Sticker Shock

Creighton Court in Richmond         Photo credit: NBC12

By Dick Hall-Sizemore

I will be the first to admit that public housing policy is beyond my area of expertise. But, I am often amazed and befuddled at the cost of what is supposedly “affordable” housing.

Creighton Court is a traditional public housing complex in Richmond. The Richmond Redevelopment and Housing Authority has decided to raze the complex and replace it with a mixed-income development. RRHA earlier informed the public that some of the units would be houses “affordably priced” and marketed to first-time home buyers. So far, so good.

Today’s Richmond Times-Dispatch reports the projected price of these “affordable” homes: $400,000. People are reeling from the sticker shock. Even with a $50,000 down payment, the monthly mortgage payment would be over $1,400. For whom is this “affordable”? I had a decent paying state job and there was never a time at which I could have afforded a $1,400 mortgage payment.

RRHA officials are blaming the unusually high cost of building materials for the costs exceeding what had been expected. I can understand this dilemma. I recently had my roof and gutters replaced. My contractor told me that she spent most of her time trying to find materials for her subcontractors. When she came by to pick up my check, we chatted and she told me that, right then, manufacturers were not producing shingles.

But I still cannot understand these high costs. After all, RRHA owns the land. The infrastructure, streets, water, sewer, etc. is already in place.

There is one factor that contributes to the cost of the houses and is a reflection of modern times — their size.  According to the RTD, the square footage of the new homes will range from 1,700 to 2,150. Many years ago, I tried my hand at selling real estate  (The foray was a brief one; I discovered that I am not a good salesman.) At that time, a 2,000 sq. ft. new house in what was then considered the Far West End in Henrico was considered fairly high-end. Now, it seems that 2,000 sq. ft. is almost considered the minimum size.

There are homes in my neighborhood that are selling for considerably less than $400,000. (There are also some that are selling for more.) It is true that many of them are 40 and 50 years old, but I would bet they are better made and more substantial than what will be built by RRHA. They are also smaller than what RRHA is building. They generally are in the 1,500 sq. ft. range. Families with several kids have lived in those houses.

There are also areas close by in which the houses are selling for less. The only drawback is that these neighborhoods, including mine, are not conveniently located near a bus line. However, it seems to me that anyone who can afford a $400,000 house can afford a car as well.

Wouldn’t it be a better idea for RRHA to try to help some of their clients buy existing houses in these neighborhoods at a substantially lower cost? After all, they are looking for mixed-income neighborhoods.


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Comments

24 responses to “Sticker Shock”

  1. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    “affordable housing” is a funny term. We have people with NoVa jobs that pay 100K looking for “affordable housing” in Fredericksburg to commute to.

    The basic premise of mixed-income housing versus the whole complex being for low-income folks is a better idea and up Fredericksburg way, we have had some private developers offers proffers that some percent of their units will be lower-priced for workforce folks ( but not for really low income).

    I’m not familiar with The Richmond Redevelopment and Housing Authority but if they are using Fed/State funds, I don’t see how they meet Federal guidelines and if they actually do, something is not right.

    Thanks once more Dick for writing about a legitimate public policy issue without making it about the culture war and CRT and all that rot – the way that BR used to be a few years back before it got slimed.

  2. LesGabriel Avatar
    LesGabriel

    Very interesting. I would also be interested in more background both on Creighton Court (are the homes there beyond repair?) and the RRHA (what is its budget and how has it changed over the years?) How are comparable sized cities coping with the lack of “affordable housing?”

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      My impression is that the homes in Creighton Court need considerable repair. Here is an article about the problem with many residents being without heat for years. https://richmond.com/news/local/heating-problems-in-public-housing-units-worse-than-initially-thought/article_b9ad624a-ac95-59e5-972f-e6815a484d5f.html

      Your other questions are beyond my scope of knowledge.

  3. Dick, I share your befuddlement. Something is seriously wrong when the unit cost of affordable housing exceeds the median value of houses in the Richmond metro. According to Homes.com: “There are currently 1,874 properties with a median home value in Richmond, VA of $196,900. ”

    The feds got into the public housing business in the 1930s on the theory that government needed to step in to address a “market failure” to provide affordable housing. It’s very clear that the market can provide housing at lower cost than the Richmond Redevelopment and Housing Authority. I think you touched upon part of the problem — the dwelling sizes are much larger than they used to be. I’ll bet the amenities are, too.

    The other angle worth examining is regulatory cost. All home buildings have to cope with local government regulations. But the RRHA has to deal with a whole host of federal regulations on top of that. There is an entire industry of consultants and developers and bottom feeders who have learned how to exploit that niche of the housing market. Someone needs to do some serious investigation.

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      See above. Regulations smegulations. How’s a 40% ROI sound?

      We are becoming a capital gains economy. We need a time-of-ownership dependent tax rate.

  4. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    There’s profits to be had in confusion… and Section 8, take this example from Hampton. (Lots of highly recognizable names for you GOP’ers to chew on)

    https://www.dailypress.com/news/hampton/dp-xpm-20120218-2012-02-18-dp-nws-cp-harbor-square-investigation-20120218-story.html

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Yes, the various way the rich get richer while ostensibly “helping” the downtrodden are not limited to any political persuasion. But surely you’ve got something less than a decade old? Take the current “rental rescue” efforts, funded with billions. Who pray tell gets all that? Best I can see, landlords and the bureaucrats who will stretch….the….process….out…..for….years. 🙂

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Your buddy Aubrey was in the thick of it, as was Molly Ward, whose family trust (her as sole beneficiary) owned the property for which the City paid top dollar and took the trust off the hook for the loan. Trumpery at the worst.

        1. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          Trumpery, or just typical Virginia business?

          I read the article. Typical Virginia shitty construction and half-ass work. Somewhere I have a picture of the back of a building in Luray that looks like Larry Moe and Curly were three sheets to the wind when they worked on it, and it’s across from the town hall.

          1. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            It’s a coincidence. Trumpery was a word long before Trump was its best known practitioner.

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            I’ve always called it hack work.

        2. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          The product of skilled, hard-working Virginia blue-collar labor!

          (I think this sort of shit might be why you lost that war, boys…)

          (I know some of you are wondering why I bothered to take a picture of this since you consider it perfectly normal. You make my point.)

          https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/692ed1aa249055f98f7f5c8d3da0be58d1d261855d6c3c5d2ac2b77b68f226b3.jpg

          1. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            That’s hilarious! 3 meters and a half dozen compressors. Exposed electrical and comm wires. I love the 3″ conduit into a junction box with a piece of 1″ conduit and a telephone line. What the hell is inside that 3″ conduit?

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            My favorite part has to be where the worker glued a 90 degree elbow on the condensate drain at the wrong angle. then used a 45 degree elbow to “fix” it.

            I think what’s coming out of the box with the 3″ conduit is a piece of romex or individual THHN wires.

            You know, there is the possibility that the joke is on us and this is really some sort of industrial-abstract-modern art project.

          3. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            It’ all nonfunctional! Art!

          4. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            “My favorite part has to be where the worker glued a 90 degree elbow on the condensate drain at the wrong angle. then used a 45 degree elbow to “fix” it.”

            It’s a birdbath.

  5. Brian Leeper Avatar
    Brian Leeper

    So Dick, I’m curious, at what salary level do you think one can afford a $1400 a month mortgage?

    Something north of $106k a year, I suppose?

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      I had not really thought about it. However, using the “rule of thumb” that housing costs should not exceed 28 percent of pre-tax monthly income, I calculate that someone with an annual salary of $60,000 could “afford” a $1,400 monthly mortgage. However, I have a hard time accepting that. Maybe I just not have been a good manager of my income.

      1. Brian Leeper Avatar
        Brian Leeper

        Many years ago I had a $1k/month mortgage and my salary was $40k a year.

      2. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        If you are near 70+/-5, and in your best estimate, using at 4.5% per year of nest egg current value, together with pensions and SocSec, you can make 20 years, then you have been a great manager of your money.

        Dad told me that his rule of thumb was 3 to 4 times annual gross income as a target home price. A $60K salary could look for a house around $200K.

        If an alien were to land and find our documents, he would wonder at such strange creatures with hundreds of thumbs.

  6. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Where will the former residents of Creighton go? Wasn’t Creighton Court built for WW2 vets cashing in on the GI Bill much like Mosby and Gilpin?
    Smells like city sanctioned gentrification. 17,000 confederate soldiers who died at Chimbarazo Hospital buried in the back yard.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/0fd3c5b73c8d2471ee2cba29f2c14a615ed2a7d0c22470726bff810513dab496.jpg

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Where have all the starter homes gone,
      Long time passing…

  7. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    You cannot build a house under $200,000 unless the land is donated. The cost of lumber has gone through the roof, pun intended, adding something like $35K to the cost of materials on a typical home.

    Existing and any new homes under $250K are being snatched up like candy by the rental market, and companies like Zillow and Redfin for short term investments. Buy it, and sell it within months for 30% profit.

    Take a $200K house. Put 20% down, 160K mortgage. Monthly payment under $1000. A 3/4 bed, 2.5bath will pull a rent payment north of $2,000. Grossing $12K/yr on a $40K out of pocket?

    Not bad.

    End result…
    https://thumbs.gfycat.com/CostlyOptimisticAmericanalligator-max-1mb.gif

  8. StarboardLift Avatar
    StarboardLift

    There is a difference between “Affordable Housing,” sustainable by 2 incomes in the range of local teachers, firefighters, nurses. In Richmond, the combined household income would likely exceed $100K, putting a $400K house within reach. “Low Income Housing” is something else. It sounds like Creighton Court is shifting from public/subsidized to Affordable.

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