Push to Return Federal Workers to Offices – Monsoon or Squall in Northern Virginia

The benefits of 60 years of headlong federal government expansion, Northern Virginia edition.

By James C. Sherlock

The federal government has for nearly three years been paying very expensive leases for D.C area office buildings that are virtually empty.

COVID emergency.  Or was.

Now it is a battle between the comfort of federal employees with working from wherever they can get a good network connection vs. actually showing up at the office.

The feds report that as of the beginning of this calendar year, 47% of federal employees were still working remotely.

Since civilian federal employees thankfully still include people who work in other than an office as their normal place of work, we can assume that more than 47% of Northern Virginia federal workers are working remotely.

And we can assume they like it.  Would you like to try to get to D.C. every day from, say, western Fairfax County, much less the exurbs, if you didn’t have to?

Republicans in the House of Representatives and the Democratic mayor of Washington D.C have formed an unusual coalition to get them back to the office.

Beltway Democrats in the House fought it there and have lost so far .  Senate Democrats and President Biden, mindful that federal employees are one of their most dependable voting blocs, are unlikely to follow the House’s lead.

But it is secretly kind of fun to consider that Northern Virginia would sort of explode if they all tried to return in the same week.

Perhaps the experience would prompt efforts to return some of NOVA to a semblance of livability by distributing the headquarters of most of the agencies across the country.

Federal News Network reported on Jan 30 that a “GOP bill to return feds to the office clears the House.”

Cue the outrage and angst among federal employees and Democrats other than D.C. Mayor Bowser.

Beltway Democrats Jamie Raskin (D-Md.), Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), John Sarbanes (D-Md.) and Abigail Spanberger (D. Va.) led the failed attempts to change the bill. It passed on a party-line vote.

Republicans want federal employees back in the office. Something about productivity declines and work backlogs at the IRS, Social Security Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs and others.

I admit to being torn about increasing IRS productivity (associated thought — where are Mr. Biden’s 87,000 new IRS agents going to live?). But real people depend upon the VA and Social Security Administration.

They don’t want to go back. Something about they don’t want to go back.

The Mayor wants her city’s office space back if the feds aren’t going to use it. Something about D.C.’s extraordinary supply of boarded up businesses and fading tax revenues since COVID.  It is a one-industry town without the industry, or at least most of its metro area employees.

D.C. has turned into a ghost town during the work week, and a lot of the young people who have paid exorbitant rents to live “close to work” find that work can be near a beach if there is no office to go to.

Same answer for Northern Virginia. I was raised there before the beltway was built. It really was a beautiful place then.

Worked there for 10 years after the Navy. The beauty was gone unless you had a lot of money to access what remained. Overlooking the Potomac and such.

Then there is the breathtakingly expensive Metro that nobody much rides to go to jobs they no longer have to show up for. Daily weekday ridership declined from 630,000 in November of 2019 to 263,000 in November of 2022.

So from 75 years of experience, I can comfortably ask who the hell would live there now if they did not have to for some reason?

The headlong expansion of the federal government over the past 60 years has turned the once beautiful Northern Virginia in which I grew up into a grey, soul- draining, overbuilt, gridlocked suburban/kind-of-urban dystopia.

I have always wanted the federal government to shrink, or at least be distributed more broadly across America.

Modern communications would enable the latter.

Indeed, the technology that lets all of those workers work from home would clearly allow the distribution of their agencies.

But Democrats hate that notion. Something about breaking their grip on Virginia and Maryland politics.

The Trump Administration in July of 2019 announced

plans to move hundreds of government jobs out of Washington, D.C. The Department of Agriculture is transplanting two of its research agencies to the Kansas City area. And the Interior Department said this week the Bureau of Land Management’s headquarters will soon be in Colorado.

President Biden, a one-trick pony when it came to Trump Administration policies, slowed and has basically ended that initiative.  In the end only 328 D.C.-based BLM headquarter jobs were moved to offices in the West.

You know, closer to BLM land.

And way prettier than the beltway.

So I desperately hope that one day soon most of the federal employees in the Washington area have to go back to the office.

The resulting national emergency declaration would perhaps put the spotlight back on relocation of headquarters.

I will watch that from the safety of Virginia Beach.


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53 responses to “Push to Return Federal Workers to Offices – Monsoon or Squall in Northern Virginia”

  1. Oh the inhumanity of it all….. workers required to show up at the work place……

    1. The new normal these days is increasingly “work place” = “home office”.

    2. The new normal these days is increasingly “work place” = “home office”.

  2. LesGabriel Avatar
    LesGabriel

    Automation in the private sector is done with intent and the result of increasing productivity. Governments at all levels have spent many billions of dollars over the years buying and leasing hardware, software and an army of personnel to keep it working and updated. I suppose we will see the dividends from all of this increased productivity sometime in the very near future,

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Just over the horizon, we suspect.

      The federal architecture and acquisition of IT and data services is a gargantuan business, as you note.

      That system is both labyrinthine and slow, and the results both vast and spotty.

      Whatever the federal government has done in that area, it has always required far more money and net more federal and contractor personnel to accomplish its work.

      How that can add up to net productivity of government workers has always escaped me.

      1. Lefty665 Avatar

        Since WWII the largest computer installation in the world has been at Ft. Meade. Snowden showed us some of their accomplishments. Those government workers have been pretty productive, even if not all their productivity has been in the national interest.

    2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Just over the horizon, we suspect.

      The federal architecture and acquisition of IT and data services is a gargantuan business, as you note.

      That system is both labyrinthine and slow, and the results both vast and spotty.

      Whatever the federal government has done in that area, it has always required far more money and net more federal and contractor personnel to accomplish its work.

      How that can add up to net productivity of government workers has always escaped me.

  3. Tom Blau Avatar

    What should we call someone who routinely works from home? A consultant. Hmm . . .

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I don’t care if someone works from home if the work gets done well and in a timely manner and customer service can be maintained.

      None of those, however, are listed as features of the federal civilian workforce in many agencies.

      1. VaNavVet Avatar

        DCMV might not be everyone’s cup of tea but it is no coincidence that millions of folks continue to call it home.

      2. Teddy007 Avatar

        If one is working in a cubile farm or open office, it is easier to work from home due to being able to concentrate and not be distracked. Working from home also takes away the scam of claiming that one is working 06:00 AM to 02:30 PM but coming into the office late.

  4. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    Another Conservative “Let’s vilify the civil servant!” post… alas… one step away from “Teachers only work for 9 months and love snow days!”

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Better’n that, it’s a “I got mine already, you get yours elsewhere” vilify the civil servant post.

    2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Not even a very good try.

      I did not “vilify the civil servant”? My father was a career federal civil servant in the Pentagon.

      I said many would rather work from home than the office. That is simply an observation validated by overwhelming evidence. Look at the Metro numbers.

      I also wrote it was hard to blame them.

      I indicated it would be nice if a great many many of them had options of where to live when joining the federal workforce. I believe they would share that sentiment.

      I vilified government management for not improving productivity and politicians for being craven.

      I hope civil servants get more productive. I think that is not only possible but more likely if the government taps the talent pools across the country rather than in just the D.C. metro area.

      The trope about physical proximity being required for interagency and Congressional coordination is OBE. The miracle of video conferencing has been in all the papers. For a couple of decades.

      I hope politicians stop being craven. I will not live to see that.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        “Moi…?”

        “…vs. actually showing up at the office….”

        “Cue the outrage and angst among federal employees…”

        “But real people depend upon the VA and Social Security Administration.

        They don’t want to go back. Something about they don’t want to go back.”

        …smh…

      2. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        “Moi…?”

        “…vs. actually showing up at the office….”

        “Cue the outrage and angst among federal employees…”

        “But real people depend upon the VA and Social Security Administration.

        They don’t want to go back. Something about they don’t want to go back.”

        …smh…

      3. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        “Moi…?”

        “…vs. actually showing up at the office….”

        “Cue the outrage and angst among federal employees…”

        “But real people depend upon the VA and Social Security Administration.

        They don’t want to go back. Something about they don’t want to go back.”

        …smh…

  5. It’s rather entertaining to watch Mayor Bowser’s desperation as it becomes evident that, with work-from-home becoming the new normal, if she wants more money for the DC government she’s going to have to get it by taxing people who can vote her out of office….

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I don’t blame her, Marcus. D.C. really is a weekday ghost town compared to four years ago.

      She has government bills to pay. A lot of D.C. businesses are dead or dying.

      We don’t think about it much, but government travel to D.C is also way down, continuing to hurt the hotels and associated businesses that were crushed by COVID.

      Those people and their employees are her constituents as well. Taxing them is blood and turnips.

      1. Teddy007 Avatar

        One of the things the pandemic taught all organizations is that there was too much company travel that was really just a perk for employees to build up frequent flier miles and Marriott points.

          1. Teddy007 Avatar

            If one has a real job, travel is a real pain because one has to attend meetings or events all day and then go back to the hotel room to check email and keep up the normal work. A real tell for unnecessary travel are the people who do not keep up on their email while on the road.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar

            been there done that… ugly… virtually nothing that can’t be done electronically without the physical travel.

      2. “A lot of D.C. businesses are dead or dying.”

        Yes, and a lot of buggy whip makers were dead or dying after that rascal Henry Ford came along….

      3. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
        f/k/a_tmtfairfax

        But keep in mind that, before COVID, the District’s government was regularly complaining about the number of people, both feds and private sector, who drove into D.C. There were all sorts of proposals to impose high daily fees on these people. Of course, if you road Metro, it was OK.

        While I suspect we will see hybrid working systems for the foreseeable future, it would be nice to hear some consistency from government officials. Do you want people in the office and spending money locally or do you want less traffic? Metro and commuter buses just don’t work for everyone.

    2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I don’t blame her, Marcus. D.C. really is a weekday ghost town compared to four years ago.

      She has government bills to pay. A lot of D.C. businesses are dead or dying.

      We don’t think about it much, but government travel to D.C is also way down, continuing to hurt the hotels and associated businesses that were crushed by COVID.

      Those people and their employees are her constituents as well. Taxing them is blood and turnips.

  6. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Since you think it would be beneficial for federal agencies to be distributed from Northern Va to other parts of the country, does that also apply to some of the military installations in Hampton Roads? As I recall, about 15 years ago, there was a BRAC recommendation that Oceana Naval Air Base be closed and the operations moved to Jacksonville, Fla. Virginia politicians were quite concerned and a lot of state money was spent to help Virginia Beach buy up homes near the Oceana airfields in order to pacify the Navy’s safety concerns.

    What about the periodic proposals to move one or more aircraft carriers from Norfolk to another port? Right now, Norfolk is the only eastern-coast home port for aircraft carriers and Virginia members of Congress from both parties have vigorously opposed any attempt to move at least one carrier to Florida. If moving BLM to somewhere out west is a good idea, then certainly spreading out the aircraft craft to at least two home ports on the East Coast would be also be a good idea? The Virginia Beach economy depends a great deal on those carriers and naval aircraft.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Excellent analysis, Dick.

      Leased civilian worker office buildings are just exactly like naval bases with multi-billion dollar government-owned unique infrastructures.

      I’m sorry, Dick, but you have to be kidding.

    2. Teddy007 Avatar

      This was tried during the Trump administration and failed horribly. Moving an organization out of DC is the same as creating a new organization since virtually no one moves. Thus, the new organization is a different state is starting with all new people.

    3. Lefty665 Avatar

      At the rate the Navy is decommissioning ships faster than they are building them some of the Navy could be moved to Kansas.

  7. LarrytheG Avatar

    The population of Fairfax is about a million and NOVA about 2 million. The Wash-DC-Va MSA is f 6,385,162 as of the 2020 U.S. Census,[8] making it the sixth-largest metropolitan area in the nation[9].

    There’s another 1-3 million who commute to NoVa and environs.

    There are jobs that will never be remote like physical security which is a significant percentage of the MSA. There is also significant classified work that cannot be done remote in the higher ranges. Not sure how advanced VPN technology has come but DOD and related take a dim view of classified data on open networks even if VPN.

    There is some population loss for NoVa according to the folks who do that data but I just don’t see NoVo drying up and blowing away anytime soon,

    COVID did not help HOV including the private companies that operate the express lanes but VDOT has become a believer in them for managing congestion levels using variable tolling.

    1. Teddy007 Avatar

      The classified work is never done from home and any computer used for classified work is not suppose to ever touch the unclassified network again.
      Of course, the problem with the politicians is that they still do everything on paper and have staffers carrying around stacks of paper where classified documents can easily get mixed in.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        So no classified data ever on unclassified systems? 😉 And cell phones allow in classified areas?

        1. Teddy007 Avatar

          That is true. And cell phones are not allowed in classified areas. SCIF have lockers outside so that people can secure their cell phone. At places like Fort Belvoir, they just leave them in the car and go to their car at lunch.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            cell phones not allow in office spaces that have classified materials? (not talking about SCIFSs). Are they checked at the entrances to buildings that have classified materials out in workspaces?

          2. Teddy007 Avatar

            Any classified materials that is out in work spaces outside a SCIF is going to be in paper form . One does not look clever trying to play word games.

    2. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Northcom and Spacecom are in Colorado, Larry. So much for the non-portability of classified information.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        Not sure your point here, There are govt activities across the nation that do handled classified material and are connected to classified networks like SIPRNET and levels up from that,

        What I am talking about is how most of these places operate with both classified and unclassified networks and how they are not physically connected but on unclassified systems where administrative work is done, classified words and phrases will sometimes “bleed” over to the unclassified networks when folks key in/create reports and such.

  8. Teddy007 Avatar

    First, not that many work in rented commercial office space due to security reasons. Just look at the Mark Center along I-395 that was built to replace all of the rented space. Or Defense Health Agency buildings on U.S. 50 in Merrifield.
    Second, the commercial office space is used by contractors and they were planning on downsizing well before the pandemic. If someone is sitting in an office in Tysons, Ballston, or Crystal City working on a computer, it is cheaper to do it from home.
    Third, the issue with D.C. is the HQ of the Department Cabinets. And those have been downsizing for years.
    And it is not the commute from Centerville or Herndon. It painful commute is from Gainesville or Stafford County.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Most federal government civilian workers never touch classified material.

      Only about 20% of the federal civilian workforce in D.C. and the Virginia suburbs work for DOD and the intel community. Let’s say another 10% handle classified material in other agencies.

      For sample numbers, see https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/data-analysis-documentation/federal-employment-reports/reports-publications/federal-civilian-employment/

      It is easy to forget that nearly innumerable other agencies like Social Security Administration and Department of Education are huge.

      It is also

      1. Teddy007 Avatar

        The Department of Education has 4000k employees and is in a GSA owned building in DC. No rent. SSA is in an office complex in Baltimore. The Ed Dept’s main job is handing out grants. That can easily be done from home.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          You mean 4000 employees right?

          1. Teddy007 Avatar

            Yes, The USDA has nearly 100,000 employees. Ed is not a good example of employees in the federal workforce. Homeland Security has 240k employees but they are spread across the country.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar

            My impression of DOD is that there are a lot of contractors compared to DOD civilian employees. Unable to find the data so far. I think DOD has far more contractors as a percent of workforce than other departments.

          3. Teddy007 Avatar

            Threre are 700k civilian employees. There are probably more contractors but the DOD does not count them that way.

      2. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        Don’t even think it’s that high. I worked on a DoD contract and neither I nor my coworkers ever handled any classified material. What we did handle was PII, which has it’s own rules and is the same among all agencies, as I recall.

  9. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    The flip side of that is new demographic NoVA folks moving out to Richmond and rural Virginia.

    Friend of mine is retired from a gov/military workplace, he was asked to write up a history of his group. Went into work and nobody home. Another friend works for another defense agency, I told him another guy we know works there too. But post-COVID they did not know.

    The bad news I assume some good things we had like slugging car pooling must be taking big loss in popularity, just when we were trying to extend that from I95 to I66, to the new HOT-3 lanes.

    How long can it be before our elected officials give the good people (EV drivers) free rides on HOT lanes as well as car tax exemption?

    1. “How long can it be before our elected officials give the good people (EV drivers) free rides on HOT lanes as well as car tax exemption?”

      Actually, the HOT-lane part is already the case.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        If talking about the Express lanes on I-95/I-495 , it’s no longer about rewarding less polluting vehicles. It’s about managing real-time congestion levels by using variable tolling.

    2. “How long can it be before our elected officials give the good people (EV drivers) free rides on HOT lanes as well as car tax exemption?”

      Actually, the HOT-lane part is already the case.

  10. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Let them work from home. In another 6 months ChatGPT will be smart enough to replace them all.

  11. Teddy007 Avatar

    Unless one is having in person meeting, there is no reason to go to an office. We used to go to the office to be near the office machines such as photocopiers, computers, fax machines, telephones along with needing access to paper files.
    These days, there is no reason to leave the house to work on a computer all day.
    And anyone who has ever worked for a large organization knows how pointless many of the meeting are. HOw many supervisors have pointless staff meetings where the staff’s time is wasted so that the boss can have a series of one-on-one meetings.

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