Good Reading on a Snowy Sunday

Sunday newspaper reading is always fun on a snow-bound morning. Amazingly my newspapers arrived on the driveway, except for The Washington Post which I had to drive to WaWa to buy.
Of course, my mind is filled with the musings of Baconauts on Baconomics, which is actually a fairly simple body of knowledge.
All you have to know are that deficits are awful and we Boomers are facing Armageddon worse than the biblical type because wild-eyed liberal Barack Obama and his Congressional cohorts are loading us up with lots of deficits. This school of thoughts tips its hat at the excesses of George W. Bush, but, mind you, the Baconauts were silent when “W” was loading us up with debt (where were they, anyway?)
Another theorem of Baconomics is that free markets and deregulation are the life-giving milk of any economy and that government and its read tape are the enemies.
So,I was pleased to read two of my favorite columnists this morning.
The first one is Frank Rich, you actually ran a little alternative newspaper in Richmond back in the day. His New York Times column quotes Obama during the State of the Union as noting that:

“..most of the debt vilified by Republicans happened on the watch of a Republican president and Congress that never paid for “two wars, two tax cuts, and an expensive prescription drug program.” The president’s indictment could have been more lacerating. “
As for the real roots today’s deficits, consider this:

“Crunching Congressional Budget Office numbers, David Leonhardt of The Times calculated that of the projected $2 trillion swing into the red between the Clinton surplus and 2012, some 33 percent could be attributed to Bush legislation and another 20 percent to Bush-initiated spending (Iraq, TARP) continued by Obama. Only 7 percent of the deficit could be credited to the Obama stimulus bill and 3 percent to his other initiatives. (The business cycle accounts for the other 37 percent.)”
So how come the Baconauts are always saying that it is Obama’s deficit spending that is the problem?
The second column has to do with Davos, the Swiss gala where the George Soros types of the world gather and think the Big Thoughts. I have always wanted to go to Davos and hob-nob with the mighty, but none of my past employers was willing to foot the bill.
Even so, David Ignatius of The Washington Post has an interesting view of “globalization,” which means that’s perfectly OK when thousands of textile or silicon chip jobs are lost in Danville or Eastern Henrico County because some stateless board of directors of some multi-national company has found better cost synergies elsewhere. Here is his opinion piece:
“Americans need to understand that the 2008 financial crisis proved a point that many Europeans and Asians have been arguing for decades: Economic “liberalism,” of the sort found in Britain and the United States, creates a dangerous over reliance on the market. During the boom years, their complaints seemed like just so much whining. Not anymore.”
Interesting reading.
Peter Galuszka


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22 responses to “Good Reading on a Snowy Sunday”

  1. here's a deja vu look at de-regulation of the "markets":

    " An incomplete and bungled deregulation of S&Ls in 1980 and 1982 lifted restrictions on the kinds of investments S&Ls could make. In 1980 and again in 1982, Congress and the regulators granted S&Ls the power to invest directly in service corporations, permitted them to make real estate loans without regard to the geographical location of the loan, and authorized them to hold up to 40 percent of their assets as commercial real estate loans. Congress and the Reagan administration naïvely hoped that if S&Ls made higher-yielding, but riskier, investments, they would make more money to offset the long-term damage caused by fixed-rate mortgages. However, the 1980 and 1982 legislation did not change how premiums were set for federal deposit insurance. Riskier S&Ls still were not charged higher rates for deposit insurance than their prudent siblings. As a result, deregulation encouraged increased risk taking by S&Ls."

    http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/SavingsandLoanCrisis.html

    but if you listen to the RR lovers… their beloved icon paved the way for this country to embrace the benefits of deregulation.

    RR was a nice guy but he was a dumb as the day is long when it came to understanding the consequences of de-regulation, bless his misguided soul.

  2. E M Risse Avatar

    Peter:

    Good post.

    Larry:

    One of your best comments.

    You will recall it included:

    "… without regard to the geographical location…"

    Sorry you did not read EMR back in the day when we (and Jim Bacon) was (were) focusing on the long term impact of wild specualtion driven by deregulation.

    But you have heard about "wrong size house in the wrong location" in the context of The Great Recession.

    And they just confirmed a Fed Chair who said in 2006 that there was no housing bubble…

    The future does not look bright.

    EMR

  3. E M Risse Avatar

    BTW:

    That is a nice picture of Clustermates all out shoveling the public sidewalk.

    EMR

  4. EMR – the "geography" context is important but not in the way you believe.

    It's not that the regulations are concerned about.. for instance.. where in the Wash DC area a company makes a loan – in Alexandria or Fredericksburg, Va (for a house bought by a commuter)..

    no…

    but the fact that in the S&L meltdown and the current meltdown that the mortgages are owned by entities that don't have nearby access to the property to validate it's claimed assessment value.

    so in the S&L days and with regard to "bundled" mortgages even more so.. there is no effective way for the company making the loan to double/check what a property is worth and they have to rely on a remotely-located assessor to provide them with a "market value".

    Well for the folks selling properties at 20% above the local prevailing market – getting a mortgage from a company 1000 miles away who doesn't know about the 20% inflation.. they end up buying an overpriced property than cannot be sold at auction for as much as the mortgage is and so the loan becomes what is known as a "non-performing" loan which is banker-talk for a loss…. that has to be written off.

    None of the S&L policies of years past nor current policies discriminate with respect to whether a home is in downtown Alexandria or downtown Spotsylvania C.H. – a commuter bedroom community heavily populated with folks who drive 100 miles a day to their NoVa workplace.

    I just think we need to keep you honest on that issue – as well as keeping honest.

    do you agree with what I've said with respect to previous and current loan policies and 'geography'?

  5. James A. Bacon Avatar
    James A. Bacon

    Peter, Peter, Peter… It seems as though you have convinced yourself that as long as the deficit problem can be laid at the doorstep of George W. Bush, and the deficit hawks can be nicked for having failed to raise the cry during the Bush administration, then there really isn't a deficit problenm worth worrying about.

    Oh, sure, you seem to say, the U.S. is running unsustainable deficits. But IT'S ALL BUSH'S FAULT, so get over it.

    I guess I would ask you this, if the deficits were due to Bush's incompetence, why can't Obama just reverse the tax-and-spending policies that Bush put into place and get rid of $700 billion or so in deficit spending?

    The truth is, history will look back upon this era as the Bush-Obama error in which both political parties tried to deflect blame for the deficits upon the other while continuing the policies that BOTH parties endorse.

  6. Jim – did you want Obama to accomplish in one year the 8 years of damage before you condemn him?

    Why is it Obamageddon after one year?

    and why did the same crew who is squealing now.. totally mute in year 1 through year 8 of Bush?

    double standard?

    How about we hold Obama accountable for ONLY the parts that he created on his watch?

    it's a totally… corruptible argument to crucify Obama for something he only owns 1/9 of.

    how many years did you give Bush before you uttered concerns much less call him a Socialist?

  7. E M Risse Avatar

    Jim Bacon:

    Jim, Jim, Jim;

    This problem is not just one that has jumped up since 2000. This is a problem EVERYONE sould have know was critical since 1973.

    If you want to put your finger on one 'leader' who contributed more than any other you have to single out The Great Communicator who communicated to citizens that it was morning in America and they could live on Big Rock Candy Mountain FOREVER.

    Just reversing what Bush II did, even if there were now the votes to do it, would not solve the problem. It runs much deeper than that and requires Fundamental Transformation.

    The reason there are not the vote to at least reverse the mistakes of Bush II is that almost everyone in both political clans are beholden to Business-As-Usual.

    EMR

  8. E M Risse Avatar

    One other thing:

    How many "Baconators" live on a street where Peter's picture could be reproduced with respect to spacial distribution?

    EMR

  9. James A. Bacon Avatar
    James A. Bacon

    Guys, guys, guys, In my posts I have generally avoided blaming Obama personally for the deficit. (I don't think his policies are one bit helpful, but I've never heaped the full blame on him.) Instead, my purpose has been to note that the deficit is growing out of control. It was growing out of control before Obama, it's growing out of control under Obama, and it will grow outof control when he's gone. I don't understand how Larry and Peter can't grasp that simply point.

    I've gone out of my way to describe the ways in which Bush II was culpable. But I've also emphasized that the partisan finger point is a total waste of time. Both parties share a philosophy of governance, which is reinforced by the permanent political class in Washington, D.C., that says, deficits be damned, full speed ahead.

    Go ahead Larry and Peter, live in your delusional little world in which all problems are the fault of Bush II. It doesn't matter. Obama is president now. What's he going to do to fix the problem? How do *you* propose fixing the problem?

  10. R. Stanton Scott Avatar
    R. Stanton Scott

    "but the fact that in the S&L meltdown and the current meltdown that the mortgages are owned by entities that don't have nearby access to the property to validate it's claimed assessment value."

    It's even worse than this, Larry: the owners of the loans didn't even know who had made them in the first place. They literally had no idea who had to stay solvent to make it work, since loans been bundled into securities.

    "why can't Obama just reverse the tax-and-spending policies that Bush put into place and get rid of $700 billion or so in deficit spending?"

    I expect he would like to do just this, and I would support this. But Saint Ronnie and his acolytes have convinced the world, as EMR says, that raising taxes on anyone constitutes oppressive theft by Federal Government Force, and would in any event destroy small businesses, retirement plans, financial markets, the stock market, and the economy as a whole, not to mention the livelihood of all those guys who make a living selling kitchen gadgets on TV a 3 AM. This makes it impossible to reverse the redistribution of wealth from the middle class to the already wealthy.

    Concentrating wealth by permitting the successful to avoid paying for the system and infrastructure which made them so is what will kill the economy, if only by limiting consumer demand. The middle class needs a stable society–they must have some confidence in the short term future–to drive a productive economy for too many reasons to list here, but this is why health care reform is so important.

    In the end, we get the government and market we ask for. We are telling our leaders that we like this system and we don't want to be like Europe because we've been socialized to place our faith in, and accept the outcomes of, free markets.

    But at least we have that going for us. Which is nice.

  11. Groveton Avatar

    You need to find new sources of information. The Washington Post and the New York Times? I wouldn't insult a canary by using those rags to catch bird droppings in the bottom of its cage. The canary might accidentally look down and read some of the endless crap written in those two liturgies of the left. Then we'd have another liberal – although, in the canary's case, being bird brained is genetic not learned.

    "Americans need to understand that the 2008 financial crisis proved a point that many Europeans and Asians have been arguing for decades: Economic "liberalism," of the sort found in Britain and the United States, creates a dangerous over reliance on the market. During the boom years, their complaints seemed like just so much whining. Not anymore."

    Maybe your sources ought to get out of Manhattan and Georgetown once in a while. Take a European junket. Visit Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Iceland, Greece and Spain. Then, tell us again how well the wonderful European economic philosophy works. Oh, wait … the wreakage in those economies is probably America's fault. Maybe Bush did it to them. Or Reagan. Those tax cutting bastards. Oh wait a minute … which US President cut taxes (as a percentage of GDP) the most in US history? John F. Kennedy.

    Liberals never let their arguments get muddied by facts. But LarryG has received some good advice from a fellow Fredricksburger. "Expand your mind, go outside and get to see what this world is like.". The quote is from Caressa Cameron, Miss Virginia and (now) Miss America. Both Peter and LarryG would be well-advised to heed that good advice. I know it's hard to believe but not everything written in the Washington Post or New York Times is true.

  12. Groveton Avatar

    "Concentrating wealth by permitting the successful to avoid paying for the system and infrastructure which made them so is what will kill the economy, if only by limiting consumer demand. ".

    I won't bother to address the non-sequitur about consumer demand. Instead, I'll address the factual error, forever repeated by liberals, about the wealthy failing to pay their fair share of taxes. Here are some facts:

    "In 2007, the top 1 percent of tax returns paid 40.4 percent of all federal individual income taxes and earned 22.8 percent of adjusted gross income. Both of those figures—share of income and share of taxes paid—are significantly higher than they were in 2004 when the top 1 percent earned 19 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI) and paid 36.9 percent of federal individual income taxes.".

    http://www.taxfoundation.org/news/show/250.html

    But Bush let the Ritchie Riches off the hook – right? I mean if the liberals say it then it must be true. No way the rich are paying as much of the total taz burden as they paid under Clinton – right? I mean Bush cut taxes for the rich, right? Let's do something liberals hate – let's look at the facts:

    http://www.ntu.org/main/page.php?PageID=6

    Oh, dear … it seems yet another foundation of liberal clap trap is wrong. Oh dear.

  13. Gooze Views Avatar
    Gooze Views

    Grovetwon,
    What new sources do you recommend? The Richmond Times-Dispatch? Weekly World News (Bayboy Blows Out Budget!)?

    Bacon, Bacon, Bacon,

    True facts hurt, don't they?

    Peter Galuszka

  14. well we were snowed in an hour ago but a neighbor with a tractor came into view and now we are ….ready for tomorrows sun .

  15. I'm gonna give McDonnell the same treatment I give Obama – and that is a chance to show what they are about… more than a years worth at least.

    I just find it near impossible to condemn anyone on a one year performance…

    sorry..

    and it applies to both parties…

    we do have one heck of a deficit and prospects for worse and it's crystal clear where the problem is – Medicare/SS and health care.

    Obama tried something bold – and a bit foolish – he went a bridge too far…

    but guys.. he DID TRY… and He DID move the football even if he did not get a TD nor a first down…

    that's MORE than his partisan critics have done not the mention the outright lies and misrepresentations and demonization that accompanied it.

    They give this man no quarter – NONE – it's like a modern political version of Virginia's own Massive Resistance – and yes.. it IS PERSONAL…to the point where I have to wonder if some of it really is related to a kind of Massive Resistance related to the original version.

    The man is doing more than anyone else has done for 8 years… geeze…give him credit for that at least.

    Right church..wrong pew or even wrong Church.. he's not walking away from it… he's got more spine than all his critics put together in my view.

  16. Anonymous Avatar

    How high is high enough?

    "In 2007, the top 1 percent of tax returns paid 40.4 percent of all federal individual income taxes and earned 22.8 percent of adjusted gross income. Both of those figures—share of income and share of taxes paid—are significantly higher than they were in 2004 when the top 1 percent earned 19 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI) and paid 36.9 percent of federal individual income taxes.".

    All that may be true Groveton BUT that level of taxation has been shown to be NOT ENOUGH.

    Lets not drag Spain et. al. into this. They have a new Highspeed train and are far better off than they were 34 years ago.

    US citizens are not.

    To help get some cash flowing USA is going to sell Formosa some guns, not the Chineese are going to cut off our credit.

    Unemployment at 20 percent will be a goal.

    Risse suggests reading Etizoni, we second that.

    RJM

  17. " BUT that level of taxation has been shown to be NOT ENOUGH."

    an odd statement there….certainly open to interpretation….which I'm quite sure will be offered.

  18. Groveton Avatar

    Nobody held Obama's hand and forced him to sign the campaign documents. He was not drafted into the presidency, he volunteered. In fact, he more than volunteered. He spent more than a year running from place to place telling everybody that he had a plan. He didn't say he'd come up with a plan, he said he had a plan. Change we can believe in or some such rot.

    Ditto for McDonnell. His campaign was not based on promises to try hard. It was based on promises to fix the budget issues, veto any tax increase, sell the ABC stores.

    I am not interested in giving either of these guys several years to get underway. We don't have time. And that's not what the promised on the campaign trail. They promised results based on their plans. It's time we start seeing those results.

  19. Groveton Avatar

    What new sources do you recommend? The Richmond Times-Dispatch? Weekly World News (Bayboy Blows Out Budget!)?

    Wall Street Journal
    The Economist
    Financial Times
    VirginiaTommorrow (blog)

  20. Gooze Views Avatar
    Gooze Views

    Yo! Groveton,
    I already get the RTD and the Economist. I am too far out in the country to get the FT but I used to read it every day. Not familiar with the blog.
    You are picking decidedly center right stuff. Predictable! How about Mother Jones? The Onion?

    Peter Galuszka

  21. Anonymous Avatar

    "It was growing out of control before Obama, it's growing out of control under Obama, and it will grow outof control when he's gone."

    On this point Bacon is correct.

    Even if we concede that the massive budget deficits were not instnatiated by Obama, and evene if we concede that fixing them and growing the economy at once are contraindicated, we are still left withthe fact that Obama has the helm at the moment.

    There is nothing wrong with asking where it is we are headed, but it is simply too soon. He took over the con on a ship without enough headway to answer the helm.

    There is no rudder authority, let alone direction from the helm.

    RH

  22. Anonymous Avatar

    Is that Groveton in the background?

    The one with the snowblower?

    RH

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