Last Passenger on the Titanic

by James A. Bacon

The good news regarding the Silver Line extension of the Washington Metro rail system to Washington Dulles International Airport is that the service is fiiinnaally scheduled to commence in October after four years of construction delays.

The bad news is that Metro might not have enough rail cars in service to run on the line.

“The rail car shortage arose last year when more than half of Metro’s fleet — 748 of its most modern cars from the 7000-series — was removed from service owing to a wheel-widening malfunction that caused a derailment,” reports The Washington Post. “More than three-quarters of them remain out of service, pending review by the system’s regulatory agency.”

The really bad news is that Metro’s operating deficit, estimated to run $185 million next year, is projected to hit $738 million in Fiscal 2024 and reach $924 million four years after that. With those deficits, it’s hard to imagine service getting any better.

The Metro has been a slow-motion train wreck for years now. Extending the commuter rail system to Tysons Corner and Dulles Airport seemed like such a good idea at the time. After all, every world-class city needs a quality commuter rail system to link its major population and activity centers. But the rail system has run chronic deficits, deferred maintenance, suffered from safety and on- time-performance issues, and hemorrhaged ridership during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Ridership remains severely depressed.

Northern Virginia taxpayers and Dulles Toll Road commuters are getting stuck with the tab for building the $6 billion rail extension just as the rail system seems to be sinking under the waves. At least riders of Phase 1 to Tysons, which opened in 2014, got a few years of regular service out of this boondoggle. But the suckers who paid for finishing the extension out to Dulles are like the poor bastard who was the last passenger to buy a ticket on the Titanic.

The residents of Northern Virginia localities are notable for having the highest educational attainment anywhere in the country. The government workers and private contractors are the epitome of America’s educated, technocratic elite. These people run the country. And the Silver Line is what they have spawned.

As the old saying goes, our ruling elites are often wrong… but never in doubt. Is there any wonder that the plebs in the provinces have no faith in central government?


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Comments

22 responses to “Last Passenger on the Titanic”

  1. As long as us smelly Walmart rubes in SWVA don’t get fleeced for this mess….

    1. DJRippert Avatar

      I’ve often written that the NoVa suburbs, DC and the Maryland suburbs of DC ought to form a new 51st state. That would protect the vast wealth of SWVa from being purloined for use on The State of Columbia’s mass transit projects. Separating NoVa from the rest of Virginia would really be for your protection in SWVa.

  2. Also from WaPo story, there is this statement from Metro:

    Our entire fleet is regularly inspected to deem our railcars safe for passenger service.

    So the purpose of the inspection is to deem the cars safe? Shouldn’t the purpose of the inspection be to determine whether the railcars are safe; and shouldn’t they deem the railcars safe only after the cars pass said inspection?

    1. Picky, picky. What reason is there to think that Metro is any better at logic or English than it is at running a transportation system?

      1. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        Logic and English are racist constructs.

  3. jarmstr73 Avatar

    Metro should have gone to and stopped at Dulles 20 years ago. Now it’s run into Loudoun County into Ashburn. Why, for what purpose? So the good folks that moved here 20+ years ago have to pay for it but paying higher tolls? The Dulles Greenway was already a very expensive toll road. Time to move to the country, out of LC, an away from this boondoggle.

  4. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    Spoken like someone who has never had to rely on public transit for work his entire life…

    1. DJRippert Avatar

      Nor does he live in a fast growing urban area that needs mass transit. It’s hard to understand the issues confronting the big city when you spend your afternoons sitting on the front porch of your antebellum home sipping bourbon and branch water while bemoaning the Lost Cause.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        That was very funny…

      2. Why would anyone put branch water in their bourbon?

          1. See what I mean?

            They already dilute the bourbon with branch water at the distillery – there is no need to add more.

            😉

    2. Right. Just like the other 95% of workers in the United States.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        … who don’t give a rat’s &ss about the 5% who have no choice in the matter…. If you want to bring the economies of most metropolitan areas to a screeching halt, be my guest…. Might have just a few unintended consequences.

        1. You make some amazing “logical” leaps in your efforts to demonize anyone who dares disagree with even a single one of your personal beliefs.

  5. how_it_works Avatar
    how_it_works

    Very few of those educated, technocratic elite know how to connect a wire or turn a wrench.

    1. DJRippert Avatar

      Ah, but we do know how to create clusters, notebooks and tables in products like DeltaLake. Then, of course, we can train the algorithms on the data in the datalakehouse using neural network techniques, query and display the results.

      1. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        That right there sounds just like what’s needed to fix the problems with Metro. Contract should be worth a few million at least.

        1. DJRippert Avatar

          Tens of millions. This is big data and machine language processing, damn it.

  6. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
    f/k/a_tmtfairfax

    And thus opens one of the biggest corporate welfare schemes in American history. Contemporary data showed that projected ridership, even tossing in a stop at Dulles Airport, was not sufficient to warrant heavy rail. The studies showed that BRT on a dedicated RoW with station stops would the most efficient and effective use of tax dollars. If and when ridership increased to levels necessary to support heavy rail, the line could have been converted from BRT to heavy rail.

    However, BRT would not support the level of density desired by the landowners. So out come the lobbyists and aided by the true believers in mass transit in any and all locations (after all people were going to give up their large SFHs in McLean, Vienna, Reston, Herndon, etc., and not even build them in Loudoun County to live in small condos near the Silver Line) and voila, heavy rail. Officials in both political parties caved and billions of taxpayer dollars were sacrificed on the altar of the developers and landowners.

    But is karma biting their a8^^#s? Comes COVID-19 (as well as crappy management of Metrorail by WMATA) and more and more people stop riding Metrorail. Businesses are downsizing their offices. What if people don’t fill up those expensive office buildings? And can the cost structure support lower-priced apartments or lower-end condos?

    BRT should have been built and the money not spent could have been devoted to improving NoVA’s pathetic road system and providing needed bus service, using smaller buses running in more locations. Ideology and crony capitalism prevails in NoVA.

    1. how_it_works Avatar
      how_it_works

      NoVA, specifically, PWC, is where they built a concert venue that seats 25,000 people off of a 2-lane highway.

      I think it’s this sort of strategic thinking that helped their ancestors win that war.

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