It’s Not Trump; Our Coalitions Matter

by Shaun Kenney

Stop me if you’ve seen this one before.

Virginia Republicans either get absolutely shellacked in an election, or the margins are super close and we either lose — in which case, the Western Experiment is over and America should pack it in — or we miraculously win and have set the new conservative standard for the next 20 years with Virginia in the vanguard.

We do this to ourselves every year, folks.

Hope everyone loves their non-partisan (sic) redistricting courtesy of the State of California. Fact of the matter is that Virginia Democrats outspent Republicans by $7.5 million and nearly lost the whole thing.

Now with one seat margins, they will have to work with three statewide Republicans without any clear mandate other than a strong desire from the electorate to quit being crazy and start applying common sense.

As for Virginia Republicans and the vision thing, we really do have to start believing in ourselves. It isn’t enough to curse the darkness; light a few candles and rediscover the leadership and vision of our heroes.

Anyone remember Jeffersonian conservatism? Anyone else remember finally ending the universally hated car tax? How’s about expanding the sphere of human freedom for a change and allowing individuals — not government — the option to choose what is best for our families, our education, and ourselves?

Give me this coalition:

“The most important goal in my life is to have some significant impact in preserving and expanding the realm of personal freedom in the life of this country.”

If it looks familiar, then it should. It is the maxim employed by former Republican Party of Virginia  Chairman Richard Obenshain during the 1970s when the Republican Party of Virginia went from nothing under the Byrd Machine to powerhouse by the late 1970s.

Six years was all it took.

If one looks at the issues which have won for Virginians? Expanding and preserving individual freedom remains our lynchpin. Parental rights. School choice. Defending the basic right to exist. Quality jobs. Decent health care. Affordable housing. The right to bear arms. Freedom of worship and freedom of speech.

We need a general sense of what we are about, a positive vision of Virginia values which makes just as much sense at a barstool as it does in a living room or a cocktail party.

And we need leaders willing to express our vision in concrete terms to voters.

The one thing we cannot do is keep blaming Trump for our inability to win elections or provide leadership and vision to working class Virginians. Our demographics aren’t going to send us back to the Reagan Revolution. Democrats have built parallel institutions, including think tanks, media outlets, opinion writers and polling firms. Republicans have none of these institutions in Virginia.

The only ones who are going to ride to our rescue are ourselves — and 2024 is coming sooner than we realize.

Shaun Kenney is senior editor of The Republican Standard, where this column first appeared. It is published with permission. 


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24 responses to “It’s Not Trump; Our Coalitions Matter”

  1. how_it_works Avatar
    how_it_works

    Republicans were losing elections in Virginia long before Trump.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      And will lose or win some more once he really is gone (almost as old as Biden, after all.) But this is now, and 2024 is the focus. Trump running and winning scares me as much as Trump running and losing. He will take a machete to this country and far too many will be cheering it on. If we need those people to win, well, then shame on us.

      And Lefty, that crack about Bliley at this time is just the kind of poor taste that Trump and this age of anonymous nastiness have normalized. Thanks for the illustration.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        The non-crazy GOP itself, also, is somewhat complicit in creating/motivating the “burn it all down” folk by undermining both govt and non-govt institutions, IMO and Trump takes it one step further by promising to become the “ruler” who
        will force all of them to do what he says.

        Trump is not the problem – he’s the symptom who promises “relief” and yes, he’ll do exactly what the “burn it all down” folk want.

      2. You’ve got it right on Trump. Dunno how the Repubs are going to embrace the populist base without him. It is not a natural Repub fit. It is however a constituency that needs representation, and it is a path to a majority.

        I’ve amplified the Tom Bliley anecdote below. He seemed a nice enough guy, but not well informed. No need to thank me.

        I hope when I croak that folks get together, drink some whisky, play some music, laugh and tell tales about my greater and lesser (there are plenty of those) moments. A celebration of life includes those errors which define us as human.

      3. You’ve got it right on Trump. Dunno how the Repubs are going to embrace the populist base without him. It is not a natural Repub fit. It is however a constituency that needs representation, and it is a path to a majority.

        I’ve amplified the Tom Bliley anecdote below. He seemed a nice enough guy, but not well informed. No need to thank me.

        I hope when I croak that folks get together, drink some whisky, play some music, laugh and tell tales about my greater and lesser (there are plenty of those) moments. A celebration of life includes those errors which define us as human.

      4. You’ve got it right on Trump. Dunno how the Repubs are going to embrace the populist base without him. It is not a natural Repub fit. It is however a constituency that needs representation, and it is a path to a majority.

        I’ve amplified the Tom Bliley anecdote below. He seemed a nice enough guy, but not well informed. No need to thank me.

        I hope when I croak that folks get together, drink some whisky, play some music, laugh and tell tales about my greater and lesser (there are plenty of those) moments. A celebration of life includes those errors which define us as human.

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          The Trumpian tail that provides “a path to a majority” has become the tail that wags the dog. A Faustian deal. Not dissimilar from where the Dems now find themselves with the Hamas wing of their party.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            wow!

          2. Dunno, the Dems got 40 years out of populism and the New Deal before they kicked it to the curb. The Repubs would do well to get a similar ride.

            The plumbers, carpenters and electricians I pick music with are pretty unhappy and gravitating to Trump because he’s the only one who says he cares about them. I don’t think he does, but he says he does.

            Dunno how the party picks up the people without embracing Trump/MAGA too. It sure ain’t going to happen with McConnell and his ilk. Rubio and Cruz have both been talking nice about unions, so there’s some exploration going on out there.

  2. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    “I want my Republican colleagues to give me one thing—one—that I can go campaign on and say we did. One!” — Rep. Chip Roy (R-TX)

    Well, for most of my life (since Reagan) Republicans have been running on the “Broken Government” chant.

    Achieved.

    1. DJRippert Avatar

      Aahhh … Chip Roy. Reared in Loudoun County, graduated from LCPS and UVa.

  3. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    Of course it is not just Trump, but sending him off to the dustbin of history would be an excellent first step toward rebuilding a party that discusses issues and focuses on improving people’s lives. Now the party is obsessed with worshipping a mad king and revenging a new “lost cause.” Sorry, all his fans have already tagged me as “Never Trump” and I wear the label proudly. With him in charge, it is the label “Republican” that is no longer comfortable.

    Coalitions? What has that got to do with Trump, who judges everybody on one criteria: do they plant a big wet one on his hand or some other part of his anatomy. He builds no coalitions and that is why Republicans lost so many seats in so many states under his “leadership.”

    Thinking of better times when I wore the label with pride, BTW, RIP Tom Bliley, mayor and congressman, a fine public servant in the best traditions of Virginia. My condolences to his family and many close friends.

    1. How do Repubs capture the populism that got Trump elected without Trump? It is not a natural Repub constituency, but kicked to the curb by the Dems and an available mass of voters who can elect Repubs.

      About a week before he was elected to Congress I had to explain to Bliley that the F in FDA stood for Food, not Federal as he repeatedly stated during his stump speech that he wanted us to send him to Washington to roll back the excesses of the Federal Drug Administration.

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Maybe he was confusing FDA for the DEA? I wouldn’t object to a rollback there.

        1. That would have been nice, but no. I was the skunk at the picnic when I explained it to him. It was a small group and I figured I was saving him further embarrassment in front of larger groups likely including reporters. Nobody else seemed to see it that way, it was an Emperor’s New Clothes moment. He won handily a week later.

          It may be that many Repubs in Richmond thought that the F in FDA stood for Fed too. It made for a nice anti government rant. Those people at the Federal Drug Administration have gone too far restricting free enterprise and keeping good medicines from the American people. Send me to Washington and I’ll push back the oppressive Federal over reach and get the bloated bureaucrats off the backs of the American people (no more of that safety testing or proof of efficacy nonsense).

          He seemed like a nice enough guy, but he was not a bright bulb.

          1. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            ” I was the skunk at the picnic when I explained it to him.”

            A member of the “Stupid Party” that seems to prefer remaining stupid?

    2. Virginia Gentleman Avatar
      Virginia Gentleman

      I totally agree. As a democrat, I love the original post and if that is what Republicans walk away believing post election, I like my chances in 2025. Keep on Trumping!

    3. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
      James Wyatt Whitehead

      Sad truth, we are all heading for the dustbin of history.

  4. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    “Fact of the matter is that Virginia Democrats outspent Republicans by $7.5 million and nearly lost the whole thing.”

    Not true. Dems came far closer to blowing out the Reps than the Reps came to flipping the Senate or even keeping the HoD. Republicans dodged a bullet.

    1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
      James Wyatt Whitehead

      Here is one that is very true. The blue team would be up plus two in the House of Delegates. But one candidate insisted on using the outdoor privy and the other couldn’t keep clothes on and camera off.

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        Every election has some fascinating story like Gibson’s, some amazing surprise. But the story with her, sadly, is it didn’t kill her at all and she was another example of how the map set the outcome. Within in Henrico she ran right with the other D’s. She lost it in Goochland.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          so here’s a question, anomalies aside, As some suburban VA districts trend blue, what will it take for a generic GOP to be competitive in such districts?

          Or will the GOP be unable/unwilling to adapt and just fade away and no longer compete in those districts?

          I don’t think it can really be blamed on the “map” per se as the premise of the “map” is to fairly shape districts for their share of the electorate.

          1. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            I misread “generic GOP” for “geriatric GOP”.

            I suppose either could apply.

            Worth noting that both Republican candidates that won for my area are Gen X or younger.

        2. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
          James Wyatt Whitehead

          Gibson has hinted at another try in politics. Certainly, has a name and some going for her now.

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