Things Are Not Always As Intuitive As They May Seem

Photo credit: CNBC

by Dick Hall-Sizemore

Sometimes, public policy proposals can be counterintuitive.

Virginia law authorizes health insurance companies to charge smokers up to 50% greater than the premium that would otherwise be effective. The 2022 General Assembly passed legislation that would have repealed this authorization. The bills, HB 675 (Hope, D-Arlington) and SB 422 (Edwards, D-Roanoke), passed both houses with strong bipartisan majorities.

The Governor vetoed them.  His explanation for the vetoes was:

Smoking and tobacco use are among the leading causes of chronic health problems that result in higher healthcare costs. This legislation would force insurance companies to recover costs associated with tobacco users by raising premiums on non-tobacco users. The ability to reduce premiums by quitting smoking is also a valuable incentive to encourage healthier habits.

Requiring non-tobacco users to cover the increased healthcare costs associated with tobacco use is not a policy I can support.

On its face, this explanation sounds reasonable. After all, society should discourage smoking and no one wants to subsidize unhealthful habits.

However, and this is where the counterintuitive part kicks in, the legislation was a recommendation of the Joint Commission on Health Care. The Commission is a bipartisan standing commission of the General Assembly, established in the Code. Its mission is to conduct research and make recommendations to “ensure that the Commonwealth as provider, financier, and regulator adopts the most cost-effective and efficacious means of delivery of health care services so that the greatest number of Virginians receive quality health care.” The Commission has a professional staff of six, plus administrative staff, to support it.

In a 2021 report, the Commission examined, among other issues, the tobacco use surcharge on health insurance premiums. It reported, “The purpose of the tobacco surcharge is to encourage people to take advantage of tobacco cessation programs offered by insurers. However, numerous studies have found that the tobacco surcharge does not promote tobacco cessation and is more likely to act as a barrier to coverage, especially for individuals with low income.”

Furthermore, its analysis indicated that eliminating the surcharge could result in an overall decrease in premiums by as much as 3%. The decrease would be the result of lower-income people who are currently priced out of the health insurance market due to the surcharge, being able to buy health insurance. The Commission reported that “the number of individual market enrollees is estimated to increase by as much as 13,000 compared to the baseline under current law” if the surcharge were eliminated.

In summary, the Governor’s contention, “This legislation would force insurance companies to recover costs associated with tobacco users by raising premiums on non-tobacco users,” is not supported by evidence. In fact, analysis flatly contradicts the Governor’s claim. Evidence also does not bear out his claim that the ability to avoid the tobacco surcharge is a “a valuable incentive to encourage healthier habits.”

The Governor’s rationale is faulty in another aspect. He justifies the tobacco surcharge on “chronic health problems” caused by tobacco use. The Commission reports that “tobacco use of any kind among the adult population is less than 20%.” However, more than one-third of the population is obese and obesity is linked to more than 60 chronic diseases. If tobacco users have to pay up to 50% more for health insurance due to the health problems associated with tobacco, why shouldn’t obese individuals be subject to the same surcharge?

This legislation likely would have resulted in lower health insurance premiums for Virginia residents, or, at least, less of an increase, and more people covered by health insurance were it not for the Governor’s action.


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Comments

31 responses to “Things Are Not Always As Intuitive As They May Seem”

  1. Maybe I’m missing something, but how does preventing low-income smokers from taking on insurance cause higher premiums? Or said another way, if they take on insurance, then premiums go down. If they don’t take on insurance, they aren’t in the insurance pool. If they aren’t in the pool, they don’t cause higher costs. Unless the assumption is that low-income smokers are healthier than the average joe insured. Register me a cynic.

    Those costs get borne somewhere for sure, just not by an insurance company.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      I am just reporting what the state’s experts on health policy have concluded. I assume that the additional 13,000 enrollees would bring in enough premium revenue to more than offset any additional health care costs the companies would have to cover.

      1. Right, and I didn’t intend that to seem argumentative with you; just seems counter-intuitive to me.

      2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
        James C. Sherlock

        See my comments on “the state’s experts on health policy” above.

  2. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    so a good time to go GOOGLE “medical underwriting”:

    so not just cigarettes but other factors, like opioid use, pre-existing conditions like diabetes and heart disease AND age.

    If insurers used (could use) medical underwriting, vast segments of our population could not obtain insurance.

    Youngkin doesn’t like cigarettes. What about opioids? or obesity or diabetes or heart disease from overeating and a lack of exercise?

  3. James McCarthy Avatar
    James McCarthy

    Insurance premium rates will never contribute to affecting an addiction. Far too many policy wonks are wed to such beliefs. Thanx for parsing the counterintuitive conflict.

  4. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    I see quite a few no votes on the House side. Somebody disagreed with the bill, and then took the argument up to the Governor’s Office. Just because the Joint Commission says it was a good idea doesn’t mean there wasn’t a contrary argument.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      I’ll say this for a newcomer/outsider to State politics – Youngkin is a quick learner! I think Dems will rue the day he was elected!

      1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
        Dick Hall-Sizemore

        He has Richard Cullen and Matt Moran, a longtime legislative insider, advising him.

    2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      Only one “nay” vote on the Senate side. I suspect some of the House votes in opposition were cast because Patrick Hope was the chief patron.

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        They don’t read bills in the Senate. They play follow the leader. Look at the House nays and you will see it is not fully partisan, at least not on the Edwards bill (which would have come through second.) Your animus is showing again. Neither the Guv nor the GA need to do what some “expert” commission tells them.

        Frankly, it doesn’t seem many read bills all that closely in the House, either, anymore…

        And don’t assume his veto cannot be overturned. He zapped so many, it is bound to happen on some.

    3. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      BTW Steve, DMV inadvertently left the HUF off the spousal unit’s tag renewal. They just billed me $34 bucks with no explanation. The bill simplybsaid, “$56 paid should have been $92. Remit $33.xx by May 15,” as though I had made the mistake.

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        I’ve got this lovely letter on my desk from Tax, unhappy with something on my return. This is the year for wrestling with the state bureaucracy apparently. I will comply because this time they owe me!

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Uh, no. You just owed them less. But, if it makes you feel better…

          1. Stephen Haner Avatar
            Stephen Haner

            Credit where it is due! A fairly brief phone call to the number on the letter cleared it up, so I must note good customer service! Tax still one of my favorite agencies…

          2. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            Ah, there is a difference between DoTax and DMV. One looks for surly as a plus. I like the VMRC guys.

          3. Stephen Haner Avatar
            Stephen Haner

            Credit where it is due! A fairly brief phone call to the number on the letter cleared it up, so I must note good customer service! Tax still one of my favorite agencies…

      2. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        I’ve got this lovely letter on my desk from Tax, unhappy with something on my return. This is the year for wrestling with the state bureaucracy apparently. I will comply because this time they owe me!

  5. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
    f/k/a_tmtfairfax

    I agree with Dick. Smoking is a behavior that, with support, can be overcome. Lung cancer or emphysema are medical conditions.

  6. vicnicholls Avatar
    vicnicholls

    If the insurances would pay for obesity surgeries, with say a 3 month diet/exercise plan before then, I would say go for it.

  7. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Uh, this was part of the ACA. And, if I recall the Ins cos tried for a fat tax too. But, that would have been a pre-existing condition, eh?

    Although, I may have misspoke about the smoking tax and the ACA, and the advanced premium DOES cover some of it. The notion of collecting more from smokers goes back to 1996 at least.

    My neighbor in Texas had her 18-year old on her policy. Her daughter went for a physical, and her blood work indicated tobacco use. The doctors in Texas report this to the insurance companies and *poof* my neighbor’s premiums exploded.

    1. smoking would be a behavior rather than a condition

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Yes. Smoking is a behavior. Fat is a physical condition.

        But wait! Is being an addictive personality actually a mental health condition?

        1. Plus, drinking too many sodas and not eating an appropriate diet are behaviors that lead to bad conditions just like smoking

  8. DJRippert Avatar
    DJRippert

    “The purpose of the tobacco surcharge is to encourage people to take advantage of tobacco cessation programs offered by insurers. However, numerous studies have found that the tobacco surcharge does not promote tobacco cessation and is more likely to act as a barrier to coverage, especially for individuals with low income.”

    That’s the key fallacy.

    The purpose of the surcharge is to match the costs of health insurance with the self-imposed risks to health that come from willful bad behavior.

    Smoking is not some genetic malady, it is a choice.

    People who choose to smoke, on average, have more medical problems.

    Why should those who refrain from smoking underwrite those who smoke?

  9. walter smith Avatar
    walter smith

    Why shouldn’t the obese pay more?
    Yes. Why shouldn’t they?
    Same with smokers.
    Prior to the government “help,” people were responsible for their own health care. So we got employer provided insurance as a fringe benefit…because of government wage freezes… and then we got Medicare and the result has been incredible expansion of costs. Same with government “help” in education. We now have kids leaving college with a mortgage worth of college debt and no knowledge and they feel screwed…because they were! But it is not my job to bail out their bad choices.
    So the ultimate problem with the Committee analysis is it starts from the presumption that insurance is the answer. It is not necessarily the answer. Insurance is a good thing. It was my career. But it should be priced properly and incentives should be aligned.
    Shouldn’t speeders be charged more?
    This can go on and on. But if I engage in healthy habits, why should I pay for someone’s intentional bad habits?
    Also the hypocrisy… If the tobacco extortion payments ever stop, there would be a huge budget problem… Just like all the gambling money. The government has already proved it is a whore, now we’re just quibbling over price…

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      If health insurance companies including the ones that provide insurance to employers could use medical underwriting like car insurance and life insurance do, many people would not be covered or coverage would cost 3, 4, 5 times what it costs right now.

      And coverage would be based on risk – whether it was your own habits or your age or your health conditions through no fault of your own.

      That would be the “free market” for health insurance that we often hear some folks advocating.

      The govt requires health insurance companies who provide employer -provided to offer insurance to all employees regardless of their age or health and with some exceptions – at the same premium cost – totally not “free market”.

      If you have employer-provided insurance, what you often see is two classes of coverage – self and family and if you get either one, the premium is pretty much the same (except for smoking I think) – no matter your age or your existing health issues.

      1. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
        f/k/a_tmtfairfax

        The ACA restricts insurance companies from charging older people age 64 and older more than three times as much as 21- to 24-year-olds for the same plan.

      2. walter smith Avatar
        walter smith

        Thanks for proving my point Larry.
        The point is that there are many disruptions of the market and pricing and incentives. The young subsidize the old. Single men subsidize pregnancy coverage. Many States are requiring that “we” subsidize transgender treatments. Women are safer and worse drivers, in different ways. So many of our problems in the healthcare market are due to the government induced “help.” Getting back to a free and efficient market may be impossible, especially with ignorance and with the bleeding heart commercials, appealing to emption and not reason. Even the charitable hospital systems have been corrupted… We need to go back to freedom and innovation.

  10. James C. Sherlock Avatar
    James C. Sherlock

    “The legislation was a recommendation of the Joint Commission on Health Care. The Commission is a bipartisan standing commission of the General Assembly, established in the Code. Its mission is to conduct research and make recommendations to “ensure that the Commonwealth as provider, financier, and regulator adopts the most cost-effective and efficacious means of delivery of health care services so that the greatest number of Virginians receive quality health care.”

    Dick, you and I agree on a lot of things, but if you consider the Joint Commission on Health Care to be an asset to the people of Virginia that has carried out that mission, we certainly disagree on that. Some examples:

    – That organization has never taken on the utter failure of the Department of Health in many of its most important tasks like facility inspections.
    – It has never noticed the public takeover of the Department of Health by the VHHA.
    – It does not notice the cost to Virginians of the hospital system monopolies in each of our metro areas except Richmond.
    – I have briefed that panel multiple times on issues that you would support, starting with Health Enterprise Zones. I have never found it responsive to any new idea.

    I could go on, but you get the idea. It has been blind to major health care issues right out in the open for them to see.

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