states the headline of a Virginia Mercury article this morning. “CNBC disagrees.” It turns out that legislation criticized by Republicans as bad for business, continues the story, “actually helped the state’s business reputation.”

I am skeptical. But it’s a hypothesis that Republicans, conservatives, and free marketeers need to consider. Have corporations become so woke that they are adjusting their capital-allocation algorithms in favor of politically progressive states? Or is CNBC so encapsulated in the left-wing media bubble that it has become unplugged from reality?

First, we need to understand how CNBC compiles its rankings. Its methodology starts by identifying the qualities that the states themselves deem most important in attracting business. CNBC does not query corporations, which are doing the investing, it is analyzing states’ economic development marketing materials.

We assign a weight to each category based on how hard the states are pushing it in their economic development marketing. We determine that by analyzing every state’s economic development web site. If, for example, more states are pitching their low business costs, Cost of Doing Business carries more possible points.

This is not illogical on its face. Presumably, states are touting the features they expect will most resonate with businesses. But this is not the same as asking businesses themselves.

For example, the Virginia Industry Foundation published in November the “Virginia MFG Competitive Index,” which ranks Virginia 11th nationally as the most competitive manufacturing location, up from 15th previous year. Virginia Manufacturing Association members developed the criteria and selected metrics based on what they themselves think is important. Factors such as highway accessibility and availability of the labor force were at the top of the list. Social equity metrics were not even on the list.

Be that as it may, CNBC looks to state economic development offices for guidance. To see what Virginia’s economic developers are touting, visit the website of the Virginia Economic Development Partnership, arguably one of the top economic development organizations in the country. Here’s what VEDP is selling:

  • America’s top state for talent. Virginia’s premier talent base makes for a world-class labor pool ready to meet business needs in all key employee profiles. Across industries, Virginia’s workforce is one of the most productive and educated populations in the country – 38% of the population has a bachelor’s degree or higher.
  • Unparalleled livability. Virginia’s diversity and natural beauty are simply unparalleled. With access to a variety of outdoor amenities both in cities and picturesque small towns as well as thriving urban centers alive with arts and culture, Virginians throughout the Commonwealth have a vibrant quality of life.
  • Advantageous location and infrastructure. Strategically located on the U.S. East Coast and adjacent to Washington, D.C., Virginia’s integrated transportation system of highways, railroads, airports, and seaports provide logistical advantages for companies in every industry.
  • Business climate advantage. Virginia offers the right environment for business success. Since 1972, the Commonwealth has had a stable 6% corporate income tax, lower than the national median of 6.5%. Virginia has also maintained a AAA rating since 1938, longer than any other state.

There’s nothing on the VEDP website about social justice, much less alterations to election law. If CNBC found that states are emphasizing social justice as a business selling point, they certainly didn’t get it from Virginia’s economic development website. One might argue that social justice is implicit in workforce and education statistics — no state will rate highly if a large segment of the population is deprived of the opportunity to develop workforce skills. But CNBC already captures that from its workforce statistics. Now it is counting factors that have no bearing on workforce preparedness at all.

The 2021 session of the General Assembly enacted a slew of labor laws — see Steve Haner’s discussion here — that have been in force for literally two weeks only. It is way too early to proclaim that the measures have had a positive or negative impact on Virginia’s business climate. Give it another year, and we’ll be in a better position to judge. For now, it’s way too early to view Virginia’s No. 1 ranking in the latest CNBC scoring as a validation of Northam administration economic policy.


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31 responses to “Top State for Business… Or Most Woke State for Business?”

  1. DJRippert Avatar
    DJRippert

    First, nobody cares about these rankings. They didn’t care when McDonnell was trumpeting his results and they don’t care now.

    Second, corporate America (by and large) pays no more than lip service to inclusion other than for women in the workplace. If corporate America actually wanted to push inclusion for minorities the companies would publish their percentage of minority employees by level (entry, middle, executive for example) and would commit to making progress where progress is needed. These statistics would separate minority employee counts by race. No more “declaring victory” in technology (for example) by over hiring Asians and under-hiring Blacks and Hispanics.

    Finally, I smell a rat and the rat’s name is state economic development programs. Past the press releases, are these programs really working? The ones that make the news seem to be failures (Rolls-Royce, Greentech). Maybe failures are newsworthy while successes are not. However, given the endless hoopla that occurs when a deal is signed I would expect press release based hoopla about past deals meeting their goals. How is Amazon working out, for example. There has been an eerie silence on that one lately.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      I always have been skeptical of the economic development programs. Take, for example, the dashboard that every administration maintains of “jobs created” and used to tout the administration’s success. That number uses the number of jobs projected in the announcement of a new location or expansion. Those jobs, if they appear at all, are in the future and many do not materialize at all. Then, there are the jobs lost by a company closing or moving out of state. Whenever one of those events was announced, I would ask my colleague at DPB who was the Partnership analyst if those jobs lost would be deducted from the dashboard number. He would just laugh and chuckle.

      1. Stephen Moret Avatar
        Stephen Moret

        Dick,

        Following a critical 2016 JLARC report, VEDP dramatically beefed up its enforcement of clawback provisions (for underperformance on job creation and/or capital investment commitments) as well as greatly strengthened its due diligence procedures to minimize risk in use of economic development incentives. In the vast majority of cases, incentives are now paid only after jobs and capital investment have been created, and the incentive payment are adjusted for any underperformance relative to commitments.

        All of that said, we are dealing with private sector firms that compete with other private sector firms in a dynamic economy. So it is common here as in other states that a given project will either exceed its pledged targets or underperform those targets. The key here is that we work hard to ensure that, when a company underperforms, it only receives the amount of incentives it actually has earned.

        Most older (pre-2017) economic development projects in Virginia received up-front incentive payments. In those cases, we have worked hard, with assistance of the OAG (when needed), to seek collection of any clawbacks/reimbursements due for underperformance.

        The status of all active VEDP-administered incentive agreements is reported regularly on the VEDP website. See: https://www.vedp.org/key-industries. Virginia is one of the most transparent states in the U.S. relative to performance reporting of economic development incentives.

        In developing our incentives administration guidelines and related reporting, we have sought and largely implemented advice from leading economic development incentives watchdog organizations, such as Good Jobs First.

        Stephen

        1. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          Nobody doubts you are working hard. At least I don’t. But there are economic development efforts at the state, county, city and (probably) town level. If I add them all up and look for an ROI what would I find?

      2. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        Exactly. If economic development was some backwater area of state politics … fine. But when candidates for governor explicitly run with slogans like Bob for Jobs shouldn’t there be ongoing accountability?

        McAuliffe ran in good measure claiming he was a master salesman who could attract businesses to Virginia. Fine. How did that work? Given that he wants another bite of the apple … shouldn’t he have to answer that question? My suspicion is that the lack of publicity around McAuliffe’s record with economic development means there’s little good news to tout.

      3. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Mercedes Truck Plant Hampton, my favorite. City made all manner of expense sharing and tax waiving deals for 10 years after which the company would begin paying back loans and start paying taxes.
        Plant moved after 9.5 years of operation.

      4. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        States and localities have no business doing deals with businesses. They haven’t the acumen nor the memory. They are outgunned by the dumbest of business lawyers.

        Set an environment, apply to all, and stick with it.

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      DJ, I agree the ranking mean nothing in the real world, but in politics the rule is “perception is reality.”

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        I’ve always thought that the term “perception is reality” was really a summary of two other points:

        1. The media is biased (or just lazy) and is happy to report perception instead of reality and …

        2. The electorate is too busy, jaundiced, or ill-informed to wonder whether perception = reality.

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          Both apply. “Low Information Voters” was one of Limbaugh’s stock phrases I always agreed with.

    3. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Here’s a quick question DJ. Given Rolls-Royce’s current financial condition, how could a deal have been a success other than letting it fall through?

      1. Brian Leeper Avatar
        Brian Leeper

        Perhaps Rolls-Royce’s current financial condition is a product of the same poor corporate decision making that lead them to think that Virginia is a good place to locate a plant?

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Which is why the locality has no business doing deals with them.

          1. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            I’ve started to think that if you really have a good location for business, you don’t have to basically bribe a business to locate there with incentives.

      2. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        I guess the same way I avoid any investments involving airlines or airplanes – avoid hopelessly “boom and bust” industries. Eastern, New York Air, Aloha Airlines, Frontier Airlines ….

        An individual investor can at least bail out of an investment by selling her stock. A state that invests in a plant doesn’t have that kind of liquidity.

        See also: ridiculous business plans that nobody thought would work – e.g. GreenTech and Mississippi.

        You have to wonder how savvy state economic development teams really are …. or are living from press release to press release?

        However, the Crosspointe plant was just an example. How are the other “big wins” doing?

        Remember it was Bob for Jobs and McAuliffe ran on a platform of being able to attract world class companies to Virginia. Did either live up to their hype?

  2. Stephen Moret Avatar
    Stephen Moret

    Over the last several years, I have seen a marked increase in the importance of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) matters among companies as they choose where to place new investments and job creation projects. In particular, large/leading tech firms (and I think most smaller tech firms) have been placing a major focus on DEI and often will eliminate or not consider locations that they don’t see as DEI-friendly. Manufacturing firms so far have tended to place less weight on DEI factors, although that seems to be changing, at least on the margins. So that difference between the tech sector and the manufacturing sector may explain part of what you are seeing relative to the importance companies are placing on DEI matters when choosing locations to invest and grow.

    Considering the above points, VEDP does include a substantial focus on DEI in its marketing materials for the tech sector, among others. For example:

    VEDP software industry page (e.g., see section called “A Globally Diverse and Inclusive State”): https://www.vedp.org/industry/software

    VEDP tech industry brochure (e.g., see section called “A Globally Diverse and Inclusive State”): https://issuu.com/vedpvirginia/docs/tech_in_virginia?fr=sMTliMDE3MDE3MTA

    1. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
      energyNOW_Fan

      Do we have a manufacturing industry brochure?

      1. Stephen Moret Avatar
        Stephen Moret

        We are updating/expanding all of our target industry sector marketing materials this year. We focus on several types of manufacturing sectors, so not all of them have been completed yet. An example of a recently completed one is for the food and beverage processing sector, which tends to track similar location factors for manufacturing firms:

        https://issuu.com/vedpvirginia/docs/food_and_beverage_processing_in_virginia?fr=sMDA3ZTE3MDE3MTA

        You can see high-level material for all of our target sectors on this web page (with links to more info):

        https://www.vedp.org/key-industries

    2. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      All well and good except that Oracle just moved from California to Houston and Elon Musk just moved from California to Austin where Tesla is expanding. I struggle to believe that Texas has a higher “DEI rating” than California although I guess anything is possible.

      As I said before – If corporations really cared about DEI they would publish their actual employee numbers along race lines. They would also lobby federal and state governments to demand such reporting. I see no such efforts on the part of corporations.

      I’m sure that the Sr VP of Diversity in every large corporation insists that any expansion include a DEI consideration. In some rare and transient cases, like the baseball All-Star Game, that might make a difference. However, over the long run I don’t believe that the real decision makers have DEI considerations very high on their list of criteria for new locations.

      Is there a DEI-friendliness index? It would be interesting to compare real statistics like employment growth, median cost-of-living-adjusted incomes and state GDP growth to their position on the DEI-friendliness index.

  3. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Here’s something: ” The 1.6-million-square-foot New River Valley assembly plant, located on nearly 300 acres in Dublin, Virginia, is the largest Volvo truck manufacturing facility in the world. The New River Valley plant produces all Volvo trucks sold in North America ” 3300 employees

    they have had a strike recently, but seem to be working through it.

    In terms of DEI, Amazon and Arlington, despite what DJ says, I think it matters in that situation.

    Come on DJ – in the tech world, are you concerned about your reputation with regard t a diverse workforce? or not?

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Of course they are concerned with their reputation. However, that concern only goes so far. If big tech companies really wanted DEI results they would lobby for public, audited DEI reporting of their own employee base.

      As an aside, what states are least DEI-friendly? Perhaps Mississippi? If so, that certainly didn’t stop McAuliffe from putting GreenTech there. Utah? The state is on fire as a tech hub.

      Tell me the 10 least DEI-friendly states and then let’s look at the actual measurable results, not some quacked-up CNN/NBC “theory poll”.

    2. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Consider the botched McAuliffe move with Norfolk Southern Southern Corp. In 2016 Virginia provided a state grant for Norfolk Southern to move employees within the state – from Roanoke to Norfolk. No additional net new jobs were created. Then, to add insult to injury, in 2018 the railroad announced its intent to move HQ from Norfolk to Atlanta.

      Maybe we got our money back, maybe we didn’t – I don’t know. However, if I buy a stock at $100 and then sell it for $100 some years later I don’t consider that a good investment.

      Meanwhile, was 2018 Georgia a more DEI-friendly state than 2018 Virginia?

      These rankings are BS flights of fancy from the left leaning media trying to push a political agenda rather than a real analysis of how corporations see the states. The fact that at least some of the rankings didn’t even include checking the sources (i.e. – asking the corporations themselves) is pretty negligent.

      1. Matt Adams Avatar
        Matt Adams

        I wished they would’ve left Norfolk sooner, I wouldn’t have been subjected to staying the Sheraton Waterside for “management training”.

        The smell coming off that Bay is awful at all times of the day, especially in the summer.

      2. Super Brain Avatar
        Super Brain

        CNBC left leaning?
        Dang fooled this capitalist.

    3. WayneS Avatar

      I’m not sure what you’re driving at, but the Volvo truck plant in Dublin has been operating there since 1981. I sincerely doubt “DEI” had anything to do with the company’s original decision to locate in southwest Virginia.

  4. Brian Leeper Avatar
    Brian Leeper

    “Across industries, Virginia’s workforce is one of the most productive and educated populations in the country – 38% of the population has a bachelor’s degree or higher.”

    If we subtract from that 38% percent the number that already has the high paying, secure Federal job they moved here for, what are we left with?

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Virginia’s workforce is another misnomer. Some places in the state have very experienced and educated workforces. Other areas do not. Rating states as a whole, especially with regard to workforce, is ridiculous. Ask the people of Danville how well Virginia’s excellent workforce is working for them, economically-speaking.

      1. Brian Leeper Avatar
        Brian Leeper

        Exactly. I suspect the majority of that 38 percent live in the 703 area code.

      2. Super Brain Avatar
        Super Brain

        In Danville last week. The real estate market is on fire.

        1. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          It was on fire back in 2005, too. We should all remember how that went.

          1. Super Brain Avatar
            Super Brain

            Danville seems to have turned a corner. They hit the literal jackpot in getting a Caesar’s casino. Richmond is getting a fancified Rosie’s.
            Danville has a nice warehouse district that is almost perfect for historic rehab credits .
            People are moving in to rehab historic homes in the Downtown West End area. Never thought I would see Danville with favorable prospects.

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