The Clustering Force Be With You

A debate that periodically erupts in the comments sections of this blog centers on a perceived solution to traffic congestion on Interstate arteries, unaffordable housing and other ailments of large, dysfunctional metropolitan areas. Why don’t employers just move the jobs closer to where to where people live? In the words of blogger Ray Hyde, why don’t we just create more new places instead of cramming people into the old ones?

Good question. Indeed, it’s such a good question that Richard Florida devotes a full chapter to the topic in his new book, “Who’s Your City?” Florida posits the existence of a “clustering force” — a set of economic imperatives that drive businesses and people closer together. Despite the existence of cell phones, laptops, BlackBerries and Internet connectivity, which in theory should liberate people from the need to cluster, Florida contends that the Knowledge Economy puts a premium on physical proximity.

Florida frames the issue this way:

“If we postulate only the usual list of economic forces,” the Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Lucas wrote in 1988, “cities should fly apart.” After all, Lucas reminds us, land “is always far cheaper outside the cities than inside.” Why, then, didn’t businesses and people move en masse out to where costs are substantially lower?

To answer that question, Lucas posed another: “What can people be paying Manhattan or downtown Chicago rents for, if not to be around other people?”

Economy 4.0: Clustering offers social and economic advantages that non-clustering does not. “The benefits in terms of innovation and productivity,” Florida writes, “far outweigh the higher costs of living and doing business there.” As faithful Bacon’s Rebellion readers know, Florida is employing the same vocabulary I use in my Economy 4.0 analysis (See “Peak Performance in a Flat World.”) The quest for innovation and productivity drive the Knowledge Economy just as the quest for low labor and raw material costs drove the industrial economy.

While the industrial economy required a limited amount of clustering — proximity to a sufficient supply of unskilled and semi-skilled labor, which could be found in any small town where excess labor was migrating off the farms — the Knowledge Economy is arising around industry clusters, in which people with highly knowledge, skill sets and relationships interact in a highly collaborative basis.

Florida concedes that clustering creates drawbacks and obstacles to growth: traffic congestion, rising crime rates and unaffordable housing. “Eventually,” he says, “they are likely to pose significant barriers to a city’s future development.” But somehow, super-congested places like San Jose, Calif., Manhattan and Boston keep forging ahead. They transcend those limitations, Florida suggests, because clustering creates so much wealth through innovation and productivity gain that the advantages outweigh the hassles. “Cities become wealthier and more creative the bigger they get.”

This is the force that Florida believes is driving metropolitan areas to fuse into mega-regions (which I discussed here). I’m not persuaded yet that the concept of “mega-regions” reflects any meaningful social or economic reality beyond an unbroken expanse of urban development of varying densities. But I do believe that Florida has identified one of the central economic forces shaping urban economies at work in the world today.


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Comments

  1. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “Florida contends that the Knowledge Economy puts a premium on physical proximity.”

    I don’t doubt, or dispute that. but does it have to be ONE proximity? Why not many?

    And why is only one solution considered? It could be some of both.

    RH

  2. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Jim Bacon:

    The sad thing is that with functional human settlement patterns and a Balance between the vehicle travel demand generated by the settlement pattern and the Mobility and Access system there is all the Synergy needed for the Creative Class.

    As we say in THE USE AND MANAGEMENT OF LAND (forthcoming) “side yards” and Autonomobiles disaggregate the origins and destinations of travel, create scatteration and destroy the potential for reaching Critical Mass.

    There can be “more places” but every one of these places need to be inside a Clear Edge.

    Further, the Centroids of those “more Balanced places” need to be networked with a intelligently scaled shared-vehicle system.

    NB the Clear Edge can be around the Core of New Urban Regions or around agglomerations of urban use large enough to create a Critical Mass in the Countryside.

    What kills connectivity is scatteration.

    EMR

  3. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    two ways to look at this:

    1. the market determines the type of proximity that is needed

    2. the market gets distorted by government actions

    I choose 1. because if 2. was the problem we’ve have different kinds of settlement patterns according to different kinds of government and it appears to me that mega-regions occur regardless of the type of government..whether it be command&control or Laissez-faire.

    Of course that pretty much screws up EMRs approach also so perhaps I’ve got it wrong.. as usual.

  4. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “Why, then, didn’t businesses and people move en masse out to where costs are substantially lower?”

    Isn’t that what has been happening? Or has all the alarm about sprawl just been hype? or maybe it has something to do with the “Not in My Back Yard” syndrome, which for some stange reason seems to emanate mainly from places that actually have back yards.

    Why is Stafford County adveritising for businesses to locate there?

    Where is the balance for new holistic eco-cities that balance density and crowding? The perceived (and probably false) advantages of energy-use reduction resulting from a higher density compact city will pale beside social issues resulting from crowding, or will not materialise as people attempt to escape the city.

    If we are going to fuse mega regions, lets fuse them into what Paul Downton called “Ecopolis”.

    RH

  5. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    At 3:20 Larry said:

    “two ways to look at this:

    1. the market determines the type of proximity that is needed

    2. the market gets distorted by government actions

    Larry, you may have to take a second crack at this because it does not make and sense to me.

    I choose 1. because if 2. was the problem we’ve have different kinds of settlement patterns according to different kinds of government

    and it appears to me that mega-regions occur regardless of the type of government..whether it be command&control or Laissez-faire.

    The settlement pattern response IS different in US of A, France, Duabyy, Sigapore and Burma.

    Of course that pretty much screws up EMRs approach

    How so?

    also so perhaps I’ve got it wrong.. as usual.

    EMR

  6. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    ahhh… so all mega-regions are NOT created equal despite Florida’s believe that one size mega-region fits all.

    how then are they different?

    what governance model works best among the examples that we have?

  7. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Greed.

  8. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    well..that’s a better answer than EMR gave.

    🙂

    RANK the worlds settlement patterns and then beside each show the kind of governance model and the specific aspects of it that contribute to a making it a higher ranking better settlement pattern.

  9. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    1) New York

    Governance exemplified by nine-borough chaos characterized by hundreds of noisome special interests competing to advance their own agenda.

    2) All the others. Amateurs by comparison.

  10. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    that’s a start!!

    even if tongue-in-cheek

    I’d love to see a matrix of the worlds largest cities – ranked by the criteria/factors that are proxies for balanced communities and settlement patterns.

    That would certain pique my interest and probably motivate me to learn more.

    for me.. whether is it balanced communities, smart growth, and determining road priorities – I prefer explicitly objective performance metrics over subjective assertions.

  11. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “… I’d love to see a matrix of the worlds largest cities -…”

    As long as you call them “cities” and others call them “regions” and others call them “Mega Regions” and other calls them “Megaopolis” or whatever, you will see not data that makes any sense.

    At least Dr. Risse is trying to use consistant language.

    Alpha Zeus

  12. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Linguistic “correctness” is defined by usage, a fact that has always troubled the would-be world-changers.

  13. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “There can be “more places” but every one of these places need to be inside a Clear Edge. “

    Well, there you have it. EMR and I agree.

    If you picture this, you will realize that if every urban place has a clear edge, you will have a continuaous interlocking area of countryside, woven around the pockets of urban living.

    I’m not quite so sure about the shared vehicle thing, but if you just connect center to center, the sizes of the urban districts are right, and the distance between not too far, it might make sense.

    You would still need roads, of course.

    Now, how do you allocate costs and benefits for those who are allowed density and those who are not?

    RH

  14. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    “At least Dr. Risse is trying to use consistant language.”

    and I’d be fine seeing his rankings based on his version of region/city…

    and I’d be fine seeing others using their nomenclature…

    we’d know more than we do now…and that could further more acceptance of the “language” also.

  15. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    “Now, how do you allocate costs and benefits for those who are allowed density and those who are not?”

    you draw lines and then let folks decide which side of the line they want to be on…

    simple…

  16. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Anon Zeus:

    Hold your tongue:

    I am doing more than just “trying.”

    Anon 2:18 said:

    “Linguistic “correctness” is defined by usage, a fact that has always troubled the would-be world-changers.”

    That is very true and the longer the Business As Usual advocates and the 12 1/2 Percenters continue to intentionally use confusing words dysfunction will continue to grow worse.

    When we completed “The Shape of the Future,” one who had read the book from cover to cover said “It would be 50 years before most people realized what we were talking about.”

    Humans may not have another 50 years and it is clear that the current trajectory cannot be made sustainable if citizens wait 50 years.

    I am approaching 70 and what I am aiming for now is that those who care to look will find in 20 or 30 years that if they had paid attention in 2000 to things like Conceptual Framework / Regional Metrics and a functional Vocabulary the world would be a much better place.

    Later, Larry Gross said:

    “and I’d be fine seeing his rankings based on his version of region/city…”

    Funny thing, they exist in references which you have been given in the past for the 68 largest CMSAs / MSA and there is even a map.

    For the European Union there are a number of sources.

    Business As Usual has no interest in paying what it would cost to do the work for every New Urban Region on the Globe, not even for the Mega Regions or the Metropolicises.

    EMR

  17. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    at my age I tend to forget so if you could reacquaint me with the appropriate links, I’d be grateful.

    I swear I don’t remember the to 5 places for optimized settlement patterns and the comparative pluses and minuses of their governance structures.

    I don’t know about the 50 years – but I do wonder if $5 gasoline will do more for the cause of more efficient settlement patterns than learning the correct vocabulary.

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