Libertarian Hyra Cracks 8% in VCU Poll

VCU poll results

The predictable headline of the new Virginia Commonwealth University poll is that Democrat Ralph Northam has a five-point edge, with a five-point margin of error, among likely voters over Republican Ed Gillespie in the gubernatorial race. You can read all about it in the Washington Post article filed this morning.

The more interesting story is how well the Libertarian Party candidate, Cliff Hyra, is faring. Among registered voters, he scored 8%. Among “likely voters,” he snagged 6%.

That’s in the same ballpark as the 6.5% vote that Robert Sarvis won in the McAuliffe-Cuccinelli match-up four years ago. The difference is that Sarvis was thought to have benefited from a large “none of the above” sentiment among voters who found Terry McAuliffe’s wheeler-dealer persona and Ken Cuccinelli’s strong cultural conservatism to be off-putting. By contrast, the Northam-Gillespie match-up is a battle of the bland. Both candidates are cautious and inoffensive. No one has to hold their nose to vote for them.

If that’s the case, how does one explain the strong showing of Hyra, a political novice who is campaigning part-time on a shoe-string budget? Maybe, just maybe, his libertarian principles are resonating with voters. Could Virginia become a three-party state? It’s not impossible.

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5 responses to “Libertarian Hyra Cracks 8% in VCU Poll

  1. The most likely explanation is it is just flat wrong. Happens alot with these amateur university polls. Good training for the students but not of much value beyond that. Nothing personal.

  2. Libertarians are not real candidates and those that vote for never intend for them to be elected… They are … I can’t find the right word but it’s along the lines of “statement” or “symbolic” …They’re not held to the same standards as other candidates in terms of how they would actually govern.. how they would deal with real things like Medicaid.. or eminent domain for highways, powerlines, …. govt regulations for like restaurant inspections and food safety, etc.

    you never real get a good calibration of what they really would do and often if elected they find themselves more allied with GOP than Dem… which sorta makes you wonder who they help and who they hurt with the votes they do get.

    Many, if not most of the folks who claim to be “libertarian” are not…. they usually claim to be “libertarian-like” or “leaning” rather than actually stand for real hard-core libertarian principles that would just completely change the current govt and governing landscape… The most “libertarian” countries in the world – are 3r world… where the “free market” really does exist and really does function… and buyer beware is the main transaction rule and “transparency” is truly a govt concept not a free market concept.

    This is why if you push Rand Paul hard for a position on health care – he says repeal it and walk away… No employer-provided, No Medicare, No MedicAid.. no EMTALA… make it like you see in 3rd world countries where the “haves” bargain for cost and quality and the have-nots … depend on charity.

    can you tell I’m no fan of “libertarianism”.. real or imagined? 😉

  3. Pingback: Libertarian Hyra Cracks 8% in VCU Poll – Bacon’s Rebellion | Prometheism.net

  4. https://poll.qu.edu/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=2479

    Again, a university-sponsored poll, but I have a bit more respect for this one’s track record. It has the Libertarian at 4 percent, not 8. Apparently 13 percent of respondents claimed to know enough about the third party candidate to have an opinion. Of those I’d estimate the vast majority were lying, just unwilling to admit they were clueless about the guy.

  5. If you want to get a real laugh … go google ” the most libertarian countries in the world”. 😉

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