The Revolution Has Been Postponed, Not Canceled

by Steve Haner

The revolution has merely been postponed, not cancelled.

Governor Ralph Northam has asked the General Assembly to put off until May 1, 2021, the implementation of several key pro-union changes in Virginia’s labor and employment laws, including a 31% increase in the minimum wage.

Saturday, April 11, was the deadline for Northam’s consideration of the 2020 General Assembly’s output. He had to choose whether to sign, veto or propose amendments to hundreds of successful bills. The amendments he proposed will be put to a vote in the General Assembly reconvened session on April 22.

Will enough legislators of his own Democratic Party join him in disappointing the key constituency of the Democratic Party? Union leaders expressed their fury in the wake of his announcements, so that battle is joined. In the meantime, do not ignore the dozens of other bills which were signed which also damage the business climate in Virginia going forward.

When you see all of the “pro-worker” legislation signed and touted by the Governor in one combined list, it is crystal clear that liberal Democrats (and there appears to be few centrist Democrats left) believe many Virginia employers were refusing to pay, misclassifying, punishing, discriminating against or otherwise abusing workers until the new Democratic majority came along to offer salvation.

Business owners and their advocates pushed back on the claims they were bad actors, but even the most ethical and careful now need to fear lawsuits. The long list of bills includes several creating new ways for employees to sue their employers, for actual damages, punitive damages and attorney’s fees, with no consequences for frivolous or even malicious claims.

Along with new causes of action for employees, business owners must also be concerned about civil actions brought by aggrieved job applicants and even customers under expanded anti-discrimination rules, also accompanied by the opportunity to collect punitive damages and attorney’s fees. How much to pay employees and whether they are unionized may be the least of the new challenges.

Four highly controversial proposals sought by the unions were subjected to amendments, as the economic crisis from the COVID-19 shutdown underlined and strengthened business complaints about their impact. The Governor’s proposed delays add weight to those arguments of economic harm, but the short respite he proposes won’t really soften the blows.

The four measures (each with duplicate bills) he proposes to delay are:

  • House Bill 395 and Senate Bill 7, which raise the minimum wage to $9.50 per hour as of January 1, 2021. Under the Governor’s amendments, the minimum wage would increase beginning May 1, 2021. With additional General Assembly approval , the minimum would rise to $15 by 2026. It also applies the minimum level to more workers.
  • House Bill 833 and Senate Bill 8, which requires payment of “prevailing wages” as defined by the federal Davis-Bacon Act by contractors doing business with certain government bodies, unless the contracts are for less than $250,000.
  • House Bill 582 and Senate Bill 939, which permit localities (but not the state) to enter into collective bargaining agreements with local employees.
  • House Bill 358 and Senate Bill 182, which allow state and local bodies to require project labor agreements for construction, manufacture, maintenance, or operation of public works. Under the Governor’s amendments, this law would take effect May 1, 2021.

The final three proposals were all set to go into effect July 1 of this year, so they would be delayed by ten months if the Governor’s amendments are approved. That delay would push their implementation beyond the November elections, and would allow the 2021 General Assembly a chance to revisit the issues before implementation.

Should the amendments be rejected April 22, and they will if Democratic legislators unify in opposition, the bills go into effect as originally scheduled. The Governor could take the additional step of vetoing bills after his amendments are rejected, but he won’t.

As the United States, and perhaps Virginia, went from record low to record high unemployment in a fortnight, the value of jobs – both to those employed and those who live off the taxes generated – has been underlined. Millions of jobs that disappeared in the crisis at one level of cost to employers will now cost substantially more (for entry level low skill positions one third more) to restore. Will they all come back? A great economic experiment now begins.

The business groups normally so successful in the General Assembly fought these measures, seeking to defeat them or amend them into form that would be less damaging to future growth. No one realized at the time that the real issue would be economic recovery, not economic growth.

To his credit, Governor Northam listened to the many Virginians who correctly pointed to the changed circumstances, and he has proposed a brief pause. The same arguments are being made to the legislators who must approve or reject the pause. Each individual measure needs its own examination, but the overall impact of the package is clear: Virginia now distrusts its employers, distrusts the free market, and as was said often during the recent session, what has passed is merely prologue.

Stephen D. Haner is Senior Fellow for State and Local Tax Policy for the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy. This column was published originally in the Jefferson Journal, a publication of the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy.


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41 responses to “The Revolution Has Been Postponed, Not Canceled”

  1. djrippert Avatar
    djrippert

    Our government’s bungled response to the health crisis will now be followed by a bungled response to the economic crisis the government exacerbated. Furloughed workers don’t qualify for unemployment since they are not actively seeking employment, the state can’t process the unemployment claims of those who have been fired, paper stimulus checks will take until May to get into the mail. Meanwhile, I’m left wondering about federal assistance at $600 per week for 4 months. At least, that’s what’s I understand the plan to be. $600 / 40 = $15. Why would anyone go back to work for less than $15 per hour until that benefit expires?

    Northam had to hire McKinsey to find medical equipment. Maybe he ought to get a head start on the economic recovery by hiring Accenture or Deloitte to run that effort.

  2. Steve Haner Avatar
    Steve Haner

    Note to readers: Going forward, I’m suspending my near-daily activity on Bacon’s Rebellion. As I publish items in other venues, if Jim is interested in sharing them, he will remain welcome to. My intention is to provide more time and energy to the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy. Your attention over the past 24 months (330 direct posts, per the WordPress software) has been appreciated.

    1. Sorry to hear Steve…thank you for the articles!

    2. Steve, your work to shine a light on Dominion/legislative capture/regulatory capture has been top notch and I hope it ultimately bears fruit. I’ve also appreciated your insights on the General Assembly. Good luck.

    3. Congratulations but sorry to see you go Steve. Excellent work you are doing. Love reading your stuff.

    4. johnrandolphofroanoke Avatar
      johnrandolphofroanoke

      So long Mr. Haner! Come back to the Rebellion when you can. Your wise counsel will be missed.

    5. Devastating to think we’ll not continue to be a witness to your spear-throwing skills here. TJI’s gain is, I hope, not entirely our loss. Please let us see your byline at the top of BR columns again, at least once in a while.

  3. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
    Reed Fawell 3rd

    Steve,

    Was Virginia Values Act signed by Governor as it was passed by General Assembly, turning these lawsuits into a plaintiffs’ lawyer’s money making machines, giving lawyers power by suit or threat of it to strip capital reserves of Virginia businesses dry?

    see; https://www.baconsrebellion.com/virginia-values-act-trial-lawyers-win-business-climate-loses/

    1. Steve Haner Avatar
      Steve Haner

      Yes, no amendments proposed. Rated its own individual news release:
      https://www.governor.virginia.gov/newsroom/all-releases/2020/april/headline-856051-en.html

      Just noticed Jim’s choice of art. April 2019 we were in the Louvre and that piece was a highlight of that memorable day. Thanks.

      1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
        Reed Fawell 3rd

        Steve, I want to thank you for contribution to these comments. They will be sorely missed. But I understand. I hope your articles keep coming. They are invaluable, indeed irreplaceable. Great job. Great good luck. Keep the faith.

        1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
          Reed Fawell 3rd

          Crazy,

          You are yet another eagle forever surprised when running with turkeys. Take your recent comment about how leftist laws for everything alive or dead in America end up killing all they touch, it was spot on. Yet it sailed like an eagle over heads amid weeds, muck, and occasional squawk.

      2. CrazyJD Avatar

        A Delacroix, no?

        1. Steve Haner Avatar
          Steve Haner

          Oui.

  4. Anyone here ever been an employer/business owner? Not being sarcastic, earnest question.

    1. djrippert Avatar
      djrippert

      Yes, two partners and I started a technology company which we sold to a larger company after years of building up the business. The three of us are considering a new technology start up. In fact, we held a videoconference to discuss the matter yesterday. All three of us are long-time Virginia residents. It is very unlikely that we will establish the new business in Virginia if we do decide to proceed.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        which state(s) do you favor instead?

        I am not an owner but I am good friends with several. Two that deal with rental sports equipment and wedding venues are out of business. The one that is a CPA is still doing well.

  5. matthurt92 Avatar
    matthurt92

    I’m sure that many businesses will choose to flee Virginia for one of the free states still left in the Union. The problem with this is that the effects of these laws may not be as apparent. A couple of years ago I researched federal spending, and found that Virginia received a greater share of federal spending per capita than any other state. This included all federal funds. This tells me that the federal government will continue to subsidize the decline of private businesses in our state. What a shame.

    1. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
      Reed Fawell 3rd

      I agree with matthurt92,

      These laws, in my view, will destroy Virginia’s reputation as a good place to do business. They will severely harm Virginia’s reputation as a good, vibrant and healthy place to live. They will tear the fabric of Virginia’s society apart.

      This, of course, has already started in Virginia, as witnessed in the spring and summer of 2017 in Charlottesville, where Virginia’s leaders refused to enforce Virginia’s laws, and refused to enforce citizens rights under Virginia law, and those leaders failed to enforce those laws for their own private political advantage.

      Now, these very same leaders are building and weaponizing new laws to strip Virginia businesses of their rights and wealth, and to pit one group(s) of citizens against other groups of citizens.

      This is being done to enrich lawyers supporting and including these leaders, and groups who are also considered political supporters of the party in power, at the expense of all other citizens in the state.

      Under these laws, Virginia will end up as surveillance state, where citizens live in fear, under the iron boot of ideologues operating for private advantages within a single party, a ruthless party that shreds the rights of all those who disagree with them, or simply fail to support them. Again, Virginia is already seeing this in Loudoun County, Virginia, starting with its schools, and extending beyond.

      Witness this earlier exchange on BR:

      TooManyRegulations | February 13, 2020 at 11:13 am | Reply

      Spencer, time to be “woke” to politics.

      Any support by Republicans is mostly likley due to 1) supporting the legal industrial complex 2) supporting big business lobbying that lines thier pockets and pays thier club memberships 3) fear of cancel culture in marginal districts

      The only folks that win in court are the lawyers. This law is designed to give lawyers another way to do a shakedown. The people that this is claimed to protect, will get little benefit from it.

      Regardless of party, the General Assembly and congress are filled with lawyers who pass laws to benefit the legal profession. They pass laws that benefit the political profession. Thus, many of us see little difference between Republican and Democrats are in power.

      The publicly promoted issue, is just chrome.

      Reed Fawell 3rd | February 13, 2020 at 11:46 am | Reply

      While I agree with above comment, I see the greatest threat of this law is that it empowers and makes highly profitable political shakedowns of people and businesses deemed opponents.

      Thus the law is designed to coerce behavior from those deemed political opponents, as well as extort money from them. These are the tactics employed by the likes of Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton that became institutionalized during the Obama administration, and so now have morphed into deputized variants like Antifa that became Janissaries of the political left of Democratic party.

      Hence the law takes leftist politics to whole new level under the disguise of lawful state action.

      1. djrippert Avatar
        djrippert

        Yep. In the technology business you need to plan for success. And success if it comes at all, can come fast. That means being able to hire dozens of people per month while still a private concern that consumes more cash than it generates. The only place in Virginia with a sufficiently deep talent pool for that kind of growth (in technology) is NoVa. But the quality of life is so bad in NoVa (due to incompetent state government decisions) that really talented people leave. They go to Austin, Raleigh, Salt Lake City, Boise, Nashville, etc. Places with functioning transportation systems. Places with vibrant night life. We may be able to bribe mammoth companies like Amazon with CEOs who crave the national political limelight to come to Virginia but we’ve never built a start-up culture beyond federal contractors. And we never will. The good news is that Amazon’s Arlington operation ought to become a good recruiting target. Fine the talented engineers and promise them good jobs outside of the dysfunctional confines of Northern Virginia.

        1. TooManyTaxes Avatar
          TooManyTaxes

          “we’ve never built a start-up culture beyond federal contractors.”
          Interestingly, a few years ago, then head of the Fairfax County Economic Development Authority, Dr. Gerry Gordon, opined that NoVA does not have the type of risk takers needed to develop a high-tech hub of businesses beyond government contractors. In his view (and mine), government contractors are risk avoiders not takers. I identified Dr. Gordon now that he’s retired.

          Fairfax County is still tied to the real estate development model for growth over quality of life. Til Hazel taught them well. Tysons was designed to enrich landowners and not attract businesses to Fairfax County. There are a lot of new and attractive buildings in Tysons but most of new tenants aren’t really new. They moved from other locations nearby to the new space, vacating older ones.

          1. djrippert Avatar
            djrippert

            I don’t agree with the “risk taking” theory. Never have. Lots of technology start-ups get a foothold in NoVa. AOL, UUNet, MCI, PSINet, NeuStar, ComScore, ScienceLogic, etc.

            What never seems to happen is the “cluster effect” seen elsewhere. Entrepreneurs get rich in NoVa and then leave because the quality of life sucks. Places like Silicon Valley and Austin develop serial entrepreneurs. They found one company after another. The capital from one success goes largely into the next effort. There are so many “hot start-ups” that employees move from one to the next rapidly building a world class resume.

            Land development is a problem in NoVa and always has been. Speculative asshats using corrupt government to build get rich quick developments that never pay for themselves. These white collar looters are then off to rural Loudoun’s horse country before their Rube Goldberg communities collapse into transportation chaos.

            Meanwhile, the state just keeps sucking the money out of NoVa.

            The federal contractors put up with NoVa because they have no choice. They need to be in DC. Everybody else gets out as soon as they can.

          2. Reed Fawell 3rd Avatar
            Reed Fawell 3rd

            TMT repeats “we’ve never built a start-up culture beyond federal contractors … a few years ago, then head of the Fairfax County Economic Development Authority, Dr. Gerry Gordon, opined that NoVA does not have the type of risk takers needed to develop a high-tech hub of businesses beyond government contractors. In his view (and mine), government contractors are risk avoiders not takers … Fairfax County is still tied to the real estate development model for growth over quality of life.”

            Sad to say, it’s true.

            Plus since the Civil War Northern Virginia’s essentially has been a Government town, living off of Washington DC. across the river. But now it’s got this enormously powerful wild card we call Amazon, nestled alongside a weak, ineffective state government akin to a kleptocracy run by crony Pol. lawyers, local business moguls, and race hustlers. Thus the only legitimate player right now is Amazon (plus a a few highly competent state employees.) By default Amazon’s runs the place, or keeps it afloat, if it still wants it.

            That of course can change rapidly with a new legitimate government.

          3. TooManyTaxes Avatar
            TooManyTaxes

            MCI never did anything with technology. It took advantage of federal government policies that subsidized local telephone rates with high long distance rates and AT&T’s monopolist behavior. It was generally known as a law firm with microwave towers.

            NeuStar was founded as a spinoff of Lockheed Martin that obtained, but did not want to keep, a contract to run local telephone number portability for the FCC. Most recently, it’s been challenging the loss of this contract because it became bloated and inefficient.

            I’ll concede UUNet, PSINet and AOL. Never heard of ComScore & ScienceLogic. Maybe I hang out with the wrong crowd. My VoIP pals never talk about them.

            Real estate developers. Case in point the 600-foot tower in Tysons’ the View development. In order to meet the “limits” of development that infrastructure can support and to be fair to all developers, Fairfax County established a 400-foot height limit on buildings with some minor exceptions. The developer of the View who believe themselves quite special, initially proposed a 600-foot building that was not accepted by the County. So it proposed 400 feet of occupiable space with a 200-foot glass architectural feature above that (in order to be the highest structure in the D.C. Metro.

            Fairfax County approved this. But think about it. Who is going to finance 200-feet of unusable space? How much higher rents will businesses pay to be in a building with a 200-foot empty space above it?

    2. djrippert Avatar
      djrippert

      Yes. Taxes don’t really kill technology start-ups. Talent, capital and regulation (or, more accurately, the lack thereof) are key. There’s no way I’d start a business in Virginia right now. In fact, there is no state in the NorthEast where I’d start a new business. And Virginia, with the latest General Assembly session, officially joined the NorthEast. Utah, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, Idaho and Georgia are good choices.

      Nobody who knows what they are doing wants to invest in a company in a state where some random employee can take down the company with a frivolous lawsuit. The fact that our General Assembly is too focused on virtue signaling to understand that is a testament to their lack of value as a governing body.

      If Virginia didn’t have the federal government on two doorsteps it would be Mississippi no matter what our General Assembly thinks.

      1. A blue Mississippi?

        1. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          ha ha ha… yep.. like a “blue” Georgia or Texas? Oh wait…..

          Both are in danger of going blue though I wonder about Mississippi.

          They’re more likely than places like Kansas… or Arkansas…

        2. djrippert Avatar
          djrippert

          Naw. The only thing that attracts carpetbaggers like Kathleen Murphy is the federal money. Take that away and the refugees from the Northeast go elsewhere. Virginia without the federal government stays very red.

    3. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      unless I misunderstand and surely will be corrected:

      “With the Governor’s signing of the Virginia Values Act, we have made discrimination against our gay, lesbian and transgender friends, family, neighbors and co-workers in employment, housing and public accommodation illegal in the Commonwealth of Virginia,”

      ” Twenty one states, the District of Columbia, Guam, and Puerto Rico have statutes that protect against both sexual orientation and gender identity discrimination in employment in the public and private sector: California,[28] Colorado,[29] Connecticut, Delaware,[30] Hawaii,[31] Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota,[27] Nevada,[32] New Hampshire,[33] New Jersey,[34] New Mexico, New York,[35] Oregon, Rhode Island, Utah, Vermont, and Washington. Two states Michigan[36] and Pennsylvania,[37][38] have acquired such protections through executive orders, court rulings or binding decisions by their respective civil rights commissions.

      In addition, two states, Indiana and Wisconsin prohibit discrimination on account of sexual orientation only; gender identity is not addressed. Indiana, in accordance with Hively v Ivy Tech Community College, a ruling by the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals, and Wisconsin through a statute enacted in 1982, which made Wisconsin the first state to have private employment protections for sexual orientation. Similarly to Indiana, the Courts of Appeals for the Sixth, and Eleventh Circuits, covering Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, and Tennessee, have found sex protections in the 1964 Civil Rights Act to include the category of gender identity.[39]

      Furthermore, 10 U.S. states have an executive order, administrative order, or personnel regulation prohibiting discrimination in public employment only based on either sexual orientation or gender identity: Indiana, Ohio,[40] Kentucky, Montana, North Carolina,[41] Michigan,[42] Wisconsin,[43] Pennsylvania,[44] Virginia and Kansas.[45] An additional 3 states have executive orders prohibiting discrimination in public employment based on sexual orientation only: Alaska, Arizona, and Missouri.[46]”

      Virginia does not appear to be all by itself on this issue.

      This argument is similar to some of the arguments against prior anti-discrimination laws for race and gender if I recall correctly.

  6. Trial law lobby deserve an entire thread.
    Speaking to the unintended consequence of legislation, here’s an example. Guess what happens to hiring practices after an employer is named in an EEOC complaint, without merit, and sees this complaint process repeat anytime an action is taken against an employee belonging to a protected class? Made me very careful about hiring.

  7. Nancy_Naive Avatar
    Nancy_Naive

    Call for Phillip Mor… uh, CALL FOR CAPT SHERLOCK

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30639844

    It looks like 90% probability of detection but no false detections for Abbott.

    CONCLUSIONS:
    The Abbott test lacked sensitivity, the Roche test was impaired by a high number of invalid results. Overall, despite the longest total time to result, the Cepheid test showed the best performance to detect influenza virus RNA in symptomatic patients presenting at an emergency unit in this study.

    1. Steve Haner Avatar
      Steve Haner

      You are a sad person, and you are capable of being less than honest. Once tagged as dishonest, that’s hard to shake. S0 — that was a comparison of 3 tests done in 2019, for Influenza A and B, and did indeed conclude that a competitor’s test was a bit better than Abbott’s, but also took more time. It means nothing, nothing about the validity of anybody’s rapid test for COVID-19. If Abbott was first out of the box with a test, and there is no other choice, I’d be happy to give it a try. My read on what “sensitivity” means is about 9 percent of the tests give no result, but again – that’s for a whole different disease! Nobody would use it at all if they thought it was wrong 9 percent of the time.

      You dislike Sherlock, so you seek to dispute him, play a game of gotcha. This has been going on on the blog for a month. It is the reason I am done blogging, people like you, dishonest and unwilling to even reveal your name, allowing you to hide. Coward. Goodbye.

      1. djrippert Avatar
        djrippert

        Yeah, it’s weird. Almost like she wants the testing device to be useless. Wants the epidemic to get worse. Wants more economic devastation. More government intervention. Nancy_Naive … oh wait a minute! Pelosi … is that you?

        1. Nancy_Naive Avatar
          Nancy_Naive

          One isn’t. It appears good relatively speaking. The problem is that YOU seek a panacea and are willing to waste time, money, and lives on the BELIEF it will perform as well.

          The government appears to be buying 50,000 test kits per day of an untested product on the target RNA.

          They could perform a similar test with COV2 and then decide.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            re: ” The problem is that YOU seek a panacea and are willing to waste time, money, and lives on the BELIEF it will perform as well.”

            Yep. The folks are saying they’re going to do what they want to do and others can go “hide under their beds” are seeking to impose their wants on others regardless of the impact – to others.

            Pretty arrogant behavior even assuming that such folks compose a majority… which they do not. Many, many want to return to normal but not at the expense of the predicted damage if we don’t exercise discipline and reason.

            More and more, we have folks who do not want to work together to find solutions – they just bail out of the whole thing and though they talk about the jack-boot of govt, it appears they would also impose conditions on others by essentially exercising mob rule.

            We’re all in this boat together – and each of us does have a vote and the best way to resolve this is to work together to find a way forward and the worst way is by choosing up sides.

      2. Nancy_Naive Avatar
        Nancy_Naive

        Gee, you can read! I assume the skipper could too.

        I never claimed it was a test of the COV2 cartridges. That hasn’t been done. They are using these machines IN THE BLIND.

        That test is the justification for the EUA. What’s bothersome is the 90%. If that’s all the better it is on COV2, and there is no reason to believe it is, then for every 10 people tested, one (possibly asymptomatic) will be turned loose on their public, or one won’t get his Presidentially approved hydroxychloroquine dose.

        Au revolt.

      3. Nancy_Naive Avatar
        Nancy_Naive

        FYI. (and mine)

        Sensitivity (also called the true positive rate, the recall, or probability of detection[1] in some fields) measures the proportion of actual positives that are correctly identified as such (e.g., the percentage of sick people who are correctly identified as having the condition).
        Specificity (also called the true negative rate) measures the proportion of actual negatives that are correctly identified as such (e.g., the percentage of healthy people who are correctly identified as not having the condition).

  8. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    yup. And the thing is, even a 100% accurate test is good until hours or days go by and the person that tested “not infected” has become infected (unless you already have been infected and recovered).

    Testing by itself to uninfected – one time – is of limited value. If you go out and mix with a crowd – the test you took will not protect you at all. Only another test will say if you remain uninfected. The more people you interact with, the higher the chance you will get infected.

    People that work in situations where there are a lot of people – like in a restaurant will have to be tested on a frequent basis because if they get infected, they will then spread it to the restaurant patrons and those patrons, in turn to the people they have contact with.

    1. Nancy_Naive Avatar
      Nancy_Naive

      Boy, you’re right. They hate snark… especially when it questions their credentials to make proclamations.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        nature of the beast. 😉

        keep on snarking……. you have fans 😉

        1. Nancy_Naive Avatar
          Nancy_Naive

          Steve called me sad… nah, it’s a sick world and I’m a happy fella.

  9. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    now the “fella” thing is going to throw some for a loop… 😉

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