Loudoun’s Golden Goose Lays Fewer Eggs

Data Center Alley. Photo credit: Loudoun Now

by James A. Bacon

Data centers may not support a lot of jobs, but they sure do pump up the tax base. In Loudoun County, home to the world’s largest cluster of server farms, the facilities were expected to support $11.2 billion in taxable assets. When the actual number came in $1.1 billion shy of forecasts this year, a mere $10.1 billion, the county generated $60 million less in tax revenue than expected, reports Loudoun Now.

Other Virginia localities that have been banking on data centers to bolster their tax base may encounter the same issue. They should consider themselves forewarned.

Forecasting revenue from data centers is a tricky business. Counties may know the size and value of the buildings that hold the computers, but it’s harder projecting out how fast owners will fill them up with servers. Once the buildings are full, forecasters then have to project computers will be replaced with newer, faster, more energy-efficient models. The servers are depreciated rapidly for tax purposes; they are assessed at only 50% of the purchase price after a year and 10% in six years.

This year, county officials are wondering if the COVID epidemic affected the pace of investments. If data-center operators slow the pace of reinvestment, assessed value can decline rapidly.

Buddy Rizer, Loudoun’s economic development director, also noted that cloud computing giants like Microsoft, Amazon and Google build facilities to allow them to respond to surges in demand. They carry the cost of holding those facilities even if they don’t need to fill them immediately with server racks, he told Loudoun Now.

“I think it’s really too early to tell until we see at least next year’s tax levy, and maybe the tax year 2023 levy, to be able to sort out what was COVID noise versus what was changes in the industry,” said assistant finance director Caleb Weitz. “What I think I can confidently say is, it’s definitely a mixture of both.”

Server farms are so lucrative for Loudoun that the revenue they generate covers the entire county operating budget with money left over for schools. In the past, county supervisors dedicated some of the data-center revenues to one-time expenditures. As one of the most affluent localities in the country, Loudoun has a AAA bond rating and healthy real estate tax base to fall back on. The shortfall this year  represents less than 3% of the county’s total General Fund revenues.


Share this article



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)



ADVERTISEMENT

(comments below)


Comments

16 responses to “Loudoun’s Golden Goose Lays Fewer Eggs”

  1. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    server farms are the computing equivalent of solar farms or electricity substations or pipeline compression/pump stations.

    They are not job centers and there is only so much tax revenue that can be squeezed out of them.

    They really don’t deserve all the attention they are getting when talking about economic development.

    All the data centers in Loudoun wouldn’t rescue SW Va.

    If you have a kid or grandkid in school – what should they be studying , ergo what should the public school system (in Loudoun and other) be teaching kids so when they grow up , they can get a good job – it most likely won’t be at a data center.

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Damn – Larry gets this 100% right. It’s not the data centers that matter. It’s the software that runs on the servers in those data centers that matters.

      Beyond that – the emerging trend of “edge computing” is going to put pressure on those huge centralized data centers.

      1. Do you have any good ideas on how to tax the software? If you do, I’m sure local governments will be all ears.

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          They are reacting to electricity prices. Now and the wave that is coming. No other explanation necessary. These places drink electricity the way a paper mill sucks up water. The biggest input cost I bet.

          I do not have to explain to them the meaning of the phrase “non-bypassable charge.”

        2. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          You tax the real estate of the software developers. You tax the purchases of the software developers. At the state level, you tax the income of the software developers.

          Apparently, there are 1,600 Amazon employees currently working from Arlington County.

          Arlington has a real estate tax of $1.013 per $100 of assessed value.

          The median listing home price in Arlington is $715,000.

          1,600 * 1.013 * (715,000 / 100) = $11,588,720 per year

          Now, let’s say Amazon makes good on its 25,000 employee promise.

          That would be $181m per year in real estate taxes.

          Of course, Virginia could follow Maryland’s lead and allow counties to levy income taxes on people. In liberal Montgomery County that rate is 3.2%.

          How much do you think 3.2% of the combined salaries of the 25,000 employees of Amazon living in NoVa would come to?

          https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/amazon-offices/an-hq2-update-for-our-arlington-employees-and-the-community

      2. Brian Leeper Avatar
        Brian Leeper

        In Prince William County they think that datacenters are an upgrade from used car lots.

        1. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          Used car lots? It was massage parlors and trailer parks along Rt 1 in southern Fairfax County when I grew up. Used car lots would have been an improvement.

          Now the plan is to run Metro down Rt 1. That will be enormously expensive but probably doable.

          Exactly what happens to all those trains when they get to the limited narrow tunnels and bridges that take them into and out of DC … well, that’s another question.

          1. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            I wouldn’t foresee WMATA running down route 1. There was always the pipe dream of running the Orange line out to Manassas but it will never happen.

        2. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          If you have seen an electric substation – that’s wha a data center is – it just looks a little different but it’s the same basic idea.

          1. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            The biggest substation I’ve ever seen measures 1000 feet by 1000 feet. Not in Virginia.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            yeah, but they are all over the place in size and scale.. they’re just infrastructure to move electricity and data centers are just infrastructure to move data.

            The idea that data centers are central to the knowledge economy is true but really misguided… it’s like thinking highways , roads will bring economic prosperity.

            They CAN if business results as a result of highway capacity but in and of itself , it’s just asphalt.

          3. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            Build it and they MIGHT come.

  2. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Think of a data center like you would an office building but with maybe 10-20 times more computers. They do use electricity but most modern computes use far less electricity that they did prior and especially do if they are using solid state disk storage instead of spinning disks.

    As DJ pointed out, it’s not the servers, it’s the software that uses them and no, the software may not reside on them… the software is everywhere and the DATA it processes and moves – moves like electricity does – it just “flows” through the data centers on it’s way from somewhere to somewhere else.

    the BLOG BR may sit on one or more computers somewhere but some gal in Wise county receives BR via a data center and keys in a response that goes back through a data center – not unlike how electricity to your house gets to you through a bunch of different substations.

    Data Centers are just dumb infrastructure , they just move electrons…

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Electrons which will soon cost as much or more in Virginia as they do in California (when not browned out) and Massachusetts. I’m telling you, that’s a major factor….

  3. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    I recognize that picture. It is in Ashburn off of Smith Station Road. The Weller Family had an enormous spread of land on the east side of Ashburn. Once a prime cattle, dairy, corn, hay, and soybean farm.

    1. Matt Adams Avatar
      Matt Adams

      Before they opened the Wegman’s on 28 we used to go to the Sterling one when we lived in Loudoun. The drive one Fairfax County Parkway when it was finished to that Wegman’s was lined with data center buildings, well at least the construction of them when we did that drive.

Leave a Reply