New Warmist Spin: Millions Still Will Die… But It’s Complicated

Graphic credit: Washington Post
by James A. Bacon

Old global warmist spin: as temperatures rise, millions will die.

New global warmist spin: OK, we’ll admit that rising temperatures have resulted in fewer overall deaths due to the decline in cold temperatures, which kill more people than hot temperatures. But rich developed-world countries in northern climes will benefit the most from rising temperatures while poor developing countries closer to the equator will suffer the most.

Washington Post writer Harry Stevens acknowledges that a peer-reviewed paper recently published in Lancet Planetary Health found that the number of people dying from cold is declining faster than the number of people dying from heat is increasing.

Oh, no, what’s a climate hysteric to do? There is no upside to warmer temperatures — none!!!

The solution: emphasize the inequality.

Writes Stevens: “In the medium emissions scenario, Niger, one of the poorest and hottest countries in the world, is projected to suffer the largest increase in temperature-linked mortality, while cold, wealthy Finland sees the largest decrease.”

In the Warmist crowd, the preferred way to address this inequality is to re-engineer the global energy economy by putting all our eggs in the volatile, intermittent “renewable energy” basket at the cost of trillions of dollars per year. Stevens doesn’t explore the potential impact on mortality if the electric grid goes down in hurricanes or global vortexes, knocking heaters and HVAC systems out of commission for days or weeks at a time.

An alternative strategy is to rely upon diversified sources of energy, make electricity more abundant in the developing world, and provide air conditioning to the global masses.

Which alternative do you think the global masses would choose?

Here in temperate Virginia, we’re in a sweet spot. Warmer temperatures will make us more like… North Carolina. Not so bad. I’m a lot more worried about the grid going down — taking down our lights, appliances, businesses, factories, electric vehicles, and everything else with it, including heaters and air conditioners — than I am about Virginians expiring from heat stroke. I’ll bet homeless people are more worried about extreme cold than extreme heat, too. Someone ought to ask them.


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Comments

20 responses to “New Warmist Spin: Millions Still Will Die… But It’s Complicated”

  1. This reminds me of a Sam Kinison routine:

    You want to help world hunger? Stop sending them food. Don’t send them another bite, send them U-Hauls. Send them a guy that says, “You know, we’ve been coming here giving you food for about 35 years now and we were driving through the desert, and we realized there wouldn’t BE world hunger if you people would live where the FOOD IS! YOU LIVE IN A DESERT!! UNDERSTAND THAT? YOU LIVE IN A ——- DESERT!! NOTHING GROWS HERE! NOTHING’S GONNA GROW HERE! Come here, you see this? This is sand. You know what it’s gonna be 100 years from now? IT’S GONNA BE SAND!! YOU LIVE IN A ——- DESERT! We have deserts in America, we just don’t LIVE in them…

    1. In all seriousness, I do wonder if people who live at the equator ever consider the possibility that their nations are the poorest in the world because they live at the equator, and that nations in more temperate climates are more prosperous because they are located in more temperate climates.

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        I suppose the wealthier ones do, but then “it’s good to be king”. It’s better to rule in Hell than serve in Heaven. As for the poorest, how do you expect them to learn this? Beyond the stones with which they grind USAid rice, they know only what they see.

        I think the Brits called them “poor devils” for a reason.

        Even educated Russians are launching themselves into a grinder in Ukraine, and they have TV.

      2. Not Today Avatar

        Or, maybe, they have minerals and other valuable assets that were stripped before modern sensibilities intruded?

      3. DJRippert Avatar

        Singapore is at the equator. Hardly a poor nation. But, in general, I get your point …

        1. Exception that proves the rule, perhaps?

          😉

      4. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        I suppose the wealthier ones do, but then “it’s good to be king”. It’s better to rule in Hell than serve in Heaven. As for the poorest, how do you expect them to learn this? Beyond the stones with which they grind USAid rice, they know only what they see.

        I think the Brits called them “poor devils” for a reason.

        Even educated Russians are launching themselves into a grinder in Ukraine, and they have TV.

        1. Can’t argue with that, I suppose.

      5. Not Today Avatar

        Or, maybe, they have minerals and other valuable assets that were stripped before modern sensibilities intruded?

  2. AlH - Deckplates Avatar
    AlH – Deckplates

    One of the viable points, made in the article, are the power grids. I can correlate, two main factors, the Efficiency & Reliability of the grid to the cost of power to the customer. Also, “dirty” power has a similar correlation. Improving the Quality of Service, by improving the grid should be a priority. Unfortunately, we think in such short-term cycles.

    Today, the U.S. is one of the world’s leaders in developing advanced and more reliable power grids. The technology to manage them, while more efficiently distributing power is a big issue. Unfortunately, we are being sporadic in the implementation of improved grid management, as most are “kicking the can down the road.” An increased focus on grid improvements would pay off in many ways, to include many positive economic and social externalities such as growth and habitability. Now, those kinds of investments have a high future ROI.

  3. James McCarthy Avatar
    James McCarthy

    A trip to Costa Rica apparently has opened the Creatormoderator’s eyes to global concerns.

  4. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    “…and provide air conditioning to the global masses…”

    How many die during the resultant heat-driven famines…?

  5. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    If the Climate Catastrophe Colonialists would just shut the ^&$# up, the undeveloped parts of the world would find the oil, coal and gas needed to run all the AC they could ever want…..Cheap, abundant energy is the solution for both hot and cold, which have always existed as a threat and really are not changing.

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      I’m imagining Ethiopia with a power grid in the desert… I’m thinking maybe built by Texas New Mexico Power Co.

  6. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    Not a fact in sight. There seldom is. Just models based on WAGs. A century plus of “global warming” is barely discernible in terms of temperature, has resulted in zero changes to heat waves, cold spells, hurricanes, droughts or the price of beer. Deaths from adverse weather events have plummeted in the past century. So now they want to blame earthquakes on CO2…we didn’t have earthquakes before 1850? Why, yes, they too have always been killing us.

    1. Not Today Avatar

      That’s not how science works. Science posits answers to questions and monitors data over time to ascertain trends which…eventually…become common knowledge/facts. I love that you see climate change as some abstract issue (you probably won’t live to see the consequences of it in terms of human migration or instability) but I do not and will not and neither will my kids. They don’t deserve to be hamstrung and poisoned by old people follies.

      1. DJRippert Avatar

        Just out of curiosity … how do you know how old Steve Haner is?

        Does Steve have kids?

        How old am I? How old is my Mom?

        1. Not Today Avatar

          I don’t and it’s really a side issue. I can’t even guarantee I’ll see tomorrow. What I do know is that climate change skeptics largely won’t be the one dealing with the fallout of denial and inaction. It’s s classic free rider problem.

          1. Stephen Haner Avatar
            Stephen Haner

            Communism was the most destructive falsehood of the 20th C. This is the most destructive falsehood of the 21st. All the data, all the facts, say: minimal warming trend (currently paused), no change in adverse weather patterns, and no proof CO2 does more harm than good (it does plenty of good, as your being alive proves.) Should you live three more decades you will know you’ve been hoodwinked. But then, all the warnings from three decades ago have proven to be nonsense and yet you don’t get it yet.

  7. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
    f/k/a_tmtfairfax

    Like many things in life, changes in climate have multiple effects. Some benefit and some don’t. But what is sure is that government programs to address changes in climate will send lots of wealth from ordinary people to the wealthy, including big nonprofits.

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