GOP Is Dead Serious About Retaking Governor’s Mansion

by Kerry Dougherty

Wow. They’re serious. The Republicans really want to win in November and they set aside their predictable losing behavior to do it by nominating outsider multi-millionaire Glenn Youngkin to be the next governor of Virginia.

This gambit might not work, but in an unusual election year, it could. The Democrats and Gov. Ralph Northam have made so many mistakes that there are rich issues to mine that may resonate with Northern Virginia’s liberal wine moms.

Virginia’s schools, for instance: The desultory rate of reopening, thanks to Dems being in bed with the militant teacher’s unions is a scandal. So is the dumbing down of education due to DOE’s policies that are headed toward eliminating advanced math before 11th grade and advanced diplomas when students graduate.

Then there’s public safety and the Parole Board’s shenanigans as they set killers loose.

These are red-hot issues that will appeal to moderate Democrats. If there are any left in the commonwealth.

But first, a bit about the voting method that led to the Youngkin nomination:

Ranked voting is an intriguing way to select candidates in multi-candidate races.

I first encountered a version of the method when I lived in Ireland in the early 1980s and the parliamentary government kept collapsing, resulting in three general elections in 18 months. I covered the chaos for American publications and became fascinated with what the Irish called “proportional representation.”

Ranked voting allows a voter to cast a ballot for a long-shot candidate, without feeling that a vote had been wasted. That’s because after making a first choice, the voter picks a second, third, fourth, etc.

Once the ballots are tallied and no candidate tops 50 percent, the last place finisher is eliminated and his or her second-choice votes are distributed. And so it goes until one candidate finally wins a majority.

Virginia Republicans tried rank-choice voting through “disassembled” conventions Saturday, which is why at 10 p.m. on Monday night a winner in the gubernatorial category hadn’t yet been announced. But Youngkin, the wealthy former CEO of The Carlyle Group, had 42% of the vote, compared to 32% for businessman Pete Snyder and 25% for State Sen. Amanda Chase. Four other candidates had already been scratched.

Finally, Chase, a far-right state senator who “called on Donald Trump to hold onto the White House by declaring martial law” in January, according to a report in The Washington Post, was out. Her votes were distributed, pushing Youngkin over the top.

For once, Republicans hadn’t nominated the safe guy: Former Speaker of the House Kirk Cox, a smart, seasoned politician and retired government teacher. Cox is reliable and steady but lacking in charisma and more importantly, without a war chest that could compete with the presumptive Democratic nominee, former Gov. Terry McAuliffe.

Oh, and the GOP didn’t nominate the unelectable candidate, either: Chase.

Instead, they went for the man with deep, deep pockets — Youngkin’s reportedly worth somewhere between $250 million and $385 million — who will be able to flood the commonwealth with enough campaign spots to drown out McAuliffe’s campaign.

McAuliffe will presumably be flush with money. Again. Out-of-state unions, eager to see Virginia’s right-to-work laws scrapped will shower loot on the Democratic candidates. So will the DNC, environmental groups and abortion enthusiasts.

It’s going to take a lot of cash to counter the well-financed McAuliffe machine.

Youngkin, who could self-finance his race for Richmond, may be the man to do it.

He went from being unknown in Virginia politics to front-runner in a matter of months after he loaned his campaign $5 million to launch an expensive advertising blitz that blanketed the commonwealth.

If Youngkin pounds the Democrats for closing schools and nails them on public safety issues he could be the first Republican since Bob McDonnell to make inroads in that huge patch of blue known as Northern Virginia.

This column is republished with permission from Kerry: Unemployoed & Unedited.


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72 responses to “GOP Is Dead Serious About Retaking Governor’s Mansion”

  1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Some people on this blog have expressed consternation in the past at multi-millionare Michael Bills making large donations to Democrats. Will this consternation extend to multi-millionaire Glenn Youngkin “loaning” his campaign $5 million?

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      Well no.. That’s a horse of a different color – of course!

      Rich Corporate guys? Okay for Pubs… not so for Dems!

      😉

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        Bills should run for governor. He’d get his ass kicked. Better he hide out of sight and try to manipulate the process from afar.

    2. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Unlike Bills, Youngkin is putting himself out there to win or lose, succeed or fail. Bills is a puppeteer pulling the strings attached to the arms and legs of Virginia Democrats. Perhaps Bills should show some guts and run as an independent.

      “It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better.

      The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, and comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming;

      but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement,

      and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat.“

      Teddy Roosevelt

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        The GOP does not have their hiding money guys?

        Oh wait.. the GOP prefers the dark-money route…. forgot….

        1. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          You must have taken the Qarni / Lane version of algebra.

          The question was whether the money spent by Youngkin on his own campaign was comparable to the money spent by Bills on the campaigns of other people.

          I said “no” since Youngkin is funding his own campaign and is transparent about his beliefs.

          You attempt to contradict this by claiming that there are people in the Republican Party who behave like Bills.

          You seem to have lost track of the variable “Youngkin” in your attempt to solve the equation.

          Don’t worry though, a math participation ribbon has been sent to your house.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Naw. Bills is the Conservatives boogeyman like Koch is for the liberals.

            Do you think you can SELL the Bills boogeyman narrative to moderates?

            Ya’ll gotta stop thinking like Conservatives !

          2. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            The false question asked was about the difference between a running candidate loaning money to his own campaign and a dark money mysterion making contributions to who knows who.

            You couldn’t understand the difference then and you can’t understand the difference now.

            Sad.

    3. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      The expectations of the wealthy for their money translating to popularity is exceeded only by their ability to waste money.

      “I made a helluva lot of money in my life that I spent on broads, booze, and boats. The rest I just pissed away.” — Nancy Naive on the occasion of buying cat food with his last Social Security check, August 10, 2029.

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        Right … and McAuliffe is just a poor former coal miner from Appalachia! You libs are hilarious.

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          I’m still awaiting your startup business plan.

          1. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Not sure what you are talking about. My partners and I launched fastedge.ai in the United States yesterday. We’ve been operational and selling in India since February.

            Need you videos processed? It’s as easy as pie with fastedge.ai.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            What is different with your services than what is already available? What do you
            offer than others do not?

          3. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            We’re considerably cheaper and our compression algorithms provide better clarity with significant compression. We also have some computer vision applications in the works that will add to our video processing pipeline product. Stay tuned.

          4. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            You’re a tech guy. How about an opinion about how ransom-ware works? My view is that if you have complete backups, you can restore and overwrite a system that has been encrypted. All you lose is whatever transactions were done between full backups. Even better , have a hot spare tracking the transactions.

            Seems like a company that offers anti-ransom-ware, i.e. a full-up backup system could clean up!

          5. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Too complex for a comment and not really a topic directly relevant to Virginia. Backups are great unless the hackers get access to those backups and encrypt them too.

          6. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yep. Can anyone imagine the IRS or Social Security or major banking like BOA getting encrypted?

            My suspects are that those who have sloppy IT get ransomed.

          7. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            You know it’s a problem when your IT person says, “Backup? I can’t find the reverse switch!”

          8. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Biggest problem in IT is convincing the leadership that IT is important and yes, it costs money.

            The good companies and govt agencies “get it” but they are vastly outnumbered by the others who are “skeptics” until it happens to them.

          9. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Depends on the “management”. Twitter’s management certainly understands the value of “IT”. It’s all IT. And Facebook. And YouTube. And LinkedIn. Etc, etc.

            As banks shut down branches, banking gets more and more computerized. Woe be the bank “management” that doesn’t get that.

            In federal, outside of the military, law enforcement and intelligence areas of the federal government, none of the agencies are particularly capable. In fact, they suck.

            As far as I can tell (over more than a decade of close observation) Virginia’s state government is an IT cluster****. Shambolic.

            My guess is that the state IT organization has a lot of good people (and a lot of deadwood too). However, the various organizations who oversee state government IT are headed by backward-thinking Luddites. You know, like Ralph Northam.

            Over time the competent IT people leave and we end up exactly where we are.

          10. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Very succinct, very savvy. Exactly.

          11. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Ask Blogmaster Bacon if I can write an article about ransom ware that is not, in any way, specific to Virginia. Then, give me a week. While I try very hard in semi-retirement to not be busy in the late spring, summer and early fall … this year is turning to form.

            Where were all these opportunities last November when I had months of winter to dedicate to them?

          12. Go for it. My wife consults for two different companies involved in cyber-security and says that multiple Virginia jurisdictions have been held for cyber-ransom. These incidents don’t get reported, but they occur. Anything that sheds light on the risks our state and local governments face is Bacon’s Rebellion-worthy.

          13. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Wait a minute, much of Virginia is being affected by a gas shortage that is due to ransom-ware, and it’s not relevant to Virginia? Go on, get out of town!

            Several prior blog posts on the issue, and really, a welcome, even if temporary, relief from the far-ranging wackadoodle culture-war blather that has infested BR of late.

            There actually is a real world with real problems that have little to do with partisan blame … although I’d not be surprised to see ransomware soon blamed on screeching liberals also at some point!

            😉

    4. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
      James Wyatt Whitehead

      I really don’t want a multi millionaire for governor. But I do recognize a decided advantage of Glenn Youngkin financing his own campaign. He will owe no one any favors. I like the ring of that.

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        Multi-millionaire Youngkin will be running against multi-millionaire McAuliife.

        Now what?

        By the way, Biden is a multi-millionaire and was one before he was elected president.

        Apparently, Ralph Northam is a millionaire, possibly a multi-millionaire too …

        https://www.celebsagewiki.com/ralph-northam

        1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
          James Wyatt Whitehead

          McAuliffe is too cheap to use his own bread. He would rather spend somebody else’s money. I am troubled by Youngkin’s open support of the Southern Poverty Law Center. Are you troubled by that?

          1. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            He made a donation to the SPLC. I’d like to know why.

            The only politician who ever received donations from me is a Democrat named Chap Petersen. That doesn’t make me a Democrat.

          2. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
            James Wyatt Whitehead

            Glenn needs to explain that support and cash to SPLC. That is a serious alarm bell for me. I hope there are no other unpleasant discoveries of Mr. Youngkin’s activities. Outside of that I see a good candidate.

          3. Matt Hurt Avatar
            Matt Hurt

            You may wish to check out the VPAP website on that. Several years ago when I checked it, I looked up the top 10 individual contributors to McAuliffe’s campaign. If I remember correctly, 9 of the 10 resided outside of Virginia. The only Virginia resident in that list was McAuliffe himself.

        2. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          Have all of them released their tax returns?

          Nothing wrong with acquiring wealth. It’s a very American ethic, no?

          Looks like Biden not only released his returns but gave significantly to charity.

          Let’s see Youngkin’s return.

        3. Brian Leeper Avatar
          Brian Leeper

          If a guy with a medical degree at age 60 is NOT a millionaire, something is seriously wrong.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            yah…. but tax returns tell the story for candidates …

          2. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            You wouldn’t be able to discern my net worth from my tax returns. That’s a fact.

          3. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Not necessarily. If you have income-producing investments… they will show and in Virginia there is a form called “statement of economic interests”.

            http://ethics.dls.virginia.gov/pdf/Statement_of_Eco_Interest_9-15.pdf

            https://www.vpap.org/candidates/67038/conflicts_disclosure/securities/?sei_period=25

          4. Brian Leeper Avatar
            Brian Leeper

            That doesn’t require a listing of liabilities. A liability might be owing $500k for a house worth only $350k. It is important to know what the liabilities are when computing net worth.

  2. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Well, the RPV in Virginia finally managed to stop shooting itself in the butt.

    Congrats! And yes, Youngkin may well be a strong candidate, perhaps the strongest of the candidates. He’s got business and urban society credentials.

    And it’s going to be all about his ideas and I think also, how far those ideas might stray from the hard-right folks in Va, NoVa and RoVa.

    Where will he be on the equity issues? Will he try to win the black and Hispanic vote?

    Questions. Questions!

    As long as this guy is not a Trumpster and reasonably moderate, I might could vote for him!

    1. DJRippert Avatar
      DJRippert

      Take a look at the geographic results of the unassembled convention.

      From Shaun Kenney’s newsletter …

      “Youngkin did well everywhere. There is always the concern in Virginia that a NOVA candidate might not do well in ROVA (rest of Virginia); that an WEVA (Western Virginia) candidate might not do well in EEVA (Eastern Virginia). Youngkin did well in Fairfax, Virginia Beach, the Valley, Southside, Southwest… in short, Youngkin will not have to do his homework among the grassroots in order to carry the general.”

    2. NoVaNick Avatar
      NoVaNick

      Youngkin should focus on three things:
      1. Eliminate the state income tax.
      2. Allow school choice and promote charter schools
      3. Vow to uphold the second amendment

      The first two will help win back the moderate suburbanites. The third will help turnout the rural voters without sounding too Trumpy.

  3. William O'Keefe Avatar
    William O’Keefe

    It is refreshing to see an outsider win but he has to do a lot more. What is his platform/agenda if he wins and as important is his view of what it means to be a republican in 2021.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      There is a lot we do not know about him and his views at this point – and agree it will be interesting.

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        What will be interesting is a recounting of Terry McAuliffe’s economic development initiatives, including the fantastic job he did with GreenTech.

        Terry talked a lot of smack when he last ran for governor. Much of that will come back to haunt him.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          You Conservative types just don’t get it.

          It’s not about the past. What is the vision for the future?

          Ya’ll are so full of grievances these days it’s hard to figure out exactly what you are in favor of and if a majority of voters, including people of color like what you are offering.

          Is Youngkin is another Hogan – watch out!

          My guess is that he’s not but I await his words.

          Ya’ll got the opportunity here to do something. So do it!

          1. PassTheBuckBureaucrat Avatar
            PassTheBuckBureaucrat

            Yeah, screw what someone did in the past.

            All that matters is what they promise they’ll do in the future!

            Disqus Must Be Destroyed

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Well, no. If YOU are running for office, folks want to know what YOU are going to do, not what others did …

            And sure, it’s all about promises… I’m not sure I’ve every seen a candidate who did not “promise” except maybe the losers…

            😉

            Now, I don’t believe half of them. The more outrageous the promise, the less I think of the candidate…

  4. Baconator with extra cheese Avatar
    Baconator with extra cheese

    I wouldn’t say “retake the Governor’s Mansion”… the FBI may be listening.

  5. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Just stop at “GOP is Dead”.

    1. PassTheBuckBureaucrat Avatar
      PassTheBuckBureaucrat

      That’s how I read it on first glance, but then I’m an optimist.

      Virginia GOP: “Taxes are too high, regulation overwhelming and the economy is teetering… Lets pass an abortion law!

      Disqus Must Be Destroyed

      I think Karen D left out the comma

  6. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    ON a good note, it appears that rank choice balloting can work and work well. Congrats to the GOP for walking the walk!

    1. PassTheBuckBureaucrat Avatar
      PassTheBuckBureaucrat

      !!!

  7. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    Of course you know, this means war….

    I’m happy that a decision was reached with second choice votes, and it wasn’t necessary to go to third choice votes. I think there will be no independent split off. I know Youngkin can win, without any doubt, and at this heady moment I can see it happening.

    Cox would have made an excellent governor, and has my thanks for his willingness to run and his 32 years in the General Assembly. But he didn’t raise the money, had months and
    months of a head start before Youngkin announced in January but failed to close the deal, and Youngkin just swamped him and the others. He has national level candidate skills, and now the challenge is outlining what he would actually do if elected.

    Bob was for jobs and Glenn needs to be for schools, IMHO. McAuliffe is already trying to stake it out, but his current message is just mo’ money, mo’ money, mo’ money and that is silly stuff.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      Schools will be open next fall. What should be Issue B for Youngkin?

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        Oh, the parents of public school children will not have forgotten Northam and the teachers’ associations by November. Not at all. That anger runs deep in the many districts that were closed effectively all year, against CDC guidance.

        School choice will be a big ticket item and you McAuliffe lacks the stones o go against his teachers’ constituency.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          Is he running against Northam or McAuliffe?

          You think school choice will win moderate and liberal votes that support public education or will it bring up the partisan divide and get the GOP crazies involved?

          1. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            “Is he running against Northam or McAuliffe?”

            Both. 8 years of Democratic pain.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            well DUH! but will Conservative angst be the same as all voters?

            Ya’ll keep looking at issues from a Conservative framework. Shouldn’t ya’ll be looking at issues from a wider perspective if you want more than just Conservative votes?

            You’re not going to win votes from liberals concerned about other Conservative wants like right-to-life.

            You gotta WANT to go after voters to the LEFT of Conservative ideology, no?

          3. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            I publicly supported and voted for Terry McAuliffe when he ran against Ken Cuccinelli. I wrote and published a now lost column on this blog entitled, “What’s wrong with Terry McAuliffe?” that concluded there was nothing wrong with Terry McAuliffe.

            Then I saw McAuliffe in action as governor.

            Just when I thought things couldn’t get any worse I was treated to the worst Virginia governor in my lifetime – Ralph Northam. He made McAuliffe look like Gerry Baliles.

            Virginia’s descent into the woke cesspool of mindless Marxism needs to end.

          4. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Do you think most liberals and moderates will think the same way and choose a Trump-supporting Conservative over McAuliffe or is that more wishful thinking?

            If Youngkin is a Trumpster, he is dead as a doornail… case closed.

          5. DJRippert Avatar
            DJRippert

            Liberalism is a mental disorder. Therefore, predicting what liberals may do in any given situation is a waste of time.

            Moderates will, in large part, reject the policies of the Northam Administration, especially around reopening the schools, school choice, CRT in the schools and skyrocketing taxes.

            Conservatives + moderates are enough for the Democrats to lose the governor’s race and the House of Delegates.

          6. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            re: ” Conservatives + moderates are enough for the Democrats to lose the governor’s race and the House of Delegates.”

            Let’s go to the replay? ALL “moderates” – yes… some?

      2. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        Dick, you hopeless optimist, my daughter was on the phone with the principal today and he said “we don’t know yet” to a half dozen questions. I bet the battle continues into the fall.

      3. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
        James Wyatt Whitehead

        What if the teacher unions hold out demanding every child be vaccinated before returning to 5 day a week in person instruction?

        1. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          what if? what if? Are ya’ll serious about the Governorship?

          What is the platform that will appeal to more than just Conservatives?

          1. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
            James Wyatt Whitehead

            Take it to the bank Mr. Larry, VEA and AFT will pull this trick card out of the deck. Why? Because they can and Terry will have to play ball because he is going to collect big time coin from VEA and AFT.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Do ya’ll really want to win the Governorship?

          3. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
            James Wyatt Whitehead

            Fill up your gas tank Mr. Larry. 7 service stations out of gas in Warrenton. It’s the 1970s again.

  8. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    On energy, Repubs could reduce more Va. CO2 than the Dems just by promoting more fuel efficient cars including hybrids. Dems just want to say they have intense hatred for fossil fuels and liberals demand progressive extremism like elec car mandates and zero carbon mandates

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      that’s just partisan sillyness. No one “hates” fossil fuels.

      They just see them the same way they see other things that are harmful to the environment and to humans and support ways to reduce them and eventually phase them out – like we already have for countless harmful toxics.

      There are a range of actions that different folks support – just as there has always been for prior harmful substances and dilemmas about how, when and timeframe for phasing out.

      It’s just ignorant to view things in that way IMHO.

      Go back and look at what we did for things like
      lead in gasoline
      NOX in coal and auto emissions
      Acid Rain
      CFCs
      DDT
      PCBs
      and a whole lot more.

      Would you say that the folks that wanted these substances banned “hated” them?

      That’s just silly and really partisan for no good reason.

      Why do we seek to divide people like this?

      What’s wrong with working together to find ways we can agree to go forward?

      Are ya’ll so bound up on partisan that you cannot or will not do it?

    1. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      Does anyone seriously think that McAuliffe is not going to surround himself with Asians and include discussions about hate crimes against them?

      Surely, ya’ll are smarter than that, no?

      1. DJRippert Avatar
        DJRippert

        McAuliffe sold visas to Chinese residents who were willing to invest in GreenTech. Crony capitalists are happy to fleece anybody.

        The question is whether Terry McAuliffe supports the “too many Asians” racism of his own party as evidenced by the treatment of Asian-Americans at Thomas Jefferson High School.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          yadda. yadda. How many Asians are in NoVa that are not concerned about TJ but more concerned about Asian hate crimes?

          If McAuliffe comes out strong against Asian hate crimes, is that good?

          What will Youngkin do? Say “me too” or say “but” the “racism” at TJ?

          ya’ll have to stop thinking like far right Conservatives if you want to win.

          How will you win MORE Asians that just TJ Asians, blacks, Hispanics and immigrants?

          How will you win Moderates who believe there are equity issues ?

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