Virginia sales tax rates: Light blue, 5.3%, green, 6%, dark blue, 6.3% and yellow 7%. All but the localities in dark blue would be allowed to add another 1% under this pending legislation. Click for larger view.

By Steve Haner

A bill likely to produce $1.6 billion or more in local sales tax increases is moving through the General Assembly with enough bipartisan votes to block any veto from the Governor, but differences remain between the House of Delegates and Senate versions.

Both House Bill 805 and Senate Bill 14 would allow all Virginia cities and counties, except for the handful which have already done so, to call a referendum on adding one more penny to the sales tax, a second percentage point dedicated to local school funding.

Several localities (dark blue on map) have held and approved such referenda already, authorized by legislation just for them since 2019. All the rest would be authorized to do so. How much money they might reap can be gleaned from this Tax Department report on what they already get from the 1% of the existing share of the tax returned to them for schools.  It would be the same or more.

The House version (House Bill 805 as it passed the House) remains narrower in scope than the Senate’s preferred language (House Bill 805 Senate Floor Substitute).  But the next step in the legislative ballet is for the full House to vote on that broader Senate version, and it might accept it.  Its own version received 69 votes, but only 51 votes are needed to accept the Senate substitute.

The broader Senate version was equally popular, however, with 27 votes. Those are enough votes in either chamber to override any effort by Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) to apply a veto.

The House language limits the use of the money to school construction and renovations and related debt, and any tax approved would expire when that debt is paid, no longer than 20 years after the tax was imposed.

The Senate version is broader:  For the purposes of this section, “capital projects” means construction, additions, renovations, including retrofitting and enlarging public school buildings, infrastructure, including technology infrastructure, and site acquisition for public school buildings and facilities.

The Senate also would allow the money to be used for projects that predated the referendum and strikes the requirement that the tax have an expiration date.  The word to keep in mind either way is “fungible.” This dedicated school spending indirectly releases other local dollars for other purposes, just as the Lottery did decades ago.

The expiration date included in the House language should provide no comfort, since any future General Assembly can easily take that out in another bill.  The Senate version will be the more popular with the local governments and the advocacy groups for education spending.

One of these versions is likely to reach Youngkin, where it will join the budget language that expands the sales tax (state and local) to cover a host of digital products and services, including those purchased by business entities.  That enhances the impact of this tax, too.

How can Youngkin complain?  The idea of expanding the sales tax to digital items and services was his.  The idea of a statewide increase in the sales tax rate was his.  He proposed it for the state treasury, not local treasuries, but the taxpayer won’t know where the money is going.  The sales tax is attractive to governments because it is largely invisible on day to day retail transactions.

As of right now, Virginia localities collect four different sales tax rates, as seen in the map from the Department of Taxation used for illustration.  Most rural localities are collecting a tax of 5.3%. Several urban areas collect an extra amount for regional transportation that brings their rate to 6%.  Then the eight smaller localities who already have the extra local “school construction” tax collect 6.3%.  Finally, Williamsburg, York and James City County add a local 1% for tourism on top of the base and the regional tax and base, bringing them to a full 7%.

With this new system in place, if every locality adopted it (and it is hard to imagine it failing often) the rates would range from 6.3% to 8% across the Commonwealth.

The official fiscal impact statement from the Tax Department was silent on just how much money this would take from taxpayers, admittedly often from people who do not reside in the localities. “This bill could have an unknown positive revenue impact to any localities that choose to exercise the authority granted by the bill,” it reads.  No, it would raise taxes and the amount is known.   

Again, all the Tax Department needed to do was provide and tally its own existing report on the current local tax share, which of course is based on the tax collected without the digital items included:  Fairfax County, $250 million; Virginia Beach, $94 million; Henrico County, $94 million; Roanoke City, $28 million.  Virginia’s sales tax has included this local share since it was first imposed in the 1960s.

The digital items will add much more consumer cost, especially if applied to business-to-business sales. Suddenly those ubiquitous data centers will be major cash cows.

The House should vote early in the week on whether to accept the Senate version or stand firm in demanding its narrower approach and send the issue into a conference committee.  Just how much narrower it is won’t matter much to the millions of taxpayers who will see their daily cost of living rise with either bill.


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58 responses to “A Veto-Proof Local Tax Hike Nearly Approved”

  1. James Kiser Avatar
    James Kiser

    What crap more money to make administrators rich

  2. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
    Dick Hall-Sizemore

    There is one important feature of both bills that you neglected to cover: the imposition of the additional sales tax would be subject to approval by the voters of the locality in a referendum.

    As you point out, the House bill would retain the language in current law setting a time limit on the duration of the additional tax. That provision gives you little comfort because a future General Assembly could change it. However, if the House version were to prevail now, any referendum would be required to include in its wording the date on which the bonds were be paid off or, if no bonds were involved, the expiration date of the tax. Somehow, I think any tax increase adopted under the authority of that wording in the referendum language could not be overridden by a future General Assembly.

    For larger localities, such as Henrico, any revenue from this additional sales tax would be fungible, as you note. Those localities have large commercial/industrial tax bases. However,
    rural counties, which do not have a growing real estate tax base, are faced with hefty increases in their real estate tax rate as the only alternative if they need to build new schools or make major renovations to existing facilities. That is why those counties went to the legislature in years past asking for the authority to increase their sales tax rate for this limited purpose.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      I most certainly mentioned the referendum right away and more than once. I remain certain it will pass everywhere within a few years. The legislators cannot abdicate responsibility for this, only spread it around. 🙂

      1. Dick Hall-Sizemore Avatar
        Dick Hall-Sizemore

        Yes, you did. I apologize. I must have been reading too fast or been distracted.

        If the voters are given a choice and they choose to have the tax levied, why is that bad?

        1. Stephen Haner Avatar
          Stephen Haner

          Again, did I say it was bad? I said it raises the cost of living, which is true. Just another story nobody else is covering….

          1. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            If taxes to pay for school bonds are shifted from real estate tax to sales tax, how is that a rise in the cost of living?

          2. how_it_works Avatar
            how_it_works

            It will raise the cost of living for poor people, who tend to live in crowded housing situations, where several people might be splitting the cost of a single property tax bill. This is by necessity due to the cost of housing.

            If you shift the tax burden from real estate tax to sales tax, you hurt the people who are trying to make ends meet by living in a crowded housing situation.

            They will pay more in sales taxes.

            I live by myself, so it’ll probably be a wash for me. Maybe even a benefit, I don’t buy much.

          3. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            It also shifts the burden to out-of-county purchasers (at least to a degree).

          4. LarrytheG Avatar

            seems like if they increased real estate, it would also affect people sharing houses also?

            better, worse, equal?

          5. Eric the half a troll Avatar
            Eric the half a troll

            It also shifts the burden to out-of-county purchasers (at least to a degree).

  3. walter smith Avatar
    walter smith

    Texas, Tennessee and Florida looking better all the time…
    How many times will the easily fooled fall for this trick?
    It’s for the “schools” and ignore that just means more money gets to be spent on the already too much govt.

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Until you need to buy insurance.

      1. walter smith Avatar
        walter smith

        Not entirely true, but even if true, I’d rather give it to a company than the worthless politicians to blow.

        1. Nancy Naive Avatar
          Nancy Naive

          So, you like unelected CEOs who make 50x the average wage and then bonuses for undercutting their clients’ claims?

          1. LarrytheG Avatar

            Indeed! But in Walter World, govt is evil and private sector is golden!

          2. walter smith Avatar
            walter smith

            You like corrupt people who destroy the country?

          3. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            No. That’s why I won’t vote for Trump or any Republican, ever.

          4. Nancy Naive Avatar
            Nancy Naive

            No. That’s why I won’t vote for Trump or any Republican, ever.

          5. walter smith Avatar
            walter smith

            You just contradicted yourself.
            And revealed you approve baby killing. Lawfare. $33 trillion of debt, and that’s just the funded part. Good job.

  4. LarrytheG Avatar

    If you’re gonna do a tax increase, in theory because it is needed, there’s not a lot here to not like.

    1. – has to be approved by voters

    2. – dedicated to school construction – either though “fungible” in theory, I would expect some jurisdictions to list out the projects on the referenda and if not, some folks will make it an issue.

    3.- too many districts, notably rural, simple are caught between a rock and a hard place to replace old schools – this lets them decide and I would expect some to turn it down – they do make a choice.

    4.- way better than an increase in real estate IMO

    5.- once again, shows sentiment of elected towards allocating money for charter/choice schools – NOT! As far as I can tell, not one word even of a token nature as to using this money for that purpose – although as soon as I say this, I’m sure some advocacy
    groups will lobby support precisely to build such schools!

    6 .- The bipartisan will of elected over the Governor’s which in my mind has veered to things more partisan and less leadership in general. This was his opportunity to literally put his money where his mouth has been on education improvement and recovery from the pandemic – a comprehensive approach and what we have instead feels piecemeal with house cleaning going on at VDOE and rumors of changes to accreditation and SOLs, etc… not exactly out in front of voters and “asks” from the GA in support of.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Charter schools, in many cases being actual public schools, are often in public buildings. But you wouldn’t know that because of your kneejerk hostility to anything not run by the all-powerful government and teachers union. You always conflate “charter” with “private” and they are very different things.

      But no surprise you have never met a tax increase you didn’t like.

    2. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Charter schools, in many cases being actual public schools, are often in public buildings. But you wouldn’t know that because of your kneejerk hostility to anything not run by the all-powerful government and teachers union. You always conflate “charter” with “private” and they are very different things.

      But no surprise you have never met a tax increase you didn’t like.

    3. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
      f/k/a_tmtfairfax

      According to NC Department of Education’s 2022 report on charter schools, “Currently, there are 206 charter schools operating for the 2022-2023 school year. Self-reported
      data from the state’s charter schools indicate that 85% of charter schools had a waitlist totaling
      over 77,000 students statewide.”

      There are strong state oversight provisions.

      Per General Statute 115C-218.25, all charter school boards are subject to the Open Meetings Laws.
      • Per General Statute 115C-218.25, all charter schools are subject to the Public Records Act and must promptly comply with citizen requests.
      • Per General Statute 115C-218.90(b), all charter schools must adopt a criminal history check policy mirroring that of the local school administrative unit in which the school is located. Further, all founding charter school board members must have criminal background checks.
      • Per General Statute 115C-218.85(3) and SBE policy CHTR-001, all charter schools are required to conduct the student assessments required by the SBE. Further, all charter schools are required to comply with North Carolina’s Accountability Model, unless otherwise approved by the SBE.
      Currently, four charter schools have been approved for an alternative accountability model.
      • Per General Statute 115C-218.30 and SBE policy CHTR-006, every charter school is required to undergo an annual audit for both its finances and its compliance with applicable federal and state laws and policies. These audits should be conducted by an independent auditor approved by the Local Governance Commission, and the audit must be published on the school’s website.
      • Per General Statute 115C-218.6 and SBE policy CHTR-007, every charter school is required to
      undergo a rigorous renewal process prior to having their charter term extended. Schools not
      meeting the expected academic, financial, and/or governance standards required for a ten-year renewal are subject to renewal terms of seven, five, or three years, or non-renewal.

      Someplaces put students’, parents’ and taxpayers’ interests above those of the teachers’ unions.

    4. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
      f/k/a_tmtfairfax

      More from the State DOE.

      “As of December 1, 2022, there are over 137,500 students being served by charter schools. This
      represents just over 9% of the total public-school population as of the December 1 headcount. The figure below shows charter enrollment gains since the pandemic, growth of nearly 19%.”

      Percentage wise, more black and white students attend charter schools than traditional public schools.

      “As of the December 1, 2022, federal headcount of Students with Disabilities (SWD), the SWD
      headcount at charter schools was 10.85%, up from 10.33% the year prior.” C. 12.4 % of all traditional public school students are disabled.

      “As of June 30, 2022, charter schools enrolled 40,496 economically disadvantaged students, or 30.93% of charter students. This is an increase from the 2020 June 30th headcount of 22.48%.” C. 37% of all traditional public school students are economically disadvantaged.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        As I’ve said before and will again, I support Charter schools that are specifically targeted to kids who are doing poorly in traditional public schools. Traditional public schools (not all) do poorly with economically disadvantaged. In fact, the poor overall academic scores is primarily due to the very low scores of the economically disadvantaged.

        Starting up Charters that teach the same basic demographic as public schools will likely end with the same problems of teaching the regular kids well and not doing such a good job with the ED kids.

        So I’d opposed generic charters and support Charters that do solve a real need.

        Charters that work like the SW Va CIP program and/or Success Academies and some other notable Charters that specialize in ED kids AND do perform, actually do a better job with ED kids than traditional public schools.

        The teacher union stuff is just bogus talking points. I bet you got teacher unions in NC and look at how Charters readily expanded. Are the teacher “unions” in Va more powerful than the ones in NC? And in other States with Charters that actually do have real teacher unions!

    5. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Charter schools, in many cases being actual public schools, are often in public buildings. But you wouldn’t know that because of your kneejerk hostility to anything not run by the all-powerful government and teachers union. You always conflate “charter” with “private” and they are very different things.

      But no surprise you have never met a tax increase you didn’t like.

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        That’s funny! hostility to “all-powerful govt” that YOU want to FUND with taxpayer money!

        If you were proposing private sector funding – you would have a point but what you’re wanting
        is tax money for something less than regular public schools to operate with different rules!

        And the “teacher unions” trope .. how many conservative-run counties are in Virginia with weak or non-existent “evil” teachers unions to thwart them? Totally bogus idea!

        Taxes? I don’t like taxes. Every time I have to write a check or get a new “assessment” in the mail it’s a pain in the you-know-what. But at the same time, I hate seeing kids go to schools with leaking roofs or schools that are 60 yrs old with all the problems you’d expect. Just as I hate seeing roads not maintained or mentally ill people dying because we won’t take care of them properly.

        So yes, we do need to pay for services and yes, we need to do it with taxes because some folks are basically “takers” who will never pay their fair share if you made it voluntary.

        But once again, you disregard the idea that taxes that are put to a vote are the least of the “evils” of taxation.

        We have one of the highest per capita GDPs in the world. A lot of it comes from taxes spend on things that increased productivity. It makes sense to do that except in the eyes of the “it’s all mine” folks.

      2. LarrytheG Avatar

        You know, if you think about this, is this an opportunity for people to CHOOSE the tax to fund a Charter School?

        Is that one of the things a local govt could put on a referendum? A sales tax to fund the construction of a Charter School?

        You’d probably support that, right?

        re-think it?

  5. Eric the half a troll Avatar
    Eric the half a troll

    So HB759 passed the Senate. Get ready for pet feces in your farmers market food… Youngkin does a dance…

    https://lis.virginia.gov/cgi-bin/legp604.exe?241+sum+HB759

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      Nick Freitas, hard core conservative.. what is he advocating? non-govt involvement in food sales?

  6. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
    f/k/a_tmtfairfax

    Don’t forget that Senator Omer Herst, who sponsored the tolls to build the Dulles Toll Road, made a good faith promise that the tolls would go away once the bonds for building the road were paid off. But after he passed away, public officials found a way to extend and increase the tolls to pay the state’s share of the costs for Phase 1 of the Silver Line. And, yes, that project did not meet federal funding guidelines but did enable landowners making big campaign contributions to obtain huge increases in density in Tysons and along the DTR. Other people’s money.

    1. Stephen Haner Avatar
      Stephen Haner

      Hirst even predates my time observing the Assembly so that was loooooong ago. Same thing happened with Richmond tolls on I-95, extended to pay for other projects.

    2. LarrytheG Avatar

      Roads are never paid for. THe construction costs are but 1/3 of the total costs. If tolled and not paid for with other folksl taxes, the tolls should go on for the life of the road.

      In terms of using tolls for METRO – I’d agree that it’s really a one-off perversion brought about in part because the region cannot seem to accept responsibility to impose a permanent method to funding METRO.

      Virtually everyone agrees that METRO needs to stay, they just want changes to it and essentially hold it’s funding hostage to the changes.

      Imagine if we did such a thing to the State Police or VDOT.. just deny them funding until they do what we want them to do.

      1. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
        f/k/a_tmtfairfax

        WMATA has an unsustainable cost structure. It’s union contracts exceed what reasonable fares and taxpayer subsidies can support. The union pension plan is based on all pay, both regular and overtime. Few, if any, other pensions are calculated based on overtime pay.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          That’s the claim without any real comparative proof. How does METRO compare to other similar systems? If you can show that others don’t have these issues, it could be convincing. Otherwise, the claims have no real legitimacy.

          But the bigger point is, if we took such an approach with ANY govt agency, essentially defunding it because it has problems not resolved/fixed to our satisfaction, we’d defund it and let it twist
          in the wind?

          Want to do that to Schools or VDOT or the FCC?

          1. f/k/a_tmtfairfax Avatar
            f/k/a_tmtfairfax

            No one in his right mind would support defunding WMATA. But no one in her right mind would support supporting the Agency’s current cost structure. Government cannot grow faster than the public’s income grows.

          2. DJRippert Avatar

            There’s no defunding Metro. The massive development plans approved in NoVa are almost all based on the flawed idea that lots of people will use Metro.

            Take The View.

            McLean is already a traffic nightmare with people commuting from Maryland to work in Virginia.

            Now, add the tallest building in Va, DC, or Md along with even more development around it.

            And why does this plan make sense to the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors … well, besides the oceans of money they get from developers?

            The Magnificent Metro.

            Isolated islands of high density development surrounded by mid-to-low density suburbs.

            Supported by a broken subway system.

            Where, in America, has this ever worked?

            https://ggwash.org/view/74454/the-view-at-tysons-will-be-the-tallest-building-the-region#:~:text=Greater%20Greater%20Washington-,The%20View%20at%20Tysons%2C%20slated%20to%20be%20the%20tallest%20building,built%20with%20Metro%20in%20mind&text=A%20rendering%20of%20The%20View%20at%20Tysons.

          3. LarrytheG Avatar

            re: “defunding”.. hear it a lot … but also see this:

            https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/29874dcd37265f130b57f11bb1463718a9738d1694178f5b1d92ddf767972441.png

            So, here’s the question. Are you and TMT on board with Youngkin or not?

          4. LarrytheG Avatar

            I can agree but can you agree that you MUST fund it to continue as you work to reform it – as
            opposed to under-funding it and causing service, maintenance and operations issues that harm
            it’s viability as functional system?

            METRO is not the only agency with fiscal issues by far but the question is how we address the issues and do we or should we essentially further damage their functionality to “encourage” them to fix?

            I just see it as counter-productive and actually causing more problems.

            We wouldn’t do that to most other agencies. We’d continue to fund as we force changes.

            And again, METRO type systems pretty much across the board have some of the issues that
            METRO has – are we judging METRO in isolation from the other systems and requiring things
            that other systems also do not do?

            Even VDOT has some of the work and wage rules for new road projects, including the potential
            Arena project. It’s not what Conservatives think the way things should be – alone, it’s a bigger
            issue that involved governance including at the State level – both GA and Gov. They are talking
            about more funding tied to reforms vice refusing more funding until changes are made.

        2. DJRippert Avatar

          And when NoVa wants to do something it sees as economically beneficial, like building the stadium complex in Alexandria, some half-wit from Tidewater ends it due to her personal vendetta against Glenn Youngkin.

          Louise Lucas is a walking billboard for both term limits and mandatory age-based retirement.

          You were smart to get out, TMT.

    3. DJRippert Avatar

      You got it. Yet another promise made but not kept by Virginia’s politicians.

      Every dime of those tolls and most money from most tolls should be counted as taxes when Virginia’s relative tax status (vs other states) is calculated.

      Meanwhile, the congestion continues.

  7. James Wyatt Whitehead Avatar
    James Wyatt Whitehead

    Interesting correlation between the sales tax map and the likely regions of Virginia to be targeted in a nuclear strike. Both appear to be veto proof.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/684f425d82c65cd378374e447eabc4db9a6da42fc7507180b9bc402fc4bf5fb0.jpg

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Now correlate with tourist attractions,

  8. VaPragamtist Avatar
    VaPragamtist

    The title, tone, and inclusion on this blog seem to imply the author thinks this is a bad thing.

    The GA is giving authority to those closest to the people (localities), the ability to have a referendum to see if the people want a one cent sales tax increase to be used for a limited purpose–schools.

    I’m not seeing the arguments against this. . .localities determine if the funding is needed, and the voters have the final say.

    Of course, none of this would be required if
    (1) Virginia wasn’t a Dillon Rule state; or
    (2) the General Assembly used lottery revenues to supplement school fund (as it was sold to the GA and the voters in the referendum 20+ years ago), rather than supplanting school funding

    1. Nancy Naive Avatar
      Nancy Naive

      Maybe they can authorize the use of mini-mart slots taxes to support the schools?

      1. VaPragamtist Avatar
        VaPragamtist

        I’d be for it. I believe Danville plans on using a large chunk of their new casino profits for schools. Same concept, smaller scale.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          I’m much more a cynic of the “gambling to benefit kids” idea especially in terms of how much actual money.

          How much, for instance, does the State Lottery actually generate as a percent of State school funding?

    2. DJRippert Avatar

      Isn’t public (government) school enrollment declining in Virginia?

      Colleges and universities are terribly worried about the so-called “demographic cliff” about to occur.

      That cliff has to be preceded by a K-12 cliff.

      Why do we need more schools?

      https://www.chronicle.com/article/colleges-were-already-bracing-for-an-enrollment-cliff-now-there-might-be-a-second-one

      1. LarrytheG Avatar

        rural, not urban and suburban.

      2. VaPragamtist Avatar
        VaPragamtist

        Declining enrollment is the very reason this is needed.

        This legislation came, at least in part, from Prince Edward County who tried unsuccessfully last year to have themselves added to the list of localities allowed to have this tax. Pick a rural county and tour the old, decrepit public schools. Then imagine yourself as a parent of one of the students who has to spend 13 years there. Wouldn’t you consider private school? Or as a successful teacher in that school facing the choice to stay in that environment or find a new job somewhere else.

        The environment absolutely influences the outcome. Changing the environment (whether through building a new school or through renovations of the old), helps improve the outcome.

        1. LarrytheG Avatar

          I don’t disagree at all but rural counties have a history of keeping taxes low and not funding schools – in general and it’s driven by lots of no-tax county residents.

          I also wonder what the potential is for a given county to close existing public schools land use the tax to build a new “charter” school – an academy?

  9. how_it_works Avatar
    how_it_works

    How will this affect the Local Composite Index?

  10. Nancy Naive Avatar
    Nancy Naive

    Bonds. Lots and lots of bonds. And tolls.

  11. energyNOW_Fan Avatar
    energyNOW_Fan

    NoVA having to increase taxes despite inflation bumping up tax take. Can you imagine if a recession had hit as predicted, we’d be terrible shape. As I said in another article, the NoVA Casino thing tells me elected officials (Dems) are terrified about tax base, if I read between lines. Tax base is OK but the Dems want to aggressively increase spending and they are proud of that, for now, but can see a future hard landing.

    1. LarrytheG Avatar

      I don’t think the Dems are “terrified”, they just want to fund additional services that even Youngkin agrees with:

      https://cardinalnews.org/2024/02/07/youngkins-plan-funds-care-for-people-with-the-most-serious-developmental-disabilities-the-rest-will-be-left-waiting/

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