APTERA AND THE TIGER RIDERS

We saw Jim Bacon’s 4 June post on the Aptera concept car (“300 MPG. This could be the Coolest Car Ever?”) just before we left on a 22 mile chained trip to accomplish seven errands that could not be done here in Greater Warrenton Fauquier. (For those who came in late, since 1973 we have primarily worked very near where we lived and have tried to minimize our travel except where there is no alternative.)

We stated our view of Aptera in a comment when the vehicle was called to our attention via a comment following the 2 June post “Tremble, Mortals, the Rebellion is Unleashed.”

Tiny cars are old, old news. Folks have been designing little vehicles that go for miles with not much fuel for decades.

Mini cars can be part of a solution to Access and Mobility. We helped design Planned New Communities around mini-vehicles over three decades ago. They can work well in some existing urban environments but it is not a slam dunk. It takes a design / redesign of the settlement pattern and the transport infrastructure at the Alpha Village and Alpha Community scale as well as the design of the vehicle to achieve a real alternative to Large, Private Vehicles in most environments.

Jim was so excited about the Aptera in his 4 June post that the little three wheeler and its ilk were on our mind as we carried out our journey. This was not a “road trip” and we took the least traveled routes that got us to a series of destinations in a reasonable time frame. The trip did not take us on I-66, the most heavily traveled road we used was US Route 29.

In spite of this, in our travels we encountered two 18-wheel flatbeds owned by a company in Alabama hauling very heavy loads. One driver knew where he was going and apparently was running late, the other driver did know where he was going and was trying to keep up – ran some yellow / red lights, etc. The Alabama trucks were hauling just the sort of loads that should be on a railroad, not cutting off drivers in vehicles weighing one twentieth as much. At least we were visible and had good visibility from our vehicle.

Then there were several landscaper’s trucks with big trailers full of parked (not secured) mowers and no brakes who were late for their next mowing job. There was an Escalade driver who did not want to be passed by a VW beetle and two Lexus drivers who wanted to get in front of the school bus before it made its next stop (more red lights) and then … You get the idea, it was a normal day on the roadways.

No person in their right mind would drive an Aptera under these conditions and we were just running errands. One of the reasons I sold my first sports car, among others, was that I watched what happened to an MG-midget that was unseen by the driver of a semi when the truck changed lanes. An Aptera would fit nicely under the bed of, and then under the wheels of, one of those Alabama flatbeds…

An Aptera would look like burner cover after being hit even by the VW Beetle. Driving a vehicle that rides low to the ground at 30, 40, 50 or 60 mph among other vehicles that weigh up to 30 times as much would be a form of insanity. Even the far more substantial Smart car profiled in THE PROBLEM WITH CARS would be “uncomfortable.”

A few days later (6 June 2008) CNN ran a story “SUV owners keep on truckin’ despite gas prices.” You can guess why. The disaggregated lives of the owners lead them to believe that they have no alternative but to use these vehicles. And now Chrysler will guarantee they do not need to worry about gas prices if they buy a new Chrysler built SUV.

Perhaps you would like to get a hybrid? On the 9th US News had a story titled “Is a Hybrid Worth it.” For the most part the answer is no from a return-on-investment perspective. The vast majority of the current rash of hybrids are just Green Greed – by companies that make them – and Green Fog by those who buy them.

What is the bottom line here?

The US of A has evolved:

A settlement pattern,

A transport system to serve that settlement pattern, and

A system of providing Large Private Vehicles to drive on that system.

Collectively, these three realities make incremental “improvements” in Mobility and Access

Unwise for those at the top of the economic Ziggurat, and

Impossible for the majority who are not at the top.

What does this say about Fundamental Transformation (formerly Fundamental Change) in human settlement patterns and Fundamental Transformations in governance structure to achieve functional settlement patterns?

It says that until the majority of citizens understand the need for those Fundamental Transformations they will not happen,

And further, all the discussion of “solutions,” not just by the Tiger Riders but by well-intended incrementalists (“we-have-to-start-somewhere” / “that-is-all-we-can-sell-politically” / “this-is-a-step-in-the-right-direction”) only puts off the day when there is informed consensus of the need for Transformation / Change.

Drive safely and have a good weekend.

EMR

PS: Jim said he would be traveling Saturday and it would be good to put up something. I hope he had a safe drive up from Greater Orlando, he was not in an Aptera.


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Comments

  1. Jim Bacon Avatar
    Jim Bacon

    Ed, I do not disagree with any of your comments about the Aptera. But don’t forget, my post very clearly made the point that automobiles with 300 mpg still won’t solve many of the problems intrinsic to an autocentric society: congestion, dysfunctioal development patterns, etc.

    Also, just for the record, I also said that I hoped that the Aptera would break into mainstream usage. What was implied, if not stated outright, was that there is no guarantee that it will meet widespread consumer acceptance. Your post outlines some of the very good reasons why people might not want to drive them.

    But none of those reservations negate the fact that the Aptera is an incredible cool vehicle and a testament to American ingenuity.

  2. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    4-door, 4-wheeled cars with air conditioning that meet all crash specs .. are available that get 4 times the mileage of many SUVs.

    Gasoline would have to increase 4-fold before it would take away that one option – which is one of many that are available and does not include the one that can cut 4/5 of the current miles driven – the home-to-work trip…

    So no.. the Aptera won’t be the cat’s pajamas in the Fundamental Transformation game but like I said above – it doesn’t have to be.

    Cars that get 1/5 of it’s mileage will put off fundamental transformation – for decades..

    …IF that transformation is affected by car mileage efficiency….

    .. and I still feel that if the availability of gasoline has anything to do with transformation, would we not FIRST start to see the effects in countries where gasoline is twice what it costs here?

    I might think plug-in electrics could forestall.. indefinitely .. a world where the price of gasoline forces changes in settlement patterns…

    Perhaps, in fact, our 500 year supply of coal -converted to electricity for plug-in electrics might relegate oil to an also-ran fossil fuel.

    And if coal quadruples in price – then Nukes and Wind and Solar could enter the picture.

    Surely the idea that an electric car with a 50 mile range – powered by solar/wind renewables would need to be considered as a potential that would put a significant hitch in the giddy up of more optimal settlement patterns.

    wrong?

  3. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    Mr. Gross:

    I think Dr. Risse already answered your question:

    “Mini cars can be part of a solution to Access and Mobility. We helped design Planned New Communities around mini-vehicles over three decades ago.

    “They can work well in some existing urban environments but it is not a slam dunk.

    “It takes a design / redesign of the settlement pattern and the transport infrastructure at the Alpha Village and Alpha Community scale as well as the design of the vehicle to achieve a real alternative to Large, Private Vehicles in most environments.”

    What is not clear about that?

    He goes on to note why small, light, fuel effecient vehicles do not work here and now.

    His major point is the last one and you seem to be always trying to find a way to avoid looking the future in the face and seeing that the settlement pattern you are invested in is dysfunctional.

    Sorry, it does not work.

    Prolonging the debate will only make the fall harder, if not for you, then you grand children or your friends grand children.

    Alpha Zeno

  4. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    At one time I inherited a giant american car with enough horsepower to tow a semi.

    I have never, ever, purchased a vhicle with over 80 HP, except for my work trucks.

    I used a motorcycle exclusivly for five years in my poverty days.

    I’m here to tell you, big cars are not necessary. Although, they are safer.

    Anon Zseusse is following his usual policy of ignoring observation and experience to promote the idea that NOTHING will work except reforming settlement patterns.

    He believes a fall is coming. If not now then 70 years or 140 years from now.

    Eventually, he will be right.

    It is like the astronomy class when the professor said the sun would burn out in a billion years.

    “What?” Said a sleepy voice from the rear.

    “I said the sun would burnout ina billion years.”

    “Oh” said the voice, “I thought yu said a million years.”

    RH

  5. Anonymous Avatar
    Anonymous

    “We request, though we don’t require, readers to use their real names when they comment. For those unwilling to reveal their real name, we ask that they use a consistent pseudonym so others can more easily track who is saying what.”

    It is sad and pathetic when you have to invent pseudonyms to find someone to support your position.

    RH

  6. “For the most part the answer is no from a return-on-investment perspective.”

    Funny how return on investment is only considered when it’s useful to a particular argument. Otherwise, hey, a 5% drop in GDP to achieve gosplan-approved “settlement patterns” sounds like a great deal.

    Safety in very small & light cars is possible. All it takes is the installation of harnesses & cages, and the use of helmets. Then remove trees from the sides of roadways (i.e., the things that you can hit). It just depends on where one puts one’s priorities: safety, convenience, or aesthetics.

    The Aptera is a death trap. It has no safety features (motorcycle classification), unlike a Smart or a Mini.

  7. Larry Gross Avatar
    Larry Gross

    re: “His major point is the last one and you seem to be always trying to find a way to avoid looking the future in the face and seeing that the settlement pattern you are invested in is dysfunctional.”

    geeze louise

    I guess I’m a heathen.. then

    I simply do not believe that we are headed for Settlement Hell and Damnation if we do not repent.

    I’m more from the school that you confess your settlement sins and are saved.

    🙂

  8. E M Risse Avatar
    E M Risse

    Before this post gets too old, I want to respond to Jim Bacon’s opening comment.

    “Ed, I do not disagree with any of your comments about the Aptera.”

    Yes, however…

    “But don’t forget, my post very clearly made the point that automobiles with 300 mpg still won’t solve many of the problems intrinsic to an autocentric society: congestion, dysfunctioal development patterns, etc.

    “Also, just for the record, I also said that I hoped that the Aptera would break into mainstream usage. What was implied, if not stated outright, was that there is no guarantee that it will meet widespread consumer acceptance.”

    You did all that and did it very well. In fact you did it so well that I left on my erands thinking:

    ‘Hey, perhaps Aptera could be part of the answer…’

    “Your post outlines some of the very good reasons why people might not want to drive them.

    “But none of those reservations negate the fact that the Aptera is an incredible cool vehicle and a testament to American ingenuity.”

    Exactly my point. It is cool but that has nothing to do with changing the unsustainable trajectory of contemporary civilizaiton.

    As we will post in the comming week until the majority of citizens take the AA pledge to support Fundamental Change, every neat new idea will just sustain and accellerate the unsustainable trajectory.

    EMR

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