Sen. Janet Howell (D-Fairfax), chair of Senate Finance and Del. Barry Knight (R-Virginia Beach), chair of House Appropriations. Photo credit: Richmond Times Dispatch

by Dick Hall-Sizemore

The Richmond Times-Dispatch reports there is an agreement on the state budget. There have been hints in the news about it all week, with the General Assembly announcing that it would come back to Richmond June 1 to take up various measures. All the details will not be available until late Sunday or Monday, but the chairs of the two money committees have released the highlights.

I will defer to our tax expert, Steve Haner, to discuss the revenue aspects of the deal. It looks to be the compromise that he has said was on the table all along—some increase in the standard deduction (but not entirely what the Governor proposed) along with a refundable tax credit.

I want to focus on one surprise in the package that represents two major changes in state policy. The proposed deal includes $320 million in general fund appropriations this year and an additional $150 million in the future, contingent on revenue, to help fund the expansion of the “I-64 gap” between Bottoms Bridge near the Henrico/New Kent border and James City County. This is the project I wrote about earlier and, surprisingly to me, engendered a lot of comments.

The first major policy change is the use of general fund appropriation for a major highway project. Generally, the policy has been for highways to be funded through user fees and taxes, i.e. gasoline taxes and motor vehicle purchase, registration, and license fees and taxes. There is a precedent, however, for using general fund revenue for highway construction. Since 2008, one-third of the annual revenue from the annual tax on insurance companies has been washed through the Commonwealth Transportation Fund to pay the debt service on the bonds used to finance the widening of Route 58 across the southern boundary of the Commonwealth.

(I seem to remember that the Route 58 bond program was authorized in the late 1980’s and, in a deal engineered by the late, legendary delegate, A.L. Philpott of Henry County, the debt service on the bonds would be paid out of the general fund in return for his agreeing to allow Northern Virginia localities to increase their recordation taxes to be used for a regional transportation program. However, the on-line documents do not go back that far; therefore I cannot readily confirm my memory. The rationale for the 2008 change was probably a desire to tie the debt service more closely to transportation since a significant portion of the insurance license tax revenue comes from motor vehicle insurance policy revenue.)

Secondly, this appropriation is a departure from the Commonwealth’s decision to base road construction funding on objective factors, rather than political ones. VDOT describes its Smart Scale program as “a process that helps Virginia meet its most critical transportation needs using limited tax dollars. It evaluates potential transportation projects based on key factors like how they improve safety, reduce congestion, increase accessibility, contribute to economic development, promote efficient land use, and affect the environment.” As reported earlier, the expansion of I-64 to six lanes along this stretch does not qualify for funding under the Smart Scale criteria. However, there is obviously a lot of political support for the project. The Smart Scale program was instituted in 2015 as a way of taking politics out of highway projects. It didn’t take long for politics to get back in.

By the way, I drove to Virginia Beach one morning a couple of weeks ago along I-64. Despite the many comments to my blog post about the congestion on this road, I had to ease up on cruise control only a couple of times before I got to Newport News. I have driven to Northern Virginia at the same time of day.  There is no comparison. I acknowledge that I-64 is a mess on weekends during the summer months, but I question the priority of spending billions to relieve seasonal traffic.

Finally, it appears that I was wrong in my prediction that the Senate would wait to see what the Governor did with the bills it sent back after rejecting his recommended amendments. Nevertheless, midnight tonight is the deadline for the Governor to act, so there is still time for things to go awry. However, I suspect that there has been enough communication going back and forth in back channels that everyone is comfortable.


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Comments

21 responses to “A Budget Deal Emerges”

  1. vicnicholls Avatar
    vicnicholls

    Dick you got off lightly. I have been on that road in the morning and its been backed up. Not a summer morning either. No it isn’t cyclical/summer either. Also all it takes is one accident or a driver refusing to obey the law and move over to the right lane when they are bottling up traffic behind them, or a left lane truck refusing to get over in the right lane, to totally screw up the traffic on I64.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      If it is that congested regularly, why doesn’t it score more highly on the Smart Scale? This is a question asked largely out of ignorance of what the Smart Scale measures and how it weights variables.

      1. vicnicholls Avatar
        vicnicholls

        because not enough important people use it AND bigger issues (like the HRBT, High Rise, even 664) all have worse congestion issues. Those issues need fixing first before they get that small piece. So much money was spent on NoVA that HR has gotten the shaft, now we have projects around. Get those fixed first, since they’re worse than anything else. Honestly 664 is more of an issue than that part of 64.

      2. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        The size/scale of projects on I-95, I-64, I-81 and Hampton make them incompatible with Smartscale – each would eat up most of Smartscale and projects for increased capacity score LOW on Smartscale.

        All the I-95 upgrades including new bridges over the Rappahannock were NOT funded from Smartscale. The bridges are funded from something called the Atlantic Gateway which also added money to other lanes that are tolled.

        Ditto in Hampton – funded from tolls. And I-81 from special taxes on I-81.

        Also – transportation gets money from general sales taxes.

        but bottom line – the special general fund appropriation for I-64 is different than prior methods and I’m surprised also on setting that precedent – although I-64 does need it – 9 times out of 10 when I use it , it’s awful.

        However, now , are we going to see other bills from legislators in other parts of Virginia (including NoVa) asking for general revenues over and beyond Smartscale for their “urgent
        needs?

      3. LarrytheG Avatar
        LarrytheG

        For all the talk about how terrible I-95 is, I offer the following image of traffic on I-95 on Saturday of the memorial day weekend:

        https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e8fc8f896f452cd064039c0ff633c20a6426bf71f3ba673cd3a744452a9ab60a.jpg

  2. The data (2018) indicates this should be a lower priority. The winners of this proposal will the sprawl developers along the corridor…

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/482c8febaa2ab460dffa1a1037e916c8f957c7977a166a70fd796a798cd462cd.png

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      Thank you. That illustrates my point nicely.

      1. The state could have at least added a few million to “study” bi-directional I-95 Express Lanes between Fredericksburg and Springfield. It is very frustrating when the non-peak direction traffic is congested with no option to pay and no option for trucks to use the express toll lanes… Delay on I-95 is 5 times worse than the HRBT area… https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/4ae6bb47e30c1be8420432e3abeba0617aed29e5a6870aae3c627f1a57206758.jpg

  3. Stephen Haner Avatar
    Stephen Haner

    I’ll write more when I can see the details, especially the timing on implementation, but given the circumstances it’s a substantial increase in the standard deduction (78%, saving about $400 annually for a couple) and eliminating the state side of the food tax (1.5%). Good. As I’ve said before, I have no objection to the refundable earned income tax credit, and it struck me long ago that doing both that and the SD worked well as a compromise. Those three together are good news for the lower income working folks who are getting creamed right now.

    On behalf of the Thomas Jefferson Institute, we’re going to count this as a win.

    As Caucus director I helped find the votes for the Route 58 bonds on the Republican side, and the bill took grantor tax real estate tax revenues from Northern Virginia to pay the bills. It was a huge policy departure. Bill passed with 58 votes on the House floor and as I recall it required R votes to get over 50. (In 1993, challenger Earle Williams chided George Allen for voting no. Now who was it did that oppo research? Hmmmm. 🙂

    On I-64, widening between Newport News and Williamsburg relieved much of the daily commuter congestion, which used to start at Bland Blvd in NN heading west. But the beach traffic will be brutal (and I may keep using 460) until that last stretch is done.

    1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
      Dick Hall-Sizemore

      I always thought that Rt. 58 deal was a sweet one for Philpott: let NoVa use its own local revenue to pay for roads in exchange for using state general fund to pay for Rt. 58!

      1. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
        f/k/a_tmtfairfax

        Never underestimate the incompetence of a NoVA legislator on financial matters. They’ve supported every bill that put the hurt on their constituents.

        1. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          When you elect nothing but social justice warriors in NoVa you don’t get fair road funding.

          NoVa elects empty suits as General Assembly representatives and gets fiscal buffoonery as the result.

          “I have driven to Northern Virginia at the same time of day. There is no comparison.”

          Yep.

          1. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            There is a significant and large plan for road infrastructure in NoVa.

            30 pages and several billion dollars worth:

            https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e41d4fe259e7a0ce4765f53c553feb7b65253ce7e2f134e83984ce0e83dc21c4.jpg

            http://syip.virginiadot.org/Pages/allProjects.aspx

        2. DJRippert Avatar
          DJRippert

          When you elect nothing but social justice warriors in NoVa you don’t get fair road funding.

          NoVa elects empty suits as General Assembly representatives and gets fiscal buffoonery as the result.

          “I have driven to Northern Virginia at the same time of day. There is no comparison.”

          Yep.

    2. Matt Adams Avatar
      Matt Adams

      460 is the way to go if you want to avoid the 64 bottleneck for certain. It’s also scenic vs trees and off ramps.

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        Truth is, once 64 is complete and the tunnel widened traffic will expand to congest them again at the worst times. But it will be marginally better. And right now, the guaranteed bottlenecks are an impediment even to the economy.

        1. Matt Adams Avatar
          Matt Adams

          It’s just a poor design and regardless of how many lanes they add, you’re still in the same situation. If there is an accident you’re stuck. It functions must like I66 in NOVA, unless it’s way off peak hours or you’re reverse commuting it’s a horrible traverse.

        2. LarrytheG Avatar
          LarrytheG

          this is why you need congestion tolling – both to fund needed improvements but also to “shape” congestion and keep the roads free flowing by letting people prioritize when they need to take their trip.

          No amount of adding lanes will reduce congestion – over time – less congested roads will attract more traffic unless they are tolled.

          1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
            Dick Hall-Sizemore

            I have heard any suggestion of congestion tolling on any section of I-64. I assume that is because the private vendors who are into congestion tolling do not think there is enough traffic on this highway to pay for it.

          2. LarrytheG Avatar
            LarrytheG

            Yes. They tried that a few years back and the would-be concessionaires bailed from a proposal because they felt like people would leave I-64 and take 460 to avoid the tolls.

            And the basics of congestion tolling is that two lanes remain “free” and the other lane is tolled and people decide if they want to pay to get a more predictable time for their trip.

            So I-64 would not be profitable for the private sector but it may well still be effective in managing peak hour/peak weekend congestion – worth paying a concessionaire to operate and manage IMHO.

            “free roads” that are uncongested, inevitably get overwhelmed in time because people will do that unless there is an additional cost at high-demand periods.

            There are times in places like NYC where using the bridges is out of the question unless there is a compelling economic need.

    3. LarrytheG Avatar
      LarrytheG

      I think Youngkin can call it a “win” also.

      RTD (excellent article) also said a study commission will look at what might happen in 2026 if the current Federal tax law reverts and/or changes ….

      If the Federal law changes – again for standard deduction vs itemized, it will likely wreak havoc – again on Va tax rules.

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