Should Northern Virginia Join D.C. in the 51st State?

State flag of New Columbia (including NoVa)?

By Don Rippert

Taxation without representation. The Democratic Party’s control of Congress and the White House has reopened the question of statehood for Washington, DC. This is not a new issue. The question of statehood for D.C. has been actively debated since 1980. Since the 98th Congress, more than a dozen statehood bills have been introduced. Two made it out of committee. The closest any bill came to success was a 1993 effort that was defeated 277 to 193 in the US House of Representatives. Support for D.C. statehood lies almost entirely along party lines with Democrats favoring statehood since it would yield two U.S. Senators and one Representative — all of whom would almost certainly be liberal Democrats. Republican opposition has been insurmountable over the years. Maybe a major repackaging of the idea of statehood for D.C. could break the logjam.

That troublesome Constitution. There are numerous obstacles on the road to statehood for Washington, D.C. One of the biggest is the potential need for an amendment to the U.S. Constitution which states. “Seat of the Government of the United States” shall be a district that is at most ten square miles and separate and apart from the other “particular States.” Apparently, in 1790, ten square miles meant what ten miles square means today. The original District of Columbia was 10 miles by 10 miles for a 100 square mile area.  Sixty-nine of the original square miles were ‘donated” by Maryland and 31 were “donated” by Virginia. However, Virginia’s donated land was retroceded back to Virginia in 1847. This retroceded land became what is today Arlington County and the City of Alexandria. The modern District of Columbia is a city of just under 69 square miles, all originally part of Maryland. By comparison, the smallest of the 50 states is Rhode Island at 1,214 square miles. More than 17 Districts of Columbia would fit into Rhode Island.

If the U.S. Constitution were to be amended to make D.C. a state the first step (absent a Constitutional Convention) would be for two-thirds of both houses of Congress to vote to propose an amendment. Then, three-fourths of America’s state legislatures would have to vote to ratify the amendment. Given the political nature of the D.C. statehood question, the odds of a Constitutional amendment meeting the approval hurdles are slim to none.

Size matters. While D.C. has a population larger than several states it would still be a runt of a state, geographically speaking. It would have a land area smaller than 150 US cities. It also lacks any appreciable level of economic diversity. No agriculture, no manufacturing, no natural resources, no significant technology companies, etc. What possible perspective would D.C.’s two Senators and one Representative bring to Congress? What possible reason would Republicans in Congress or Republican-majority state legislatures have to make an area the size of a large farm a state? Proponents of D.C. statehood need to “think outside the box.” 

Other options. The argument that D.C. residents pay all federal taxes without voting representation in Congress is legitimate. But statehood isn’t the only remedy to that situation. Another remedy would be to end the requirement for D.C. citizens to pay federal taxes. If anybody wants to see gentrification on steroids, that would do it. Another remedy would be to retrocede D.C. back to Maryland which provided the land where modern day D.C. sits. No new Senators, one new Representative. More liberal voters in a state that is sky blue already. Finally, there is a possible approach where D.C., along with portions of Northern Virginia and D.C.’s Maryland suburbs would be combined into a “New Columbia.”

New Columbia. The core of the expanded version of New Columbia would be D.C., the counties of Arlington, Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, Montgomery (MD) and Prince George’s (MD). Alexandria and the smaller cities that are embedded in NoVa counties (such as Falls Church) would also be part of the bundle. The resulting state would be 2,335 square miles in size and have a population of just over 5.1 million people. It would be a bit larger than Delaware and have a population density nearly twice that of New Jersey — America’s most densely populated state.

Political considerations. There are six stakeholders in this decision — the Northern Virginians who end up in New Columbia, the Marylanders who end up there, D.C., the remaining Virginians, the remaining Marylanders and the rest of the U.S.

  • Northern Virginians in New Columbia would finally get to stop subsidizing the rest of Virginia financially, build America’s most urban, modern state. Liberal NoVa would simply become even more liberal. I think a majority of NoVa residents would vote “yes.”
  • Marylanders in New Columbia would become part of America’s most diverse state and would probably pay no more in taxes than they are paying now. They would also be in a more liberal state. I predict that they would vote “yes.”
  • D.C. would have to get past any false sense of uniqueness but would benefit from a wealthier tax base. Additionally, the District would not become a state through a Constitutional amendment based on D.C. alone for reasons already discussed. D.C. would vote “yes”.
  • Virginia would lose land and money but would be much more southern, rural and conservative. Virginia would move from a population of 8.7 million to 6.5 million. Virginia would also lose 3-4 members of the US House of Representatives. Bacon’s Rebellion wouldn’t have Gerry Connolly to kick around any more but the “Richmond elite” could try to re-establish parts of the Byrd Machine without interference from “occupied Virginia.” My guess is that “remaining Virginia” would vote “no.” Even among residents of the “real Virginia,” money talks.
  • Maryland would lose land and money and would move closer to middle of the road, politically speaking. Maryland would shrink from 6.2 million people to 4.2 million. My guess is that “remaining Maryland” would vote “no.” Money talks in Maryland, too.
  • The rest of the U.S. would see little net political change as two left-o-f center states become one right-of-center state, one very left-of- center state and a middle-of-the-road state. The RoUS would vote “yes.”

Odds of success?

Limited. All six of the stakeholders would have to agree. A Constitutional amendment would, as far as I can see, still be required. The political edge would be dulled so Republicans might be more receptive. But the remnants of Maryland and Virginia would lose size, status and — most of all — money. In addition, creating America’s most urban and wealthiest state centered around the federal government would ruffle more than a few feathers.

Personally, I’d vote “yes” as a Northern Virginian who would become part of New Columbia. The existing state of Virginia is taxing and spending like a socialist regime without any appreciable benefits. Maybe the government of New Columbia would be able to turn a tsunami of taxes into something worthwhile.


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Comments

47 responses to “Should Northern Virginia Join D.C. in the 51st State?”

  1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Gary Wright has an answer to DC Statehood:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEn8nm80GCg

  2. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    We could get rid of car tax and substitute with DC’s idea of red light cameras all over the place with $500 fines. Yup, I am in.

    By the way, I am shocked: “Columbia” is a total political incorrect non-starter. Call it the First Green State. Blue states Red states and one Green state. Make sure we have no ocean shoreline, so we can import cheaper onshore wind from Pa. like DC does.

    Imagine no Dominion and no religion too. You may say DJR is a dreamer, but he’s not the only one.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      I actually LIKE the idea of statewide managed red light, speeding and stop-sign running (and other) cameras with no local control at all.

      But I don’t think they will be a reliable source of revenues as over time, people will settle down and behave more/better and so it’s sort of self-defeating in terms of revenues – maybe similar to higher and higher cigarette taxes…

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        Far better than having armed cops pulling people over for expired registrations…

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          And little tree air fresheners. There’s an Irish joke that involves swerving to avoid a tree…

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      You do realize that Va.’s photo-red is not really for red light running, but for speed control, right?

      If you do not speed approaching a light, it is virtually impossible to get a ticket for running a red light under Va.’s rules governing red lights.

      And by virtually, I mean without deliberate intent.

      1. Matt Adams Avatar
        Matt Adams

        In NOVA the rules you just outlined are not true and they also have a litany of cameras on turning lanes.

        https://www.virginiadot.org/info/resources/photored_faq.pdf

        Edit: Red Lights cameras in NOVA trigger off of minimum speed not maximum.

  3. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Make it back it to its original square and give it statehood. Better still provincehood in Canada.

  4. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Isn’t another option to let DC have full-vote Congressmen?

    And then let DC vote for Md Senator?

    No matter how you cut it, DC will vote blue and THAT’s the REAL sticking point!

    1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
      Eric the half a troll

      Anything to keep those Dems from having representation… the Conservative mantra….

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        No. Their manta is… “Elections are all fraudulent. That’s why I need your money to run in the next fraudulent election.”

  5. tmtfairfax Avatar
    tmtfairfax

    A constitutional amendment is needed. RoVA would be a mess without NoVA taxes. I don’t care much since I’m building a house in NC.

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      NC? Really? New Columbia? Good for you.

      More seriously, I think RoVa would struggle. However, it would be worth watching the Richmond elite campaign against NoVa leaving the Commonwealth given their years of derision.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        ALL the cities across ALL the states make the SAME claim. NoVa is just one.

      2. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        Nova would be in deep doo doo without Rova. That’s where ALL their food and energy come from – a major subsidy that RoVa ought to charge market rates for.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yep. But RoVa is where poultry, pigs, and cattle are grown for NoVa. It’s also where most of the power generation sites are located that power NoVa. It’s always where the landfillls and sewage applications sites are that take NoVa refuse and poop.

            It’s also where many Virginia Universities are that NoVa kids attend.

            NoVa is hardly a “state” that stands on it’s own! It’s an economic powerhouse yes, but it’s “powered” by RoVa.

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            My trash goes to the Prince William County landfill located in, yep, you guessed it, Prince William County. And there are plenty of sewage treatment plants in NoVA and if a septic system is pumped in NoVA the pump-out is taken to a sewage treatment plant near the septic system, in the case of Prince William County it would be either the HL Mooney plant or the UOSA plant, located in Woodbridge and Centreville, respectively. (Any building on public sewer in Prince William County is connected to one of those two plants).

            Oh, and speaking of power plants, I forgot to mention the Panda Stonewall plant in Loudoun County.

          3. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Many counties south of NoVa spread Blue Plains sludge on their farm fields. You did realize when you do sewage treatment that you get tons of sludge that you have to dispose of also, right?

            King George County has a mega landfill – guess where the trash comes from?

            And you have the impact on the downstream rivers and the Chesapeake Bay. Not all sewage from NoVa is properly treated. Have you heard of CSOs?

            On power – what would the air quality of NoVa be if NoVa generated ALL of it’s power inside of NoVa?

            It’s really more of a symbiotic relationship than one subsidizing the other.

        1. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          As far as energy goes, it is far from accurate to suggest that ALL of the energy used in NOVA comes from ROVA:

          “In fact, the top five energy-producing states overall (Texas, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Louisiana and West Virginia) are also the top five fossil energy-producing states. The combined fossil energy produced by these five states combined accounts for more than 42 percent of the total energy produced in the U.S. each year.”

          https://www.energy.gov/articles/how-much-energy-does-your-state-produce

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            yep – but how does it get to NoVa?

            pipelines through RoVa, right?

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            Sure, after passing through 5 other states…

        2. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          More on energy in Virginia:

          https://vept.energy.vt.edu/energy_overview.html#:~:text=Virginia%20imports%20large%20amounts%20of,the%20state%20on%20transmission%20lines.

          Energy Imports and Exports

          Virginia’s only major energy export is coal, as in-state usage in a typical year is less than half of the state’s production. Virginia’s consumption of natural gas and petroleum products exceed in-state production by a substantial margin.

          Virginia imports large amounts of energy, including petroleum products, natural gas, nuclear fuel for the state’s nuclear power plants, and electrical energy that comes into the state on transmission lines. In fact, Virginia’s energy imports total more than 50 percent of total in-state usage. Petroleum products account for about two-thirds of Virginia’s net energy imports. Some of the coal used to generate electricity within the state is imported from out-of-state mines even though in-state coal usage is less than in-state production.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            So where are the generation plants for electricity inNoVa? The coal and gas plants, and Nukes?

            Most all are in RoVa that then send electricity to NoVa a clear subsidy!

            And it’s not that NoVa could not have their own generating plants inside of NoVa, right?

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            We in NoVA are perfectly happy to import our power from other states. Other states are perfectly happy to sell their power to those of us in NoVA.

            By the way, Possum Point is located in NoVA.

          3. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Sure you would – from the same rural areas. You’d STILL be SUBSIDIZED by regions outside of you.

            re: ”
            Possum Point 5 will be retired in 2021″

            so does that mean NoVa will no longer need Possum Point and is now “self-reliant” ?

            Or does it mean you still need the power but want it generated outside of NoVa?

            Why? Why not get your own Nuke?

          4. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            ..as if RoVA is entirely self reliant…

          5. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            By the way there are 6 generating units at Possum Point. After #5 is shut down 3 of them will continue to run.

          6. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yep but how much power do they actually generate as a percent of total needed? And they are being phased out.

            One way to think about the overall thing is that NoVa .. IS actually POWERED by RoVa, food, energy, sanitation, AND GAWD awful traffic and high housing pricing that encourage a bunch of them to FLEE to exurban RoVa to live!

            NoVa is not only an economic powerhouse, it’s CONSUMPTIVE of RoVa! It NEEDS RoVa to function and it owes RoVa for it’s very livelihood so they ought to pay!

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      And NoVa would have no roads if not for decades of SEVA tolls and taxes.

    3. Brian Leeper Avatar
      Brian Leeper

      …and NoVA would be a mess without the 49 other state’s Federal taxes.

  6. tmtfairfax Avatar
    tmtfairfax

    One should remember that the legislation that admitted Texas into the Union contained a provision permitting it to divide itself into as many as five states. Assume a 3-2 GOP split. That would balance out the Democrat’s presumptive gain in the Senate from New Columbia.

    It would be better for both parties to compete on the issues than to play games with the number of states.

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Yeah, like Texas would EVER do that. Rumor has it that shortly after Alaska entered the Union, a Texas Senator was railing away on some bill when one of the Alaskan Senators stood up and said, “If the gentleman from Texas will not yield, Alaska will split and make Texas the THIRD largest state.”

      BTW, when Alaska entered, both Senators were elected at the same time. A coin toss established the senior/junior senator and the short term.

      1. tmtfairfax Avatar
        tmtfairfax

        The Eyes of Texas are upon you!

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          There’s no I in Texas. I used to be, but Texas Tech ain’t as fun to watch as VT.

  7. djrippert Avatar
    djrippert

    Retrocession to Maryland is the only approach with any likelihood of success. Of course, there’s no guarantee that Maryland would take DC.

  8. Jesse Avatar

    The only counter-argument that seems to shut up the NOVA secessionists is to remind them that they would pay out-of-state tuition for their kids to attend UVA, Virginia Tech or James Madison. LOL.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      Oh and that too! NoVa is a leech.

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Just like the rest of the kids from New Jersey.

  9. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Without interstate highways that go thru rural areas, pigs, chicken and cattle grown in rural areas for places like NoVa, without power plants in rural America, without landfills and sewage spread on fields, NoVa would be a suffocating slum.

    NoVa gets it’s prosperity from Rova but they are so arrogant and dumb they don’t realize it.

  10. Chris Slatt Avatar
    Chris Slatt

    Every statehood proposal I’ve seen retains a federal district around the National Mall that would continue to meet that constitutional requirement, so no constitutional change required.

    This does however, require wrestling a bit with the 23rd amendment which provides 3 electors for this now much smaller federal district which might have only the president and his family as residents. Thankfully the amendment indicates that those electors shall be appointed in “such manner as Congress may direct” so it should be a simple act of Congress to have them be appointed based on the result of the National Popular Vote or some other manner that doesn’t give the first family 3 votes in the Electoral College.

    1. J. DEMANN Avatar
      J. DEMANN

      Heck No! with regards to merging N. VA with the poorly run D>C>

  11. MoGoCo Avatar

    This is a good idea.
    I would suggest a variation with the land inside the Beltway becoming a “State of Potomac” with DC renamed “Douglas City”. The UMD College Park campus would remain with Maryland as an enclave. This arrangement would be less “costly” to MD and VA and would present clear geographic boundaries with the UMD exception.
    Frankly, despite the long-term positives for MD, and VA in terms of political realignments in each state capital that would ultimately benefit the Republican Party, I do not think any “regional statehood” initiatives will ever happen. There are just too many entrenched interests supporting the status quo.

  12. MoGoCo Avatar

    This is a good idea.
    I would suggest a variation with the land inside the Beltway becoming a “State of Potomac” with DC renamed “Douglas City”. The UMD College Park campus would remain with Maryland as an enclave.
    Frankly, despite the long-term positives for MD, and VA in terms of political realignments in each state capital that would ultimately benefit the Republican Party, I do not think any “regional statehood” initiatives will ever happen. There are just too many entrenched interests supporting the status quo.

  13. The only probably that I see with this idea is that the federal government would be completely inside of one state. Currently it is between two states. I think part of the laws for the federal government is that it cannot be inside of a state. So maybe one or two of the identified counties would need to be excluded so that the federal government could border with Virginia and the new state.

  14. Bob X from Texas Avatar
    Bob X from Texas

    New Columbia would become a state dedicated to sucking money from the rest of the country.

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