By Peter Galuszka

Virginia’s Republicans failed to replicate their national party’s success in last year’s mid-term national elections and barely squeaked by to win both houses of the state General Assembly.

The 20-20 split in the state Senate hung on a spare 222 votes in a Spotsylvania County race. By conceding his election race Democratic State Sen. R. Edward Houck does give Republican Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling the opportunity to cast the deciding vote on critical issues in the Senate.

Overall, however, Tuesday voting results are hardly a mandate for the GOP, despite how much pro-GOP commentators such as the publisher of this blog and Wall Street Journal columnists wish it to be so. The key is how the Gov. Robert F. McDonnell and other GOP leaders intend to use their new power in the legislature.

Possible agendas are not promising. McDonnell probably wants to change the state worker retirement system in ways that screw state workers and dump more costs back on them. He’s already raided the system indirectly by deferring payments the state is obliged to make in a smoke and mirrors attempt to present the state with budget that is in the black. Doing so lets him cast himself as a hotshot new Republican governor so he can pursue national ambitions.

He’s going to try to somehow change public schools, but he has already cut critical education spending and Virginia children are suffering the results with their worsening performance on national tests.

He might try to revive, once again, his efforts to privatize ABC stores but even with the seven new Republican state senators that’s going to be a battle since many GOP legislators abandoned McDonnell in his earlier efforts.

What is likely is more of the same corporate pork barrel we’ve seen for big corporations and Hollywood moguls like Steven Spielberg and West Coast defense industries. Spielberg got millions from the state film office to make a Lincoln movie in Richmond where the payback to the state seems to be limited to actress Sally Fields patronizing cute downtown and Cary Street restaurants in the capital. As far as corporate welfare, expect a new charge to lift the ban on uranium mining by a group of rich Southside farmers and Canadian businessmen who have already been taking legislators on suspicious, all-expenses-paid trips to uranium mining hotspots such as Paris.

In other areas, there’s not much McDonnell can hope to accomplish. His dream of erecting dozens of oil derricks off the Virginia caps to make Virginia “The Energy Capital of the East Coast” have come to naught. The U.S. Department of the Interior left Virginia off the list for new leases for at least a few more years.

The way appeals courts are running against right-wing Atty. Gen. Kenneth Cuccinelli’s efforts to block Obamacare, McDonnell will be hard-pressed to do much to further challenge the law which faces the ultimate constitutionality test in the U.S. Supreme Court. The ball here is no longer in Virginia’s court.

Lastly, despite McDonnell’s efforts to make himself over from staunch social conservative to moderate, the election results Tuesday have a conspicuous nut factor. Corey Stewart, the Prince William County politician who wants to make Virginia the next Alabama in terms of racist anti-immigrant laws, won. Loudoun County has a completely GOP board, including homophobe Eugene Delgaudio. And, ultra-nut Dick Black is heading for the Senate.

True, the Democrats did poorly and Obama is weak. But the real message is they are not as weak as the Republicans wished.


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20 responses to “Elephants Squeak By”

  1. Actually, for better or for worse,the GOP kicked butt Tuesday. Statewide, voters cast 61% of their ballots for GOP candidates in House elections, compared to 33% for the Dems — almost a two to one margin. In the state Senate, 57% of voters cast ballots for GOP Senate candidates versus 41% for Dems. If the Dems hadn’t gerrymandered the bejeebers out of the Senate districts, it would have been a route.

    So, you can congratulate the Dems on almost surviving in the Senate but don’t kid yourself that the GOP isn’t on a roll.

    The bigger question, which you do address in this post and make some telling points, is what the Elephant Clan will do with this victory. If Republicans squander the opportunity, voters won’t stick with them for long.

  2. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    Spin it anyway you want, Jimbo, but it ain’t “Elephants Triumphant!”

  3. Peter, let’s get real about illegal immigration. In 1982, the United States Supreme Court stated the following. “Although the State has no direct interest in controlling entry into this country, that interest being one reserved by the Constitution to the Federal Government, unchecked unlawful migration might impair the State’s economy generally, or the State’s ability to provide some important service. Despite the exclusive federal control of this Nation’s borders, we cannot conclude that the States are without power to deter the influx of persons entering the United States against federal law, and whose numbers might have a discernible impact on traditional state concerns.” A few years later, the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals concluded as follows. “No statute precludes other federal, state, or local law enforcement agencies from taking other action to enforce this nation’s immigration laws.”
    Illegal immigration causes more crime, higher demand for social services, higher taxes, disrespect for law, and downward pressure on wages for those with lesser skills. The immigration laws should be enforced across the board.

  4. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    TMT,
    Let’s get real about immigration. It is still the province of the federal government as it involves agreements and treaties with foreign countries. What’s more, laws such as Alabama’s and proposals such as Corey Stewart’s are clearly racist and are designed to discriminate by color and race against a specific group of people.

  5. TMT, Regarding illegal immigration, there is considerable evidence that the flow of immigrants into the country has slowed considerably — indeed, that there is a net out-migration of illegals back to their countries of origin. Part of this trend can be attributed to the lack of job opportunities in the U.S. But another part is the increasing opportunities in Mexico, which, for all the problems created by the drug cartels, has a healthy, growing economy. Another part is the plummeting fertility rate of Mexican women. Mexico doesn’t have the surplus labor that it did a generation ago. This is one of those problems which, if we wait long enough, will pretty much melt away. I’m not nearly as exercised about it as I once was.

  6. I don’t disagree that the prime responsibility for immigration policy is the federal government. But the Supreme Court has held states have authority to enforce the federal laws. The charge of racism is just more empty words. Liberals use racism as a substitute for facts and analysis. The U.S. has more lenient immigration laws than most countries. Yet we are the racists. How about amnesty from taxes or patents or the antitrust laws?
    I am aware that illegal immigration from Mexico is down for all the reasons Jim states. I think growing prosperity in Mexico is good. I think more prosperity in the U.S. would be good too. Enforcing the immigration laws would help the 99% a lot more than gathering in pig sties.

  7. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    Bacon,
    What’s your argument again? All those little brown people are staying where they belong so there’s no problem? Geez!

  8. The answer to the immigration “problem” is to go after those who employ illegals – illegally.

    You can bet the Republicans WON’T do that and instead will continue to push the “let’s punish those brown illegals” approach by stopping all hispanics in cars and having schools and hospitals “report” “possible” illegals even if they scare the bejesus out of ordinary legal immigrants.

    Folks who say they are serious about illegal immigration don’t need to support these anti-people approaches especially when we refuse to go after the employers first.

    In other words, we don’t have to make this about going after an entire race of people pretending that we are only after the illegals.

    Just deal with the employment issue – like the Canadians do and the illegals will head home after harvest.

    What I hate about the Republicans is the way they make issues like this specific to people and not practices. It’s all about blame…and ginning up their base… these days.

    Just look at the Republican candidates for President …. ask yourself what in the world is going on when 8 people are running and virtually all of them will not appeal to independents.

    that’s what the right wing has done to the Republicans…

    Jim is also right. In Virginia – Republicans rule because they do two important things:

    1. – they run candidates as opposed to the Dems who can’t even field a contender in many districts.

    2. they accentuate their fiscal conservative credentials while essentially hiding their social conservatism… until elected.

    but come next election – number 1. takes over again….

    we do not want nor need a gestapo approach to illegal immigration.

  9. “1. – they run candidates as opposed to the Dems who can’t even field a contender in many districts.”

    Yup. That about sums it up. The D’s lost an open seat 4-years ago in my Senate district by 800 votes and couldn’t even find a viable candidate this time around.

    At this rate they might not win back a majority on the HOD until sometime mid-century.

    Long story short, they got their a$$’s kicked.

    FYI…10 Senate seats held by the R’s went uncontested. It equaled almost 300k votes. The R’s were essentially able to use all the money raised by these 10 and use it in the other races.

    I am not even going to do the math for the HOD but the story line is the same.

    People running the Democratic Party in VA should have been fired Wednesday morning.

  10. Illegal immigration causes more crime, higher demand for social services, higher taxes, disrespect for law, and downward pressure on wages for those with lesser skills.

    +++++++++++++++++++

    The problem with this argument is that if you remove the word illegal, then all of the rest of it is still true.

    This is an anti immigration statement, not merely a statement against illegal immigration. As such I file it in the same category as other sentiments, regulation, and law, that is designed to prevent change – mostly futile and counter productive. Among such thinkings one may place e HOAs, some zoning regs, and anti – development movements in general, all of which are based on similar appeals to the prevention of some presumed disorderlyness.

  11. re: Va Republican strategy

    the prospects for further Republican control of Richmond are very high if others across Va see what I see going on locally and that is the Republican Party is fielding as many candidates (often newbies) at the BOS level as they can.

    In our local elections this year, the replaced 4 incumbents with Republicans.

    Our local Republican BOS candidates were “endorsed” by Gov. Mcdonnell, Eric Cantor and other elected Republicans……

    oh.. one other thing.. the candidates did not run as “official” Republican Party candidates because of our proximity to Federal jobs of which most of the candidates are employed.

    Which if you think about it is pretty ironic. Here you have US govt employees running on a fiscal conservative plank as shadow Republicans whose bedrock principles these days are that govt is too big and too intrusive, wastes money hand over fist, practices discriminatory hiring practices, and hires and retains people who could not otherwise get a job.

    😉

    Once this crop gets experience, a certain number of them will aspire to higher office and so we have this pipeline that is going to be offering up Republican candidates for office for years to come.

    I don’t care for their politics these days but their strategy is solid gold.

  12. Legal immigration is good, especially when the immigrants already have good educations and needed skills. In fact, if it were not for immigration, Fairfax County would be losing population. But why are we catering to those who don’t want to pay fair wages and those looking to buy votes with social programs? Illegal immigration is wrong. It is hurting the economy. It’s hurting many U.S. workers too. We could have a guest worker program that provides workers who are needed and that also protects the workers. Any guest worker should have the protection of the U.S. labor laws, e.g., wage and hour laws. But there are many employers who don’t want to treat workers fairly. Both political parties kiss those employers’ $%^$ for different reasons. I agree with Larry that one of the keys to helping control illegal immigration is to go after employers.

  13. I’m sure we can count on Republicans to crack down on the job creators.

  14. Ray, what do you have against people born in the United States? We need more jobs for those people lawfully in the United States. We don’t need more jobs for those here illegally. Many people, both Dems and GOP, support that idea, but many others don’t. Some who don’t, want to keep those who want to hire people for very little happy and voting for their party. Some want to import poverty to keep the professional caring class employed and voting for their party. Some are racist, who put Hispanic bloodlines above their fellow citizens. Some probably just hate America for some weird reason or another.

  15. […] …Washington PostRepublicans take control, 'responsibility' in VirginiaWashington TimesElephants Squeak ByBacon’s Rebellionall 116 news […]

  16. what “class” benefits from having workers who have no protections and safeguards and who earn whatever the employer feels like paying them knowing that there is no where for them to go to get fairness?

    why do we see the enemy as the worker instead of the “job creator” who is preying on the vulnerable?

    I’ll be in favor of going after illegals once we have assured that all employers of them have their assets confiscated and are sentenced to jail.

    If, after that, we still have an immigration “problem” then let’s have at the draconian tactics that some seem to prefer FIRST.

    but I want to see some perp walks from those scofflaws who enrich themselves from hiring illegals.

    so we bust the employers at the SAME TIME we deport those they hired.

    We deal with both issues – in tandem.

  17. Larry, I agree that the nation needs to use all of its tools to stem illegal immigration. Employers that knowingly or carelessly hire illegal aliens should go through the meat grinder. People found in the U.S. without authorization must be deported. Drying up employment opportunities will reduce the number coming to the U.S. Obama should spend as much effort going after sanctuary jurisdictions as he does going after those that are enforcing the federal law.

  18. Voted absentee and left for a week of business and a weekend of pleasure. Interestingly, I legally immigrated into Mexico to see about some billfish and dorado.

    Now that I am back – I have a question. With the VA Senate locked 20-20, how are committees decided? Please tell me somebody will get the chance to shove Dick Saslaw into the ash heap of history. Please!

    The Republicans won the House of Delegates, they won the governorship and they won the Senate (if you count the tie breaking vote of the Lt Governor). And all that with endless scummy gerrymandering by the Democrats.

    Sorry Peter – this is a body blow to the Dems.

    Is it too early to start opining on the next governor’s race? Bolling is unelectable in my opinion. Nice guy, not exactly a live wire. Cuccinelli is too divisive. The Dems are short on talent.

    Who will it be?

  19. Groveton, Who’s the next Republican candidate for governor? My sources in the Smart Growth lobby fear that it may be Sean Connaughton. Love him or hate him, he’ll be able to say that he’s the kind of guy who gets things done.

  20. re: how will the Senate be organized? In years past, there was a power sharing arrangement but I here tell this time around there will not be.

    So here we have the Virginia version of what happened in the Federal govt from 2001 through 2005 when the Republicans owned the 3 legs of govt and in theory could have accomplished a lot of their core agenda.

    so the real question for Virginian’s and especially NoVa is a all-Republican Virginia govt a good thing or a bad thing or a “who cares” thing?

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