Boomers Are Getting Older… Now What?

An old friend of mine, John Martin, has taken a leadership role in raising awareness of one of the great demographic trends of our time: the aging and impending retirement of massive numbers of Baby Boomers. Martin, the CEO of the Southeastern Institute of Research, has partnered with Matt Thornhill to launch the Boomer Project, a group that specializes in market research on the Baby Boomer generation. He also is an organizer of the Older Dominion Project.

In a meeting of the Older Dominion Project held in Richmond yesterday, leaders from business, government, academia, foundations and the not-for-profit sector set up committees to study issues such as long-term care insurance and the workforce “brain drain” that will occur when Boomers retire. (Bill Lohmann has the story here.)

It’s not clear from the story what the larger mission of the Project is other than, as Martin put it, “to create a marketplace of ideas.” But it sounds like a great initiative. One thing I appreciated about the tenor of the event (as I deduce from reading the story) is that there does not appear to be an operating presumption that the challenges of an aging population are problems that government alone must solve.

Of course, there is a role for government, along with the private sector and the not-for-profits. Virginia state government will have its hands full with two big challenges, and we should consider ourselves darned fortunate if it just handles them well: Fully fund the retirement expenses of roughly 500,000 state and local government employees, and ensure that Virginians have access to quality nursing homes and long-term care. Those are issues that greater minds than mine are thinking about already, so I will not dwell upon them.

I would focus instead on a third challenge facing the Old Dominion, which may be the most important of all even though it is typically considered outside the scope of state government: The sky-rocketing cost of health care. Health care bills are becoming increasingly burdensome to all segments of society — but especially the elderly. And the situation could well get worse. As we all know, Medicare is running on borrowed time.

Of course, Medicare is a federal program, which means that the Commonwealth of Virginia cannot fix it. However, it is within the power of the Commonwealth to address health care costs generally.

Although you would never imagine it from the national-level debate over health care, there are more fundamental causes than greedy drug companies that drive health care inflation. Despite advances in medical science, the health care sector as an industry has lagged the national economy in productivity growth. The preferred solution to Virginia’s health care crisis (and the nation’s) isn’t transferring more wealth from the haves to the have-nots, it is to spur innovation, boost productivity and improve patient outcomes. Achieving greater productivity is our way out of the health care dilemma — but public policy mavens just aren’t talking about it.

Now, let us ask why the health care industry is lagging in productivity. Is it because doctors and hospital administrators are somehow greedier or stupider than executives in other sectors of the economy? Or is it because health care is one of the most heavily regulated industries in the country? Politicians like to blame villains, so they tend to hew to the first interpretation. I happen to believe that antiquated government rules are the root problem. Here’s how state-level regs inhibit innovation and slow a desperately needed restructuring of the health care system:

  1. Certificate of Public Need imposes a layer of regulatory review over hospital expansions and the purchase of medical equipment, which effectively creates competition-free zones for hospitals and freezes the industry structure in place.
  2. Insurance mandates, typically passed at the behest of special interests, hobble insurance companies from devising discount health care plans for businesses and individuals who can’t afford the expensive plans. Thus, the ranks of the uninsured swell, and hospitals pass on the cost of treating them to everyone else.
  3. Professional licensing requirements converts the health care workforce into a collection of professional guilds, which, like industrial craft unions, are more concerned about protecting their turf than finding more productive ways to deliver health care services.

Those are just the highlights. There’s more the state could do to promote consumer-driven health care by increasing the transparency of the medical marketplace, and much paperwork that could be eliminated if someone could persuade all health care providers to adopt common IT standards.

A wholesale reformation of Virginia’s health care industry may be beyond the scope of the Older Dominion Project, but I can’t think of anything more important that state government, business leaders and the health care industry possibly could do to improve the lives of the elderly — and everyone else.


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Comments

  1. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Hmm. No one wants to talk about getting old…

    CNN had a Glen Beck item on the $53 Trillion Asteroid — Social Security and Medicare — that is worth a read.

    On the issue of health care, we are not so sure “competition” is the “answer” to much that ails health care.

    When we step out our front door we can see the Fauquier Hospital and can walk there in 4 minutes.

    We have received very good service there and donate regularly to its foundation and auxiliary.

    Every few weeks we get mailings from both the Prince William “Regional” and the Culpeper “Regional” hospital telling us why we should seek medical help there.

    A hosptial and a network of medical services is an Alpha Community anchor along with a Community College, a Community Theater, a Community …

    Fauquier and Prince William hospitals have cooperated with a cancer treatment center located near the County Border in Gainesville and that seems like a good idea but competiton for maturnity beds and surgery and…?

    Our experience suggests that the issue is more complex than just imporving productivity via competetivness. (I realize Jim has a more broad take on what improving productivity means but you get the idea…)

    Our life (and the lives of three others who lived in our Household at the time) were saved in a public health care system. On other occasions we received treatment for a wounds meds from public health care systems in other nation-states and so, based on this experience, see the need for,…

    You guessed it, Fundamental Change.

    EMR

    er

  2. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    How does Fundamental Change deal with the need for a specialist that does not practice in your community or perhaps not even in your NUR?

    If there were .. let’s say 3 doctors that specialized in your illness and the one that was the most experienced and skilled did not practice in your NUR?

    What if you needed treatment that was only offered at one or two places in the entire country?

    How would fundamental change deal with this?

  3. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Larry:

    Two vastly different scales.

    You will note we were talking about potential Alpha Communities and competition. For the most part the three we noted offer the same services.

    Now moving to the Subregion, there needs to be coordination for specialties. That is not a conflict with anything I said.

    At the NUR scale the same is true. With 10-Million citizens and hundereds of facilities most will be avaliable within the Baltimore-Washington NUR.

    No one ever said they would all be and they need not be. You question the NUR with extream examples.

    Try some more simple ones:

    From Greater Warrenton-Fauquier (and I suspect from Greater Fredericksbug) a lot seeking specialists go to UVA Hospital in CVille. So?

    Perhaps the only specialist is in a nation-state with public health services.
    So?

    My point was three adjacent Community hospitals should not “compete” with duplicate services and facilties (all underutilized) for the most common illnesses that make up 85 or 95 percent of the cases.

    When a memeber of our Household went to UVA it was a referal from a Greater-Warrenton specialist who had been referred by a Greater-Warrenton Family Praticitioner.

    Do not try to make it so hard.

    No one ever said NUR were exclusively free standing.

    EMR

  4. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Buy boomer stocks:

    retirement communities, caskets, nursing homes, menopause remedies, massage chairs.

  5. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    “From Greater Warrenton-Fauquier (and I suspect from Greater Fredericksbug) a lot seeking specialists go to UVA Hospital in CVille. So?”

    The rest of this thought is: The same is true for some from the Richmond NUR and some from other NURs and that is why Greater Charlotesville Albemarle is a Beta Community in an Urban Support Region. That is what Urban Support Regions do.

    EMR

  6. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Sorry about my typing…

    “My point was three adjacent Community hospitals should not “compete” with duplicate services and facilties (all underutilized) for the most common illnesses that make up 85 or 95 percent of the cases.”

    Functional human settlement patterns are all about Balance and location at every scale.

    Adjacent Commonity scale Hospitals could (and should) have the same services if that is what the Community needs but not try to get those who live in sight of one hospital drive an hour to another.

    Fundmental Change results when citizens map out what makes sense for competition and what makes sense for cooperation.

    That is especially important for resources like medical facilites that are very expensive.

    EMR

  7. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    as per my usual practice, I’m going to stake out a contrarian view.

    The current health care system in this country is owned and operated by profit-seeking business interests who do not care about settlement patterns and they do not care about more efficient delivery of health care.

    Their sole mantra seems to be that the system needs more “competition” and that the Dems have the wrong approach.

    But these guys have been saying this for …decades.. and even though folks like Newt Gingrich have a CLEAR view of how to improve the system -the R guys in the trenches .. are all talk and little more.

    If ANYTHING really needed fiscally conservative principles – this would be one of the most important IMHO.

  8. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Given where we are today, any successful health care reform plan must contain mechanisms that address several needs. One is a consumer focus. More control and responsibility for health care decisions must move from public and private bureaucrats to individuals. We must have a financial incentive to make better decisions, which, in turn, can force down costs. Witness laser eye surgery.

    There must also be some form of reasonable risk sharing. Catastrophic illness could easily destroy an individual’s or a family’s entire savings. There simply needs to be some mechanism to share risks.

    There must be some mechanism to grandfather at least some people who will likely receive less under reform than they have today. One of the biggest reasons that I wrote letters opposing Clinton’s health care reform plan was that I’d have lost considerable protections and benefits without any measurable gain.

    The benefits to the consumers must substantially outweigh the costs/losses to the producers. We have a large segment of our economy that makes money on today’s system. They have a strong incentive to fight change. Thus, the benefits of change need to be strongly perceived by the larger class of consumers or the status quo will stay.

    A plan must address the impact of illegal immigration. Free continues to sell well. Any plans of comprehensive immigration and health care reform must put all of the costs for “guest worker and family” health care on those who hire guest workers.

    Needless to say, this is far from a comprehensive reform plan, but it is a stake in the ground.

    TMT

  9. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    Great points TMT.

    Now where’s our political leadership?

    this is a clear cut example IMHO of something that cannot be solved by throwing more money at it alone but is unconscionable to have a system where large segments of society are essentially denied access to decent health care.

    This is a problem that calls for fiscally conservative but equitable ideas.

    The Federal Health Care package is not a bad way to go – except that I would make it mandatory to have a minimum plan.

    The Federal Plan offers about 10 different companies and each of them multiple plans that range from minimal to gold plate to HSAs.

    In fact, if I had my way, I’d remove health care plans from all legislators until they come up with a fair and equitable plan for the folks they represent.

    Health care is the thing in this country that kills small businesses and innovation and puts our larger world-market companies at huge competitive disadvantages.

    It’s like having some of the best world class companies and you put him in the global competition ring with one arm in a sling.

  10. Not Ed Risse Avatar
    Not Ed Risse

    It is nice to see Ed Risse out himself again, this time as a supporter of socialized medicine.

    100,000 Americans die every year from infections picked up inside the “public” health system he so admires.

    Jim, you are absolutely right to bring up the “Certificate of Public Need” scam. It is worse than just “competition-free zones for hospitals” because it extends to diagnostic equipment that healthy people want in order to prevent a catastrophic hospital stay.

    A quick Google and I learned about the Virginia Heart Institute in Richmond. “Founded in 1972 as the first outpatient cardiac hospital in the country, the Virginia Heart Institute is devoted to early diagnosis and treatment of heart disease.”

    According to the “VIRGINIA CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC NEED STATUS REPORT” they applied to “Introduce CT Services” on “9/21/2006” and were “Denied” on “5/11/2007”.

    According to the American Heart Assoc., “cardiac tomography (also called CT scan and coronary artery scanning) is useful to evaluate aortic disease (such as aortic dissection), cardiac masses and pericardial (pair”e-KAR’de-al) disease.”

    It took seven and a half months to be told by some bureaucrat that the Virginia Heart institute could not provide better diagnostic services for its customers.

    Virginians should be outraged at the high price and inaccessibility of state of the art diagnostic tools due to this chilling restraint of free trade.

    More private capital investment and competition is what brings prices down.

    Can you imagine if we had a National “Certificate of Public Need” program regulating the purchase of manufacturing equipment. Let’s protect every bloated monopoly.

    New office buildings are an expensive risk. Can you imagine a certificate of need process before building another one.

    You know the answer – when you limit competition, prices rise.

    That is the problem with health care in Virginia.

  11. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    Competition in health care is a joke.

    Consumers don’t know what providers perform what services for what prices much less their experience and track records.

    I can find out more about the quality and reliability of a Toyota Tundra and where to buy one for a fair price than I can about a CT Scan.

    Has anyone noticed that when your “options” are discussed with the Doctor that they usually do NOT include prices vs services but instead .. what your insurance will pay for?

    This is like walking into the auto dealership and telling the salesman how much money you have to spend.

    I’m ALL FOR an open and competitive market and no, I don’t expect the tax&spend types to provide the solution but I have to say that the so-called fiscal conservatives seem, to this point, incapable of doing anything more than lip service to the concept as currently practiced in health care.

    What to do about boomers?

    How about a health care system that is at least as competitive as a car purchase?

    Most boomers know how to buy a car (most)… but they (most) have no clue how to buy health care.

  12. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “Most boomers know how to buy a car (most)… but they (most) have no clue how to buy health care.”

    Nor do most folks older than the boomers.

    One of my volunteer projects down here in SW VA is helping seniors and disabled people navigate the wonders of Medicare Part D – D for drugs.

    These drug plans change YEARLY, meaning that the plan you have in 2007 may not be the best plan for you in 2008. How do you know? Well, you can get on medicare.gov and run the comparison program. Don’t have a computer or don’t know how to use one? Well, you can talk with an insurance guy but he’ll sell you what HE’S selling naturally and it may not be the cheapest you can get. Also you can call the local Agency on Aging (or other social services group) and they’ll help you out. The problem is that many (most?) people don’t know that this option even exists.

    Once you get your drug insurance, it will probably be fine unless you have drugs totalling over about $2,500 a year, then you could find yourself paying full price for your drugs – plus the insurance premium – until you hit the catastropic level (a bit over $4,000). I’ve had to tell people that around May, they would see their drug costs go from about $250-300 to $750-800 for several months before the lower catastropic rates kick in. Remember now, these are retirees or disabled people, living on a fixed income and usually a low fixed income.

    Now if you are really low income, you may qualify for extra help in paying for your drugs, but you usually need to fill out certain forms properly or find somebody who can. This is assuming that you even know you have this option.

    How easy is all of this for a 75-year-old widow with limited education?

    I won’t even go into Medicare Advantage Plans – Private Fee For Service, which have prompted all sorts of fraud and abuse situations as salemen convince confused seniors to opt into their plans without their even knowing if their local doctors or hospitals will even accept them. We get to clean up a lot of this type of mess. Capitalism at its finest….

    Deena Flinchum

  13. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    So… Deena … in reporting of your own charitable efforts in retirement to help others…

    .. you have illustrated a legitimate need for Boomers and older people.. and that is help and counseling to navigate the health care system…which has become so complex and daunting that even those familiar with it are challenged.

    I also wanted to add that one of my continuing rants has been about the ability of consumers to obtain adequate information about doctors.. and as luck would have it.. in my reading, I came across this:

    “Online ratings irk doctors”

    http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/painter/2008-03-30-your-health_N.htm?csp=34

    Currently there are dozens, perhaps multiple dozens of Doctor and Hospital Rating Sites…

    Some are free. Some Charge. Some of useful and some (including the Fed site) are not very helpful IMHO.

    I don’t subscribe to the theory that our Health Care system or Medicare will collapse with the onslaught of the Boomers though.

    In some respects, I see such thoughts – as justification for continuing a system that is not fair and equitable to citizens.

    The idea being.. along the lines of “the system is already so stressed that we cannot afford to allow more folks to have access”….

    And we should emphatically reject that idea and INSIST that we have a system that provides access to all citizens and stop this charade of claiming we have the best Medical care in the world.. but only for those lucky enough to get it.

  14. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    “100,000 Americans die every year from infections picked up inside the “public” health system he so admires.”

    This is the sort of mindless, simplistic, myth driven statement that keeps Blogs from providing useful dialogue.

    We doubt that 100,000 “Americans” die in public health systems because for that number to die due to this cause alone, many would have to die outside the US of A in medical facilities that are run by Agencies.

    It is the role of Agencies to insure that there is a health service delivery system in place.

    There are Agency, Enterprise and Institution health facilities in the US of A and all, including the well managed ones, are facing a problem with infections, especially drug resistant infections.

    The Agency run medical facilities, e.g. military hospitals, have their problems but the problems with the health delivery system are much broader.

    Few think that the “Certificate of Public Need” process works well now but it was created to prevent underused facilities in both Enterprise and Institution owned health facilities.

    Competition is the problem in this case, not the solution.

    The root problem is a monitized political process has replaced a democracy with a market economy.

    EMR

  15. Not Ed Risse Avatar
    Not Ed Risse

    E M Risse writes, “This is the sort of mindless, simplistic, myth driven statement that keeps Blogs from providing useful dialogue.”

    Apparently the CDC, a government agency, is propagating this mindless simplistic myth.

    http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dhqp/hai.html

    “A new report from CDC updates previous estimates of healthcare-associated infections. In American hospitals alone, healthcare-associated infections account for an estimated 1.7 million infections and 99,000 associated deaths each year.”

    “Healthcare-associated infections are a threat to patient safety. CDC provides national leadership in surveillance, outbreak investigations, laboratory research, and prevention of healthcare-associated infections.”

    The government is sure doing a great job!

    Regarding the “Certificate of Public Need”, E M Risse writes, “Competition is the problem in this case, not the solution.”

    We haven’t tried a free market in modern health care in this country, yet Risse believes the problem is too much competition in the existing over regulated system.

    When socialism fails, the aging dinosaurs of the left usually revert to the myth that it just wasn’t implemented properly. If only we had regulated a little more.

    Prediction:

    If we don’t deregulate health care in this country, a thriving free market in health care will develop in some country overseas, where most of the world will travel for quick, affordable, and reliable treatment.

    Risse, not wanting to increase his carbon footprint, will stay on a waiting list here in America.

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