Teacher Vacancies in Virginia Cities with a Majority of Black Students Continue to be Very High

by James C. Sherlock

The statewide performance of Black kids on Virginia’s SOLs was horrible. Chronic absenteeism is a primary reason.

But I continue to look for underlying reasons and solutions for both.

This morning I checked the Staffing and Vacancy Dashboard.

The teacher vacancy rate for Region 2, Tidewater and the Eastern Shore, is currently the highest in the state at 7.62%. That statistic combines teachers and special education teachers aides and paraprofessionals. There are 3,115 unfilled positions in Region 2.

That region has been the worst in the state for a long time.

The next highest is Central Virginia at 4.9%. Southwest Virginia is lowest at 2.28%.

Region 2 vacancies both in actual numbers and in percentages are always high because school staff vacancies in Hampton Roads’ majority Black urban cities, and their proportion of the region’s public-school population, drive them up.

The data reveal that in divisions with majorities of Black students in the rest of the state, some are very high and some not.

Petersburg, as such things happen, is off the charts.

But there are a major differences in teacher vacancies, and in student performance, between Black kids in Black majority urban cities (Suffolk is a officially a city but not urban) with the honorable exception of Hampton’s Black student SOL scores, and those in Black majority rural counties.

We should perhaps look at what vacancies can tell us.

And another time at what the City of Hampton Public Schools has been doing right for so long.

The school staffing data.

In red are school divisions with a majority Black student population.

Reader caution: Richmond, in 100% of the cases I have ever run to ground, produces unreliable statistics.

Black population distribution in Virginia from the Census Bureau’s 2020 Census Demographic Data Map Viewer.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Geographic groupings. Other than Essex County, Virginia’s majority Black school divisions are tightly grouped geographically.

Hampton Roads

Richmond and Southside

The counties of Brunswick, Sussex and Greensville above are grouped together on the North Carolina border southeast of Richmond. Their school divisions do not report staff shortages statistically outside the statewide norms, except of special education teachers aides in Brunswick County.

Essex County.

Essex County, a geographic outlier in Black public-school majorities, has its county seat at Tappahannock. It is located on Virginia’s Middle Peninsula 45 miles northeast of the City of Richmond.

Black cities vs. Black counties. It is Virginia’s Black cities that have trouble hiring and retaining school staff.

No one can make teachers work in any schools. The divisions have to attract, hire and retain them.

They have a hard time because those divisions except Hampton have well-earned reputations, particularly with the women teachers that dominate the profession, as chaotic and dangerous places to work.

They will have to restore and maintain order and discipline to fix their teacher shortages long term.

When I quickly compare teacher vacancies to SOL scores, I find that kids in Virginia’s majority Black counties significantly outperform those in our majority Black cities. Again, except in Hampton. Details on that another time. It is too important to leave underreported.

Teacher vacancies are not the entire difference, but they are certainly part of it.

But that presents a chicken or egg issue.

  • Do teachers want to work in the counties because they have better school climates than the city schools? Or are the county school climates better because of more teachers? Both?

Do the better working conditions — school climates — reflect rural vs. city values in the schools and kids? Something else?

Teacher availability. Teacher preparation enrollment in Virginia dropped dramatically in academic year 2019-20 and has not recovered.

In terms of female/male mix, teacher preparation enrollment in Virginia in 2020-21 (last year for statistical availability) was still less than 19% male. That is about the same ratio as in the broader population of teachers.

Of those 8,772, only 937 were Black. 10.7%. Which is half the percentage of Black kids in Virginia public schools.

Open enrollment not a viable option. I have occasionally cited here that a state law on open enrollment helps minority kids in the majority-minority City of Milwaukee find better schools in the white suburbs.

That is true, but it is also true that, other than Milwaukee, the State of Wisconsin is almost entirely white. So, Milwaukee kids choosing to enroll in more diverse schools don’t have far to travel.

Open enrollment would not work to solve the issues in 22% Black Virginia public schools with Black kids in much denser regional concentrations than in Wisconsin.

Black-majority cities are grouped together in Hampton Roads and Southside Virginia.

So, what is to be done?

What can be done? Virginia will have to attract teachers to the Black cities. Then those divisions will have to retain them.

To do that, the school climates will have to improve. A lot.

One solution I have offered before is Teach for America.

We do not have a TFA program in the Commonwealth beyond Alexandria. TFA is designed to provide teachers to inner city schools. Read what TFA has done for years in the Charlotte-Piedmont Triad (Charlotte, Winston-Salem, High Point, Greensboro, Gibsonsville, McLeansville) below.

Seems easy. It is not. Teachers unions do not like TFA.  

The best charter school corporations, including Success Academy in NYC, actively seek out TFA teachers.  

But then the unions hate charters too.

What can’t. Another important step is probably impossible right now.  

School climates have been made far worse by Covid school closings, longer in Virginia’s Black cities like Richmond than elsewhere in the state.  

That horrible mistake can’t be undone.

School climates have also been worsened by the wholesale overhaul of Virginia’s education laws, and thus regulations, changing them to progressive norms in 2020 and 2021.  

I gave a preview here of where that was headed from the viewpoint of the left.  

As with all things about education in Virginia, because of the authority that our constitution gives school divisions, laws and regulations are observed more faithfully in some divisions than others.  

Most Black majority city school divisions embraced the new Democrat-passed laws, regulations and model policies.  

Their sense of “equity” has crushed the futures of thousands of Black kids in Virginia.

Perhaps the Black county divisions maintain more traditional order and discipline approaches that do the Black city divisions. Hard to know.

But the worst of the 2020 and 2021 laws can be undone, and in a rational world Virginia’s Black legislators would lead the effort to undo them.

Like Portsmouth’s Louise Lucas, Chair of the Senate Education and Health Committee. She of “Blue Wall” fame.

But that is not the world in which she lives, or we live, in Virginia.

Maybe some year.

Next.  I’ll check with Hampton City Schools to see if I can get an interview.


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32 responses to “Teacher Vacancies in Virginia Cities with a Majority of Black Students Continue to be Very High”

  1. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Okay Captain, you’ll like this. I’ve kept a LinkedIn page since forever. Every week they send me a list of the companies of people who read my pages. This week’s list included four school districts in California. That’s a first.

    Again, boss, worldwide teacher shortage.

  2. “No one can make teachers work in any schools. The divisions have to attract, hire and retain them.”

    I wonder if attracting, hiring and retaining law enforcement officers occurs at a higher rate in the same cities.

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      There are some cities that look for cops with the worst records. They’re cheap.

  3. LarrytheG Avatar

    Sherlock is quite excellent at laying out something! I give him his due!

    It’s quite true you can’t force a teacher to teacher somewhere and especially so in schools with high numbers of economically disadvantaged, terrible academic performance, and significant absenteeism, and low pay…

    but I don’t see why Charters and Success type academies would do much better all things equal. Same teacher, same terrible teaching situation whether it’s public, charter, Success or for that matter, even Private.

    Kids of poorly educated parents or worse poorly educated single parent, even worse job/pay ability play a huge role when we say the schools “have failed those kids”.

    Newbie teachers right out of college are ill-prepared to teach this kind of difficult demographic and many will bail as soon as they
    can find a less difficult job.

    But as said before, I will support any alternative school , charter, Success etc, that proves it can successfully teach this demographic… shows better academic performance, lower absenteeism, etc.

    I won’t just sign on to it based on unproven “trust me it’s better” claims and no accountability.

    In my view, it’s not just the school that is the problem. It’s the demographic.

    And you can find terrible SOLs as well and high absenteeism at highly rated school districts like Henrico and Chesterfield with that same demographic.

    Public schools generally are terrible at teaching this demographic, no matter where they are geographically,

    One week we can point to Charlottesville, then the next week somewhere else, but its’ the same problem.

    THe idea of sending these kids to the streets uneducated for finding work and staying out of trouble – seems more like a recipe for creating 3rd world conditions , to me.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Larry, low pay isn’t a problem in Richmond. Those are some of the highest paid teachers in the state.

      Second, if you ever read anything about Success Academy NYC public schools from me or from the thousand links I have sent you, you have forgotten it.

      Third, you wrote: “Public schools generally are terrible at teaching this demographic, no matter where they are geographically.”

      Forget about Success Academy schools. You missed the part about Hampton City Schools. They educate their majority Black kids just fine relative to statewide results for all students.

      You have for years trotted out “I won’t just sign on to it based on unproven “trust me it’s better” claims and no accountability.”

      You simply, and repeatedly, refuse to absorb the information I and others provide.

      I won’t answer you on this topic again.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        No amount of pay is enough to attract veteran teachers or even keep newbies if the demographic is largely low income and the school academic performance is poor.

        As I have said over and despite what you have “told me”. I LIKE Success Academies
        approach and I’d support it in Va as long as they meet the same accountability for
        academic performance and absentee for THE demographic that is at issue for
        SOLs and Absenteeism in Va Public Schools.

        On Success, I feel like I DO know about them and how they operate, but am fine with you
        going over what you think I don’t know.

        I just don’t think they are a silver bullet BUT I AM willing to support such a school IF they are held accountable for the specific things that we say public schools are failing at.

        You barely mention Hampton City so I’d certainly pay attention to your post about them

        I checked the VDOE build-a-table as well as School Quality and indeed Hampton City
        is doing something right apparently and not unlike the rural CIP , perhaps Hampton City
        knows a thing or two about “success” without being an “academy”!

        I hope that you’ll figure out how to stop responding, then saying you won’t anymore,
        then do it again!

        I’m fine with making comments and you ignoring them if you do find the comment
        not worth answering.

    2. Eric the half a troll Avatar
      Eric the half a troll

      “…but I don’t see why Charters and Success type academies would do much better all things equal…”

      All things are not equal. They simply cook the books by being selective in who they have to educate.

      1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
        James C. Sherlock

        If you need that fantasy to get you through your day, go with it.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          Charters seem to be able to self-select and exclude the very students that are cited as “failed” by public schools.

          For example, would charter schools accept responsibility for a student who is “failing” and also an absentee problem?

          Perhaps the “fantasy” is those who believe Charter schools are “better” even if they don’t have to do with the kids who are “failed” by public schools.

        2. Eric the half a troll Avatar
          Eric the half a troll

          I am not the delusional one here, Sherlock.

  4. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Okay Captain, you’ll like this. I’ve kept a LinkedIn page since forever. Every week they send me a list of the companies of people who read my pages. This week’s list included four school districts in California. That’s a first.

    Again, boss, worldwide teacher shortage.

  5. One could make high school voluntary so that the students who do not want to learn at not present. This would leave teachers will a classroom of students who want to learn. That would get more people to apply for the jobs and to maybe stay longer.

    1. Compulsory attendance is only until age 18.

      What is your expectation for future of the ones who would drop out earlier?

      1. But move compulsory attendance down to 8th grade (first time through). Make high school voluntary. Do not manage an attendance data base. Stop caring about truancy. Focus on the student who want to learn and leave those who refuse to learn to some other government organization. Unless one is willing to take steps to improve the work environment of teachers, there will always be a shortage. And defiant, violent students who focus their rebellion on schools and teachers does not help the work environment.

        1. “And defiant, violent students who focus their rebellion on schools and teachers does not help the work environment.”

          Very true. But the environment outside of the building where teachers actually work is also important, as is the community they will need to live in. Those young “defiant, violent students” are unlikely to be better behaved after dropping out of school, since they would then have nothing productive to do.

          My wife taught in South Central LA for a brief time. Her vehicle was stolen from the school parking lot. It was a dangerous place just to drive through, especially at night. She got a different job.

          Apart from the impact on teachers, increasing the dropout rate would likely have a huge negative impact on society.

          “High school dropouts also have a much higher probability of ending up in prison or jail. Nearly 80 percent of all prisoners are high school dropouts or recipients of the General Educational Development (GED) credential. (More than half of inmates with a GED earned it while incarcerated.) About 41 percent of all inmates have no high school credential at all.”

          https://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/econ_focus/2014/q3/feature1

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            “Apart from the impact on teachers, increasing the dropout rate would likely have a huge negative impact on society.”

            Gotta agree with you there.

          2. IF those graduating have not actually learned anything and keep other students from learning, then the benefit is negative. To believe that people will behave better by handing them a diploma even when they did not learn anything and keep others from learning is as stupid as it was when the Wizard of Oz gave the scarecrow a diploma.

            Make schools about academic learning and leave the social work and social engineering to some other agency. Focus of helping students who want to learn and the number of students who want to learn will increase. However, putting the focus on the defiant students who do not want to learn while ignoring students who want to learn is a way to produce a very bad school.

      2. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        SSI. Food stamps. Medicaid.

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          Prison.

  6. Matt Hurt Avatar

    There are a couple of things that the teacher vacancy rate doesn’t really address. First, we have tons of folks who are provisionally licensed in our classrooms, and they don’t count as a vacancy. Similarly, we have a bunch of foreign teachers that companies bring over to fill open positions, and these folks don’t show up in the vacancy figures either.

    I’m not one to get hung up on credentialism, as I have known some aides who didn’t have a college degree who could teach circles around fully licensed teachers. I am also not opposed to bringing teachers from other countries to fill the gaps. However, these seem to be stopgap measures which mask a larger problem. In many instances, folks in these groups only fill these gaps temporarily.

    As I have reported before, Virginia is one of the most affluent states in the Union, yet our teacher salaries are below the national average. Therefore, folks who might go into education in other states may not due to competitive salaries in other aras.

    The way I see it, we can either increase teacher pay to bring more folks into the field, lower our standards for obtaining a teaching license, or contract with Elon Musk to build the robots who will have to teach our kids because we’re not willing to pay for humans to do the job.

    1. how_it_works Avatar
      how_it_works

      “Virginia is one of the most affluent states in the Union”

      Not so much outside of the 703 area code.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        One of the issues is who pays for the teachers, the State or the locality especially if it’s not an SOQ position.

        1. how_it_works Avatar
          how_it_works

          Doesn’t the local composite index thing give state funding to poor localities for teachers?

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            Pretty sure that non-SOQ positions are not funded by the state. I bet Mr. Hurt knows chapter
            and verse…

          2. Matt Hurt Avatar

            The funding formula falls short overall, and does not fund any non-SOQ positions.

            https://jlarc.virginia.gov/landing-2023-virginias-k-12-funding-formula.asp

          3. The composite index determines the percentage of state aid given to each school district.
            https://www.doe.virginia.gov/data-policy-funding/school-finance/budget-grants-management/composite-index-of-local-ability-to-pay
            The Composite Index determines a school division’s ability to pay education costs fundamental to the Commonwealth’s Standards of Quality (SOQ) with local funds. The Composite Index is calculated using three indicators of a locality’s ability to pay:

            True value of real property (weighted 50 percent)
            Adjusted gross income (weighted 40 percent)
            Taxable retail sales (weighted 10 percent)

            Each locality’s index is adjusted to maintain an overall statewide local share of 45 percent and an overall state share of 55 percent.

          4. LarrytheG Avatar

            When the State says they’re gonna give teachers a raise… how does that work?

            Say, that Youngkin and the GA agreed to give teachers a big catch-up raise.

            How would that work?

            Is it part of the composite index or a separate thing?

            Would it cover all teachers or just the SOQ positions?

          5. Matt Hurt Avatar

            The state gives their part, and the locality then has to choose whether or not to fund the local portion. They don’t fund non-SOQ positions at all, much less raises for them.

          6. LarrytheG Avatar

            so if the State decides to fund a pay raise, the locality also has to put in some amount to get it?

          7. Matt Hurt Avatar

            Pretty much.

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