Fighting Over the Check at the Green Power Cafe

By Steve Haner

New power plants are pretty useless unless they are connected by new power lines. The debate over who pays for those tall towers and miles of cable can be just as divisive as the fight over who pays for a proposed nuclear plant or offshore wind turbines.

Bottom line, of course, the customers ultimately pay. But which customers? Should it be those most reliant on that individual transmission line, everybody within the utility, or should it be all the customers within all the utilities inside a regional transmission organization?

As Virginians who are part of the PJM Interconnection, when should we be forced to pay for power lines in Pennsylvania or Ohio? The purpose of PJM is to move power between all the states involved, carefully maintaining the proper load on the highly vulnerable grid. There are certainly times when a new line is so crucial to reliability, we should all pay.

But then there are times when we shouldn’t. One of those times might be when a state makes a political decision that results in a massive need for new transmission lines. And an excellent example of that problem is Virginia’s generous tax incentives for data centers which have sparked a massive growth in demand for both new generation and new power lines to serve them.

These are the fun decisions made by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) in Washington. A recent decision on how to allocate the transmission costs needed to connect New Jersey offshore wind projects gave Virginia-based FERC Commissioner Mark Christie another opportunity to provide a lesson and a lecture on the rising wave of electricity costs spurred by the war on fossil fuels.

He does it with one of his “I concur with this decision but” dissertations, which might be better read than the majority opinions. The New Jersey lines, needed because of that state’s decision to build wind projects that will not add PJM-wide reliability (on the contrary), are examples of “public policy” lines which should not be paid for by customers elsewhere.

But in debating that particular FERC decision, the Maryland authorities raised a point about Virginia. The data center explosion in this state, fueled by subsidies running to billions of dollars of avoided local tax, is also going to have an impact on PJM reliability as a whole, and will require regional transmission investments across other states. Under current FERC policy, those will be considered reliability projects, not public policy projects.

Christie writes that the Maryland authorities “make a logical argument to consider the necessary construction of reliability lines in PJM due to load growth from the explosion of data center development in Virginia, as driven – at least at the margin – by Virginia’s own public policy of subsidizing data centers.”

In a footnote he adds that the tax breaks are not the only subsidy for the data centers.

To the extent that Dominion, the load-serving utility in this part of Virginia, socializes the relatively large cost of network upgrades needed to serve individual data centers across all Dominion customers, that could be considered by some to be another subsidy, given the extraordinarily large amount of power consumed by a data center relative to those other customers (which also drives costs for new power resources). But these issues are policy questions for Virginia policymakers, as these costs are not allocated regionally but are confined to Virginia.

Then Christie mentions a case where it is the Virginia Attorney General’s consumer lawyers questioning whether it would be fair to charge Virginians because Maryland decided to shut down a major coal plant. The related transmission changes to shift the load will clearly be about PJM reliability, but it was a public policy decision that put reliability in jeopardy.

These comments logically raise the question whether a law such as Maryland’s mandate to close fossil-fueled generation units located in Maryland has a more direct, intentional and causal impact on the need for new reliability transmission lines than state tax subsidies to high-load customers such as data centers. At a minimum, both Maryland and Virginia state commenters make arguments that are worthy of serious consideration.

He cites another case document addressing the Maryland coal plant closure:

Let me emphasize that the State of Maryland, within its sovereign police powers, clearly has the authority to mandate any particular mix of generating resources it prefers. Maryland’s new climate law is well within its inherent authority to enact….

But if the resulting transmission projects under protest in this (regional transmission expansion plan) filing are caused more by Maryland’s policy choices than by organic load growth and economic resource retirements, then a salient question that may be asked is whether these transmission projects are more accurately categorized as public policy projects, essentially the same as the transmission upgrades caused by New Jersey’s offshore wind projects?

Christie concludes by calling for FERC to take on the issue, which of course extends to all parts of the country where either state economic development gamesmanship or state-specific generation mandates are driving billion-dollar transmission upgrades. It should address:

What is the proper definition of a public policy transmission project? Does the definition of public policy transmission project need to be changed for purposes of regional cost allocation? How should public policy transmission projects be cost-allocated in a multi-state (regional transmission organization)? In my view the states themselves need to be at the forefront of deciding these questions, as it is their own state policies that are largely making these questions unavoidable, as these two recent PJM cases graphically illustrate.


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24 responses to “Fighting Over the Check at the Green Power Cafe”

  1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    Thanks. These are issues that I did not know existed, much less thought about.

  2. Bob X from Texas Avatar
    Bob X from Texas

    I recommend shutting down all fossil fuel and nuclear power plants. Everyone knows these power plants cause eclipses, cicadas to improperly breed, and Sunny Hostin to go the deep end. If a few cities freeze in the winter and bake in the summer it’s acceptable because it’s for the greater good.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Yes, perfectly logical and works well if you are sticking with the current routes. But then there are all the new lines needed because everybody wants solar farms scattered by the hundreds over the landscape or big new trunk lines to serve those data center clusters or distribute the ocean project’s energy.

      The big cost allocation (“why should I pay for that?”) debate also comes up when the locals insist on a buried power line to protect their viewsheds.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        “In many places, upgrading power lines with advanced conductors could nearly double the capacity of existing transmission corridors at less than half the cost of building new lines, researchers found. If utilities began deploying advanced conductors on a nationwide scale — replacing thousands of miles of wires — they could add four times as much transmission capacity by 2035 as they are currently on pace to do.

        That would allow the use of much more solar and wind power from thousands of projects that have been proposed but can’t move forward because local grids are too clogged to accommodate them.

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          A complete red herring to the point of my post, which was the issue of allocating those costs when entirely new trunk lines are needed. But ’tis what you do.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Pretty sure the article points out similar issues with who would pay and using existing routes instead of adding new ones.

            Totally on point IMO.

            https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7e253c5f801a4c479e7775848e773149f74738c4dc4f8928d8ea0d5661c64168.png

            https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/521b78fdea90823421713d793e0bbeaf0102bbc82619e33a89391feca04b2b06.png

          2. Okay, as far as upgrading existing lines, but if you’re constructing a new power plant where no power plant has ever been (such as, say, offshore) then you are going to need new routes for new power lines.

          3. Okay, as far as upgrading existing lines, but if you’re constructing a new power plant where no power plant has ever been (such as, say, offshore) then you are going to need new routes for new power lines.

          4. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yes. You’ll have to connect to existing ones that might need upgrading vice building new corridors. You’ll find by the way that solar farms tend to located NEAR existing transmission corridors also.

            But the point is, if you adopt the new technology, you can utilize existing corridors without having to build new ones – which is far quicker and less expensive and a substantial improvement to the existing grid both in terms of capacity and reliability. A win-win-win.

      2. Lefty665 Avatar

        Interesting set of questions, and likely no simple answers.

        Are there similar issues about pricing triggered by peak usage that also require transmission upgrades? For example, when all the fast chargers at an EV charging station are in use at once, or all the servers in a data center are humping they could exceed usage based rate thresholds. Who pays for the generation/transmission capacity needed to meet peak but intermittent loads?

        Seems we get into a morass of unintended consequences as we charge into a future with huge new demand for electricity and generation/transmission infrastructure.

  3. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    And what just appeared in the inbox but another story on point, quoting Mark on the same points, about a fresh FERC ruling…
    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/FERC-transmission-cost-allocation-christie-pjm-data-center-virginia/711335/

  4. William Chambliss Avatar
    William Chambliss

    State public policy requirements are, within PJM, referring to transmission projects needed to connect favored types of generation to the grid, ie. New Jersey’s off shore wind. When Virginia’s project connects, the lion’s share of those cost will, rightfully, be borne by Virginia customers.

    Every state has economic development policies. Maryland, in fact, has a nearly identical program to that of Virginia, but has not been nearly as successful in “winning” these behemoths as has NoVa. My belief is that factors other than tax incentives, such as the huge existing telecommunications network in NoVa, relatively cheaper real estate and compliant local supervisory boards, are the true draw for data centers locating there.

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        Further complicating the data center example, they are not “state” assets usually. They serve customers in those other states and beyond.

        1. William Chambliss Avatar
          William Chambliss

          The data centers certainly provide services across the internet including to users in all PJM states. On the supply side, while the CVOW project and any other OSW that eventually connects will deliver electricity into a grid that may get consumed outside the state sponsoring it, I believe all the valuable environmental attributes of such projects will be confined to the sponsoring state(s).

  5. Dr. Havel nos Spine' Avatar
    Dr. Havel nos Spine’

    The rule for economic efficiency is that the cost causer should pay – regardless of whether or not the investment is made pursuant to this or that states’ public climate or economic development policy. For years, PJM operated as if it was too hard to figure out who the cost causer was. It was easier and faster and less controversial to socialize the cost of the transmission investment among groups of ratepayers. With the advent of mega costs spurred on by unconventional climate related projects and initiatives, PJM/FERC had to massage their cost socialization rule and create the state policy exception. Commissioner Christie asks a lot of really good questions. Good luck answering them.

  6. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
    f/k/a_tmtfairfax

    Decades of utility ratemaking would lead to the conclusion that added capacity costs (both capital and expense) required by data centers or offshore wind farms should be allocated directly to those projects. They, in turn, can add the higher costs to their prices to the extent that the market lets them.

  7. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    Why is this not a good reason for RGGI where the money goes directly back into improving the grid?

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      The tax dollars are split between flood projects and LED light bulbs and high efficiency appliances for po’ folk, pretending to “reduce demand.” Not one dollar goes into grid enhancements. Next you’ll claim RGGI cures the cancers which are caused by global warming!

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      The tax dollars are split between flood projects and LED light bulbs and high efficiency appliances for po’ folk, pretending to “reduce demand.” Not one dollar goes into grid enhancements. Next you’ll claim RGGI cures the cancers which are caused by global warming!

      1. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        Not claiming – asking why not…. good idea? better than LEDs and flood projects?

    3. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
      f/k/a_tmtfairfax

      Why not do this directly? Bill the wind energy projects and the data centers the cost of building and maintaining the transmission lines that serve them? They can then try to recover these costs in the prices for their goods and services. Is “hide the pea” the proper way to address energy issues? I don’t think so. But the proponents of these projects want to look more cost effective than they are.

  8. LarrytheG Avatar
    LarrytheG

    technology is advancing, it’s here right now and available and the problem is the various grid operators are not interested because they essentially don’t want to pay for something that will benefit their competitors – pretty dumb when the overall net effect benefits everyone both the companies and their customers.

    from the blog post: re: ” New power plants are pretty useless unless they are connected by new power lines. The debate over who pays for those tall towers and miles of cable can be just as divisive as the fight over who pays for a proposed nuclear plant or offshore wind turbines”

    From the NYT article:

    “One of the biggest obstacles to expanding clean energy in the United States is a lack of power lines. Building new transmission lines can take a decade or more because of permitting delays and local opposition. But there may be a faster, cheaper solution, according to two reports released Tuesday.

    Replacing existing power lines with cables made from state-of-the-art materials could roughly double the capacity of the electric grid in many parts of the country, making room for much more wind and solar power.

    This technique, known as “advanced reconductoring,” is widely used in other countries. But many U.S. utilities have been slow to embrace it because of their unfamiliarity with the technology as well as regulatory and bureaucratic hurdles, researchers found.

    “We were pretty astonished by how big of an increase in capacity you can get by reconductoring,” said Amol Phadke, a senior scientist at the University of California, Berkeley, who contributed to one of the reports released Tuesday. Working with GridLab, a consulting firm, researchers from Berkeley looked at what would happen if advanced reconductoring were broadly adopted.

    “It’s not the only thing we need to do to upgrade the grid, but it can be a major part of the solution,” Dr. Phadke said.

    Today, most power lines consist of steel cores surrounded by strands of aluminum, a design that’s been around for a century. In the 2000s, several companies developed cables that used smaller, lighter cores such as carbon fiber and that could hold more aluminum. These advanced cables can carry up to twice as much current as older models.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/09/climate/electric-grid-more-power.html?unlocked_article_code=1.jE0.b7Vr.npBClDKNFWBZ&smid=em-share

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