Journalism, Confirmation Bias and the Presumption of Racism

Windsor police officer Joe Guttierez addresses Caron Nazario after their infamous confrontation. Presumed racist until proven innocent.

by James A. Bacon

People believe what they want to believe. They seek information that affirms their worldview, and they downplay or ignore evidence that conflicts with it. Psychologists have term for this proclivity: “confirmation bias.”

Confirmation bias is extremely well documented in the psychological literature. Everyone falls prey to it. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. It doesn’t matter how well educated you are. Indeed, the higher a person’s IQ and education level, the more adept one is at explaining away data that does not conform with his or her beliefs.

As a facet of human nature, confirmation bias has been with us always. But the rise of social media and cable news has compounded the problem by making it easier than ever for people to find views and facts they find comfortable and to not only dispel disconcerting information but to avoid even hearing it in the first place.

The scholars, journalists, artists, and politicians who dominate the cultural discourse in the United States are prone to confirmation bias like everyone else. But their views carry more weight because they control most of the news media, social media platforms, book publishers, academia, social-scientific research, television, movies, museums, nonprofit advocacy groups, and increasingly, K-12 schools. To the extent that there is no escaping the anecdotal facts and images that they highlight and project as reality, their confirmation biases become society’s confirmation biases. Their narratives become society’s narratives.

Nowhere is the confirmation bias of America’s cultural elites more clearly on display than in matters of race. Cultural elites increasingly embrace the notion that America is a systemically racist nation. They interpret every encounter between blacks and whites as defined by race, and they assign racist motives to the deplorables who do not think as they do.

There are enough instances in a country of 330 million people of real racism that the cultural arbiters can splash them all over the media, day in day out, and represent them as reflective of larger reality.

The phenomenon goes beyond cherry picking the news that fits, however. There exists a presumption of racism. When a potentially racially charged incident occurs, journalists view it through a prism of race and set out in their reporting to confirm their narrative of omnipresent bias. Racism has become the automatic, default explanation — no need to look any further.

There have been two recent incidents in Virginia where confirmation bias has come into play. One is the mass shooting at the Virginia Beach resort area in which police shot and killed a young black man. The usual suspects have called for an investigation, but the known circumstances are so muddy — the police officer was black, and he was responding to real violence in which one other man was killed and six others injured — that the outcry of racism has been relatively subdued.

The other occurred on U.S. 460 in the town of Windsor in which two white policemen (one of whom was Hispanic) stopped a black army lieutenant, Caron Nazario. The near-universal reaction of those who viewed the police-camera video was that two policemen acted unnecessarily aggressively, made no effort to de-escalate the situation, and, in sum, treated the lieutenant disgracefully. There is no evidence whatsoever , however, that the police acted out of racial animus. One or both of them might have been prejudiced, but not a shred of evidence has surfaced that such was the case.

Despite the lack of evidence, virtually every media covering the incident — The Virginian-Pilot, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, The Richmond Times-Dispatch, The Virginia Mercury — immediately framed the incident in racial terms. Small Southern town, white cops, black victim. What else do you need to know?

Let me be 100% clear. I’m not asserting that racism was not a factor. I’m saying we don’t know that to be the case, and no evidence has surfaced to suggest otherwise. The policemen had a valid reason for pulling over Nazario, who was not properly displaying his temporary license plate. They likely had no way to know that the vehicle’s driver was black, as it was dark at the time and the vehicle had tinted windows. However, justified he might have been to fear for his safety, Nazario did refuse to comply with the officers’ orders. The police officers used no racially charged language. Finally, despite Nazario’s non-compliance, they pressed no charges because they did not want to harm his military career. None of those facts lend themselves to an allegation of racial prejudice.

The Town of Windsor posted three body-cam videos of the incident. The video below gives a very different perspective than the one where Nazario was mistreated. In it, Officer Daniel Crocker explains why the officers stopped Nazario. You probably didn’t see this video, and you probably didn’t see anything quoted from it (other than the media’s acknowledgement that the officers declined to charge Nazario because they didn’t want to harm his military record) because none of it confirmed the media’s preferred narrative.

Crocker: All right, Mr. Nazario. So, let’s go all the way back to square one, OK? I turned around on you in Food Lion. I actually came out of Cost Plus, and I came up behind you. … And you had no tags displayed. I see [the paper tag], but, per the law, it has to be in the license plate rack. I understand it’s paper, and I understand why it’s there. But I didn’t know you had a vehicle registration until I approached your car. And at that point, I was too busy dealing with you to deal with the tag. You want to wipe your eyes?

Crocker extends a towel to Nazario, who declines it.

Crocker: Look, all this was going to be was, ‘Hey, man, I stopped you, you didn’t have a tag, you’ve got your driver’s license. I would have ran you, and you would have been on your way. OK? What would have been a two-minute traffic stop turned into all of this.

Nazario: As I was telling [the other officer, Joe  Guttierez], you know, I’ve pulled over to well-lit areas before, and I’ve never looked out the window and saw guns so immediately.

Crocker: So, the reason we did that is because we followed you for a mile and a half with lights and sirens on, and you didn’t pull over. I understand you wanted to get to a well-lit area. I get that. But when we follow you that long, look at the climate this day, against everybody. Against us, against y’all. You know what I mean?

But Nazario was black and the policemen were white. Therefore, racism.

Building off the presumption of racism from one traffic stop, the media have published a slew of articles insinuating or outright asserting racism in various quarters. In an upcoming post, I will examine one such damning article in detail.


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Comments

35 responses to “Journalism, Confirmation Bias and the Presumption of Racism”

  1. Yes, I, too, experience confirmation bias. I struggle against it. I try to acknowledge information that doesn’t fit my narratives, and I try to acknowledge the limits of my knowledge. I try to make clear when I’m engaging in conjecture. And many of my posts conclude with a less-than-satisfying observation that we’ll have to wait for the facts to come in before we know for sure. But I’m human, and am aware of my frailties. Fortunately, readers never hesitate to set me straight.

  2. Baconator with extra cheese Avatar
    Baconator with extra cheese

    In today’s world it’s silly to argue these points.
    Of course a lack of melanin determines one’s capacity of evil and culpability!

  3. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    Kind of a silly side discussion to have when we should be watching the closing arguments in the most important trial on alleged police brutality and overreaction in our lifetime….Guttierez in that tape sounds like somebody who knows he’s bought himself a career-ending problem and is trying to find a way out.

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      I agree on Guttierez. He went too far and he knows it. I doubt he expected the whirlwind he got but he knows he shouldn’t have pepper sprayed the man.

      Just an anger management problem. He didn’t like the 1.5 mile slow speed chase Nazario took him on. When Nazario finally pulled over Guttierez blew a gasket.

      Nazario says he was shocked that the police sprang up with guns drawn. I would have been shocked too. Why should anybody be looking down the barrel of a pistol just for a traffic stop?

      Racism? I doubt it. If the windows were too tinted to see the paper plate then they were too tinted to make out the driver.

      Windsor = making money from traffic stops.
      Nazario = understandably cautious
      Guttierez = all too common police hothead
      Crocker = young cop who showed some sense

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Was Guttierez the one who pulled him? Wasn’t it Crocker who rode the extra minute? Does it matter? Why do I care?

        What I heard was a bad episode of South Park, and Cartman’s “Respect ma author-rit-tee,” which I guess actually makes it a good episode. Satire only works when there is truth in the exaggerations.

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Watching the defense’s closing argument now. Someone should explain to Chauvin’s lawyer that droning on about the victim eating a banana to the point he pisses off the jury could have dire consequenses.

      Chauvin deprived Floyd of oxygen for over 5 minutes and now his attorney is depriving the jury of food for over 2 hours. Ironic, no?

  4. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    “What’s going on is you’re fixing to ride the lightning, son,”…

    Well, at least he didn’t say, “boy”.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Another piece of media BS — apparently that is a reference to a taser, which of course was not what the cop was pointing (at least I hope this isn’t another cop who got THAT confused….) The idea he meant the electric chair came out of deep LEFT field….

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        I understood that to mean the Tazer. But, it was stupid, bullying, and an abuse of power.

        But the expression was used to refer to Old Sparky and was most recently used in The Green Mile.

        1. NN, in your mind are being belligerent and being racist the same thing? Can you conceive of a person being one without being the other?

          1. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            Did I say he was racist? The “son” was a bit ageist. I wouldn’t refer to anyone by a dismissive term of endearment. Would you, Sweetie?

            BTW, I edited to add the “Sweetie” for effect.

          2. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            It was implied by your comments, as with all your response they are dipped with that insinuation.

          3. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            Implied? Or inferred? That’s all on you. It was a direct quote by the officer. If you see the quote as racist, then you will see my comment as racist. If you see the quote as condescending, then you will see my comment as condescending.

            Not using the grand Southern expression of “boy” keeps it from definitely being racist, but not from being racist definitely.

            What is it with you people? Get it?

          4. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            “Implied? Or inferred? That’s all on you.”

            No, it’s not. You’re comments imply (expression indirectly, without such your declarations of systematic racism cannot stand) and infer (suggest, you assume all are racist expect you and count the ways you aren’t) racism being the driving factor for everyone but you and your select kowtowers. Larry was calling people to include myself a “racial slur” and there you were egging him on and even liking the comment.

            No, you’re condescending to everyone. That’s just who you are, undeserved, but it’s who you in fact are.

          5. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            C’mon! MA will tell you what you mean with your comments… whether you actually mean what he says you mean is inconsequential!!

  5. DJRippert Avatar
    DJRippert

    Here’s my confirmation bias … a guy name Guttierez is probably not White by the liberal definotion of White. He is a person of color. Since liberals believe that only Whites can be racist then Guttierez is, by definition, not racist.

    1. tmtfairfax Avatar
      tmtfairfax

      Don – you don’t understand. For anyone except for a Black person or a White person, they are White or at least honorary White or a Person of Color solely dependent on the need of the author or speaker.

    2. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Well, a minority, but Hispanic is often split in racial questionnaires between Hispanic and white Hispanic, and EVERYONE knows that only liberals care enough about racism to ask.

      1. tmtfairfax Avatar
        tmtfairfax

        They don’t care about religious bigotry, as they celebrate the filthy bigot Kamala Harris.

  6. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    What is the antidote to confirmation bias? What does one do to address so they are not engaging in it?

    With regard to racism:

    If the same policeman treated a black man different than he would treat a white man in the same circumstance. How would we know that by only looking at the one incident?

    If a policeman DID treat white people different than blacks in the same circumstances, would that be considered racist?

    How would you determine that – that was the case with that policeman over many traffic stops, i.e. that he did give more tickets to black folks – AFTER he stopped them?

  7. All the TV coverage I saw failed to mention that he continued driving for one and a half miles after police asked him to pull over, and also failed to mention that he had a loaded gun on the floor of the car next to him. When I pointed this out to a “liberal” on social media, they said he was continuing to drive until he reached a “well lighted” area, presumably because he was afraid of the police.

    I saw none of these facts, or even interpretations of the events, reported on FOX, MSNBC, CNN etc.

    I don’t think we really have much journalism anymore.

    1. Matt Adams Avatar
      Matt Adams

      He’s allowed to own a firearm and conceal carry in the state of VA with a permit. It’s another matter entirely if he carried that onto post, as I don’t think they’ve disclosed his duty station or status (AC, RC, NG).

      SOP for AD stations is you’re allowed to have a personal firearm on post, as long as it’s locked in an Arms Vault. You’re now allowed to have firearms in Military housing or the like.

      If he didn’t put his flashers on the acknowledge the officers lights and sirens I can understand their trepidation, does that mean that they shouldn’t have conducted themselves better. That is a resounding no.

  8. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    They essentially say “If you weren’t military, you would be in jail right now, count yourself lucky!” Racism aside, these guys are obsessed with throwing their weight around. No wonder their kneejerk reaction to every situation is to draw their guns.

    1. Matt Adams Avatar
      Matt Adams

      Some Police are bad, some Police are good. Some people are bad, some people are good. Some power corrupts, some power corrupts absolutely.

      To believe racism played a role in them drawing their firearms while approaching a tinted vehicle is just ignorant, because their is no evidence to point to that fact. It’s your assumption and merely that.

      1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
        Eric the half a troll

        I guess you missed the “racism aside…” part of my comment… 🤷‍♂️

        1. Matt Adams Avatar
          Matt Adams

          The fact that you made that statement, means you view it as racism.

          It’s called using Weasel Words.

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            The title of the article is “ Journalism, Confirmation Bias and the Presumption of Racism”. When my comment says “racism aside” it means I am not commenting on the topic of racism as discussed in the article. Really, get a grip…

          2. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            Sure you are, you had to explicitly say you’re setting it aside. Therefore it played at part in your view.

            That is also evident in your other comments discussing this very issue and case.

          3. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            I had to explicitly say I was setting it aside because it is a central topic of the article and I did not want my comments to reflect my opinion on that topic – you seem to want to force it into my comments nonetheless. Again, get a grip…

          4. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            No the point of the article was confirmation bias.

            Once the cats out of the bag you can’t put it back in.

            Your opinion is based upon your own confirmation bias and anyone who sees it differently is wrong (according to you). That’s what is evident in all your comments.

          5. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            So, then, english is your second language.

          6. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            Umm no but if it was your bigotry is showing. Not that it’s not on display with every comment you make.

  9. Cessory Avatar

    The video was released after a federal lawsuit was filed by Caron Nazario alleging violation of his First and Fourth Amendments to the Constitution of the United States of America, and attendant state law claims that included “racial bias”. This is what the media was reporting on. Did you read this? It was not as though they stumbled upon some clip on You Tube and decided to state their own opinions.

    I am a 55 year old white female and had I been driving under those circumstances I would have done the exact same thing and waited to pull over in a well-lit area. As soon as I had come to a complete stop, I would have also Face Timed someone immediately and kept my phone on the entire time because abuse of power and unprofessional conduct from law enforcement officers is not exclusive to persons of color.

    I cannot honestly say what I would have done had I been approached by officers with their weapons drawn because I’ve never been in that situation. I don’t own a gun nor have I ever even held one in my hand. Just imagining what it would be like terrifies me so my “guess” is I would have either frozen out of fear or started screaming. I cannot imagine opening the door to my vehicle and stepping out with my hands up, especially if I had asked multiple times why I had been stopped and received the same response as Nazario did.

    Would they have pulled me out, tased and sprayed me? Of course, we will never know but according to “statistics” that answer would be no because I am white and also a woman. What more evidence do you need?
    I agree with your statement, “The video below gives a very different perspective than the one where Nazario was mistreated” with “mistreated” being the key word. The dialogue is indicative of what abusers do by trying to convince the victim it’s their fault for their actions and take no accountability. No matter how hard the officer was trying to spin its apparent to me they could have done things different too. Threatening anyone by saying, “What’s going on is you’re fixing to ride the lightning, son” and telling Nazario they were trying to help save his career is what did it for me.

    They were NOT doing him any favors; he still has his job.

  10. StarboardLift Avatar
    StarboardLift

    You’d have to have nerves of better steel than mine to drive 1.5 miles with lights and sirens demanding that you stop. Long way to keep cops trailing for what they presumed was a standard traffic stop. While cops should be on notice to avoid any missteps, I’m also on alert not to create any elevated suspicion about myself, lest I trigger something unwarranted.

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