The Creative Class and the Cost of Housing

The Fairfax County Economic Development Authority is hosting what looks to be a fascinating conference, “The Creative Economy,” addressing a range of topics related to creativity in the Northern Virginia economy. Keynote speakers include Richard Florida, author of “The Rise of the Creative Class” and progenitor of the creativity craze, Tom Friedman, of the-world-is-flat fame, and Alvin Toffler, the future shock guru.

The FCEDA has posted a recent Florida work, “The Creative Compact,” online. This document boils down Florida’s latest thinking into five-ten minutes worth of reading. I highly recommend it. Florida’s work has had a tremendous influence on my own thinking, as anyone can see who makes the effort to plod through my “Economy 4.0” series. But Florida does have his blind spots.

One of the themes running through his work is the critical importance of the three “t”s in developing a creative economy: technology, talent and tolerance. Perhaps because most people intuitively understand the central role of technology and talent (human capital), Florida tends to emphasize tolerance in his writing. Creative people, he argues, flock to metropolitan areas marked by diversity and openness. His models for diversity and openness are places like San Francisco, Boston and Austin.

In “The Rise of the Creative Class,” Florida told a powerful story about his home town (at the time) of Pittsburgh. Blessed by industrial-era wealth, Pittsburgh had a number of knowledge-creating institutions, such as Carnegie Mellon University, home to one of the leading research centers for information technology. In the mid-1990s, the university spun off a promising little company called Lycos, which grew to rival Google as a search-engine phenomenon. But rather than stay in the Big Burgh, the company relocated to Boston to tap that region’s deep workforce of talented young IT professionals. Young people, he discovered, preferred cool places like Boston over comfortable but stodgy Pittsburgh. That incident helped catalyze Florida’s critical intellectual breakthrough that people increasingly choose where they want to live before where they want to work.

However, a decade later, Boston and Massachusetts appear to have problems of their own. In its 10th “Index of the Massachusetts Innovation Economy,” the Massachusetts Technology Collaborative lavished praise upon the state’s prowess in R&D, venture funding and innovation, but lamented a key weakness in its creative economy:

The availability of workers generally, and especially younger workers who can respond to the growth of innovation industries with the skills necessary to meet the demands of knowledge-driven companies, is declining. … Graduates from Massachusetts colleges and universities [leave] the state for better job opportunities and a lower cost of living elsewhere in the United States.

The problem is that Massachusetts, and the Boston region in particular, is an incredibly expensive place to live. Wealthy people can afford to live there, and so can people who already own their own homes. But young people, who haven’t accumulated hundreds of thousands of dollars of equity from the astronomical run-up in housing prices, cannot.

Massachusetts lost 33,000 residents between 2004 and 2005. Hmm. With all of Boston’s tolerance, diversity and coolness, how could that be? Well, Massachusetts housing starts, at 3.8 per 1,000 people, is one of the lowest rates in the country. In Virginia, by comparison, the rate is more than twice as high; in North Carolina, the rate is three times as high. Who gets squeezed out first when housing becomes unaffordable and inaccessible? All those hip, creative young people. Massachusetts ain’t exactly what you’d call a retirement haven — how many people do you know who move to Massachusetts to retire? — but the average age of its population is 37.7, higher than the national average of 36.4.

From my observation, Mr. Florida has given insufficient attention to the problem of affordable, accessible housing. So has Northern Virginia, which could find itself in the same situation as Boston if it’s not careful. Tolerance is a wonderful thing, but tolerance is also in the eye of the beholder. Homeowners who won’t permit the construction of affordable townhouses, apartment buildings or single-family dwellings converted into boarding houses for immigrants may not be as tolerant as they profess to be. The real test of tolerance, I would submit, is not the abstract support of cultural and ethnic diversity but in whom you actually allow to live near you.

I wonder if anyone will raise that issue in the Fairfax creativity conference.

Update: Richard Florida picked up this Bacon’s Rebellion post and responded to it on his blog, Creative Class Group. Here’s how he responded:

Actually I could not agree more. The whole last part of Flight is explcitly directed to these issues. There I argue that the world’s leading creative regions are vexed by mounting issues of economic inequality and housing affordability. I single out greater Boston as an example of region (with bad marks on both) which risks losing its creative edge over time because young scientists, engineers and scholars (as well as artists, gays and bohemians) can no longer afford to live near its great universities.I’ve also written a recent paper on housing with Charlotta Mellander (yes, the one that landed me on Colbert) which reinforces this point, though in a different way. Places with high levels of bohemians and gays are seeing housing prices rise through the roof. Jim mentions the Fairfax Conference I’ll be speaking at later this month and adds: “I wonder if anyone will raise that issue in the Fairfax creativity conference.” It was one of my pet peeves when we lived in Washington. We have the data and I promise Jim, I will raise it.

Go get ’em, Richard!


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15 responses to “The Creative Class and the Cost of Housing”

  1. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Massachusetts does not tax certain kinds of retirement income, and that does draw retirees there, just not to Boston, or other expensive areas.

    If Mass keeps losing residents, eventually housing will get more affordable. But realistically, Mass has a lot of interstate commuting, as suburbs have bloomed in NH and Vermont.

    An intersting corollary story is on boat taxes. Some years ago Mass increased the property tax on boats, and there was a massive exodus of boats to RI.

    In general, your comments are correct. My nieces and nephews have struggled to get a property toehold in Mass.

  2. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    We have our very own Boston its Clarendon

    As Clarendon has increased in prosperity housing and business costs have gone through the roof

    So you are left with luxury condos, brand name stores, and a suprisingly resemblance to Reston Bethesda or Chevy Chase. (These places aren’t bad either just different)

    You can see the tide beginnning to turn as many people fresh out of college are beginning to balk at the sterile lifestyle and outrageous rental and condo costs

    Should an effort be made to “correct” this?

    Isn’t this just the natural developemnt cycle for an area. It went from Dupont Circle to Logan Circle to Shaw. There will always be rich stable boring places and cheaper more hip places.

    I think the key is that there are plenty of areas close-in that could use some redevlopment. One of these days people will see the bargin that is Prince Georges County or maybe people will keep building out in WV, Stafford, and Charles County and have fun with thier 1.5 hour commutes each way who really knows.

    Which takes us back to my favorite topic education. Which is the main ingredienty (IMHO) for the potential prosperity of an area

    -NMM

  3. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    I still find the idea of a “Creative Class” as .. quaint.

    .. and then.. the dynamics of efforts to deal with “affordable housing” for the creative class..

    .. on a separate/different track than affordable housing for those.. let’s say.. those not deemed to qualify for the “creative class”.

    and here’s a personal bias…

    I tend to classify as those that are the “doers” and those that are the “thinkers”… and then of course the rare ones that actually “think and do”…

    ๐Ÿ™‚

    anyhow.. the “thinkers” are the ones.. who often don’t have a clue how to do the simpliest things sometimes… like programming a remote.. or setting the clock in the car… but boy they can “wonk” the heck out of some issue.

    right?

    alright.. so someone please educate me with a short, succinct.. definition so I can get all out these ugly thoughts about the folks in that class out of my head.

    ๐Ÿ™‚

  4. Freedom Works Avatar
    Freedom Works

    Jim

    You’ve had some great posts lately, this being one of them.

  5. Groveton Avatar

    “Massachusetts lost 33,000 residents between 2004 and 2005. Hmm. With all of Boston’s tolerance, diversity and coolness, how could that be?”.

    Hmmmmm….

    It happens because Boston is a city and Massachusetts is a state? I’ll bet that the Boston MSA’s population has been growing even as the Mass population is shrinking.

    “Who gets squeezed out first when housing becomes unaffordable and inaccessible? All those hip, creative young people.”.

    Hmmmmmm…..

    That would be a great point if it were observable in any American city.

    San Francisco?

    Full of young, hip creative people.

    Manhattan (Greenwich Village, let’s say)?

    Full of young, hip creative people.

    Lincoln Park, Chicago?

    Full of young, hip creative people.

    Who gets forced out?

    Working class families who have lived there for years and newlywed couples who are starting to have children. Look at Lincoln Park and the adjacent area called Bucktown. Once all the yuppies squeezed out the families in Lincoln Park they then squeezed out the families in Bucktown.

    Who else gets squeezed out? Teachers, firemen and policemen who work in the urban areas to which the “creative class” flock.

    It’s your vaunted creative class who is doing the squeezing out not getting squeezed out.

    Why?

    Because the young, hip people of the creative class make a lot more money each year as they get more experience. The teachers, firemen, working class families do not.

  6. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    Would it be ugly to ask if urban and transportation planners are members of the “Creative Class”?

    It would seem that some of our biggest challenges that are a challenge to even our best “thinkers” is how we can have sustainable urbanized areas with affordable housing for all “classes”.

    so.. we should expect the Creative Class to prove their mettle… right?

  7. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    You need to drop “young” from your description of the Creative Class.

    Yes, some of the folks that make up this class are “young” but what I think distinguishes them from the rest of society is “single” and “no Kids” as opposed to young.

    Being single and having no kids gives you a huge advantage in terms of mobility….i.e., you are always able to follow the gold rush. Not so if you are married w/ kids.

    “You can see the tide beginning to turn as many people fresh out of college are beginning to balk at the sterile lifestyle and outrageous rental and condo costs”

    You said it, brother. I know plenty of people who have left the area because the future looks dim.

    What is there to look forward too….a 3/4 million dollar mortgage, some of the worst traffic in the country, rude foreigners, and a sterile lifestyle.

  8. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    And that 3/4 million mortgage has a lot more downside and a lot less upside than a $350k place.

  9. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Richmond and Baltimore look out the next generation of yuppies are coming :-p.

    You can already see it in Bmore around Fells Point

    Jim Could comment better on Richmond

    -NMM

  10. Jim Bacon Avatar
    Jim Bacon

    Groveton, These figures are, admittedly, a few years out of date. But according to U.S. Census Bureau data, the domestic five-year net outmigration between 1995 and 2000 from Massachusetts was 54,308. Comparable number for Suffolk County (Boston): 33,426.

    If Boston’s total population has been growing, the source would be from outside-the-country immigration, not the migration of American citizens tracked by the Census Bureau.

    As for the identity of those Bostonians — are they young yuppies, or are they policemen and teachers — I can only take the word of the Massachusetts Technology Alliance that young people are moving out.

  11. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “If Boston’s total population has been growing, the source would be from outside-the-country immigration, not the migration of American citizens tracked by the Census Bureau.”

    Bingo, Jim. See the FAIR commentary on Boston’s demographics below.

    Deena Flinchum

    http://www.fairus.org/site/PageServer?pagename=research_researchb760_sup

  12. Groveton Avatar

    Jim:

    As EMR might say, “County, why are you talking about counties?”.

    You may be right about Boston and the loss of the Yuppies (or young, creative class members). However, when I moved from Arlington County to Fairfax County years ago I wasn’t really leaving the Washington DC Metropolitan Area.

    Another angle on the issue is a bit more sinister:

    I go to Silicon Valley, CA all the time. That place is the capital of the young, creative class. The Valley (as it is called) has been through good times and bad time (the Sili – Cycle it is called). Recently, things have been going very well economically. So, I was surprised that the usual horrendous traffic jams had not returned during these good times. When I asked why that I was so I was told:

    Because this return to excellent economic times in The Valley has come along with lots of labor from outside the US – particularly India.

    The creative class may be moving out of expensive US cities. However, I wonder if they are “moving” to Baltimore or Bangalore. If they are “moving” (actually the jobs moving, not the people) to Bangalore I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting for them to “move” into Fells Point or Richmond.

    This issue is strangely absent from the MSM.

  13. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “I go to Silicon Valley, CA all the time. That place is the capital of the young, creative class. The Valley (as it is called) has been through good times and bad time (the Sili – Cycle it is called). Recently, things have been going very well economically. So, I was surprised that the usual horrendous traffic jams had not returned during these good times. When I asked why that I was so I was told:

    Because this return to excellent economic times in The Valley has come along with lots of labor from outside the US – particularly India.”

    Fascinating, and scary at the same time.

    Meanwhile, India is planning on markieting a car (more like a covered sccoter) that will sell for only $2500: an Uber Yugo.

    I wonder if anyone in Silicone Valley will be able to afford one.

    RH

  14. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    There you have it: proof positive that exporting jobs prevents traffic congestion.

    What has happened to housing prices and vacancy rates in Silicone Valley?

  15. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    I’d still like to know whose responsibility it is to provide these amenities for the “creative class”.

    If the “Creative Class” is so … creative.. why can’t they solve some of these problems?

    ๐Ÿ™‚

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