National Teacher Survey Sounds Alarm – Teacher Shortages About to Get Worse

by James C. Sherlock

My subscription to Education Week yesterday produced a survey on teacher satisfaction that the EdWeek Research Center conducted for Boston’s Merrimack College.

The survey results suggest a deep disillusionment of many teachers who feel overworked, underpaid, and under-appreciated, with potential implications for a once-in-a-generation shift in the teaching profession. For example, just twelve percent of teachers, the survey found, are very satisfied with their jobs, with more than four in ten teachers saying they were very or fairly likely to leave the profession in the next two years.

A factor that almost certainly contributes to their rising dissatisfaction is teachers’ growing perception that the general public does not understand or appreciate their work.

Less than half of 2022 survey respondents say the general public respects them and views them as professionals, down from 77 percent of 2011 respondents to (the last) MetLife survey.

The results, while unsurprising, are worthy of exposure. The survey attributed the dismal results largely to fallout on teachers and children from the pandemic and from the culture wars in schools.

I agree. Ultimately, causes matter because they inform some long-term solutions. But we live in the immediate term.

What are we going to do to prepare for when school starts again in the late summer without enough teachers?

The results match the anecdotal evidence I have been hearing from Virginia schools in general and the schools in my home city of Virginia Beach in particular. The widespread dissatisfaction among teachers is creating a teacher supply/demand mismatch of increasing magnitude.

The pandemic shutdowns and the culture war genies cannot be put back in the bottle. The implications for the future of in-person learning in public schools are dire.

It is necessary to ask what steps the Virginia Department of Education and local school divisions are taking to prepare for teacher shortages in August. Those shortages, at a minimum, will raise the work levels of remaining teachers. And overwork is already a widespread and valid complaint.

As the survey confirmed, the effects of the pandemic shutdowns and school culture wars are the sources of teacher disillusionment and dissatisfaction with their careers.

The pandemic shutdowns that needed to last part of one semester starting in March of 2020 instead lasted throughout the 2020-21 school year in some divisions. Woke school boards, the urban press, progressives and teachers’ unions (which is a quadruple redundancy), but not nearly all of Virginia’s teachers, demanded the extension.

Catholic schools were open for in-school instruction in 2020-21 without health consequence. The learning losses among the most vulnerable student populations in public schools were life-altering. No apologies have been forthcoming.

As for the culture wars in Virginia public schools, they were declared by the woke state Board of Education appointed by Democrats. The members of that body found the pandemic period the appropriate time to pick those fights by inserting into public policy concepts that Virginians with traditional values were certain to find unacceptable.

Having thrown down the gauntlet, they got the fight they chose. That same Board of Education unintentionally elected Glenn Youngkin governor. Few protested at state Board of Education meetings. They showed up instead at their local school board meetings. And teachers felt the pain.

Where are we now? Those generational mistakes are done. We all, but especially teachers, are left to pick up the pieces.

Teachers are doing what they can for their students. The state is about to raise their salaries, a necessary step.

School teaching environments, however, are far more daunting not only because of asymmetric learning losses among the children, but because those same children’s social development was interrupted, resulting in increased disruptive behavior in schools.

The state Board of Education piled on in the past few years by reducing the autonomy of teachers in their classrooms with an enormous increase in prescriptive progressive policies. As the old saying goes, they can do anything they want as long as it is mandatory.

Much of the disruptive and destructive behavior that teachers see every day is shielded from public view by:

  • reluctance to report it lest the school be singled out as poorly-led for too many incidents or considered systemically racist because of an unbalanced racial composition of miscreants;
  • or, both; and
  • by “restorative justice” where that policy has been implemented.

The Youngkin administration is already engaged in trying to reverse some of the worst policies, but its new Board of Education appointees will need to be in place to accomplish those objectives.

Great damage has been done.

What to do? The state has just passed a budget that will raise teacher salaries. That will help to some degree.

But I am not sure how the new administration in Richmond and local school boards are proceeding from today to deal with the projected acceleration of teacher shortages in August.

School boards will certainly be tempted to offer temporary accreditation to persons not yet qualified to be fully licensed. That is a tricky path to be trodden carefully.

With some distaste I feel obligated to point out that increased remote teaching may prove necessary in some divisions, even if the children are in their school rooms to benefit from the non-instructional advantages offered by the schools.

Experience with remote instruction has proven that many of the licensed teachers who are driven away by the in-school environments and workloads will prove amenable to just teaching and doing it online from home.

The organizations Virginia has in place, both private and public, to provide remote public school instruction may have to be expanded both in size and scope.

The private companies, led by Herndon-based Stride, have established great track records over decades in providing state-funded remote public school instruction in Virginia.

It appears that the state and local school boards will need to move quickly to expand that particular supply.


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34 responses to “National Teacher Survey Sounds Alarm – Teacher Shortages About to Get Worse”

  1. Donald Smith Avatar
    Donald Smith

    I’ll bet that, if you look closely at the payrolls of Virginia state colleges, you’ll find lots of administrators who add no value to the classroom experience. Perhaps the money spent on those people could be diverted to secondary school teacher pay.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Colleges? Don’t ignore the admin bloat K-12.

      1. Matt Hurt Avatar
        Matt Hurt

        Not every division enjoys that bloat. Smaller divisions must get the same tasks done as larger division, but with a smaller administrative staff. In smaller divisions, one person may do the job that 5-10 people do in a larger division.

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Best and newest buildings usually are the Admin Bldg.

  2. Yup, the teacher shortage is bad and getting worse. The canaries in the coal mine are the teachers in Title IX (high poverty) schools where working conditions are the worse. Inadequate pay is a universal constant. But lousy working conditions — indifferent or hostile students, indifferent or hostile parents, increased reporting and paperwork, disorder in the halls and classrooms, increasing fears of physical violence, buck-passing school administrators, and ideologues in the district office — are worse in Title IX schools than anywhere else.

    There’s a vicious cycle at work. When there aren’t enough teachers, existing teachers have to take on more students, which means more classes, more students, more papers to grade, and less time to prepare. Title IX teachers are getting burned out. As more leave and schools fail to replace them, those who are left behind get even more burned out.

    This is a crisis. The Youngkin administration didn’t create it, but they’re in charge now. They have to find a way to deal with it.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      Title 1 schools.

  3. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Since you have concluded that the root of teachers’ dissatisfaction was the “woke Board of Education” and that (1) angry crowds berating local school boards due to policies opposed to “traditional values” (never mind that those school boards had been elected by a majority of the voters in their localities), or (2) Youngkin’s tip line, (3) teachers having to redo their lesson plans several times because a parent did not approve of the reading assigned, or (4) parents rhetorically attacking teachers for teaching critical race theory had nothing to do with poor teacher morale, you should have no worries about a shortage in teachers in Virginia next fall. After all, as of July 1, Youngkin’s appointees will constitute a majority of the Board of Education and all will be back to “traditional values”.

    1. Donald Smith Avatar
      Donald Smith

      “angry crowds berating local school boards due to policies opposed to ‘traditional values’”

      Yes, it is irritating when the normals don’t know their place and—what’s worse—refuse to follow the instructions the experts have given them. Americans do have a pesky habit of throwing the B.S. flag when they see B.S. Those upstart rankers kneeling in the snow at Valley Forge caused Baron Von Steuben no end of grief—they insisted he explain his orders!

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      The same thinking has concluded that an absence of locks, armed guards, and mental health care, but not guns, contribute to school shooting.

      You’re going to want to stay on the low side of the boat while doing that.

      1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
        James C. Sherlock

        Article not about school shooting.

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          It’s about concrete brains. Or, an exemplar…

          Although, they’re short two in Uvalde. BTW, not that he is to be believed, but the shooter’s post of the day wherein he denied he would shoot up a school, and the fact that he crashed his truck, may indicate that the school was a TOO, and not his primary. I wonder where he was headed?

          1. Lefty665 Avatar
            Lefty665

            That was one of the weirder things about Uvalde, why did he drive the truck into a culvert? He had to work to do that. It was a lot more than just veering off onto the shoulder. Were the voices coming from his fillings distracting him?

    3. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I think you will agree that it was a three step process: 1. the Board of Education, teachers unions and some local school boards started the culture wars fights and the disputes over school reopening. 2. Parents responded. 3. Teachers were collateral damage.

      What do you recommend the state and local governments do before Aug 1 to mitigate teacher shortages?

      1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
        Dick Hall-Sizemore

        No, I don’t agree that the culture wars fights started that way. But, we have debated this ad nausea and I am tired of it. So, we can agree to disagree and see if teachers happily return to their desks in August/September.

        1. Donald Smith Avatar
          Donald Smith

          I’ll stipulate that too many parents have unrealistic expectations for their public school system’s teachers. It seems that many parents expect their public schools to perform magic, and somehow make up for all the learning that all students—regardless of their circumstances—lost due to COVID. That’s not going to happen right away, if at all. Especially if we’re losing teachers.

          Wealthier parents are going to have to pony up for tutors, simply because they’re the only ones with the means to pay for extra academic help for their kids. Parents whose kids attend the state’s disadvantaged schools don’t have the means.

  4. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    DeSantis doesn’t understand why Florida is facing a teacher shortage either.

    “Florida will likely continue to struggle with a teacher shortage for the 2022-23 school year, according to the Florida Department of Education (FLDOE).Mar 25, 2022”

    It could be that they quit in order to sue him..

  5. NotJohnConnor Avatar
    NotJohnConnor

    The teachers I’ve spoken with bemoan the lack of back up from the administrations regarding student behavior. I’ve seen this first hand with the decline of a formerly great middle school. The school formerly had a Black female principal who “ran a tight ship” and faculty viewed themselves as a family with very low turnover. The moved her out, brought in a succession of white female principals who sought to implement an “equity” agenda. Classrooms are becoming dysfunctional because the teachers are not allowed to enforce behavioral expectations, fights are up, learning is down, and teacher turnover is through the roof. The administration leadership was driving teachers away, even before covid. So, in the name of “equity”, they are harming the most at risk populations. So, now those that can are fleeing to the suburbs again and/or the local private schools. To me, it’s the clearest example of “systemic racism”. Grrr.

  6. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    50% of US 3-4 yo kids are enrolled in pre-K,
    90% of European 3-4 yo kids are.

    The teacher shortage is worldwide, although it’s worse here than in other G-20. We rank 6th in entry HS teacher salary, which is somewhat misleading since it’s our (nearly equal to 25 European nations) average versus their individual salary. I’m sure taking individual states, NY or CA would rank at the world top.

    1. James C. Sherlock Avatar
      James C. Sherlock

      I believe Washington D.C. would.

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        DC is off the scale on just about everything. Would not surprise me if it has the highest teacher salary. There’s a state by state chart on robbery rate. DC is twice the next highest. Could be that it’s because it’s not a state, but treated like one. Could be because it’s a den of beltway bandits.

    2. Matt Hurt Avatar
      Matt Hurt

      We’re a negative outlier in Virginia, in fact the most negative outlier.

      https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1f92f5f7fee0e72adbcbdfad071b9325d535c3b39519e66879e824606646f513.png

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Ain’t we though, Raggedy Man.

  7. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Great article Captain! This chart from the report grabbed me. Of the 57 hours of work performed by a teacher in a week, only 25 hours are actual instruction/teaching. This must change to budge the performance needle.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/f9bdbe3b3829e4aee159475d3e3efc18a261a21a1f97690bf9d0416acc87408c.jpg

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      I am sure that all those extra hours were caused by the “woke” Board of Education. Not to worry. The new Board of Education will eliminate, or substantially reduce, those 22 hours spent doing something than actual instruction.

      1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
        James Wyatt Whitehead

        The BOE, whether it is the old one or the new one, needs to get out of the way of instruction time.

        1. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          Wisdom from an actual, experienced teacher.

          It would be interesting to see how those non-instructional hours increased over the years.

        2. Matt Hurt Avatar
          Matt Hurt

          It’s not just the BOE, but the General Assembly as well. For example, everyone has lauded the Virginia Literacy Act as the savior of all students who can’t read. It may certainly provide some benefit, but read the fine details and look at how things will be micromanaged from Richmond and Charlottesville, and how teachers will be required to do much, much more paperwork. For those grades, the percentage of instructional hours compared to all work hours will decline more.

      2. Matt Adams Avatar
        Matt Adams

        “I am sure that all those extra hours were caused by the “woke” Board of Education. Not to worry. The new Board of Education will eliminate, or substantially reduce, those 22 hours spent doing something than actual instruction.”

        Perhaps instead of stating your opinion if you engaged a teacher you’d find out, as you’ve dismissed an actual teachers opinion on them for your own political opinions.

    2. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      More gub’mint = more regulation. More regulation = more time filling out forms and less time teaching. More time filling out forms <> better educational results for the students.

      The answer is clear – cut back gub’mint.

  8. James C. Sherlock Avatar
    James C. Sherlock

    As a note, I ran this by a couple of local teachers before publication. They and every teacher who has commented since find it accurate. Worth knowing.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      A teacher I know who teaches in the Richmond area initially resigned when her school division decided it was having in-school instruction instead of closing for the pandemic in September 2020. When the sch00l division chose to go to remote learning, she returned. Recently, she decided not to go back next fall. One of the deciding factors was having to create multiple lesson plans in order to satisfy parents’ complaints about the reading assigned to students. I doubt if she would agree with your contentions.

      1. Matt Adams Avatar
        Matt Adams

        That doesn’t negate Sherlock’s point, you’re example is of a teacher who shouldn’t have been teaching in the first place. As it’s clear with her vacillation that her concerns are only for herself.

  9. Matt Hurt Avatar
    Matt Hurt

    The General Assembly did approve a 10% raise for state employees and teachers over the biennium (5% this year and another 5% next year). To be sure, that’s better than the previous 4% or 5%, and certainly better than none. However, at the end of this year, if inflation remains at the current rate of 8.5%, teachers will have 3.5% less purchasing power than they did last year. If inflation goes up much more than what it is, it will have consumed all of the raise over the biennium. I realize state funds are limited, and that everybody’s trying to get a bigger piece of that pie, but we really need to provide a more lucrative financial incentive to bring more people into a profession that has been hemorrhaging people for years. If we don’t, we need to develop a plan B.

    As for remote instruction, our response to the pandemic very clearly demonstrated that this is not a wise move, especially for the kids who are most in need. Remote instruction may cause some folks to think that instruction is happening, but a casual review of our 2021 SOL data clearly demonstrates that’s not the case.

  10. Merchantseamen Avatar
    Merchantseamen

    “disillusionment of many teachers who feel overworked, underpaid, and under-appreciated,” What horse hockey. Underpaid, overworked. What about the rest of the professions? The product that is turned out might as well have Substandard Quality stamped on it.

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