The Ten-Year Tab for Economic Development Incentives: $3 Billion

Source: “Economic Development Incentives 2021: Spending and Performance”

by James A. Bacon

Virginia spent $3 billion on economic incentive programs during the decade of the 2010s (between FY 2011 to FY 2020), equivalent to 1.5% of the total General Fund budget. Although there is considerable variability from year to year, incentives grew roughly twice as rapidly as the rest of the total budget, concludes the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission (JLARC) in a new report.

About 70% of incentive “spending” was comprised of tax credits and exemptions, and the lion’s share of those went to data centers.

The numbers are likely to increase in the next few years as the massive incentives to Amazon, which located its East Coast headquarters in Arlington, start kicking in.

Although most of the biggest grants and tax breaks went to projects in Virginia’s major metropolitan areas, on a per capita basis, localities in Southwest and Southside Virginia were the biggest benefactors.

That bias is explainable, at least in part, by the fact that one of the biggest sources of grants — tobacco-settlement funds amounting to $336 million over the decade — was the largest pot of economic-development grant money available to the state. Funding is restricted to projects in Southside and Southwest Virginia.

The biggest individual recipients of economic developing incentives include Amazon’s HQ2 project in Arlington ($750 million), Newport News Shipbuilding in Newport News ($86.8 million), and Micron Semiconductor in Manassas ($70 million). 

Sixty-eight percent of the economic development projects met or exceeded their goals for capital investment or other spending. Forty-six percent met their average wage goals, and only 25% met their job-creation goals. Grant awards totaling $181 million were canceled, reduced, or recaptured for projects that did not meet their goals.

JLARC made no effort in this study to conduct a cost-benefit analysis of the incentives, a topic it has addressed in previous reports.


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10 responses to “The Ten-Year Tab for Economic Development Incentives: $3 Billion”

  1. Wahoo'74 Avatar

    I support tax credits IF they result in more jobs and permanent capital investment in the state. If not there ought to be a clawback for tax breaks granted. That’s only fair and holds the companies feet to the fire.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      Yes. We KNOW that for govt spending for “stimulus” actually generates additional jobs – more than if the money was not spent by the govt but retained by taxpayers.

      why is that? One might think that a job would also be produced from that dollar left in the private sector, so why do stimulus spending produce more jobs with the govt spending that dollar rather than the private sector?

      For tax credits – basically isn’t that making an exception for govt taxing (and spending) to send the money back to the private sector for that specific credit – on the premise that it WILL generate a better return.

      I believe, in fact that JLARC actually did such a study:

      Review of the Effectiveness of Virginia Tax Preferences

      http://jlarc.virginia.gov/pdfs/reports/Rpt425.pdf

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        “…so why do stimulus spending produce more jobs with the govt spending that dollar rather than the private sector?”

        Because in the private sector the tax dollars returned to the company are transferred to the shareholders instead of invested back into business expansion – aka the Trump tax cut lesson learned (by some at least).

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          yes, but do the investors then “hold’ that money rather than send it back into the economy like the stimulus dollars do?

          so tax cuts – “held”, not spent, don’t really flow back into the economy like stimulus dollars do? so those dollars are presumably invested in something that generates a return from some dollar-generating activity?

          but if the economy is not doing well, businesses not expanding, the invested dollars do not generate as good of a return than a well-functioning economy where businesses are expanding?

          so tax cuts won’t really improve the economy if those cuts are not “spent” but just held to increase wealth?

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            “…yes, but do the investors then “hold’ that money rather than send it back into the economy like the stimulus dollars do?”

            Not nearly at the same rate. A large percentage of those returned dollars investors inherited sit in 401k accounts or stock certs as unrealized capital gains (perhaps yielding dividends) – another tax avoidance ploy…

  2. how_it_works Avatar
    how_it_works

    “economic incentive programs” = “we know our state kinda sucks, here’s some money to make up for it”

  3. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    I am highly skeptical of the utility of these economic development incentives. Every analysis I have seen of the factors companies are looking for in their search for a location in which to build their facility lists incentives way down the list. Quality of the work force, transportation, infrastructure, quality of life always top the list. I have often assumed that state and local governments are giving incentives to companies that would have located in their area without the incentives. An article in Forbes gives companies that advice: Ask yourself if you would locate there without the incentive. If the answer is not a definite “yes”, move on. https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbeshumanresourcescouncil/2019/02/06/the-three-most-important-factors-in-office-site-selection-workforce-workforce-workforce/?sh=43e9d87f56ef

    One data point stuck out for me in the report: only 25 percent of the companies met their announced employment goals.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      Given the reality that many new ventures can fail and that even professionals and direct investors don’t have certainty either, I’m not surprised but agree that incentives probably only come into play when there is a tie between two places. So bottom line, I don’t think thee is an expectation or should be one of guaranteed success. It’s clearly a calculated risk.

  4. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Broadband in rural America? Hmmm. I don’t think increasing the QAnon following is such a good idea.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      the internet in general has done a marvelous job of uniting folks who will “believe” lies and conspiracy theories …. all the while complaining about media ‘bias”…. 😉

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