Three Virginia Counties Are Great Places for Black People to Live


by Ken Reid

In the aftermath of the nationwide orgy of riotous violence perpetrated by supporters of Black Lives Matter due to George Floyd’s killing at the hands of Minneapolis police in May 2020, both the Loudoun County Board of Supervisors and Loudoun County Public Schools (LCPS) School Board issued resolutions of “apology” for how blacks were mistreated in the past.

“Although we recognize that we have yet to fully correct or eradicate matters of racial inequality, we hope that issuing this apology with genuine remorse is a valuable step followed by additional actions,” the apology, issued in September 2020, read.

WUSA Channel 9 reported that the “Loudoun County NAACP President [Michelle Thomas] said racial issues run so deep in LCPS that they were stepping in to initiate town halls, adding that the school system had been on its radar for five decades since the integration of Black students into the school system.”

A year later, in her annual State of the County address, County Chair Phyllis Randall, the first African American woman elected to the position, said 2020 was a year of “a long overdue reckoning on systemic racism that has plagued America since its birth.”

Thomas’ activists pushed for a Comprehensive Equity Plan and the Action Plan to Combat Systemic Racism. The result, as we all know, was top-down revision of the school curriculum in Loudoun along lines of anti-racism and critical race theory, which has wreaked havoc among parents and helped Republicans win back Richmond in 2021.

But according to The Black Progress Index: examining the social factors that influence Black wellbeing (just released by the liberal Brookings Institution in D.C.), Virginia’s three largest counties are great places for African Americans to thrive. About 1,677 counties were ranked.
Loudoun is No. 5 on the list, Fairfax County, which also has had upheaval in its schools due to anti-racism pressure, is No. 8 and Prince William County No. 11. Henrico was 29.

“Progressive” Montgomery in Maryland ranks lower. No other Maryland jurisdiction is in the top 25.

The full list of counties, as well as their population counts, is visible here.

The 13 indicators the Brookings study team used to do the rankings fall into five categories, as follows:

  • Wealth, as measured by Black median household income; rate of entrepreneurship; and homeownership;
  • Human and social capital, as measured by bachelor’s degree or higher educational attainment; performance on elementary and secondary school exams; geographic diversity of friend networks (measured through the location of Facebook friends); levels of religious affiliation; and the share of foreign-born Black residents;
  • Environmental quality, as measured by levels of air pollution and living in moderate or low population density areas;
  • Safety, as measured by low levels of gun violence or homicide and high rates of people commuting to work by bicycle or walking;
  • Family health, as measured by the share of Black children who live with their father.

The top 20 U.S. counties with highest Black Progress Index score, actual life expectancy, and life years unexplained by model

No Virginia metro area ranked in the top 20 U.S. metropolitan areas with highest Black Progress Index score, but it’s apparent from the study that the healthiest areas for Blacks to live are also the healthiest areas for ALL people to live : well-to-do suburban counties.

For example, there’s a correlation (no surprise here) between being college- educated and life expectancy. “The Black college attainment rate is very high in several counties in the Atlanta, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C. metro areas, including Forsyth County, Ga. (56%); Howard County, Md. (54%); and Arlington and Loudoun counties, Va. (51% and 50%, respectively). Life expectancy for Black adults in these places is also very high, ranging from 79.4 in Howard County to 82.4 in Loudoun County. ”

Interestingly, police shootings of Black suspects was NOT a factor in life expectancy. Brookings writes in a footnote: “We considered other variables that may predict either safety or high levels of discrimination, such as the number of police officers per capita, deaths from police encounters per capita, hate crimes per capita, and anti-Black hate crimes per capita. None of these variables were statistically significant in predicting Black life expectancy in the presence of our other 13 variables, so they were not included in the final model.”

In other words, facts -– not fear and hurt feelings and the whims of activists — should be used to make public policy and guide how we deal with racism, whether in the schools or other programs of government. Seems to Brookings that Virginia counties are pretty good places for African Americans to live and to thrive.

Ken Reid is a former Loudoun County supervisor and member of the Leesburg Town Council and currently lives in Tysons Corner. He is active in Republican politics in Virginia and authored the book, The Six Secrets to Winning ANY Local Election and Navigating Elected Office Once You Win.


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Comments

21 responses to “Three Virginia Counties Are Great Places for Black People to Live”

  1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    Fairfax, Loudoun, Prince William and Montgomery Counties… all run by Democrats… not surprising results…

    1. Lefty665 Avatar

      No more surprising than that Baltimore, D.C., Richmond, Portsmouth and Norfolk… all run by Democrats… have extraordinarily high murder and crime rates.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        Well, I don’t see any of those Trump country counties on the list…

        1. how_it_works Avatar
          how_it_works

          Warrick County, Indiana. 2nd on the list.

          But being from Virginia, you probably overlooked it. It’s OK. We know it’s in “flyover country” and doesn’t matter.

          EDIT: And Putnam County, NY, which is #1 on the list, isn’t run by democrats either, and Trump won that county in 2020.

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            Yes, this being a Virginia specific post on a Virginia blog, I was referring to Virginia Trump counties.

          2. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            The economic condition of Virginia’s counties has much less to do with the politicians in charge of them and more to do with their distance from DC.

          3. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            I know… I just like poking Ken… he has made similar claims (albeit pro-Republican) in the past and I just couldn’t let him slide…

          4. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            It’s pretty common for politicians on both sides to take credit for things they have nothing to do with, and it’s BS either way.

        2. Lefty665 Avatar

          Comes under the heading of those in glass houses and throwing (political) stones.

          The above named Democratic run cities undoubtedly fall under the worst places for black people to live yet are where a far greater percentage live than in the counties you extol.

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            Again, I don’t see Virginia Republican run counties on this list… Of course, it would certainly be a different list if it were best counties for White Americans to thrive, eh? Rural Va would most certainly make a showing then…. right…?? Then again… perhaps not….

    2. Ken Reid Avatar

      Dems have only controlled the Loudoun and Prince William boards since Jan. 2020, but perhaps the counties are great places to live due to bipartisan leadership — including the GOP Boards in control prior to 2019 — but mainly federal govt. largesse (i.e. federal contractor jobs).

  2. Fred Costello Avatar
    Fred Costello

    Thanks, Ken.

  3. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    So, a white Republican politician tells Black people what a great life they have. Makes as much sense as a Kerry Dougherty column.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      White Republican is a pejorative to you, Peter, we get it. But then so is Black Republican – see the Lt. Governor as example.

      This white Republican is quoting Brookings statistics. Probably the last straw, right.

      You should celebrate the ratings of Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William in this survey. He does.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        “White Republican is a pejorative to you, Peter, we get it. But then so is Black Republican…”

        What is the common denominator now…??

    2. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
      f/k/a_tmtfairfax

      Doesn’t the Post and the Times do the same thing by explaining that everyone, including blacks, are better off with Democrats? But then, America’s most unethical profession is always held to a different standard than they use for some other.

  4. how_it_works Avatar
    how_it_works

    And all 3 counties just happen to be within “easy” commuting distance to DC…

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      You must never have made that commute. Loudoun and Prince William don’t have metro stations.

      1. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        It’s why I put “easy” in quotes.

        And PWC does have VRE.

        Though if you leave at 5am there’s not much traffic on either I66 or I95. You can sleep in your car until the office opens.

  5. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    Jim S. Have you ever thought of why so few (if any) People of Color participate on this blog? Could it be white people talking about Black people to white people?

    1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
      Eric the half a troll

      OLD white guys… a subset…

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