At Least He’s Asking the Right Questions….

Sen. Bryce Reeves

by James A. Bacon

With Democrats controlling the Governor’s mansion, the Attorney General’s office, the state Senate, and the House of Delegates, what’s a Republican to do, asks Sen. Bryce Reeves, R-Spotsylvania.

Republicans constitute a minority caucus of 19 senators and 45 delegates, but they are hardly powerless, Reeves says in a Fredericksburg.com op-ed. Today’s Virginia Democrats, virtually indistinguishable from their national counterparts, are pushing a left-wing agenda that will turn Virginia into “East California.” (I prefer the South New Jersey analogy, but you get the point.) Says he: “It is our job to hold that majority — and its agenda — to account.”

Any mitigation of legislation to repeal right-to-work, impose costly new mandates on businesses, increase taxes, or force the cost of energy to skyrocket will depend on the determination of Republicans and the persuasiveness of our arguments. …

Republican legislators have a responsibility to speak up forcefully, to point out the deficiencies of the Democrats proposals, and to detail the negative consequences—both intended and unintended—that ordinary Virginians will experience as a result of the enactment of these policies.

I agree, Republicans must lead the fight against job-killing legislation that will increase taxes, repeal the Right to Work law, and impose a minimum wage appropriate for Northern Virginia across the entire state. But if the GOP ever hopes to regain its status as a majority party, it can’t just play defense. It has to play offense… which means articulating an agenda it’s for, not just against.

Medical insurance. The biggest issue where Republicans can made inroads is to saddle Democrats with runaway medical insurance premiums on the middle class. While expanding Medicaid for the benefit of the poor and near-poor, Democrats have done nothing to avert the relentless increase in health care premiums on private insurance. Indeed, one can argue, their policies have shifted costs from Medicaid patients to privately insured patients, which results in higher deductibles and co-pays. Meanwhile, Democratic legislators propose new legislation that would increase the power of health care monopolies and boost the profits of putatively non-profit hospitals. (See Jim Sherlock’s great work on this topic in Bacon’s Rebellion.)

The mechanisms by which these policies ream out the middle class are opaque, and the media is not remotely interested in telling the story. Republicans need to do three things: (1) identify how hospital cartels and Medicaid cost shifting have ripped holes in middle-class budgets, and (2) figure out the Republican alternative (the hard part, because Republicans have given little thought to this), and (3) package that message effectively.

Higher-ed. Another big issue is the insane cost of higher education. The General Assembly sees its job as funneling as much taxpayer money into higher-ed as possible in the hope of moderating increases in tuition, fees, room, board, and other costs of attendance. Republicans have been as guilty as Democrats in their refusal to hold college and university presidents accountable for pushing costs higher. Democrats propose more financial aid funded by the tried-and-true expedient of bigger state subsidies. But no one is asking colleges and universities to get serious about cutting costs.

The mechanisms by which higher-ed piles on cost after cost — administrative bloat, superstar faculty, Club Ed facilities, R&D subsidies, building sprees, mission creep, athletic programs, perpetuation of obsolete disciplines — have been amply documented in Bacon’s Rebellion. This cost inflation is geared either to enhancing institutional prestige in college rankings or pleasing internal constituencies, none of which does middle-class families any good. By and large, Virginia’s four-year residential colleges charge what the market will bear; the only limit is the level at which middle-class families become financially exhausted and can pay no more. While individual Republican legislators have stood up for tuition payers, the GOP has never tackled the cost of higher education — fundamental to achieving middle-class status — in a comprehensive manner and has never made it a centerpiece of its appeal to middle-class voters.

K-12. There are other pocketbook issues Republicans could exploit. I think K-12 education is a sleeper, especially the Democrats’ insistence (1) that racism and a lack of financial resources is what’s holding back minority students, (2) that schools serving lower-income students require, and deserve, more funding than schools serving middle class students, and (3) that the middle class ought to pay the bill. A related issue is the corrosive impact of social-justice ideology on educational outcomes, especially the minorities that social-justice advocates purport to help.

Energy. Reeves alluded to this, but Republicans could so highlight the impact of Democratic environmental policies on the cost of electricity and, if they get their way, on gasoline and other energy sources. They could benefit from reading Steve Haner’s Bacon’s Rebellion posts on this topic.

Housing. This might be a bridge too far, but perhaps the GOP could try thinking seriously about how to expand the supply of affordable housing for younger middle-income families who weren’t fortunate enough to buy a house 20 years ago and enjoy the upward ride in home values. An affordable-housing agenda would require changes to zoning and planning policies, however, which might not go over well with existing homeowners.

If the GOP hopes to grow beyond its rural base of Second Amendment advocates, it will have to emphasize pocketbook issues that will win in the suburbs. Otherwise, Reeves and other Republicans will have a long time to learn how to perfect the minority-party art of obstructing bad majority-party legislation.


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16 responses to “At Least He’s Asking the Right Questions….”

  1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    But Reeves is not asking those “right” questions. All I see in his commentary is rhetoric. And, as has been pointed out frequently on this blog, Republicans were also complicit in the development of the problematic issues you listed.

    By the way, as Jim Sherlock points out, a Democrat proposed a means of diminishing, not increasing, the power of medical monopolies.

    1. Exactly. Republicans have a lot of work to do to become an effective minority party, much less to regain a majority.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        and what Reeves is doing is not that.

  2. djrippert Avatar

    Republicans in Virginia are a one trick pony. They take money from urban and suburban areas and distribute that money in rural and small town Virginia. All the while talking about the need for less government and more self-reliance. Unfortunately for Virginia Republicans rural and small town Virginia have shrunk while urban and suburban Virginia have grown. Even if they could use other people’s money to buy every vote in rural and small town Virginia there aren’t enough votes there to sustain the Republicans. This demographic trend has been obvious for the last 30 years. It seems obvious that Republicans haven’t even the faintest wisp of a clue as to what to do next.

    In 1994 America’s Republican Party had a challenge and an opportunity. Bill Clinton had been elected two years prior – that was the challenge. Many Americans were disaffected by the Clintons – that was the opportunity. The solution – The Contract with America. Where is the Republican Contract with Virginia?

  3. Jane Twitmyer Avatar
    Jane Twitmyer

    K-12 Education – items that “Republicans could exploit” …
    “especially the Democrats’ insistence (1) that racism and a lack of financial resources is what’s holding back minority students, (2) that schools serving lower-income students require, and deserve, more funding than schools serving middle class students, …

    Even in the face of some facts?
    1. It is an established fact that some communities do not have the real estate valuation or the income levels to support education by themselves and require state support to fund their schools, because funding is mostly locally sourced. It is also a fact that, after the financial ‘bubble’ burst, educational funding for education was not only cut, the formula that allocates state funds was changed, permanently lowering local funding support. Lee County, a relatively poor district, lost 10% of their funding.

    2. Today, with complaints about infrastructure and rats, the question should be … “How does VA per pupil spending compare with other states? US Census says VA spends $11,886 in per pupil spending, ranking 40%, and 32nd in teacher pay. The national average public school spending / student is approximately $14,369

    3. Looking at SOL testing results … There is a big racial gap.
    • White and Asian students score 90 and 93% respectively on the final tests. Together they represent 56% of the student population.
    • Hispanic and black students score 78 and 74% respectively. Including mixed race students they represent 44% of students.

    I do not know enough about the schools in VA to judge, but the budget should address the discrepancy. Maybe its Early Childhood Ed that’s needed. Maybe it’s better language skills for English learners, and maybe it’s catching any impediments to learning early.

    Can’t we make it about something other than the final budget line?

  4. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    How do you define “South New Jersey” and is so wrong with it?

    1. I guess that’s the Pine Barrens, with Atlantic City thrown in.

  5. I agree with DJ. The Republicans currently have nothing. The Contract with America approach showed promise, although it quickly sputtered on government shutdown tactics and the impeachment. For at least three of the areas Jim lays out, energy, healthcare, and higher ed, the state government could make a meaningful difference through reforms and the issues and possible approaches have been laid out in posts on this website by Steve Haner (energy), Jim Sherlock (healthcare monopolies) and Jim.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      and the reality is that the GOP had all those opportunities for a decade and did precious little other than just say “no” and claim that “price transparency” and the “market” would “fix” health care costs.

      The Dems have a solution. It’s not one the GOP likes so what they do is attack the Dems and get themselves tarred by supporting denial of coverage for pre-existing conditions. They all run and hide over this issue.

  6. Jane Twitmyer Avatar
    Jane Twitmyer

    Energy … Republicans could “highlight the impact of Democratic environmental policies on the cost of electricity.”
    WOW! That would be nice … since Dominion’s current plans will cost more than a phase out of fossil fuels and creation of Utility Business Model Reform as described by RMI’s report. Using less is the cheapest of all and Dominion won’t go there until the regs change.

    First Coal: “100% unprofitable today and ongoing …. No coal phase out plan.” (Powering Down Coal report by Carbon Tracker).

    “Our analysis shows that it will be cheaper for Dominion Energy to build new utility-scale solar PV or onshore wind than to operate existing coal plants today.” The analysis calculates 4.5GW of coal capacity in 12 units with a stranded asset risk of a negative $2.5 billion.
    Info includes coal plant numbers … The units over 40 years old include … Yorktown units at $96/MW/hr, Chesterfield’s 4 units from $45-51, Clover and Mt Storm from $39-40. Wise County, only 7 yrs old with the lowest cost at $37.

    Natural Gas: The $7.5 billion pipeline on the table, even though Appalachian frackers face uphill battle as negative cash flows mount. Investors are getting weary. Demand is flat. Global LNG prices have collapsed, North American oil and gas sector has seen 200+ bankruptcies since 2015 with $40billion in debt coming due .

    Finally, Virginia rate-payers could be charged $200 million annually for contracted ACP pipeline gas, used or unused. Continued gas investment will leave Virginia with the same stranded asset burdens that now plague the coal industry., and property losses from rising seas and floods are only starting to mount up..

    As the 4th most threatened coast in the US, it’s time to stop fossil fuel use in Virginia. New investment in Clean Energy reached an all-time high in 2019 at $78+ billion. Where is a real plan to change our utility incentives so our energy systems can also change?

    1. Increased costs: I was thinking of RGGI and TCI, both of which are Northam administration initiatives.

      Dems and Republicans alike share responsibility for the regulation (or lack of regulation) of Dominion Energy.

      You’re right about the ACP. Most resistance has come from Democrats.

      1. Jane Twitmyer Avatar
        Jane Twitmyer

        Transportation … I am not really a “carbon trade” advocate because prices and positive environmental results are doing the job, but here are some good reasons to make transportation a regional issue:

        • Buses account for nearly half of all public transit use in the United States. …
        • Electric buses could provide fuel and maintenance savings of up to $50,000 a year over fossil fuel powered buses, resulting in a five year payback period, according to estimates from bus manufacturer, Proterra
        • Lithium-ion battery prices have fallen 85% since 2010.
        • EV adoption rates in the U.S. will be 10 percent in 2025 if the Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecasts hold true, and a PIRG report predicts that 1/3rd of the nation’s 70,000 public transit buses will be all-electric by 2045.
        • Saving money and emissions … In Chicago, the city’s transit agency estimates that its two e-buses save the city nearly $110,000 a year in health care expenses due to less air pollution from diesel buses.
        • The Chicago buses are also saving the city more than $24,000 annually in fuel costs and $30,000 annually in maintenance costs.

  7. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    Jim, rggi is NOT a northam initiative. It has been around for about ten years

    1. Northam is the one who wants Virginia to join the initiative. Same with TCI.

  8. Peter Galuszka Avatar
    Peter Galuszka

    So what’s wrong with that? Worked for nitrous and sulphur oxides

  9. johnrandolphofroanoke Avatar
    johnrandolphofroanoke

    Maybe Mr. Reeves and the Republican Caucus can fall back to the Blue Republican position? Those guys need a fall back position in a hurry. I thought this was an interesting article. A bit dated now but I saw some interesting points that might pull some support back to the GOP.

    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/blue-republicans_b_3431039

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