How Youngkin Can Avoid Lame Duck Status

by Scott Lingamfelter

Elections produce clarity. One thing is noticeably clear after Republicans failed to achieve majorities in both chambers of the Virginia General Assembly. For the next two years, the prospects for Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin‘s legislative agenda are bleak.

That’s the bad news.

Here is the good news: it doesn’t have to be that way.

The inclination of those defeated in elections is to engage in “blamestorming,” seeking to find fault with this or that election strategy. We’re seeing that now as some Republican legislators grouse about the governor’s decision to emphasize abortion restrictions that played badly in some swing districts. That messaging debate should occur. But it’s imperative that the governor and the GOP in Virginia do some serious brainstorming on how to win back the hearts and minds of voters. Serious-minded governance can do that.

So, what should Mr. Youngkin do now that Virginia has a Senate and House of Delegates with Democratic majorities, predisposed to oppose every idea he may want to advance?

First, he should meet with legislative members of both parties before the Thanksgiving holiday and genuinely seek consensus on where both parties can work to make Virginia better. Using campaign-style messaging to achieve consensus, however, is an unwise legislative strategy. Campaigning is not governing. They are, as the British say, as different as chalk and cheese. It is time to govern with effective action, not headline-grabbing rhetoric.

Second, the governor should seek legislators to co-sponsor bills in areas where both sides can agree there is a real opportunity to succeed. That may mean that some bills will be initiated by Democrats with Republican co-sponsors, and some by Republicans with Democrat partners. Having agreeing co-patrons, while somewhat “inside baseball” for the public, communicates a clear message that both sides are serious about seeking a consensus that benefits all Virginians.

Third, the governor should surround himself with a fresh team of counselors who understand the people, the policies and the politics in the General Assembly. This requires a team that can work amicably with both sides of the aisle, understands policy, and appreciates the politics of individual legislators regarding policy changes. It’s incorrect to assume that all Republicans and Democrats will revert to ideology on every single matter. Local issues, particularly in swing districts, can indeed encourage compromise. And understanding those hometown nuances is important in legislating.

Fourth, the governor’s instincts on larger policy issues, especially in job creation, innovation and prosperity for businesses and families are excellent. He can advance this agenda if he is willing to work steadily and transparently with the legislature to demonstrate that he is indeed focused on what is best for Virginians. That means de-emphasizing social issues in the upcoming legislative session and pressing for an economic and jobs prosperity agenda that both parties would find hard to resist. A great place to begin is with a bold tax reform effort to make taxes in Virginia less burdensome, simpler, and designed to promote economic growth. This doesn’t require yet another study. Just action.

While Virginia income taxes are essentially flat, reform could make them lower while raising the filing threshold for lower-income residents. The bill payer for such a strategy is easy. End the millions of dollars in sales tax exemptions to corporations, which do little to grow the economy.

Next, end the hated car tax. The car tax is a local option and cannot be abolished by the state without a constitutional amendment. That takes time. But the legislature could immediately grant localities the option of implementing broader local taxes if they agreed to assess only a penny on each $1,000 of automobile value. Localities will forgo billing residents for such a minor cost. But a broader and fairer substitute tax could fill the car tax void while not punishing new car buyers who already pay a hefty sales tax on the purchase.

Then, abolish the machinery and tools tax that some businesses must pay on equipment they already own. It’s confiscatory and a disincentive for new businesses to relocate to Virginia. Moreover, businesses already here defer investing in new equipment bearing higher tax rates than on depreciated and less efficient machines and tools. Besides, scrapping this tax is a better option than lowering corporate taxation, currently a mere 6%.

Beyond taxes, consensus can be found in many areas, from regulatory reform to commonsense conservation like cleaning up the Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries.

Finally, emphasizing an agenda that is a win for both sides of the aisle makes a lot of sense while sending this clean message: Mr. Youngkin has no interest in being a rhetorical lame duck, but rather a bold eagle ready to lead with an equally undaunted agenda for all Virginians.

Scott Lingamfelter is a former Republican member of the Virginia House of Delegates.

Republished with permission from The Republican Standard.


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33 responses to “How Youngkin Can Avoid Lame Duck Status”

  1. Then, abolish the machinery and tools tax that some businesses must pay on equipment they already own… Besides, scrapping this tax is a better option than lowering corporate taxation, currently a mere 6%.

    FWIW, the business property tax my company pays is local, not state.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Exactly, and the localities will demand a dollar for dollar replacement. Best alternative? Impose the sales tax on services. THAT will be uncontroversial, right? 😉 Business personal property (think trucks and cars and computers) and machinery and tools (lathes and cranes and welders) are two separate taxes. And I agree, M&T is an insane tax. The shipyard when I was there was still paying it on a lathe it bought in WW2.

      1. Right, uncontroversial:) I’d be more interested in dumping BPOL. Give localities a kickback from the state tax to offset it instead of lowering the state rate. That would reduce paperwork too. What’s not to like about a twofer?

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          I already expect the GA to jump onto one of the other third rails of Virginia politics, the school funding formulas. Bzzzzzzzz.

          1. January in Richmond will be entertaining this year with the huge loss of institutional knowledge, abortion, guns, school funding, and taxes. Think I’ll stock up on popcorn and make sure I’m on good terms with the flies on the wall.

            Fella I knew used to observe that the only time things really got testy in the GA was when there was not enough money to spread around. We may be about to find there are other ways to get there.

  2. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    What in the world is Ligamfelter talking about? He expects everyone to play nice like the kids on Romper Room? Surovell, Scott, and Lucas are sharpening the knives. If they have their way we can expect:
    1. Social issues to be front and center.
    2. Higher income taxes.
    3. 100% of the car tax. (This will make Mr. Larry levitate!)
    4. Endless climate change laws.
    5. Dump as much cash as possible into the education dumpster fire.
    Glenn is not going to come out of this on the eagle’s wings of love. More like a golden duck. So, he should do what we elected him to do. Stop the hemorrhaging and keep a salve on the wound. Use the line item veto freely. Wield it like Excaliber. Drag out the budget until next Christmas. Purchase a large ink well for executive orders. Do all of this with joy and glee because you can.

    Trust me if the roles were reversed, that is exactly what the blue team would do.

  3. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Excellent advice. As shown by the comments so far, there is fertile ground for compromise and tax reform. It is probably too late to implement one of Lingamfelter’s recommendations–surround the governor with a new cadre of advisers, ones who are familiar with the member of the legislature and its culture.

  4. Super Brain Avatar
    Super Brain

    Car tax relief is a boon to the wealthy areas.
    Sales tax exemption is for resell and items used in a worship service.

  5. LarrytheG Avatar

    I largely agree with Lingamfelter. Youngkin might be considered a lame duck or cooked goose by the partisan GOP… but there is
    opportunity for some middle ground legislation that requires that
    nasty word that many GOP reject now days, compromise.

    1 or 2 votes whether GOP or DEM is NOT a mandate and yet some folks think it is and reject even reasonable compromises.

    It’s exactly what the Founding Fathers has in mind with respect
    to governance. The US Constitution is one gigantic compromise in it’s creation.

    tax cuts for tax cut sake without regard to services or revenue forecasts is a fools errand in my mind.

    That’s not “pro tax”, that’s pro Fiscal responsibility and Va does not have a AAA credit because we are fiscally irresponsible.

  6. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    The car tax is basically an anti-new-car tax, because it is so huge/onerous in NoVA. I could see equating car tax with regular property tax (~1%). Va. democrats will likely give large state rebates to EV buyers, on top of huge federal EV rebates. Ridiculous. But tell you what: reduce car tax for all, and many more hybrids EVs and cleaner news car would be sold, instead of jalopies in NoVA.

    I do not understand why VADA (Virginia Auto Dealer Assoc) is not supportive of car tax reform which could create much greater car sales, it seems to me. Done properly, we could reduce the car tax substantially and get back much of the revenue in increased new auto sales. But yes, give localities a different way to tax, to make up for their current elephant-sized dependence on car tax to balance the budgets.

    With the recent extreme inflationary price increases for new vehicles, and the failure of the car tax relief system based on Year2000 car values, we are back at Square-1 with a highly hurtful extreme high car tax. It’s nuts.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      So perhaps I’m somewhat ignorant of the car tax but I thought the current situation was that the
      state actually rebated some of it so that the final tax bill we got was lower.

      If we do away with that, the tax bill will be even higher, no?

      Finally, the car tax brings in a crapload of revenue and if it is lowered, they’re gonna
      have to make it up through some other tax, likely the real estate.

      What I’ve heard from local BOS is that many older folks on fixed incomes cannot afford
      higher taxes on their homes and so the choice is made to have people who CAN afford NEW cars, to pay instead.

      what have I got wrong?

      1. how_it_works Avatar
        how_it_works

        Some other states offer a homestead exemption on property taxes, perhaps something like that could be used to address the concerns of the older folks on fixed incomes.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          Spotsy does on a means-tested basis – but the car tax brings in a significant chunk of the
          budget and the only other viable tax is real estate. One way or the other, someone is
          going to get hit with what the county needs for it’s budget.

          To be clear, I have always thought the way the car tax “works” now is an abomination,
          that shifts that tax to the state income tax which then “rebates” it back to the county
          to reduce the car tax.

          To be this is about local govt accountability with regard to taxes and budget.

          It costs big bucks to run schools, law enforcement, EMS, and related.. there are no
          cheap ways to do it.

          1. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            As I’ve stated before, that personal property tax is how Virginia appears to have “low” real estate taxes.

            (They aren’t that low. The taxes on a house like mine in Illinois, as far from Chicago as mine is from DC, are almost the same.).

          2. LarrytheG Avatar

            the other thing is apts and rentals… especially if they
            have kids… gotta pay their share!

          3. It looks like your county has managed to just about eliminate mobile homes. How has that affected affordable housing?

          4. LarrytheG Avatar

            Do you mean mobile homes or the kind they build then tow and set up on a foundation? “Pre-fab or Manufactured”, etc?

            There are quite a few manufactured in the rural parts of the county, You’ll see them set up next
            to an abandoned old farmhouse. There are some near where I live in fact. Saw one for sale
            the other day for 300k.

            We don’t have much in the way of “affordable” for local workers who are not
            commuters to NoVa other than some developers agree to set aside a number
            of units designated as workforce housing.

            Fredericksburg had tried to pass a concept known as Accessory Dwelling Unit that
            would have allowed retired folks (and others) to add apts upstairs or basement
            or garage, etc… but it was controversial and failed to pass. Spotsy has some older
            homes near the border with the city but much of it’s growth further out is single
            family subdivisions and total no go on ADUs AND they won’t allow 5 acre to be
            subdivided or have ADUs on them either.

            Yes.. it’s would be in my view a win-win on taxes and affordable housing if ADUs
            were allowed.

          5. Do you mean mobile homes or the kind they build then tow and set up on a foundation? “Pre-fab or Manufactured”, etc?

            I made my comment because I noticed the low amount of personal property taxes collected from “mobile homes”. I’m pretty sure that covers only the kind you typically find in a ‘trailer park’.

            I think the ones that are shipped in two halves and placed on a real foundation are considered houses and are subject to the real estate tax.

          6. Do you mean mobile homes or the kind they build then tow and set up on a foundation? “Pre-fab or Manufactured”, etc?

            I made my comment because I noticed the low amount of personal property taxes collected from “mobile homes”. I’m pretty sure that covers only the kind you typically find in a ‘trailer park’.

            I think the ones that are shipped in two halves and placed on a real foundation are considered houses and are subject to the real estate tax.

          7. LarrytheG Avatar

            probably true. Do they even sell trailers any more? Seems like they’re all “double-wides” these days.

          8. Matt Adams Avatar
            Matt Adams

            They just keep buying up farm land to build townhouses and clog route 3 up even more.

          9. Stephen Haner Avatar
            Stephen Haner

            And Larry, that might not include the state money that is provided to subsidize the lower car tax rates. So it could be more, really. (But would the county really miss the M&T?)

          10. LarrytheG Avatar

            yes… that’s MY point! We’re really paying more but we pay the state increased taxes so they can turn around and rebate it back to lower our taxes locally.

            That’s why I call it an abomination AND a stealth tax that inhibits holding local govt responsible for ALL it’s taxes.

          11. LarrytheG Avatar

            The M&T as well as that other business tax I cannot remember the name of should
            go away. Taxes on businesses wreak havoc on some kinds and fundamentally
            unfair… I’m surprised they’re even allowed by the State. But in the end, we all
            are gonna pay for the schools, sheriff, EMA, 9-11, libraries, parks, etc… the money
            has to come from us.

        2. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          Killed that one, too, when I was lobbying for business interests. 🙂 It was Northam’s bill. Do that, and the politicos are free to raise the rates on non-residential payers. Requiring a uniform rate is a good policy.

      2. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
        energyNOW_Fan

        Yes Virginia car tax is convoluted system which is why it is hard to fix it. NoVA would be huge loser, due to the massive state payments to NoVA due to car tax relief. Somehow there needs to be fairness to NoVA, in a state where stick-it-to- NoVA fat cats is considered great policy.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          just repeal it and let the localities adjust.

  7. Turbocohen Avatar

    Lame duck? More like cooked goose. The governors PAC screwed the goose by attempting to be king maker in districts that had good candidates but lacked the diversity profile he wanted to tout as a POTUS candidate. In the process many turned against him and his PAC and started counterproductive ground wars. On top of that his illustrious scholarly frat boys running the show heaped praise for their promising POTUS prospect, creating a national target for democrats who knew it would be cheaper to cripple this bird now and they raised prolific dollars for dems while some overeducated shitheads told Ronna to keep the cash in a cycle where Romney Ronna is out for blood against any state that voted against her.

    In a cycle that should have been head down and GOTV we had door knockers getting blasted in swing districts where Youngkins scholars ran abortion ads WITHOUT COORDINATING with candidates?

    Before this cycle our governor was a strong likely to win prospect for US Senate, now he hath goose crap uponeth and the dems are better prepared than before with all the macaca they need, so much the oppo’s ads have already written themselves.

    Who do we thank for this? Name them all and lets discuss what killed this goose cadaver so we don’t snatch near victory from the jaws of defeat in our purple state that turns bluer as more affordable dense housing replaces suburban swing vote moms with hardened democrats.

    The path to the US Senate runs through the governors mansion and Virginia elects former governor the vast majority of the time. Youngkin can raise a ton of money but he is less electable now, so where do we look for a senate prospect for 2026? Pick the wife of a former governor. A Susan Allen for US Senate campaign would crush Mark Warner.

    1. Before this cycle our governor was a strong likely to win prospect for US Senate, . . .

      ROTFLMAO.

      Do you still believe in the tooth fairy?

      Youngkin won the governorship because Dems fielded a weak candidate and did not turn out. He’s a flash in the political pan.

  8. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    “The bill payer for such a strategy is easy. End the millions of dollars in sales tax exemptions to corporations, which do little to grow the economy.”

    Gavin Newsom couldn’t have said it better. Oh, goody, the 2004 debate all over again, the last time Republicans tried to really screw the business community over taxes. Everything old is new again. Not my job to kill it again, as it was in 2004… (HB 1488 as I recall, a bill number imprinted on my memory.)

    Tax reform is an important goal, and there are indeed potential areas of bipartisan agreement. It will be very hard work to find them, very hard, and only a governor leading from the top can make it happen. Triggering an angry response from the Chamber of Commerce (corporate sales tax expansion) and the local governments (car tax elimination) is exactly how to get them to the table. 🙂

    1. Aren’t most of those for wholesale transactions for parts and materials that get taxed at final retail sale? Taxing every in process transaction too turns sales tax into a VAT. That would be uncontroversial too!:)

  9. Don’t count on Youngkin doing anything except being a very lame duck. He is not a skilled politician in the sense that he has any capability to bui9ld bridges.

    He’s a former (failed) CEO. CEOs don’t do well at all in politics because, in business, their word is the Word of God. In politics, compromise is the name of the game. CEOs don’t compromise.

    Youngkin is destined to be a single footnote in Virginia history. Which is a good thing.

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