Do We Really Want to Subsidize Driving?

You don’t like subsidizing welfare queens or bank bail-outs. Why subsidize the automobile culture?

by James A. Bacon

Once again, circumstances compel me to deliver a lecture on the difference between taxes and user fees. Gov. Bob McDonnell has forced the issue by proposing to boost spending for Virginia roads by diverting more money from the General Fund. In so doing, the governor would tilt the financing mechanism further from a user-pays system and toward an automobile-subsidy system.

Philosophically, this is fundamental. One principle of governance says, “People who use roads should pay the full cost of building and maintaining them.” The other principle says, “People like driving on roads but don’t like paying for them, so I’ll subsidize their transportation preference with taxes imposed upon the general public.”

Republicans claim to loathe social engineering. They rightly distrust those Greens and environmentalists who want to corral the population into high-density housing and force them to ride mass transit. But Republicans are social engineers of a different sort. They support tax and transportation policies that underpin the auto-centric society. Then, when the cost of those policies becomes prohibitively expensive, they turn to public subsidies to maintain an  unsustainable status quo.

Once upon a time, Virginia funded most of its road building through the state motor fuels tax, supplemented by federal grants paid for by a federal motor fuels tax. It wasn’t perfect, but it worked reasonably well. Generally speaking, the more miles you drove, the greater the burden you put on the road system, and the more tax you paid. People who walked to work, biked to work or worked at home didn’t pay as much. The salesman who drove 1,000 miles a week paid a lot more than the little old lady who drove 10 miles a week. There was a rough justice in the tax.

But the Old Dominion has largely abandoned that approach. Through inaction, legislators have capped Virginia’s gasoline tax at 17.5 cents per gallon since 1986. Due to inflation, the purchasing power of that tax has declined by more than half — way more than half, actually, if you consider the inflation in construction costs. But the demand for more roads, bridges and highways has not diminished at all. To maintain road funding, lawmakers have boosted other taxes. But they have done so in a sly, underhanded way: by breaking up the taxes into little pieces that are harder for taxpayers to notice, and relying upon revenue sources that automatically increase over time.

Today, barely one third of the dollars spent by the Virginia Department of Transportation comes from the motor fuels tax. Here’s where the money is coming from this year, according to an October VDOT estimate for Fiscal Year 2012:McDonnell would further sever the connection between those who use Virginia’s roads and those who pay for them by doing three things: (1) Phasing in the transfer of an extra 0.25% of the state’s 4.5% sales tax to transportation over  eight years, (2) dedicating 75% of any end-of-year General Fund surplus to transportation, and (3) dedicating an additional 1% of all General Fund revenue to transportation in years when revenues increase more than five percent. Bottom line: within eight years, the motor fuels tax will account for perhaps one quarter of VDOT funding.

Why is that so bad? After all, we use General Funds to underwrite the cost of schools, corrections and Medicaid. Why not roads, too?

Here’s why. When government subsidizes the cost of building and maintaining roads, people drive more. When people drive more, they increase the wear and tear on roads and they aggravate traffic congestion, both of which intensify the pressure on government to raise more taxes. Thus tax subsidies beget more tax subsidies.That is fiscally unsustainable.

By comparison, when government pays for public education, people don’t go out and have more children.When government pays for prisons, criminals don’t go out and commit more crime. When government pays for free health care, Medicaid patients don’t go out and get sicker… Well, actually, people probably do make less effort to stay healthy when they know that someone else will pay for their medical treatment. Bad example. That’s a big reason our health care system is so dysfunctional. It, too, needs to change.

In an economically ideal world, Virginia would eliminate every tax listed above except the motor fuels tax and raise that tax by enough to offset the lost revenue. That would mean roughly tripling the gas tax. Virginians wouldn’t be any worse off — by definition, the tax burden would be the same. Actually, I could make the case that Virginians would be better off: (a) because the tax would be totally transparent and they would know what they’re paying, and (b) they could reduce the amount of tax they pay by modifying their behavior — driving less.

Admittedly, there is one big problem with shifting to an all-motor fuels tax. That tax, as I have oft preached and McDonnell noted in justifying his raid-the-General Fund proposal, is living on borrowed time. Gas tax revenues will decline as automobile gas mileage improves and as people buy more alternate-fuel vehicles. But the solution isn’t subsidizing transportation with General Funds, it’s replacing the motor fuels tax with a Vehicle Miles Traveled tax. Any VMT tax would pose administrative challenges, so we need to start studying the options now in order to get the kinks worked out when it’s time to make the switch.

From a moral perspective, subsidies for middle-class drivers are no more defensible than payments to welfare queens or bail-outs for Wall Street bankers. In every case, government robs Peter to pay Paul. And in every case, there are adverse consequences. Just as welfare breeds a pathological culture of poverty and bail-outs encourage bankers to gamble recklessly with other peoples’ money, subsidizing roads leads to more driving, more gasoline consumption, more congestion, more pollution and greater dependence on foreign oil. Genuine conservatives will oppose McDonnell’s transportation-funding proposals.


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18 responses to “Do We Really Want to Subsidize Driving?”

  1. the irony of all of this is that the amount of money currently provided from the 1/2% sales tax is equivalent to 10 cents gas tax AND it is INDEXED.

    and by the time the rest of McDonnell’s proposal generates funding.. the sales tax will be adding the equivalent of 20 cent a gallon increase on the gas tax.

    and not a peep from the 80% who vociferously oppose ANY tax increase on the gas tax.

    so give McDonnell full credit. He has well measured a way to increases taxes for transportation despite what has since 1986 appeared to be a non-stop roadblock..

    and… if we get the full one percent for transportation.. it will eclipse the fuel tax.. rendering it moot.

    I’m surprised that Jim is not slathering on compliments for the very clever way that McDonnell has found an answer than eluded the best efforts of Warner and Kaine.

    TMT should be impressed too.. .eh?

    😉

  2. Jim:

    You were doing so well until that last sentence.

    “Genuine conservatives will oppose McDonnell’s transportation-funding proposals.”.

    Oppose them in favor of what? A motor fuels tax that will never be passed by the Clown Show no matter how ridiculous the current “capped” cents per gallon approach is.

    The question isn’t between raising the gas tax (or instituting a vehicle miles traveled tax) and taking from the General Fund. The choice is between taking from the General Fund or suffering even worse traffic chaos at the hands of the Clown Show’s incompetence.

    Why do you rail at McDonnell? You should be railing at the Clown Show. McDonnell doesn’t draft legislation and then vote on it. That’s the role of the Clown Show. And they haven’t fulfilled that role in 25 years.

    Chap Petersen has proposed gas tax indexing in session after session. I imagine he’ll do it again. Want to bet on the outcome? How could Bob McDonnell do anything about that?

    Your frustration is valid, however, it is also misplaced.

  3. clarke conservative Avatar
    clarke conservative

    One 18-wheel truck loaded at 80,000 lbs does the equivalent damage of 9,600 cars with a weight of 4,000 lbs each driving down the same stretch of road. Our highway policy, and the majority of taxpayers who finance it, subsidizes heavy commercial vehicles.

    Thus the only equitable systems would be fee based, ie tolls and licensing, system.

  4. clarke conservative Well stated!!! Let’s all raise taxes on the poor slobs driving to and from work, while the Clown Show subsidizes heavy trucks.

  5. Clarke conservative, I totally agree, trucks need to pay their proportional share of road maintenance.

  6. Groveton talks like there is an option other than the clown show…

    NADA….

    McDonnell’s plan is a P R O P O S A L that has to be agreed to by said “clown show”.

    We used to twit EMR for wanting a top-down dictator to decide how to do transportation and land use..

    are we saying we want the same deal from McDonnell on transportation?

  7. re trucks..

    I’d like to see some data… not only for Va but other states… and the truckers will tell you.. whatever you charge them… will show up on the products you buy as the transportation cost….anyhow…

    in other words…we pay anyhow..

    I think there IS a case for building tougher roads and/or limiting weights (again what’s the other state policies?) but again.. tougher roads will cost us more money and lower weights will cost us more money.

    I’d like to see tolls on I95 and I81… and assessed per number of axles… like other states do.

  8. Some shippers would make other choices, including shipping extra heavy goods by rail or shipping smaller loads. The best benefit is extending the lives of our roads and bridges.

  9. “trucks need to pay their proportional share of road maintenance.”

    Isn’t that what happens when you pay a transportation use tax for shopping at Walmart? Or McDonald’s? Or anyplace else you actually buy something the trucks delivered?

    What was it called? A sales tax? Which comes out of which fund? The trucks have been paying their proportional share all along. It’s a commerce tax that is being misallocated by the politicians.

  10. I truly don’t know but taxpayers will pick up the tab no matter what.

    I think the only argument one could make is on the basis of which policy would be most cost-effective.

    and I think the weight situation is national in scope… I do not think Va could have significantly higher weight taxes…without consequences.

    but on the issue of subsidizing transportation – if McDonnell is going to separate responsibilities for state level roads from local roads … AND he is willing to employ tolls including HOT Lane tolls… I think it may squeeze out some of the current land-development advocacy for roads.

    If Fairfax land 97 other counties has to look after their own local roads and VDOT is going to put tolls on major commuting corridors… then we may start to see changes in where people decide to live and work and less profitable land development in the exurbs.

  11. clarke conservative Avatar
    clarke conservative

    I used to work in the trucking industry and truckers frequently, especially on local routes, over loaded their vehicles. That does tremendous damage to the roadways, bridges, etc. To lessen this some states like Michigan mandate extra axles on dump trucks, etc. to distribute the load more evenly. On the comments “we pay for it in the end”, that is true, but if the true cost of damage to roadways were borne by the source, trucks, it would force goods to more efficient and less damaging modes of transportation like rail.

    Try driving down I-81. It is now 40+% trucks. It was designed for 15% truck volume.

    The rail industry should containerize shipments, just like the commercial Ocean shipping industry did 40 years ago, and watch the efficiencies flourish.

  12. McDonnell’s budget is predicated on a 3.3% increase in revenues in 2013 and a 4.5% increase in 2014 – all without raising tax rates.

    These estimated increases give McDonnell the room to keep everybody happy.

    Transportation gets a bigger share.
    VRS starts getting repaid.
    The rainy day fund gets expanded.
    Medicaid is increased.
    More money for K-12 and higher education.
    More money for mental health.
    More for economic development.

    Apparently, nothing gets cut.

    Either these “increases” are tiny sprinkles from the projected increase in taxes or the state plans to dump yet more of the fiscal responsibility on the localities.

    My bet is that the projected increases never materialize. This begets a budget crisis which can only be addressed by the next governor regrettably having to raise taxes.

    aka The Warner Shuffle

  13. re: truck weights… locally we have the dump trucks with extra wheels… I do not know if the state mandates them or not though.

    the problem with the older secondary roads is they are substandard by today’s standards but not in the day they were built.

    but I agree… one truck.. and that is all it takes, can wreak havoc on a substandard secondary road… typically on the edges on in weak spots.

    but we ought to step back and ask what is really driving the cost of transportation up. Is it really maintenance and fixing damaged roadways or is it NEW roads?

    I do not think Virginia pays more than other states for maintenance and I do not think Va has more overweight trucks than normal/average either…

    basically when you have a fixed gas tax that has not gone up in 25 years… we should expect to see funding shortfalls… and we should be honest enough to admit that you cannot have a tax that has not changed in 25 years and still expect funding to be adequate. Blaming revenue shortfalls on overweight trucks seems to be not on target as to the real problems.

  14. re: what has McDonnell cut? he’s cut Kindergarten funding, “cost to compete” funds for schools… and a significant cost to catch up the pension funds will fall to local schools.

    and don’t be surprised if his proposal to use sales taxes for roads gets the same treatment that his proposal to privatize ABC and use it to pay for roads.

    He’s also ask state agencies to give him 5% reduction budgets ( I think it’s actually 3 different percent reduction scenarios).

    I think McDonnell’s budget illustrates something fundamental about citizens and that is that now days such budgets are so big and comprehensive that citizens cannot figure it out on their own and are dependent on the media to do so..and the media is not exactly a paragon of investigative excellence itself either and especially so now days when it’s taken huge hits on it’s basic business model.

    If it were not for folks like Jim Bacon… we’d all be dumber still…

    😉

  15. LarryG:

    Good information. I figured he must be cutting something although you wouldn’t know it from the right-leaning media and blogs. And it’s only when you understand what’s being cut from the General Fund spending that you can really assess the impact of using more of the General Fund for transportation.

    The ABC store debacle was part and parcel for Virginia. We were what … the third to last state to eliminate smoking in the workplace? No doubt we’ll be among the very last to eliminate the socialist practice of state owned liquor stores. As for me, I’ll practice capitalism and buy my liquor in the free market of DC. Pretty sad really. For all the hot air blown by the Clown Show about “best state for business”, “right to work” and all the other right-wing drivel, both Maryland and DC let the free market work for liquor sales while Virginia uses the Nanny State approach.

    As for the “sales tax for roads” proposal being defeated, I wouldn’t be surprised. The Clown Show is nothing if not short-sighted. In 2011 my company expanded from 20 employees to 57. Our 2012 goal is to grow to about 130. As you might imagine, this puts stress on our office space. I am in the process of leasing more office space in our three work locations – Boston, SF and Northern Virginia. I will not need much space in NoVa. In the real world of Virginia (which is unknown to the Clown Show), companies need to draw personnel from different areas of a region. For me, the programmers tend to live in DC or near-by Arlington / Maryland. The designers and architects are often in Falls Church, McLean, Vienna. The salesmen and business oriented people tend to live further out in Sterling, Chantilly, etc. The traffic chaos and lack of effective public transportation leaves no real choice for expanded office space that will be usable from a “recruiting effectiveness” perspective.

    So, I’ll expand in Boston and SanFrancisco. Or, I’ll open a new location in an area that isn’t cursed by an incompetent state legislature clinging to the arcane idiocy of Dillon’s Rule. There are plenty of places from which to choose.

    Destroying the quality of life in a state’s fastest growing economic center by refusing to fund transportation is pretty stupid. However, the Clown Show has done it. In years past, it might not have mattered since the federal government has always been there to provide jobs (directly and indirectly) that were worth suffering through the increasingly worse transportation chaos. But those days are ending. And the question is whether the well educated people who have been attracted to the region by the federal jobs will stay in the region after the feds slow the money flow. I don’t think they will. In an odd quirk of fate, the national economy will be recovering just as the regional economy falters. I predict an exodus of the best educated people in NoVa to “greener pastures”. Hell, they were seeking “greener pastures” when they came here.

    There’s a bar in San Francisco called Eddie Rickenbacker’s. A lot of people from “start up” technology companies go there to wet their whistle. While the younger people flirt with one another, the older folks talk of the outlook for venture capital, the newest and most disruptive technology and where affordable talent can be found and retained. Austin, Boston, Salt Lake City, Portland, Seattle, New York, Research Triangle Park all get reviewed. Even Baltimore has a growing reputation. When they hear that we have an operation in Northern Virginia they immediately assume it’s for federal sales. We have never sold anything to the federal government and have no active program to try to do so. When they hear this, their ears perk up. Maybe there’s a secret stash of talent in Northern Virginia. When I tell them that Northern Virginia has the best educated workforce in the nation you can hear a pin drop. Then, I have to come clean. I explain that the quality of life has been ruined by the half-assed state legislature’s inability to manage transportation policy. I tell them that the talent will leave when the federal funds slow. I tell them that even a native Northern Virginian like me can’t justify expansion in the area. The talk quickly reverts to the pros and cons of expanding in Houston.

    Congratulations, Clown Show. You’ve done it again.

  16. Boston? you must be talking about the suburbs of Boston because Boston Metro is a CF…at least the few times I’ve been there…

    how about a hint about the product you make that is obviously in demand?

    could I buy it or is it something for corporations?

  17. LarryG:

    Boston is the general term. We are in Cambridge’s Central Square district to be more specific. Many of our employees take the train into Cambridge and walk to our offices. We are tucked within walking distance of both Harvard and MIT. Beyond that, there are dozens of other universities in the general vicinity. Virginia has no place like Cambridge. Nothing even close. Which is all the more reason it needs to do the best with what it has.

    Our product is stone cold infrastructural software. You’d have to be either a serious software developer or a cloud computing company to be interested.

  18. I think Groveton is part right and part wrong. Both NoVA and the entire state are addicted to federal spending. What large businesses not in that space are there? What new businesses not in that space are growing? The Economic Development Agency is simply focused on helping commercial real estate firms rent space. The same is largely true for the Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce. I don’t see changes on the horizon.
    But I don’t think either doing away with the Dillon Rule or raising taxes for transportation would make any difference. Virginia is a good old boy state. Fairfax County is a good old boy county. Government at all levels tries to do its best for those who own dirt and make campaign contributions. If Fairfax County had the ability to impose and implement an adequate facilities law that would enable transportation to catch up with growth, nothing different would happen. Same old; same old. Both NoVA and the Commonwealth are trained to building and expanding transportation based on enriching the good old boys, rather than on what projects will actually help decrease traffic congestion.
    Would I move elsewhere if I found a good job in a desirable location? Sure.

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