What Dominion is Hiding in its Wind Application

The cover page that declares we the ratepayers cannot see how Dominion Energy Virginia has calculated the levelized cost of energy for its $10 billion offshore wind project. The SCC should break this seal and open this document.

by Steve Haner

When an applicant at the State Corporation Commission claims certain information is proprietary, or extraordinarily sensitive, a reader not privy to the full document can at least get an idea what is missing.

What is missing from the application Dominion Energy Virginia recently filed at the SCC, a document so dense and complex it was broken into eleven volumes, with 61 separate documents (here)? (That is not counting the tables of contents.) Here are some of the topics masked from view that turned up in a cursory review (in the order they appear in the documents):

  • The cost of foreign currency hedges the utility proposes to buy (with ratepayer money), because about $4 billion of its planned capital and service purchases will actually be in Euros or Danish Krone and subject to exchange rate risk.
  • Information on how it calculated its claimed 97% “availability factor” for the turbines. That predicts how often turbines will be down for maintenance or some other issue over the predicted 30 years of useful life.
  • An entire appendix to the generation portion of the application, “which contains the Company’s analysis of the levelized cost of energy.” That is the key financial consideration. Under the Virginia Clean Economy Act, a LCOE determination which is too high would give the SCC the ability to reject the application. (Expect another post on this issue.)
  • Seven additional generation appendices dealing with the requests for proposals from various vendors around the world. The bidders, of course, always want their information held confidential, but the SCC might have the authority to release it for public inspection.
  • The actual contracts that arose out of the competitive bidding process.
  • Projected construction costs by category and year. The annual totals are provided, so masking the individual elements of those totals seems ridiculous. But redacted they are.
  • Rows and rows of key financial information related to the long-term operating costs, tax credits, and other key projections used by the company in calculating its annual revenue requirement for the project. The number of black lines blocking data on those pages is jarring. (But enough is available that a future post on this specific topic is called for.)

Dominion has applied for secrecy for all that information, and perhaps more that wasn’t spotted. In a previous post, Attorney General Mark Herring was encouraged to oppose that request once he officially enters the case. Other participants will have the ability to challenge it, as well, once the SCC sets a case schedule and participants start signing up. The first thing they will have to do is sign a non-disclosure agreement to get access to the sealed information.

The bulk of the case paperwork deals with the transmission routes across the 27 miles of sea to the Virginia Beach shore, and then across parts of that city to plug into the existing electrical grid. There are pages and pages of engineering data and maps, plus the required environmental, historical resource and “environmental justice” impact statements.

Those were not reviewed in detail, but in that case no major deletions or redactions jumped out. It is just hard to impossible to see all the maps, charts and photographs in the poorly-scanned versions of the documents. They may appear again in public notices.

That information will be of great interest to the residents and landowners affected, and it would be wise for the regional media to report in detail on those siting issues. It is a major grid rebuild and upgrade, with the portions on land costing $469 million (plus $1.3 billion for the sea connections). Bacon’s Rebellion is not the place for that, but affected people need to be aware and need to dig deeper than the sales pitch the utility will be making.

For the rest of the utility’s 2.6 million customers, it is the cost and reliability of this massive generation investment which will matter and that will be the focus of future discussions. The financial data behind the levelized cost of energy determination is vital and must be released in full.  Likewise all the operational costs and the various assumptions used in the company’s own projections on the annual revenue requirement, which runs through 2057.


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Comments

34 responses to “What Dominion is Hiding in its Wind Application”

  1. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    BTW, you can’t seriously worry about negative impacts of exchange rates with euros and kronas AND harp on massive inflation here. You may find yourself in an untenable contrdiction.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      the heck you say…. only untenable if it is admitted… otherwise just a pesky distraction……

  2. LarrytheG Avatar

    I’m not surprised at all that Dom will keep as much private as they can – its what most companies would do.

    But I would think what the public might be entitled to see would not be the same as what the SCC – the regulator can see. Perhaps that’s true or not, Haner probably knows.

    I’m really not sure what the public SHOULD be entitled to see if this is a regulated monopoly and its the SCC that is working on behalf of the public – different than other businesses that are regulated but not monopolies.

    But clearly some of this data would be of interest to competitors as well as investors and potential investors… I wold think.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Everything I mentioned as redacted or sealed is open to the SCC staff, judges and other participants who sign the NDA.

      1. Nancy Naive Avatar
        Nancy Naive

        Well, sign the NDA.

  3. Break the seal! Break the seal! Break the seal!

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Break safety pin, break. Break safety pin, break.

  4. The only things Steve lists above that have a legitimate claim to confidentiality are the bids submitted by potential vendors. All the rest should be public.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      Are other companies including those that might bid allowed to see Dom internal data?

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Yeah, I can see that.

  5. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    It is a monopoly… public is mandated to pay the costs, including costs overruns, I see little merit for any secrecy at all, except the age old Virginia Way.

  6. LarrytheG Avatar

    So I might ask if Dom was proposing NA3 or even a new technology nuke would the same rules apply and the same folks who say release all – still say release all?

  7. tmtfairfax Avatar

    Fully agree that, to the extent Dominion is seeking to put the entire cost of the offshore wind project into rate base and estimated income statement, there is no reason to shield the projects from full public disclosure. If this one were on the backs of the shareowners, I go the opposite way.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      I don’t know how you can really easily separate the shareholders interest in Dominion from the ratepayers to be honest and we already know who wins when there is a conflict.

      If there could be significant potential value in Doms experience with offshore wind , it could easily affect Dom’s ability to become a major player in offshore wind on the east coast OR a decision on their part that they need to not do that.

      Information that might affect their interests is going to be proprietary I would think.

      1. tmtfairfax Avatar

        It’s very easy to separate the interests. The ratepayers want reliable energy at the lowest reasonable (note the word “reasonable”) cost. If this can be provided by keeping the project unregulated, such that Dominion’s shareowners bear all of the risk of the investment (and can reap the rewards), that would be in the best interests of the ratepayers.

        Shareowners, on the other hand, want the risk of the market reduced with rate base recovery to increase the amount of return with return of capital through regulated depreciation.

        There is no benefit whatsoever to customers for Dominion to become a major player in offshore wind. I would hope both Herring and his successor fight Dominion hard.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          I think for the ratepayer, more than cost is involved – ask those folks in Texas – AND California!

          I don’t think because a function is done by govt or as a govt-monopoly that the public is “entitled” to any/all data anyhow – clearly they’re not entitled to it for a wide variety of 100% taxpayer-funded activities!

          And I don’t think it’s up to ratepayers to decide what is in the best interests of Dominion, either.

          In you look at virtually ANY govt contract with private companies to deliver goods and services – there is a section called “Deliverables” and THAT is what will be received and only that and what that companies does to produce those deliverables is really no-body’s business but their own.

          That’s REALLY how you want competition to work I would think.

          The difference with monopolies in general is that there is no easy way to have them compete head-to-head on a daily basis… it actually functions more like a fixed-term contract. They deliver what is in that contract for the price – and quality and quantity specified.

          I don’t agree that Dom’s sole responsibility is the lowest-price power and certainly not over time either.

          And in reality – Dom gets far more for electricity than even agreed to by the time they use all these various strategies to increase their revenues – legally – through the process – like excess profits not paid back or ratepayers paying for coal ash remediation or a number of other things they have managed to add to their bottom line – which makes them a good investment!

          😉

          1. tmtfairfax Avatar

            The Texas price problem is with people who elected not to purchase PUC tariffed power at regulated rates. They paid less when the market was soft but much, much more when it wasn’t.

            As to Dominion’s rates, I didn’t say lowest price, but rather, lowest reasonable price. That is a big difference.

  8. For too long Dominion, and then others who have followed, has been able to make too much information proprietary. It’s reasonable for “some” information to be covered, but far too much is hidden as a matter of course. It’s time for change!

  9. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Hard to imagine any proprietary information could be held by a public utility. My guess is they are less worried about customers becoming upset, or the SCC, or the gub’na, delegates, or senators, as much as their shareholders. Gotta protect that dividend from negative future analyses by the market gurus.

  10. If anyone wants to do a deep dive on LCOE, Lazard publishes a well-respected analysis each year. I don’t believe offshore wind LCOE is included here, but they are an honest broker with the information. https://www.lazard.com/perspective/lcoe2020

    Fraunhofer is another, although with a view that includes the cost of carbon, and they provide a look at offshore wind LCOE. Cost of carbon is a foreign concept to the US but that doesn’t mean it’s not going to dominate. https://www.ise.fraunhofer.de/en/press-media/press-releases/2021/levelized-cost-of-electricity-renewables-clearly-superior-to-conventional-power-plants-due-to-rising-co2-prices.html

    BNEF will give you a sense of — whether you like wind or not — just how far behind the US is, which to me translates to an eventual global competitive disadvantage. https://www.renewableenergymagazine.com/wind/bnef-publishes-2021-global-wind-market-outlook-20210616

    I’ll just close by saying that we can navel gaze and complain all we want, but the US is not dictating the macro direction of offshore wind, or the future direction of the energy mix. I agree that costs are out of control here and while Dominion’s proposal may be flawed, we will get on the bus or it will back up over us as we bury our heads in the macro-economic sand (just to mix metaphors).

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      Pretty interesting links. The first DOES have offshore wind but big differences in estimate of LCOE for offshore wind and the first site also considers LCOE for hydrogen.

      I also found some interesting info on the Orkney Islands and how they supposedly generate more wind energy than they can use and are using the excess to crack hydrogen from water.

      I’m a little skeptical that is’s anything more than a pilot program but it does show where some are headed.

      In the meantime, natural gas prices are going through the roof which is going to end up making wind even more cost competitive although reversion to coal is certainly also a potential.

      So back to Dominion – If there are modern, safe nukes out there – like some have pointed to the small nukes on subs , why doesn’t Dominion propose them or for that matter NA3 which is in the ballpark of these offshore wind turbine costs, no?

      1. Given the costs and risks to build a new nuke plant, it’s doubtful that any will be proposed in the near future. Your assumption that there are buildable plants is incorrect. Small nukes are in development but have very long lead times. Read up on the Vogtle 3 & 4 if you want to get a feel for how risky it is to build a new nuke.

  11. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Danish Krone?

    Interesting choice. When the glaciers are gone from Greenland, it is believed it will expose the world’s largest deposit of near surface rare elements. All those solar panels!

    Of course, there are those who also believe there are hundreds of years of natural gas and oil just off Virginia Beach too.

  12. William O'Keefe Avatar
    William O’Keefe

    In today’s Times Dispatch, Dominion’s VP for corporate affairs and communications attempts to make the case that Dominion manages to keep its costs below the national average and below EIA’s estimated Levelized Cost for wind. If all of that is true why does Dominion hide information that should help convince customers that they are getting a good deal. The simplest answer is Dominion is using smoke and mirrors.
    What is the assumed capacity factor for its wind turbines? Proponents use numbers as high as 55% who EIA uses 31.8% which probably may be as high as 40% for newer turbines with longer blades. What is it assuming for storage costs and the efficiency of back up power. The latter is important because coal and gas fired plants won’t operate 24/7 and that lowers efficiency and raises costs.
    If Dominion wants to earn trust it needs to be totally transparent and encourage independent cost analyses and comparisons. The fact that it doesn’t suggests that alternative power arrangements would be more cost-effective.
    Ronald Reagan made famous “Trust but verify.” So, let’s verify first and then trust.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      So here’s a question. Do we think that non-monopoly businesses should be compelled to disclose information about their businesses?

      If Dom is both a private sector business and a regulated monopoly – do they have business interests the same as private sector business have? What principle compels them to disclose?

      Isn’t this sorta like saying since a College or other entity that receives govt money has to disclose everything? And obviously not the case… so is this really that clear-cut?

  13. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    An electric vehicle advocate was just pointing out Virginia homeowners pay 13 cents/kwhr versus 8 cents/kwhr for commercial users. So the EV advocate was saying this why charging at Giant Foods is free, they get electric so cheaply, especially off peak 1 cent per kWhr for Giant the guy says (not sure I understand his math). OK but therein lies the problem, we are hitting homeowners so hard. Sure if am a Virginia business, I would like to demand homeowners pay top dollar for renewables and give it to the business at half or less cost. This way the business can say they are Green, and part of the reason for pressure to go Green if a lot of users get huge special discounts.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      I wanna know if the price of natural gas keeps going up is Dominion going to start adding fuel adjustment fees?

      1. Stephen Haner Avatar
        Stephen Haner

        Demonstrating once again your complete ignorance of this area, to the point you should just shut up, they already do, Larry. There is a fuel adjustment charge on every bill, and the amount fluctuates annually based on price.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          Steve, we’re all ignorant – even you… 🙂

          more a rhetorical question… with respect to the skyrocketing price of NG.

  14. […] To be sure, there is a voluminous set of documents called the “Generation Appendix” that no doubt provides lots of engineering analysis. But the entire corpus is classified “extraordinarily sensitive” and so is not available for analysis. (Editor’s note:  See previous references to this secrecy here and here.) […]

  15. […] this case, secrecy which has already been called to the attention of Bacon’s Rebellion readers (here and here.)  When their own experts or lawyers cite that secret information, their documents are […]

  16. […] of $80.40 per megawatt hour.  How does that compare to what Dominion’s project will cost?  The level of secrecy in the pending application makes that hard to […]

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