A Less Destructive Form of Sprawl

The red dot marks the location of the proposed George Washington Village.
The red dot marks the location of the proposed George Washington Village on the outer fringe of the Washington MSA. (Click for larger image.)

by James A. Bacon

A development group is asking for approval to build up to 2,900 homes and 1.8 million square feet of commercial space off Interstate 95 in Stafford County. The proposed “George Washington Village” calls for a 1,100-acre town-center development with a mix of single-family detached houses, town houses and apartments to be built over 20 years. The plan includes more than 400 acres of open space, $50 million in new infrastructure and amenities such as parks, athletic fields and swimming pools, according to the Free Lance-Star.

I have long argued that the momentum of growth and development is shifting back toward the urban core. There’s only so much added population that built-up neighborhoods can absorb, however. Getting municipal approval to tear down old buildings and erect new ones in their place tends to be more drawn out than building in empty fields. Therefore, in fast-growth MSAs like Washington, new development will continue to take place on the metropolitan periphery — just at a slower pace than before.

The George Washington Village is anecdotal, to be sure, and it may not be typical of most development taking place on the far southern fringe of the Washington metropolitan area. But I wonder if it is indicative of a broader trend to building more clustered, village-style development in exurbia instead of the traditional pattern of scattered cul-de-sac subdivisions and shopping centers .

I don’t know Stafford County well but most of what I’ve seen strikes me as a featureless wasteland. There is nothing resembling an urban form — just subdivisions smeared across a vast expanse of land, with low-value commercial development strung along state highways like Route 1 and Route 17. The arterials are hideously congested, and it must be extremely expensive providing public services to such scattered, low-density settlement patterns. Any departure from the norm has got to be an improvement.

I haven’t seen any sketches or plans for the George Washington Village but the bare details provided by the Free Lance-Star suggests that housing will be compact by exurban standards — averaging more than four houses to the developed acre. There will be a “town center,” presumably mostly retail, allowing locals to conduct much of their daily business with short car trips without the necessity of overloading the already-congested road network. Who knows, the “village” even may have a walkable component.

By any normal person’s definition, George Washington Village is still sprawl. The location next to I-95 suggests that the village will be a bedroom community, with most people commuting to employment destinations in Northern Virginia. But based on the little evidence we have, it’s a less deleterious kind of sprawl. In an ideal smart-growth world, it would never get built. But Washington, D.C., Arlington, Fairfax County and Prince William County cannot build compact, walkable communities served by mass transit fast enough to serve the region’s growing population. We can wish all we want for smart growth in the urban core but in a growing region, people have to live somewhere. If they’re going to move to exurbia in search of affordable housing, it makes more sense for them to live in clustered “villages” than subdivisions built helter-skelter across the countryside.


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6 responses to “A Less Destructive Form of Sprawl”

  1. the name of the game is to provide a detached single family dwelling to a commuter to a job in NoVa.

    the developers do their best to dress up the proposal as a “mixed-use” to make it look like it has a “core” of compact development but make no mistake – virtually all of the buyers will be commuters to NoVa.

    why in the world would someone with a job in NoVa commute to a place south to live in a “compact” development when they could get that option without commuting?

    this is nothing new – it’s just emerging from the housing bust hiatus and headed back to what was going on before.

    most people who commute want a single family detached. that’s why they’re willing to endure the hellish commute on I-95.

    it’s not some accidental bad calculation.. it’s a purposely calculated choice.

    but the game has changed with HOT Lanes. By this time next year, Stafford County will have HOT lanes from Garriosnville (2 exits) north to NoVa and the question is – what impact will that have on potential buyers in Stafford (and further south in Spotsylania – which also has just approved about 4000 new homes).

    for the rest of the east coast – the advent of HOT lanes will be a godsend. A way to buy themselves out of the 21st century version of Mad Max.

  2. cpzilliacus Avatar
    cpzilliacus

    James A. Bacon wrote:

    A development group is asking for approval to build up to 2,900 homes and 1.8 million square feet of commercial space off Interstate 95 in Stafford County. The proposed “George Washington Village” calls for a 1,100-acre town-center development with a mix of single-family detached houses, town houses and apartments to be built over 20 years.

    Let me tell you a little story about Smart Growth and Stafford County. It involves the giant insurance company GEICO. At one point, GEICO owned a fairly large amount of land around its headquarters site on Western Avenue in Chevy Chase, Montgomery County, Maryland, just over the line from the District of Columbia and a short walk to the Friendship Heights transit station (Metrorail and bus). An ideal location for a dense and intense employment center, perhaps? One that even elected officials in Arlington County, Va. might approve of? Perhaps not. The owners of expensive neighboring single-family-detached homes nearby (on the Maryland and D.C. sides of Western Avenue) were bitterly opposed to any GEICO expansion, and fought the company before the county’s planning board and County Council (in Montgomery, the County Council has final say-so over land use matters), and GEICO finally decided to throw in the towel in 1992 and move someplace else. That someplace else (like so many other jobs that used to be in Montgomery County, Md.) was in the Commonwealth of Virginia – in particular a large parcel of land on U.S. 17 (Warrenton Road) a short distance north and west of the City of Fredericksburg in Stafford County. So GEICO moved away from the ideal Smart Growth location near a rail transit station to a site with no mass transit at all.

    Quoting from a Washington Post story entitled Geico Move Is Proving Costly for County at the time (1992-02-13):

    The decision by Geico Corp. to halt a planned expansion of its Chevy Chase headquarters and move 650 employees to Virginia, will cost Montgomery County up to $100,000 in income tax revenue and, initially, $300,000 in anticipated annual property taxes.

    County Economic Development director Jon A. Gerson, tallying the hard numbers after Geico’s announcement that a failing economy and neighborhood opposition forced the move, said estimated losses are based on an assumption that up to one-third of the shifted employees are county residents who will either move away or join the ranks of the area’s unemployed. He said the situation represents “an opportunity lost.” But the greatest impact,” he said, will result from the loss of property tax revenue that would have been generated by Geico’s earlier plan to build a 500,600-square foot complex near its headquarters. Gerson said that if there had not been years of delay on the proposal, much-needed property taxes from the project would be about to start pouring into the county.

    Although last week’s announcement that Geico plans to move came as no surprise, Gerson said, the pullout to rural Stafford County, which abuts Prince William County in Northern Virginia, is a “wake-up call” for Montgomery to streamline its development process. Other companies, which he declined to name, have issued signals, that they also are considering cheaper, less complicated places in which to do business.

    That “wake-up call” was never received. Since 1992, many other employers have departed Montgomery County for greener pastures in Virginia, yet the county’s policies have become more anti-jobs than they were then.

    1. certainly an interesting story but let me fill in a little more.

      http://www.gostaffordva.com/business-facts-figures/major-employers/

      Stafford County is glad to have Geico for sure (largest non-govt employer) but even in Stafford county, Geico does not pay like the larger salaries that people can make by commuting to Northern Va so I suspect that in Chevy Chase the argument might have been about what kind of workers would be working at Geico and living in Chevy Chase and in what kind of housing.

      The people in Stafford want government agencies like the FBI to re-locate to Stafford – along the VRE commuter rail line and bring “good” jobs closer to the 130,000 people in Stafford so they don’t have to commute to NoVa.

      There’s even talk of having VRE run both ways so a reverse commute capability might encourage more employers to re-locate to Stafford from NoVa!

      I relate this not as an argument against or in favor of what Geico did and what Stafford wants to do – but simply to point out Stafford is a bedroom community to NoVa and has 50% of it’s workforce commuting to NoVa and has an economic development department trying to attract more companies to Stafford – as well as a planning department on new residential development steroids.

      Stafford county and the rest of the exurban counties arrayed about NoVa are not going to go away. Land is going to be continued to be rezoned for residential housing for folks with NoVa jobs and the major roads between NoVa and the exurban counties chock-a-block with commuters twice daily.

      Va law allows people who own land to sell it and developers are more than willing to buy it and go in front of the BOS to have it rezoned – not for dense development – but for 1/4 acre single family detached subdivisions when have huge demand for NoVa job holders looking outward for a house they can afford.

      I would imagine though that GEICO wages are inferior to other jobs in NoVa/Md .. probably better than WalMart but not enough for workers to buy places to live near a GEICO that would be sited in NoVa/Md…

      it’s an interesting paradox.

      the more NoVa attracts employers – the more the entry level workers for the new employers are forced to the exurbs to find affordable housing.

  3. Here’s another – I find amusing.

    developers down in Stafford and Spotsylvania propose “mixed-use” projects where they say people can live, work, play and shop.

    but the “commercial’ part is a small footprint that is primarily rooftop services like grocery stores, cleaners, pizza places, drug stores, etc. No one who works at these places save for perhaps the manager can afford to live in the residential portion of the mixed-use which is primarily marketed to commuters who want to live in Stafford and commute to NoVa jobs..

    but the way it gets “billed” is as a “mixed-use”, “compact” development next to major highway infrastructure and of course water/sewer.

  4. cpzilliacus Avatar
    cpzilliacus

    larryg wrote:

    Stafford County is glad to have Geico for sure (largest non-govt employer) but even in Stafford county, Geico does not pay like the larger salaries that people can make by commuting to Northern Va so I suspect that in Chevy Chase the argument might have been about what kind of workers would be working at Geico and living in Chevy Chase and in what kind of housing.

    Chevy Chase is (and was) a little (or actually a lot) too expensive for rank-and-file GEICO workers, except for the executive-type managers, who may well live in Chevy Chase (since the company still has its executive offices on the Western Avenue site).

    But those lower-wage workers could very well get to the Western Avenue location by Metrorail. This was not about “undesirable” GEICO workers, and more about subjects with a fine tradition in Montgomery County: (1) NIMBYism; (2) a fairly large corps of hyperactive citizens, including retirees with plenty of time on their hands; and (3) a county government that is dominated by which candidates win the Democratic primary elections in even years not divisible by four.

    The people in Stafford want government agencies like the FBI to re-locate to Stafford – along the VRE commuter rail line and bring “good” jobs closer to the 130,000 people in Stafford so they don’t have to commute to NoVa.

    I know of at least two other counties closer to stations on the Washington Metrorail system that also desire the FBI – and Stafford County did recently gain (through BRAC) the consolidated military criminal investigative agencies on the Stafford County side of MCB Quantico.

    1. FBI won’t come to Stafford… METRO has to be present, lack of is deal killer, I believe.

      but .. the part that I find .. contemplative… is the idea of an exurban bedroom community – seeking to become it’s own place – with it’s own employers and it’s own mixed-use “core” … but still an exurban commuting critter.

      In pre-beltway days ( for any/all beltways) – the way that urban cores were configured was with hub/spoke transportation corridors radiating out and trying to go from one spoke endpoint to an adjacent one or one more over – was not necessarily easy so working on one spoke and commuting to a home on another spoke was not necessarily feasible.

      beltways totally changed all of that… and added super-connectivity – converting disconnected spokes to connected spokes and even allowed spokes to expand out beyond the beltway – to allow exurban bedroom communities – like Stafford – which has people living there – that work all around the beltway.. from Andrews Air force base to Tysons, CIA, etc.

      these evolved transportation networks have “undone” the original/traditional way that urban cores use to maintain and sustain themselves. these transportation corridors can and do “bleed” the urban cores. it’s almost like evolution of critters and over time how one species becomes more adapted to a changing environment – and at the expense of other critters who are harmed by the changing environment.

      IMHO of course.. all of the above in that category.

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