The Jefferson Journal

Chris Braunlich


 

The Warner Report Card: Incomplete

Mark Warner has made a positive impact on K-12 education in Virginia, but he's left much undone. 


 

As Gov. Mark R. Warner prepares to ride off into the sunset, he has pointed to his education record as among his proudest accomplishments.

 

Speaking last week both on WTOP-Radio’s call-in talk show and before a Northern Virginia education luncheon, he touted a record that included large increases in math SAT scores and in the number of accredited schools. So it's fair game to look at the totality of Warner’s record on education.

 

On the positive side, he must be credited with holding to Virginia’s Standards of Learning. It’s hard to remember how badly George Allen and Jim Gilmore were vilified by the Democratic Left over Virginia’s Standards of Learning exams – hard, perhaps, because Democrat Mark Warner ignored the weak-kneed partisans in his party and kept the SOLs in place. He maintained the SOL timetable, and the result was an increase in the number of fully accredited schools from 40 percent the year before he took office to 92 percent. Not a bad accomplishment.

 

Still, there’s a nagging doubt that maybe the SOLs have been watered down over those years. The federal No Child Left Behind Act “benchmarks” each state’s exams (like the SOLs) against the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) exams, considered for years as “the Nation’s Report Card.”  Virginia scores above the national average in NAEP scores. But while SOL scores have jumped recently, our NAEP scores remained flat or even dropped slightly.

 

That shouldn’t happen – they should track in the same direction – and it raises the question: Is Virginia lowering its standards, making it easier to pass our tests, or is there another reason? It’s a cipher the next governor needs to answer.

 

Warner is justifiably proud of his push to help vocational students obtain an industry license, pay the cost of college classes to do it, and increase the number of high school students taking Advanced Placement courses for college credit. Good school divisions have always exercised these options, but Warner pushed the issue state-wide, providing new opportunities for kids in traditional public schools, and their lives will be better for it.

 

The Governor also created new opportunities for adults. He helped push through a 40 percent increase in the number of adults obtaining high school equivalency diplomas, or General Equivalency Diplomas (GEDs). Obtaining more education is a good thing, but the Governor overstates te importance of the GED. The average GED recipient passes the test after about 30 hours of class time, and Department of Labor statistics indicate that, financially, GED holders do only slightly better than drop-outs, and not as well as regular high school graduates, who make about 50 percent of a college graduate. Still, Warner’s effort was aimed at adults, and a large part of it was to reinforce a culture of education where it may not have previously existed. That's important, and worth bragging about.

 

But there are areas in education where Warner fell short.

 

He’s ignoring the real drop-out rate. The Governor has made much of Virginia’s rise in the graduation rate – from 94.2 percent last year to 94.6 percent this year.  But he ignored concerns about the drop-out rate:  26.4 percent of the students who started in ninth grade disappeared before 12th grade graduation. The Governor dismisses those concerns by noting that when a student leaves for private school, or is home-schooled, or leaves the state, they are counted as a “drop-out.” True enough. But he overlooks the influx of students moving into Virginia, and that there are fewer private-and home-schooled high school students than private- and home-schooled middle school students. These factors can't begin to account for the 25 percent loss in the number of students through high school.

 

Refusing to examine the disappearance of one quarter of the student population isn't something that businessman Mark Warner wouldn't do. Gov. Warner shouldn’t either.

 

He failed to expand innovative schools. Although known as an advocate of charter schools –- public schools that should be given the freedom to innovate –- the Governor failed to step up to the plate to either save existing charter schools or create new ones. He appointed one of the nation’s premier charter advocates to the State Board of Elections (who actually helped write the charter law in the Clinton White House), but the Warner-appointed Board failed to appoint this top expert to the charter school review committee, and the number of charter schools has actually declined under this administration.

 

He’s setting the stage for an expensive new entitlement program. The Governor plans to put funding for a state pre-k program into his final budget, having been “persuaded” by former North Carolina Gov. James Hunt of the value of universal Pre-K. If so, it was persuasion without evidence. There have been only two studies showing long-term educational effectiveness – both of them small (fewer than 125 children), both of at-risk populations and, in one case, starting with kids entering the program at 4.4 months of age. The experience has more often been like Georgia’s: After ten years, its preschool program has served more than 300,000 children at a cost of $1.15 billion, and children’s test scores have remained the same. Mark Warner, the businessman, would demand better metrics than that.

 

During his term-limited tenure, Mark Warner has improved the focus and management of public schools, but failed to step up to the plate at times when additional leadership might have counted.

 

In the end, his report card will read what every governor gets when he has less than four full years to create policy change:  Incomplete.

 

-- October 31, 2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Braunlich is a former member of the Fairfax County School Board and Vice President of the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy, the leading non-partisan public policy foundation in Virginia.

 

You can e-mail him here:

c.braunlich@att.net

 


 

Note to readers:

 

Following publication of this piece, officials from the Virginia Department of Education pointed out that my paragraph about the Virginia drop-out rate “overstates the problem,” because Grade 9 is historically a “balloon” year with larger enrollment because of students who are retained.  I’m happy to acknowledge the statistic and their comment.

 

Comparing Grade 9 to Grade 12 is an “overstatement,” but it is also still a problem.  Even if one compares the number of students in Grade 8 (before the “balloon”) with those who graduate five years later, we somehow “lose” about 15 percent of our student population  -- nearly 14,000 students in 2005’s graduating class – and more than double our “graduation rate.” It’s a problem that long predates both Governor Warner and the SOL tests, and one which desperately needs to be addressed.

 

-- Chris Braunlich