ODEC’s Coal Plant Takes a Powder

Is the beginning of a big shift in energy use at hand?
Last week, Old Dominion Electric Cooperative based in Henrico County announced that it was delaying a controversial $6 billion coal-fired generating station in Surry County just an egret’s flight away from Colonial Williamsburg.
For about two years, ODEC seemed to have been on a roll, sweet-talking residents of the rural county with pig-pickings, throttling reporters who ask too many pesky questions and snagging permit after rezoning ordinance to build its plant in the tiny village of Dendron.
On Sept. 8, ODEC announced it was “extending its timeline” for building the 1,500 megawatt plant because the “slower than expected growth in the economy” means there’s less demand for electricity. Not to fear, an ODEC spokesman said, there will be growing demand in the future and the delay of up to two years doesn’t change the cooperative’s goal.
But it seems that ODEC’s announcement is a bit disingenuous. Could it be they can’t line up needed financing?
Already, consultants have questioned the need for the project and how anxious lending institutions would be to shell out billions. ODEC spokesmen turned aside the concerns.
Unlike Dominion Virginia Power which has two nuclear statons, a number of coal-fired and gas-fired plants and hydro, ODEC has never built an electric power station of this size before. Its members are a polyglot of small, rural coops from Delaware to Virginia. Its biggest and most urban member, a Northern Virginia coop, left ODEC in a contract dispute a couple of years ago.
One wonders why ODEC needs such a big slug of power. It could be that ODEC needed to partner with another utility to get loans and failed to do so. There’s no question that enterprises that easily pass the viability test have a hard time getting loans these days after the Big Money banks like Merrill Lynch, Wachovia, and Bank of America all got greedy with dangerous but highly profitable subprime mortgage lending and their derivatives.
Experienced plant builders and operators like Dominion need either special financial deals worked out through state legislation as was the case with its much smaller Wise County coal-fired plant or federal help. Plans to build another nuclear unit at North Anna won’t fly without massive federal loan guarantees.
What’s more, Department of Energy figures shows that during the recession, total power demand dropped 4 percent and coal-fired power, which, a few years ago, had supplied more than half of all electricity generated in the country, dropped 11 percent. By contrast, natural gas, hydroelectric and renewable energy sources all showed an increase in the percentage of electricity they generated.
Could a turning point be in the wind (so to speak)? Or is it just more flotsam from the sinking economy?
Whatever. With obstacles like these, it’s a wonder ODEC’s plan has survived as long as it has.
Peter Galuszka

Share this article



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)


Comments

14 responses to “ODEC’s Coal Plant Takes a Powder”

  1. Anonymous Avatar

    Peter,

    It is simple economics.

    Global discoveries of massive new gas fields are driving down the price of coal.

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/221526-the-largest-ever-natural-gas-discovery-in-u-s-history-and-the-company-set-to-dominate

    Google "coal price" as well.

    Lower energy prices and cleaner air.

    Cheaper electric cars and Risse's feared autonomobility just might be here to stay for the next thousand years!

    Not Ed Risse.

  2. what I've heard is that kids are moving back in with parents or vice versa… as unemployment ravages those who would work if they could.

    All those unoccupied homes and smaller rental properties don't need that much power – and the great housing boom is over – maybe for a long time.

    Who wants to tie up $300-400K and a gawd-awful monthly mortgage when the 'sure-thing' part of "investing" in a home has suffered some major dings?

    People at the beginning of their careers are rethinking the whole idea of "investing" in a house if they can't sell it when they need to take a new job – which now days – you better be ready to do – if you want to stay employed.

    there is a LOT of uncertainty about the future on a number of fronts and it's causing a paradigm-shift in the whole way that people – and institutions – position themselves for the future.

    Power Plants used to be a sure-thing for "investors" – but no more.

    PEPCO in Washington DC is ready to roll out Smart Meters after a pilot program where close to 90% of the participants – used LESS electricity – that's right LESS.

    Maryland just approved Smart Meters with a twist.

    Instead of making people pay MORE at peak periods – the power company will give them REBATES if they use LESS during peak periods.

    But it's clear that Smart Meters are coming online – and what we know from the ones that have already gone online – is that people will use LESS electricity once they know more about their usage.

  3. what I've heard is that kids are moving back in with parents or vice versa… as unemployment ravages those who would work if they could.

    All those unoccupied homes and smaller rental properties don't need that much power – and the great housing boom is over – maybe for a long time.

    Who wants to tie up $300-400K and a gawd-awful monthly mortgage when the 'sure-thing' part of "investing" in a home has suffered some major dings?

    People at the beginning of their careers are rethinking the whole idea of "investing" in a house if they can't sell it when they need to take a new job – which now days – you better be ready to do – if you want to stay employed.

    there is a LOT of uncertainty about the future on a number of fronts and it's causing a paradigm-shift in the whole way that people – and institutions – position themselves for the future.

    Power Plants used to be a sure-thing for "investors" – but no more.

    PEPCO in Washington DC is ready to roll out Smart Meters after a pilot program where close to 90% of the participants – used LESS electricity – that's right LESS.

    Maryland just approved Smart Meters with a twist.

    Instead of making people pay MORE at peak periods – the power company will give them REBATES if they use LESS during peak periods.

    But it's clear that Smart Meters are coming online – and what we know from the ones that have already gone online – is that people will use LESS electricity once they know more about their usage.

  4. Coal plant takes a powder…..

    Ugh,

    Har, Har,Har.

  5. Gas will be cheaper as long as the activists don't shut down well fracking.

    Big Protest today and a documentary out of Sundance.

  6. People at the beginning of their careers are rethinking the whole idea of "investing" in a house if they can't sell it when they need to take a new job –

    ==================================

    Yeah, well, someone is going to have to invest in all those rentals.

  7. Maryland just approved Smart Meters with a twist.

    Instead of making people pay MORE at peak periods – the power company will give them REBATES if they use LESS during peak periods.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=

    Great.

    Now you get to pay for power you don't use and then wait to get a refund.

    If you wanted to take all the value for consumers out of th esmart meter and hand it over to the power company, what could be a betterplan than this?

  8. people will use LESS electricity once they know more about their usage.

    ================================

    Is this about using less electricity, or less electricity at peak hours?

    The problem with this is that it isn't free: you don't get lower prices by using power off peak unless you do workor make investments to capture those lower rates. In effect, you are now working for the power company.

    Considering how cheap electricity is, you are working for a VERY low wage.

    And that isn;t all, if this turns out to somehow actually save people money, Jevons paradox suggests they will find new ways to use power, and the net result will be MORE use, not less.

    The load may be more evenly distributed, but the use will be higher. For example, auto miles are up because wning and operating a vehicle is cheaper than ever.

  9. if you have a smart meter – you can actually calculate how much rebate you're going to receive.

    I think this will motivate some people…

    but the interesting thing is that if the rates are not decoupled – like in California – it means less and less profits for the Power Company unless they are guaranteed a minimum amount – in which case that means the more that people save and don't use – the higher the rates will go to compensate.

  10. if peak power – provided by Natural Gas peaker plants is 7 times as expensive as base load coal power then the money is real.

    The difference is that without smart meters and variable pricing – the more peak power that is needed – the more everyone pays – regardless of your use.. you can see it on your bill as a "fuel adjustment" usually.

  11. My prediction remains the same.

    1) Total electricity consumption will continue to go up.

    2) Smart meters (and the new rate structures to go with them) will cost consumers more than they save consumers, and the money will go tot he poser company.

  12. I've always wondered about Larry's point regarding "rate of return" regulation. Electricity – what a job! The state guarantees you a return on your investment but you get paid like the executives at a company in a competitive industry.

    I guess it's "just the way things are" but the executives at Dominion seem to have a pretty sweet deal.

    I guess that's one reason that Dominion is always on the vpap.org site for virtually every politician.

    Someday, I'll understand Jim Bacon's distaste for capping the campaign contributions in Virginia. It seems like we have just as many shenanigans as exist at the federal level as well as a regulatory scheme which almost guarantees that we'll pay more and more for electricity.

  13. if we are going to have political donations and they are guaranteed as so-called free speech – then we need a VPAP for Virginia and a version of it nationally and the contributions needs to be reported within 24hrs before elections and within 2 hrs just prior to elections and they need to be reportable via RSS so that anyone who wants to keep up – can do so.

    I realize this is yet another "outrageous" and "unwarranted" …"interference" from the govt but so be it.

  14. if we are going to have political donations and they are guaranteed as so-called free speech – then we need a VPAP for Virginia and a version of it nationally and the contributions needs to be reported within 24hrs before elections and within 2 hrs just prior to elections and they need to be reportable via RSS so that anyone who wants to keep up – can do so.

    I realize this is yet another "outrageous" and "unwarranted" …"interference" from the govt but so be it.

Leave a Reply